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Top Horse Analytics: 10/08/2017 BEL Picks (after late changes)


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS   (v7.17.10.04a)
 
Race Cancellations (Equibase)
Today's Scratches And Changes (Equibase)
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Full Charts (Equibase)
Race Results (THA)
 
Base Factor FLAGS
C Best Closer
E Best Earnings
F Best Finish
J Best Jockey
L Best Lead Pack
S Best Speed
T Best Trainer
W Best Workouts
 
horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off
 
10/08/17, BEL, Race 1, 12.55 ET
1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1.38.04  MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $75,000.
INNER TURF (UP TO $13,500 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (1-3) - Pick 5 (.50) Races (1-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating  Pgm#  Horse  [M/L]  Jockey  /  Trainer  FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :7:  Kasbach  [3-1]  Castellano J  /  Brown Chad C.  J 
099.6032 :3:  Night Owl  [4-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Brown Chad C.    
099.2395 :4:  Incleveland  [6-1]  Velazquez J R  /  Pletcher Todd A.  W 
098.2090 :5:  Radiant Beauty  [5/2]  Ortiz J L  /  Rodriguez Rudy R.  SFEL 
095.6802  1  Delta House  [8-1]  Carmouche K  /  Contessa Gary C.    
094.9477  1a  Bird Key  [8-1]  Franco M  /  Contessa Gary C.  C 
094.7812  6  Silver Fern  [5-1]  Rosario J  /  Mott William I.    
093.7737  2  Closing Statement  [12-1]  Cancel E  /  McGaughey III Claude R    
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000   7   Kasbach  [3-1]  Castellano J  /  Brown Chad C.  J 
099.9894   3   Night Owl  [4-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Brown Chad C.    
099.6785   5   Radiant Beauty  [5/2]  Ortiz J L  /  Rodriguez Rudy R.  SEL 
098.5935   4   Incleveland  [6-1]  Velazquez J R  /  Pletcher Todd A.    
096.9967   1a   Bird Key  [8-1]  Franco M  /  Contessa Gary C.  FC 
096.7761   6   Silver Fern  [5-1]  Rosario J  /  Mott William I.    
094.9876   1   Delta House  [8-1]  Carmouche K  /  Contessa Gary C.    
094.7254   2   Closing Statement  [12-1]  Cancel E  /  McGaughey III Claude R  W 

10/08/17, BEL, Race 2, 1.28 ET
1 1/16M [Turf] 1.38.03  CLAIMING. Purse $40,000. Claiming Price $40,000 (Winners Preferred).
(UP TO $7,200 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (2-4) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (2-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating  Pgm#  Horse  [M/L]  Jockey  /  Trainer  FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :1:  Fancy Kitten  [5/2]  Castellano J  /  Brown Chad C.  T 
099.8637 :6:  Ultimate Cause  [7/2]  Juarez N  /  Lynch Brian A.    
098.3346 :5:  Tisbury  [3-1]  Rosario J  /  Mott William I.  SEL 
097.9949 :2:  Sunrise Ruby  [15-1]  Bracho J A  /  Lawrence. II James L.  W 
096.2281  7  Weekend Hottie  [15-1]  Franco M  /  Donk David G.    
095.4936  8  Questeq  [8-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Jacobson David  J 
093.4964  3  Wish Upon  [12-1]  Arroyo A S  /  Terranova. II John P.  F 
092.8288  4  War Canoe  [6-1]  Davis D  /  Contessa Gary C.  C 
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000   1   Fancy Kitten  [5/2]  Castellano J  /  Brown Chad C.  JT 
098.8326   6   Ultimate Cause  [7/2]  Juarez N  /  Lynch Brian A.  E 
097.8996   5   Tisbury  [3-1]  Rosario J  /  Mott William I.  SL 
097.4516   8   Questeq  [8-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Jacobson David    
096.6968   2   Sunrise Ruby  [15-1]  Bracho J A  /  Lawrence. II James L.    
096.3011   7   Weekend Hottie  [15-1]  Franco M  /  Donk David G.  W 
095.4003   4   War Canoe  [6-1]  Davis D  /  Contessa Gary C.  C 
094.9506   3   Wish Upon  [12-1]  Arroyo A S  /  Terranova. II John P.  F 

