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Top Horse Analytics: 08/04/2017 SAR Picks


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS   (v6.17.07.07b)
 
Race Cancellations (Equibase)
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Base Factor FLAGS
C Best Closer
E Best Earnings
F Best Finish
J Best Jockey
L Best Lead Pack
S Best Speed
T Best Trainer
W Best Workouts
 
horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off
 
08/04/17, SAR, Race 1, 1.00 ET
6 1/2F [Dirt] 1.13.04  MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $45,000. Claiming Price $40,000.
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (1-3) - Early Pick 5 Races (1-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating  Pgm#  Horse  [M/L]  Jockey  /  Trainer  FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :7:  Sand City  [2-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Martin Carlos F.  JSFE 
097.9713 :4:  Corey Q  [5/2]  Castellano J  /  Brown Chad C.  T 
097.5408 :6:  Quick On the Draw  [3-1]  Ortiz J L  /  Bond H. James  WC 
096.8367 :3:  Burkey's Babe  [6-1]  Santana. Jr. R  /  Terranova. II John P.    
094.9735  2  Queen Katherina  [20-1]  Lezcano A  /  Jones Eduardo E.    
094.4114  5  Lightworker  [8-1]  Davis D  /  Caiazzo Corby    
092.2777  1  Mazmania  [12-1]  Arroyo A S  /  Sciacca Gary  L 
 
08/04/17, SAR, Race 2, 1.33 ET
6 1/2F [Dirt] 1.13.04  CLAIMING. Purse $32,000. Claiming Price $16,000.
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (2-4) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (2-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating  Pgm#  Horse  [M/L]  Jockey  /  Trainer  FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :4:  North Eight Street  [3-1]  Franco M  /  Handal Raymond  SW 
099.8355 :6:  Talkn Til Midnight  [5/2]  Ortiz J L  /  Rice Linda  JTF 
097.6807 :2:  Luna Rising  [2-1]  Lezcano J  /  McLaughlin Kiaran P.  EL 
094.5641 :7:  Little Miss Amy(b+)  [5-1]  Arroyo A S  /  Diodoro Robertino    
094.2294  5  Freudee  [20-1]  Reyes L R  /  Reynolds Patrick L.    
093.5745  1  Bahnahno  [8-1]  Luzzi M J  /  Quick Patrick J.  C 
091.1529  3  Only One Wish  [15-1]  Camacho. Jr. S  /  Lostritto Joseph A.    
 
08/04/17, SAR, Race 3, 2.06 ET
5 1/2F [Turf] 1.00.02  MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $83,000.
(UP TO $14,940 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (3-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating  Pgm#  Horse  [M/L]  Jockey  /  Trainer  FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :1:  Switzerland  [6/5]  Castellano J  /  Brown Chad C.  T 
095.2932 :6:  Factorial  [8-1]  Ortiz J L  /  Mott William I.    
095.1561 :2:  Sethary  [5/2]  Rosario J  /  Clement Christophe    
094.7480 :7:  Hardened  [10-1]  Santana. Jr. R  /  Cannizzo David A.  W 
093.5962  3  Beltany  [8-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Morley Thomas  J 
093.5087  5  Fully Vested  [9/2]  Saez L  /  Albertrani Thomas  SFELC 
091.1556  4  Uncle Pancho  [7/2]  Saez L  /  Sharp Joe    
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000   2   Sethary  [5/2]  Rosario J  /  Clement Christophe  F 
099.5400   1   Switzerland  [6/5]  Castellano J  /  Brown Chad C.  TW 
098.0225   3   Beltany  [8-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Morley Thomas  J 
097.4288   4   Uncle Pancho  [7/2]  Saez L  /  Sharp Joe    
097.0073   5   Fully Vested  [9/2]  Saez L  /  Albertrani Thomas  SELC 
096.5657   6   Factorial  [8-1]  Ortiz J L  /  Mott William I.    
089.2036   7   Hardened  [10-1]  Santana. Jr. R  /  Cannizzo David A.    

