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Top Horse Analytics: 09/30/2017 BEL Picks (after late changes)


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS   (v7.17.09.09a)
 
Race Cancellations (Equibase)
Today's Scratches And Changes (Equibase)
Exotic Wager Cost Calculator
Full Charts (Equibase)
Race Results (THA)
 
Base Factor FLAGS
C Best Closer
E Best Earnings
F Best Finish
J Best Jockey
L Best Lead Pack
S Best Speed
T Best Trainer
W Best Workouts
 
horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off
 
09/30/17, BEL, Race 1, 12.30 ET
7F [Dirt] 1.20.00  MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $41,000. Claiming Price $40,000.
(UP TO $7,380 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (1-3) - Early Pick 5 (.50) Races (1-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating  Pgm#  Horse  [M/L]  Jockey  /  Trainer  FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :4:  Battle Ready  [5-1]  Saez L  /  Brown Bruce R.    
098.5187 :3:  Holland Road  [12-1]  Rosario J  /  Dilger Michael  W 
097.2450 :5:  Why God  [7/2]  Castellano J  /  Brown Chad C.  T 
096.8723 :2:  Valdocco  [2-1]  Franco M  /  Abreu Jorge R.  SL 
096.3530  7  River Deep  [3-1]  Velazquez J R  /  Tagg Barclay  J 
095.7461  8  The Donald Problem(b-)  [20-1]  Diaz. Jr. H R  /  Quiles John N.  C 
094.7534  6  Quai Voltaire  [8-1]  Cancel E  /  Sciacca Gary  FE 
092.9821  1  Elite Kid  [20-1]  Reyes L R  /  Noda-Fernandez Jose    
 
09/30/17, BEL, Race 2, 1.05 ET
6F [Inner Turf] 1.06.04  CLAIMING. Purse $42,000. Claiming Price $35,000 (Races where entered for $25,000 or less not considered) (Winners Preferred).
INNER TURF (UP TO $7,560 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (2-4) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (2-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating  Pgm#  Horse  [M/L]  Jockey  /  Trainer  FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :4:  Lone Trader(b+)  [4-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Miceli Michael  JSC 
099.9012 :7:  Harlan's Quest  [8-1]  Lopez P  /  Cibelli Jane  W 
099.6301 :6:  Abbot  [3-1]  Rosario J  /  Clement Christophe  E 
098.5276 :9:  Sallisaw  [6-1]  Alvarado J  /  McLaughlin Kiaran P.  TF 
098.1660  5  Tipsy Kitten  [8-1]  Castellano J  /  Rodriguez Rudy R.    
097.6224  10  One Eyed Ray  [6-1]  Carmouche K  /  Farro Patricia    
096.7102  1  Tiz a Chance  [5-1]  Saez L  /  Toscano. Jr. John T.    
094.1743  2  Canarsie Kid  [12-1]  Diaz. Jr. H R  /  Miceli Michael  L 
092.6442  8  Snake Oil Charlie  [30-1]  Arrieta F  /  Maroun George C.    
*Scratch*  3  Curtis  [5/2]  Rider TBA  /  Gullo Gary P.    
*Scratch*  11  Southern Union  [20-1]  Fragoso P  /  Ibrahim Emron    
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000   6   Abbot  [3-1]  Rosario J  /  Clement Christophe    
099.6921   4   Lone Trader(b+)  [4-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Miceli Michael  JSC 
099.5738   7   Harlan's Quest  [8-1]  Lopez P  /  Cibelli Jane  W 
098.5267   5   Tipsy Kitten  [8-1]  Castellano J  /  Rodriguez Rudy R.  F 
097.9877   9   Sallisaw  [6-1]  Alvarado J  /  McLaughlin Kiaran P.  TE 
097.8440   1   Tiz a Chance  [5-1]  Saez L  /  Toscano. Jr. John T.    
097.7697   10   One Eyed Ray  [6-1]  Carmouche K  /  Farro Patricia    
095.2908   8   Snake Oil Charlie  [30-1]  Arrieta F  /  Maroun George C.    
094.3445   2   Canarsie Kid  [12-1]  Diaz. Jr. H R  /  Miceli Michael  L 
*Scratch*   3   Curtis  [5/2]  Rider TBA  /  Gullo Gary P.    
*Scratch*   11   Southern Union  [20-1]  Fragoso P  /  Ibrahim Emron    