10/08/17, BEL, Race 3, 2.01 ET
7F [Dirt] 1.20.00  CLAIMING. Purse $32,000. Claiming Price $16,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $12,500 Or Less Not Considered).
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (3-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating  Pgm#  Horse  [M/L]  Jockey  /  Trainer  FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :5:  No Hiding Place  [3-1]  Ortiz J L  /  Rice Linda  JSL 
097.4450 :2:  At Guard(b+)  [5-1]  Carmouche K  /  Cox Brad H.  T 
096.5953 :7:  Play Big  [12-1]  Arroyo A S  /  Diodoro Robertino  FW 
096.0393 :1:  Tug of War  [5-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Rodriguez Rudy R.    
095.6410  6  Will Did It  [7/2]  Diaz. Jr. H R  /  Gullo Gary P.    
095.2961  8  Rockport Kat  [8-1]  Franco M  /  Cannizzo David A.    
095.0897  1a  War Eagle's Return  [5-1]  Rosario J  /  DiPrima Gregory  C 
094.9910  4  Sir Bond  [4-1]  Alvarado J  /  Rodriguez Rudy R.  E 
090.6872  3  Chosen One Elijah  [30-1]  Robles J G  /  Jones Eduardo E.    
 
10/08/17, BEL, Race 4, 2.34 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.07.03  MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $75,000.
(UP TO $13,500 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (4-6) - Pick 6 Races (4-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating  Pgm#  Horse  [M/L]  Jockey  /  Trainer  FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :8:  Beyond Grace  [3-1]  Castellano J  /  Brown Chad C.  JT 
099.3217 :5:  Miss Aliphant  [10-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Englehart Jeremiah C.    
098.9878 :4:  Redhairdon'tcare  [6-1]  Rosario J  /  Dutrow Anthony W.  W 
098.3534 :9:  Shanghai Jewel  [5-1]  Velazquez J R  /  Pletcher Todd A.    
098.1622  12  Fly So High  [8-1]  Ortiz J L  /  McGaughey III Claude R    
098.0740  3  Lezendary  [4-1]  Alvarado J  /  Rodriguez Rudy R.  SFELC 
097.5309  11  Princess Char  [12-1]  Juarez N  /  Baker Charlton    
097.2875  2  Pecan Pattie  [20-1]  Franco M  /  Gargan Danny    
096.7920  7  Glossy  [15-1]  Davis D  /  Mott William I.    
095.5125  10  Karen's Gem  [15-1]  Carmouche K  /  Dilger Michael    
094.6849  6  Take Charge Tina  [20-1]  Cancel E  /  Albertrani Thomas    
*Scratch*  1  Solitary Gem  [15-1]  Maragh R  /  Gyarmati Leah    
 
10/08/17, BEL, Race 5, 3.07 ET
1 1/4M [Inner Turf] 1.57.04  ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $90,000. Claiming Price $62,500 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(Non-starters For A Claiming Price Of $25,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
INNER TURF (UP TO $16,200 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $62,500 OR HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2017
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (5-7) - Grand Slam Races (5-8), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating  Pgm#  Horse  [M/L]  Jockey  /  Trainer  FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :3:  Galileo's Song (IRE)  [2-1]  Castellano J  /  Brown Chad C.  SE 
097.0189 :4:  Feeling Bossy  [8-1]  Franco M  /  Jerkens James A.  W 
095.8592 :2:  Queen Blossom (IRE)  [7/2]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Motion H. Graham    
095.7724 :1:  Texting  [6-1]  Velazquez J R  /  Brown Chad C.  JFC 
094.9200  7  Chicadoro (GB)  [15-1]  Rosario J  /  McLaughlin Kiaran P.    
094.9009  6  Paige  [5/2]  Ortiz J L  /  Clement Christophe  L 
092.3115  5  Evidently  [10-1]  Alvarado J  /  Lerman Roy S.    
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000   3   Galileo's Song (IRE)  [2-1]  Castellano J  /  Brown Chad C.  JSE 
098.1812   1   Texting  [6-1]  Velazquez J R  /  Brown Chad C.  C 
096.6580   2   Queen Blossom (IRE)  [7/2]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Motion H. Graham    
096.4221   6   Paige  [5/2]  Ortiz J L  /  Clement Christophe  FL 
096.2540   4   Feeling Bossy  [8-1]  Franco M  /  Jerkens James A.    
095.8406   7   Chicadoro (GB)  [15-1]  Rosario J  /  McLaughlin Kiaran P.  W 
093.3313   5   Evidently  [10-1]  Alvarado J  /  Lerman Roy S.    