08/04/17, SAR, Race 4, 2.40 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.08.00  MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $73,000.
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLDFOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (4-6), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating  Pgm#  Horse  [M/L]  Jockey  /  Trainer  FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :4:  Pauseforthecause  [2-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  McLaughlin Kiaran P.  JTW 
097.5166 :1:  Starlite Mission  [7/2]  Rosario J  /  Contessa Gary C.  FEC 
097.1529 :5:  My Roxy Girl  [7/2]  Castellano J  /  Friedman Mitchell E.  L 
095.9977 :7:  Big Expense  [8-1]  Carmouche K  /  Schettino Dominick L.    
095.9096  6  Cartwheel  [5/2]  Alvarado J  /  Hennig Mark A.    
092.0445  2  Ogan's Runner  [20-1]  Lezcano A  /  Jones Eduardo E.    
084.8341  3  Reyana Reya Delite  [30-1]  Camacho. Jr. S  /  Persaud Randi    
 
08/04/17, SAR, Race 5, 3.14 ET
1M [Inner Turf] 1.33.01  ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $93,000. Claiming Price $80,000 (Non-Starters for a claiming price of $25,000 or less in the last 3 starts preferred)(Allowance Horses Preferred).
INNER TURF (UP TO $16,740 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 THREE TIMES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $80,000
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (5-7), Pick 6 Races (5-10) - Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating  Pgm#  Horse  [M/L]  Jockey  /  Trainer  FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :4:  Diversify  [7/2]  Saez L  /  Violette. Jr. Richard   FEL 
098.9458 :8:  Catapult(b-)  [9/2]  Castellano J  /  Brown Chad C.    
098.1499 :10:  Line Judge  [6-1]  Saez L  /  Sharp Joe  W 
097.8856 :9:  Schivarelli  [4-1]  Castellano J  /  Kenneally Eddie    
097.8236  7  Scholar Athlete  [15-1]  Maragh R  /  Motion H. Graham    
096.8762  11  Team Colors  [12-1]  Rosario J  /  Jerkens James A.    
096.3173  13  Carve  [6-1]  Rider TBA  /  Asmussen Steven M.    
095.0319  5  Forge (GB)  [3-1]  Ortiz J L  /  Mott William I.    
094.9635  6  Night Prowler  [4-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Brown Chad C.  J 
094.7320  12  Dancetrack  [8-1]  Leparoux J R  /  Walsh Brendan P.  SC 
094.7165  3  Monster Bea  [15-1]  Velazquez J R  /  Casse Mark E.    
093.4593  14  Raagheb  [9/2]  Geroux F  /  Amoss Thomas M.    
092.8200  2  Backsideofthemoon  [20-1]  Franco M  /  O'Brien Leo    
091.4755  1  Changewilldoyagood  [20-1]  Davis D  /  Levine Bruce N.    
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000   8   Catapult(b-)  [9/2]  Castellano J  /  Brown Chad C.    
099.1419   5   Forge (GB)  [3-1]  Ortiz J L  /  Mott William I.    
098.8058   4   Diversify  [7/2]  Saez L  /  Violette. Jr. Richard   EL 
098.5994   6   Night Prowler  [4-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Brown Chad C.  J 
098.5260   12   Dancetrack  [8-1]  Leparoux J R  /  Walsh Brendan P.  SFC 
098.4574   10   Line Judge  [6-1]  Saez L  /  Sharp Joe    
098.3083   11   Team Colors  [12-1]  Rosario J  /  Jerkens James A.  W 
097.8491   9   Schivarelli  [4-1]  Castellano J  /  Kenneally Eddie    
096.9101   3   Monster Bea  [15-1]  Velazquez J R  /  Casse Mark E.    
096.5767   7   Scholar Athlete  [15-1]  Maragh R  /  Motion H. Graham    
095.8007   2   Backsideofthemoon  [20-1]  Franco M  /  O'Brien Leo    
095.3408   13   Carve  [6-1]  Rider TBA  /  Asmussen Steven M.    
095.0543   14   Raagheb  [9/2]  Geroux F  /  Amoss Thomas M.    
094.2286   1   Changewilldoyagood  [20-1]  Davis D  /  Levine Bruce N.    

08/04/17, SAR, Race 6, 3.48 ET
1 1/16M [Turf] 1.38.01  ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $78,000. Claiming Price $40,000 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(Non-Starters for a claiming price of $25,000 or less in the last 3 starts preferred).
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $13,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $40,000
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (6-8) - Grand Slam Races (6-9), NYRA Bets Pick 5 (.50) Races (6-10), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating  Pgm#  Horse  [M/L]  Jockey  /  Trainer  FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :4:  Young Anna Lee  [8-1]  Ortiz J L  /  Rice Linda  W 
098.4991 :3:  Barrel of Dreams  [9/2]  Velazquez J R  /  Baker Charlton  L 
098.2605 :6:  Style Drift  [5/2]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Brown Chad C.  JT 
097.5478 :2:  Iron Mizz  [9/2]  Rosario J  /  Pletcher Todd A.    
095.0739  7  Eloweasel  [6-1]  Cancel E  /  Kelly Patrick J.    
094.8144  1  Weather Girl  [5-1]  Santana. Jr. R  /  Asmussen Steven M.    
094.2079  1a  Free N Clear  [5-1]  Alvarado J  /  Quick Patrick J.    
094.1070  5  Tizzelle  [7/2]  Maragh R  /  Bond H. James  SFEC 
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000   6   Style Drift  [5/2]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Brown Chad C.  JT 
097.5209   7   Eloweasel  [6-1]  Cancel E  /  Kelly Patrick J.  W 
097.3512   5   Tizzelle  [7/2]  Maragh R  /  Bond H. James  SFEC 
096.7432   3   Barrel of Dreams  [9/2]  Velazquez J R  /  Baker Charlton  L 
096.5733   1a   Free N Clear  [5-1]  Alvarado J  /  Quick Patrick J.    
096.2625   2   Iron Mizz  [9/2]  Rosario J  /  Pletcher Todd A.    
095.5340   4   Young Anna Lee  [8-1]  Ortiz J L  /  Rice Linda    
093.9760   1   Weather Girl  [5-1]  Santana. Jr. R  /  Asmussen Steven M.    