09/30/17, BEL, Race 3, 1.38 ET
1 1/16M [Dirt] 1.39.01  MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $75,000.
(UP TO $13,500 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (3-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating  Pgm#  Horse  [M/L]  Jockey  /  Trainer  FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :4:  Road to Meath  [5/2]  Ortiz J L  /  Brown Chad C.  TSEL 
098.6410 :2:  Biblical(b+)  [4-1]  Velazquez J R  /  Pletcher Todd A.  JW 
098.3500 :3:  High North  [5-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Cox Brad H.    
097.5986 :6:  Avery Island  [7/2]  Bravo J  /  McLaughlin Kiaran P.    
096.3567  1  Roaming Union  [6-1]  Rosario J  /  Breen Kelly J.  FC 
095.2903  7  Verve's Humor  [12-1]  Franco M  /  Tagg Barclay    
092.0883  8  First Warrior  [10-1]  Alvarado J  /  McLaughlin Kiaran P.    
*Scratch*  5  Call the Cat  [30-1]  Cancel E  /  Sciacca Gary    
 
09/30/17, BEL, Race 4, 2.12 ET
1 1/16M [Turf] 1.38.03  ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $77,000. Claiming Price $80,000 (Non-Starters for a claiming price of  $25,000 or less in the last 3 starts preferred).
(UP TO $13,860 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $80,000
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (4-6), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating  Pgm#  Horse  [M/L]  Jockey  /  Trainer  FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :3:  Funtastic  [2-1]  Ortiz J L  /  Brown Chad C.  TEW 
098.3844 :5:  Soglio  [7/2]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Motion H. Graham  C 
096.7091 :2:  Via Egnatia  [6-1]  Velazquez J R  /  Mott William I.  J 
096.6487 :4:  Bird's Eye View  [10-1]  Castellano J  /  Dini Michael  S 
096.4024  1  Hot and Heavy  [8-1]  Carmouche K  /  Scherer Merrill R.  L 
096.1448  8  Lunaire  [5-1]  Rosario J  /  Albertrani Thomas  F 
095.8002  6  Cruz Diez  [15-1]  Bravo J  /  Abreu Jorge R.    
094.6592  7  Hello Holiday  [12-1]  Saez L  /  Serpe Philip M.    
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000   3   Funtastic  [2-1]  Ortiz J L  /  Brown Chad C.  TE 
097.0531   4   Bird's Eye View  [10-1]  Castellano J  /  Dini Michael  S 
096.7397   2   Via Egnatia  [6-1]  Velazquez J R  /  Mott William I.  JW 
096.2047   5   Soglio  [7/2]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Motion H. Graham  C 
095.5832   1   Hot and Heavy  [8-1]  Carmouche K  /  Scherer Merrill R.  FL 
095.5686   7   Hello Holiday  [12-1]  Saez L  /  Serpe Philip M.    
095.1888   6   Cruz Diez  [15-1]  Bravo J  /  Abreu Jorge R.    
094.3046   8   Lunaire  [5-1]  Rosario J  /  Albertrani Thomas    

09/30/17, BEL, Race 5, 2.48 ET
7F [Dirt] 1.20.00  ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $80,000. Claiming Price $62,500 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(Non-starters For A Claiming Price Of $25,000 Or Less In TheLast 3 Starts Preferred).
(UP TO $14,400 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $62,500
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (5-7), Pick 6 Races (5-10) - Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating  Pgm#  Horse  [M/L]  Jockey  /  Trainer  FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :3:  Favorable Outcome  [6/5]  Castellano J  /  Brown Chad C.  JTE 
097.3643 :1:  Harlan Punch  [3-1]  Bravo J  /  Jacobson David  F 
096.9651 :6:  Always a Suspect(b-)  [8-1]  Saez L  /  McLaughlin Kiaran P.  S 
096.6003 :4:  Beasley  [5-1]  Alvarado J  /  Hennig Mark A.  LC 
096.4145  5  Royal Squeeze  [15-1]  Franco M  /  Nicks Ralph E.    
095.9534  8  Alex the Terror  [12-1]  Cancel E  /  Sciacca Gary  W 
*Scratch*  7  Zoot Suit  [15-1]  Ortiz J L  /  Englehart Jeremiah C.    
*Scratch*  2  Square Shooter  [20-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Englehart Jeremiah C.    
 