10/08/17, BEL, Race 6, 3.40 ET
1 1/16M [Turf] 1.38.03  ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $65,000. Claiming Price $40,000 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(Non-Starters for aclaiming price of  $25,000 or less in the last 3 starts preferred).
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $13,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $40,000
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (6-8) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (6-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating  Pgm#  Horse  [M/L]  Jockey  /  Trainer  FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :5:  Startup Nation  [3-1]  Castellano J  /  Brown Chad C.  TSC 
098.8459 :2:  Blue Belt  [8-1]  Ortiz J L  /  Cannizzo David A.  L 
098.6697 :8:  Orino  [4-1]  Maragh R  /  Jacobson David    
096.8833 :6:  Chilly Bon Bon  [20-1]  Velazquez J R  /  Nevin Michelle  J 
095.9752  10  Samadi Sky  [20-1]  Rosario J  /  Barbara Robert  W 
095.9714  1  Broken Engagement  [5-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Rodriguez Rudy R.  E 
095.9560  3  Yummy Bear  [6-1]  Franco M  /  Donk David G.  F 
095.4814  1a  Control Group  [5-1]  Rider TBA  /  Rodriguez Rudy R.    
094.8913  9  Dot Matrix  [12-1]  Cancel E  /  Adsit Abigail C.    
094.4947  4  The J Y  [20-1]  Alvarado J  /  Hennig Mark A.    
094.3092  12  With Exultation  [10-1]  Arroyo A S  /  Diodoro Robertino    
093.3773  11  Leaveematthegate  [15-1]  Davis D  /  Gyarmati Leah    
091.8805  7  Cliffs of Dover  [30-1]  Juarez N  /  Bush Thomas M.    
*Scratch*  13  Uncle Sigh  [10-1]  Rosario J  /  Handal Raymond    
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000   5   Startup Nation  [3-1]  Castellano J  /  Brown Chad C.  JTC 
097.6727   8   Orino  [4-1]  Maragh R  /  Jacobson David    
097.1023   2   Blue Belt  [8-1]  Ortiz J L  /  Cannizzo David A.  L 
096.9868   1   Broken Engagement  [5-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Rodriguez Rudy R.  E 
096.1189   1a   Control Group  [5-1]  Rider TBA  /  Rodriguez Rudy R.  S 
095.2521   10   Samadi Sky  [20-1]  Rosario J  /  Barbara Robert  W 
095.0542   3   Yummy Bear  [6-1]  Franco M  /  Donk David G.  F 
094.5086   6   Chilly Bon Bon  [20-1]  Velazquez J R  /  Nevin Michelle    
093.9260   12   With Exultation  [10-1]  Arroyo A S  /  Diodoro Robertino    
093.0906   9   Dot Matrix  [12-1]  Cancel E  /  Adsit Abigail C.    
093.0373   4   The J Y  [20-1]  Alvarado J  /  Hennig Mark A.    
092.7012   7   Cliffs of Dover  [30-1]  Juarez N  /  Bush Thomas M.    
092.5800   11   Leaveematthegate  [15-1]  Davis D  /  Gyarmati Leah    
*Scratch*   13   Uncle Sigh  [10-1]  Rosario J  /  Handal Raymond    

10/08/17, BEL, Race 7, 4.13 ET
1M [Dirt] 1.32.01  STAKES. Purse $400,000.
 Grade 1
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (7-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating  Pgm#  Horse  [M/L]  Jockey  /  Trainer  FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :4:  Separationofpowers  [9/5]  Ortiz J L  /  Brown Chad C.  T 
098.3005 :6:  Purrfect Miss  [5-1]  Franco M  /  Englehart Jeremiah C.    
098.0803 :1:  Maya Malibu  [4-1]  Castellano J  /  Motion H. Graham  J 
097.5524 :10:  Critique  [6-1]  Velazquez J R  /  Pletcher Todd A.    
096.2373  3  Strategic Dreams  [12-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Rodriguez Rudy R.    
095.6418  2  Go  [20-1]  Carmouche K  /  Quartarolo Anthony T.  W 
095.5701  7  Wall of Compassion  [12-1]  Rosario J  /  Rodriguez Rudy R.    
095.4876  9  Caledonia Road  [12-1]  Alvarado J  /  Nicks Ralph E.  FE 
095.2399  5  Drama Run  [10-1]  Bracho J A  /  Quartarolo Anthony T.  SL 
093.5134  8  Teen Angel  [30-1]  Davis D  /  Caiazzo Corby    
 