08/04/17, SAR, Race 7, 4.24 ET
6 1/2F [Dirt] 1.13.04  CLAIMING. Purse $50,000. Claiming Price $25,000 (Maiden and Claiming races for $20,000 or less not considered) (Non-Starters for a claiming price less than $12,500in the last 3 starts preferred).
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (7-9) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (7-10), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating  Pgm#  Horse  [M/L]  Jockey  /  Trainer  FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :3:  Curtis(b+)  [4-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Summers Chad  J 
098.8854 :1:  Conquest Sure Shot(b+)  [12-1]  Carmouche K  /  Walsh Brendan P.  SFEC 
097.6480 :8:  Lifelong Dreamer  [5/2]  Ortiz J L  /  Gullo Gary P.    
097.4276 :5:  Italian Syndicate  [7/2]  Franco M  /  Gargan Danny  TL 
095.5506  7  Ethan Hunt  [6-1]  Montanez R  /  Toscano. Jr. John T.  W 
094.2722  4  My Friend  [8-1]  Santana. Jr. R  /  Hennig Mark A.    
093.5838  6  Star Empire (GB)(b-)  [4-1]  Davis D  /  Jacobson David    
092.8688  2  The Great Ronaldo  [20-1]  Arroyo A S  /  Salzman. Jr. John E.    
 
08/04/17, SAR, Race 8, 5.02 ET
7F [Dirt] 1.20.02  ALLOWANCE. Purse $85,000.
(UP TO $17,100 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (8-10), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating  Pgm#  Horse  [M/L]  Jockey  /  Trainer  FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :9:  Portfolio Manager  [7/2]  Castellano J  /  Brown Chad C.    
099.3692 :11:  Lenstar(b-)  [5-1]  Saez L  /  Zito Nicholas P.  S 
098.6659 :10:  Divine Interventio  [4-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Asmussen Steven M.  J 
098.5328 :1:  Silver Assault  [20-1]  Franco M  /  Mott William I.  FC 
098.4988  4  Petrov  [3-1]  Ortiz J L  /  Moquett Ron  E 
098.2016  2  Cavil  [10-1]  Velazquez J R  /  McLaughlin Kiaran P.    
098.1332  7  Pocket Square  [15-1]  Albarado R  /  Romans Dale L.  WL 
097.1290  5  Gray Sky  [15-1]  Rosario J  /  Lukas D. Wayne    
095.7800  3  Cowboy's Hero  [10-1]  Lopez P  /  Castellano Abel A.  T 
095.1747  6  Vincento  [20-1]  Arroyo A S  /  Rodriguez Rudy R.    
094.2526  8  Riff Raff  [20-1]  Maragh R  /  Divitto. Sr. Michael J    
 