09/30/17, BEL, Race 6, 3.26 ET
7F [Turf] 1.19.01  CLAIMING. Purse $40,000. Claiming Price $40,000 (Winners Preferred).
(UP TO $7,200 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 (6-8), Grand Slam (6-9) - NYRA Bets Pick 5 (.50) (6-10), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating  Pgm#  Horse  [M/L]  Jockey  /  Trainer  FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :8:  Consumerconfidence  [5/2]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Brown Chad C.  JT 
099.1305 :6:  Son of Mine(b+)  [4-1]  Ortiz J L  /  Rice Linda  S 
098.1565 :4:  Jegos Fire  [10-1]  Castellano J  /  Handal Raymond  FWC 
097.9789 :11:  Main Road  [6-1]  Carmouche K  /  Maker Michael J.  EL 
096.7245  5  Mr. Euro  [12-1]  Lopez P  /  Asmussen Steven M.    
096.6006  7  Mai Ty One On  [5-1]  Rosario J  /  Cibelli Jane    
095.7051  3  Lucky Town  [15-1]  Arroyo A S  /  Ubillo Rodrigo A.    
091.8458  2  Peculiar Sensation  [15-1]  Cancel E  /  Esler Nicholas    
091.7002  9  Freedom Seven  [12-1]  Bravo J  /  Albertrani Thomas    
091.5490  12  Facade  [20-1]  Franco M  /  Ribaudo Robert    
089.4734  1  Heavenly Sun  [30-1]  Diaz. Jr. H R  /  Hertler John O.    
087.9135  10  Independent Worker  [50-1]  Reyes L R  /  Chatterpaul Naipaul    
*Scratch*  14  Javelin  [6/5]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Rodriguez Rudy R.    
*Scratch*  13  Mr. Dougie Fresh  [8-1]  Rider TBA  /  McLaughlin Kiaran P.    
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000   8   Consumerconfidence  [5/2]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Brown Chad C.  JTS 
099.4901   6   Son of Mine(b+)  [4-1]  Ortiz J L  /  Rice Linda    
097.0211   5   Mr. Euro  [12-1]  Lopez P  /  Asmussen Steven M.    
096.8602   4   Jegos Fire  [10-1]  Castellano J  /  Handal Raymond  FWC 
096.8085   7   Mai Ty One On  [5-1]  Rosario J  /  Cibelli Jane  E 
096.3996   11   Main Road  [6-1]  Carmouche K  /  Maker Michael J.  L 
095.4763   3   Lucky Town  [15-1]  Arroyo A S  /  Ubillo Rodrigo A.    
092.7281   2   Peculiar Sensation  [15-1]  Cancel E  /  Esler Nicholas    
092.4803   12   Facade  [20-1]  Franco M  /  Ribaudo Robert    
092.2685   9   Freedom Seven  [12-1]  Bravo J  /  Albertrani Thomas    
090.4815   1   Heavenly Sun  [30-1]  Diaz. Jr. H R  /  Hertler John O.    
087.2167   10   Independent Worker  [50-1]  Reyes L R  /  Chatterpaul Naipaul    
*Scratch*   14   Javelin  [6/5]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Rodriguez Rudy R.    
*Scratch*   13   Mr. Dougie Fresh  [8-1]  Rider TBA  /  McLaughlin Kiaran P.    

09/30/17, BEL, Race 7, 4.04 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.07.03  STAKES. Purse $350,000.
 Grade 1
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (7-9) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (7-10), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating  Pgm#  Horse  [M/L]  Jockey  /  Trainer  FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :2:  El Deal  [6/5]  Castellano J  /  Navarro Jorge  T 
098.1740 :5:  Mr. Crow  [2-1]  Saez L  /  Pletcher Todd A.  SF 
097.6122 :7:  Weekend Hideaway  [15-1]  Franco M  /  Serpe Philip M.  W 
096.2225 :4:  Takaful  [5-1]  Ortiz J L  /  McLaughlin Kiaran P.  JL 
094.6294  3  Green Gratto  [20-1]  Carmouche K  /  Grant Gaston    
094.5476  1  Stallwalkin' Dude  [8-1]  Bravo J  /  Jacobson David  E 
094.0362  6  Celtic Chaos  [20-1]  Cancel E  /  McLaughlin Kiaran P.  C 
 