10/08/17, BEL, Race 8, 4.46 ET
1 1/4M [Inner Turf] 1.57.04  STAKES. Purse $500,000.
 Grade 1
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating  Pgm#  Horse  [M/L]  Jockey  /  Trainer  FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :1:  Grand Jete (GB)  [9/5]  Castellano J  /  Brown Chad C.  SFC 
098.5902 :3:  Dacita (CHI)  [3-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Brown Chad C.  JE 
097.3509 :2:  War Flag  [8-1]  Ortiz J L  /  McGaughey III Claude R  W 
096.5240 :4:  Zhukova (IRE)  [2-1]  Smullen P J  /  Weld Dermot K.  L 
095.2602  5  Beauly (GB)(b+)  [15-1]  Franco M  /  Walsh Brendan P.    
093.5373  6  Guilty Twelve  [12-1]  DeCarlo C P  /  Motion H. Graham    
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000   1   Grand Jete (GB)  [9/5]  Castellano J  /  Brown Chad C.  JSFC 
098.7725   3   Dacita (CHI)  [3-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Brown Chad C.  E 
098.3555   4   Zhukova (IRE)  [2-1]  Smullen P J  /  Weld Dermot K.  L 
098.0587   2   War Flag  [8-1]  Ortiz J L  /  McGaughey III Claude R  W 
095.9840   5   Beauly (GB)(b+)  [15-1]  Franco M  /  Walsh Brendan P.    
093.6917   6   Guilty Twelve  [12-1]  DeCarlo C P  /  Motion H. Graham    

10/08/17, BEL, Race 9, 5.19 ET
1M [Turf] 1.31.03  MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $41,000. Claiming Price $40,000.
(UP TO $7,380 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating  Pgm#  Horse  [M/L]  Jockey  /  Trainer  FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :11:  Prognostication  [3-1]  Ortiz J L  /  Brown Chad C.  SF 
099.2925 :2:  Polar City  [6-1]  Rosario J  /  Rice Linda    
097.6165 :6:  Cookie Crisp  [6-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Rodriguez Rudy R.    
097.3825 :9:  Alpha Team  [5-1]  Franco M  /  Mott William I.  WC 
097.3014  4  Street Code  [10-1]  Castellano J  /  Brown Chad C.  J 
096.5879  10  Panama Papers  [4-1]  Velazquez J R  /  Pletcher Todd A.  EL 
095.7566  1  Wingman(b-)  [10-1]  Alvarado J  /  Serpe Philip M.    
095.4736  7  Champagne Papi(b+)  [20-1]  Arroyo A S  /  Adsit Abigail C.    
093.6942  8  Arch Contender  [30-1]  Davis D  /  Toscano. Jr. John T.    
092.4452  12  Shidoshi  [20-1]  Cancel E  /  Cannizzo David A.    
092.2478  5  Zeppelin Ride  [30-1]  Diaz. Jr. H R  /  Hertler John O.    
090.4817  3  Critics Award  [30-1]  Reyes L R  /  O'Brien Leo    
*Scratch*  16  Author  [30-1]  Reyes L R  /  Hennig Mark A.    
*Scratch*  15  Knight Errant  [30-1]  Juarez N  /  Zito Nicholas P.    
*Scratch*  14  Street Review(b-)  [30-1]  Maragh R  /  Kimmel John C.    
*Scratch*  13  Herecomesyourman  [8-1]  Rosario J  /  Dutrow Anthony W.    
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000   11   Prognostication  [3-1]  Ortiz J L  /  Brown Chad C.  SW 
097.6219   10   Panama Papers  [4-1]  Velazquez J R  /  Pletcher Todd A.  FEL 
097.5376   6   Cookie Crisp  [6-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Rodriguez Rudy R.    
097.0721   4   Street Code  [10-1]  Castellano J  /  Brown Chad C.  J 
096.7343   9   Alpha Team  [5-1]  Franco M  /  Mott William I.  C 
096.6478   2   Polar City  [6-1]  Rosario J  /  Rice Linda    
095.0803   1   Wingman(b-)  [10-1]  Alvarado J  /  Serpe Philip M.    
093.6132   8   Arch Contender  [30-1]  Davis D  /  Toscano. Jr. John T.    
093.6025   7   Champagne Papi(b+)  [20-1]  Arroyo A S  /  Adsit Abigail C.    
092.6165   12   Shidoshi  [20-1]  Cancel E  /  Cannizzo David A.    
091.1568   3   Critics Award  [30-1]  Reyes L R  /  O'Brien Leo    
090.4377   5   Zeppelin Ride  [30-1]  Diaz. Jr. H R  /  Hertler John O.    
*Scratch*   16   Author  [30-1]  Reyes L R  /  Hennig Mark A.    
*Scratch*   15   Knight Errant  [30-1]  Juarez N  /  Zito Nicholas P.    
*Scratch*   14   Street Review(b-)  [30-1]  Maragh R  /  Kimmel John C.    
*Scratch*   13   Herecomesyourman  [8-1]  Rosario J  /  Dutrow Anthony W.    

 

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