08/04/17, SAR, Race 9, 5.40 ET
1 1/16M [Turf] 1.38.01  STAKES. Purse $200,000.
 Grade 2
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating  Pgm#  Horse  [M/L]  Jockey  /  Trainer  FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :2:  Big Handsome  [3-1]  Castellano J  /  Dutrow Anthony W.    
099.7635 :4:  Yoshida (JPN)  [7/2]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Mott William I.  J 
099.4741 :1:  Bricks and Mortar  [5/2]  Rosario J  /  Brown Chad C.  TFEC 
099.4157 :3:  Caviar Czar (IRE)  [2-1]  Rider TBA  /  Pletcher Todd A.    
099.0767  5  Snap Decision  [5-1]  Ortiz J L  /  McGaughey III Claude R  SW 
098.5105  7  Bonus Points(b+)  [20-1]  Carmouche K  /  Pletcher Todd A.    
098.4252  10  Arklow  [10-1]  Geroux F  /  Cox Brad H.    
097.3155  9  Secretary At War  [8-1]  Velazquez J R  /  Jerkens James A.  L 
097.0366  8  Parlor  [15-1]  Leparoux J R  /  Kenneally Eddie    
096.2421  6  Makarios  [20-1]  Saez L  /  Zito Nicholas P.    
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000   1   Bricks and Mortar  [5/2]  Rosario J  /  Brown Chad C.  TFEC 
099.9618   4   Yoshida (JPN)  [7/2]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Mott William I.  JS 
099.8594   2   Big Handsome  [3-1]  Castellano J  /  Dutrow Anthony W.  W 
098.9218   3   Caviar Czar (IRE)  [2-1]  Rider TBA  /  Pletcher Todd A.    
098.8745   5   Snap Decision  [5-1]  Ortiz J L  /  McGaughey III Claude R    
098.3045   10   Arklow  [10-1]  Geroux F  /  Cox Brad H.    
097.7403   7   Bonus Points(b+)  [20-1]  Carmouche K  /  Pletcher Todd A.    
096.8889   8   Parlor  [15-1]  Leparoux J R  /  Kenneally Eddie    
096.7279   9   Secretary At War  [8-1]  Velazquez J R  /  Jerkens James A.  L 
095.5117   6   Makarios  [20-1]  Saez L  /  Zito Nicholas P.    

08/04/17, SAR, Race 10, 6.17 ET
1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1.39.00  MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $45,000. Claiming Price $40,000.
INNER TURF FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating  Pgm#  Horse  [M/L]  Jockey  /  Trainer  FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :16:  Mr. Massena  [9/2]  Lezcano J  /  Mott William I.  W 
099.5993 :3:  There He Goes(b+)  [6-1]  Ortiz J L  /  Gargan Danny  T 
098.2075 :1:  Jegos Fire  [3-1]  Franco M  /  Handal Raymond  FE 
097.8452 :15:  Set Me Up  [6-1]  Castellano J  /  Pletcher Todd A.    
096.5993  2  Kierland  [6-1]  Carmouche K  /  Maker Michael J.  C 
096.1695  9  Heat Check(b-)  [20-1]  Lopez P  /  Contessa Gary C.    
096.1355  5  Risky Sour  [12-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Young Leslie F.  J 
094.7790  8  Rule Number One  [15-1]  Santana. Jr. R  /  Hills Timothy A.    
094.0814  6  Calculated Risker  [5/2]  Saez L  /  Contessa Gary C.    
092.7306  12  Captain Kitt  [8-1]  Maragh R  /  Hertler John O.    
092.5890  13  Arthur Avenue  [5-1]  Reyes L R  /  Nevin Michelle  L 
091.6588  4  Big Auk  [30-1]  Arroyo A S  /  Barker Edward R.    
091.2035  14  Thenameescapesme  [12-1]  Saez L  /  Albertrani Thomas  S 
090.0194  7  You Like That  [20-1]  Cancel E  /  Brown Bruce R.    
088.7153  10  Fleet Admiral  [30-1]  DeCarlo C P  /  O'Brien Leo    
088.6962  11  Frozen Daiquiri  [15-1]  Reyes L R  /  Morrison John    
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000   1   Jegos Fire  [3-1]  Franco M  /  Handal Raymond  FE 
098.6196   16   Mr. Massena  [9/2]  Lezcano J  /  Mott William I.  W 
097.8171   2   Kierland  [6-1]  Carmouche K  /  Maker Michael J.  C 
097.6287   3   There He Goes(b+)  [6-1]  Ortiz J L  /  Gargan Danny  T 
096.3704   6   Calculated Risker  [5/2]  Saez L  /  Contessa Gary C.    
095.4673   5   Risky Sour  [12-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Young Leslie F.  J 
095.4465   15   Set Me Up  [6-1]  Castellano J  /  Pletcher Todd A.    
094.4373   12   Captain Kitt  [8-1]  Maragh R  /  Hertler John O.    
093.9853   9   Heat Check(b-)  [20-1]  Lopez P  /  Contessa Gary C.    
093.9308   14   Thenameescapesme  [12-1]  Saez L  /  Albertrani Thomas  S 
093.8388   13   Arthur Avenue  [5-1]  Reyes L R  /  Nevin Michelle  L 
092.6792   8   Rule Number One  [15-1]  Santana. Jr. R  /  Hills Timothy A.    
090.6880   11   Frozen Daiquiri  [15-1]  Reyes L R  /  Morrison John    
089.6244   4   Big Auk  [30-1]  Arroyo A S  /  Barker Edward R.    
089.1629   7   You Like That  [20-1]  Cancel E  /  Brown Bruce R.    
088.3950   10   Fleet Admiral  [30-1]  DeCarlo C P  /  O'Brien Leo    

 

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