09/30/17, BEL, Race 8, 4.37 ET
1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1.38.04  STAKES. Purse $200,000.
 Grade 3
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (8-10), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating  Pgm#  Horse  [M/L]  Jockey  /  Trainer  FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :6:  Maraud  [5/2]  Velazquez J R  /  Pletcher Todd A.  JFE 
099.6655 :5:  Voting Control  [9/5]  Castellano J  /  Brown Chad C.  TC 
098.6816 :7:  Looking Ready  [12-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Levine Bruce N.  SWL 
097.8377 :4:  Seabhac(b+)  [5-1]  Saez L  /  Pletcher Todd A.    
096.4725  1  Desert Stone (IRE)  [12-1]  Ortiz J L  /  Rodriguez Rudy R.    
095.0249  8  Evaluator  [8-1]  Rosario J  /  Dilger Michael    
094.2096  2  Morrison  [10-1]  Albarado R  /  Sharp Joe    
094.1078  3  Stolen Pistol(b+)  [15-1]  Franco M  /  Sharp Joe    
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000   6   Maraud  [5/2]  Velazquez J R  /  Pletcher Todd A.  JFE 
098.9474   5   Voting Control  [9/5]  Castellano J  /  Brown Chad C.  TC 
098.4399   4   Seabhac(b+)  [5-1]  Saez L  /  Pletcher Todd A.    
098.4169   7   Looking Ready  [12-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Levine Bruce N.  SWL 
096.2686   8   Evaluator  [8-1]  Rosario J  /  Dilger Michael    
095.8440   1   Desert Stone (IRE)  [12-1]  Ortiz J L  /  Rodriguez Rudy R.    
094.9175   2   Morrison  [10-1]  Albarado R  /  Sharp Joe    
094.7017   3   Stolen Pistol(b+)  [15-1]  Franco M  /  Sharp Joe    

09/30/17, BEL, Race 9, 5.11 ET
1 1/8M [Dirt] 1.45.02  STAKES. Purse $400,000.
 Grade 1
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating  Pgm#  Horse  [M/L]  Jockey  /  Trainer  FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :1:  Elate  [3/5]  Ortiz J L  /  Mott William I.  FEWC 
098.7863 :7:  Eskenformoney  [5-1]  Castellano J  /  Pletcher Todd A.    
098.7563 :5:  Money'soncharlotte  [8-1]  Velazquez J R  /  Breen Kelly J.  JL 
097.1718 :2:  Verve's Tale  [6-1]  Rosario J  /  Tagg Barclay    
096.8083  3  Bishop's Pond  [15-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Servis Jason  TS 
096.7413  6  Bombshell  [20-1]  Saez L  /  Jerkens James A.    
094.0968  4  Presumptuous  [30-1]  Maragh R  /  Bond H. James    
 
09/30/17, BEL, Race 10, 5.45 ET
1 1/2M [Turf] 2.23.02  STAKES. Purse $500,000.
 Grade 1
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating  Pgm#  Horse  [M/L]  Jockey  /  Trainer  FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :10:  (F)The Grey Gatsby (IRE)  [8-1]  Velazquez J R  /  Weld Dermot K.  JT 
096.8961 :9:  Fanciful Angel (IRE)  [10-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Brown Chad C.  FWC 
095.9786 :5:  Beach Patrol  [5-1]  Rosario J  /  Brown Chad C.  S 
095.9372 :1:  Money Multiplier  [7/2]  Castellano J  /  Brown Chad C.    
094.1059  3  Oscar Performance  [3-1]  Ortiz J L  /  Lynch Brian A.  EL 
093.9834  6  Ascend  [12-1]  Bravo J  /  Motion H. Graham    
092.7846  7  Channel Maker  [20-1]  Franco M  /  Mott William I.    
092.6329  4  Sadler's Joy  [4-1]  Leparoux J R  /  Albertrani Thomas    
092.1827  11  Tricked Up  [50-1]  Reyes L R  /  Chatterpaul Naipaul    
091.0296  2  Converge(b-)  [50-1]  Cancel E  /  Chatterpaul Naipaul    
090.4060  8  Mekhtaal (GB)  [15-1]  Alvarado J  /  Motion H. Graham    
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000   10   (F)The Grey Gatsby (IRE)  [8-1]  Velazquez J R  /  Weld Dermot K.  JT 
094.9142   5   Beach Patrol  [5-1]  Rosario J  /  Brown Chad C.  S 
094.8391   9   Fanciful Angel (IRE)  [10-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Brown Chad C.  FWC 
094.5534   1   Money Multiplier  [7/2]  Castellano J  /  Brown Chad C.    
093.9162   3   Oscar Performance  [3-1]  Ortiz J L  /  Lynch Brian A.  EL 
091.8037   6   Ascend  [12-1]  Bravo J  /  Motion H. Graham    
091.3829   7   Channel Maker  [20-1]  Franco M  /  Mott William I.    
090.8450   4   Sadler's Joy  [4-1]  Leparoux J R  /  Albertrani Thomas    
090.7590   8   Mekhtaal (GB)  [15-1]  Alvarado J  /  Motion H. Graham    
090.5501   11   Tricked Up  [50-1]  Reyes L R  /  Chatterpaul Naipaul    
089.9983   2   Converge(b-)  [50-1]  Cancel E  /  Chatterpaul Naipaul    

 

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