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Top Horse Analytics: 07/31/2017 SAR Picks (after late changes)


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS   (v6.17.07.07b)
 
Race Cancellations (Equibase)
Today's Scratches And Changes (Equibase)
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Base Factor FLAGS
C Best Closer
E Best Earnings
F Best Finish
J Best Jockey
L Best Lead Pack
S Best Speed
T Best Trainer
W Best Workouts
 
horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off
 
07/31/17, SAR, Race 1, 1.00 ET
5 1/2F [Turf] 1.00.02  ALLOWANCE. Purse $85,000.
(UP TO $17,100 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (1-3) - Early Pick 5 Races (1-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating  Pgm#  Horse  [M/L]  Jockey  /  Trainer  FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :4:  Miss Kentucky  [5/2]  Lezcano J  /  Arnold. II George R.  TFEL 
096.7965 :1:  Bigkat and Camille  [8-1]  Arroyo A S  /  Chatterpaul Naipaul  W 
095.0223 :3:  True Charm  [8-1]  Santana. Jr. R  /  Ferraro James W.    
094.6035 :5:  First Charmer  [6-1]  Leparoux J R  /  Metivier Richard  J 
093.6446  6  Pray for Bourbon  [4-1]  Alvarado J  /  Hennig Mark A.  SC 
*Scratch*  2  Battlement (GB)  [8/5]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Mott William I.    
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000   4   Miss Kentucky  [5/2]  Lezcano J  /  Arnold. II George R.  TSEWL 
097.3766   1   Bigkat and Camille  [8-1]  Arroyo A S  /  Chatterpaul Naipaul    
096.7341   6   Pray for Bourbon  [4-1]  Alvarado J  /  Hennig Mark A.  FC 
094.7608   5   First Charmer  [6-1]  Leparoux J R  /  Metivier Richard  J 
092.1247   3   True Charm  [8-1]  Santana. Jr. R  /  Ferraro James W.    
*Scratch*   2   Battlement (GB)  [8/5]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Mott William I.    

07/31/17, SAR, Race 2, 1.33 ET
1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1.39.00  MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $83,000.
INNER TURF (UP TO $14,940 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (2-4) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (2-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating  Pgm#  Horse  [M/L]  Jockey  /  Trainer  FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :1:  Funtastic  [9/2]  Ortiz J L  /  Brown Chad C.  JW 
099.7107 :10:  Peace Speaker  [2-1]  Lezcano J  /  McLaughlin Kiaran P.  S 
097.9613 :7:  Now in a Drive(b+)  [5/2]  Saez L  /  Lynch Brian A.  L 
097.3646 :5:  Oiseau de Guerre  [8-1]  Castellano J  /  Brown Chad C.    
097.3573  4  Mohican  [10-1]  Rosario J  /  Mott William I.  FEC 
095.6021  3  Makeamericagreat  [8-1]  Velazquez J R  /  LoPresti Charles    
091.9205  6  Unforeseeable  [20-1]  Lezcano A  /  Serpe Philip M.    
090.8373  2  Risky Town  [10-1]  Davis D  /  Tagg Barclay    
*Scratch*  9  Tarpon Bay Road  [8-1]  Ortiz J L  /  Walsh Brendan P.    
*Scratch*  8  Itsabigboy  [5-1]  Rider TBA  /  Pletcher Todd A.    
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000   10   Peace Speaker  [2-1]  Lezcano J  /  McLaughlin Kiaran P.  SF 
099.1554   7   Now in a Drive(b+)  [5/2]  Saez L  /  Lynch Brian A.  L 
098.5942   4   Mohican  [10-1]  Rosario J  /  Mott William I.  EC 
097.6861   1   Funtastic  [9/2]  Ortiz J L  /  Brown Chad C.    
094.9878   5   Oiseau de Guerre  [8-1]  Castellano J  /  Brown Chad C.    
094.9402   3   Makeamericagreat  [8-1]  Velazquez J R  /  LoPresti Charles  JW 
094.4260   2   Risky Town  [10-1]  Davis D  /  Tagg Barclay    
091.2202   6   Unforeseeable  [20-1]  Lezcano A  /  Serpe Philip M.    
*Scratch*   9   Tarpon Bay Road  [8-1]  Ortiz J L  /  Walsh Brendan P.    
*Scratch*   8   Itsabigboy  [5-1]  Rider TBA  /  Pletcher Todd A.    

07/31/17, SAR, Race 3, 2.06 ET
1 1/8M [Dirt] 1.46.03  ALLOWANCE. Purse $85,000.
(UP TO $17,100 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (3-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating  Pgm#  Horse  [M/L]  Jockey  /  Trainer  FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :3:  Moana  [6/5]  Velazquez J R  /  Pletcher Todd A.  L 
099.6462 :2:  Blenheim Palace  [4-1]  Ortiz J L  /  McGaughey III Claude R  SF 
098.3869 :5:  Posse Needed  [6-1]  Alvarado J  /  Hennig Mark A.  EWC 
096.9432 :1:  Smile Big  [5/2]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Rodriguez Rudy R.  J 
095.7748  4  Stay Fond  [8-1]  Castellano J  /  Pletcher Todd A.    
 
07/31/17, SAR, Race 4, 2.40 ET
5 1/2F [Dirt] 1.02.03  MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $50,000. Claiming Price $50,000.
(UP TO $9,000 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (4-6) - Pick 6 Races (4-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating  Pgm#  Horse  [M/L]  Jockey  /  Trainer  FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :6:  Joopster  [3-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Ward Wesley A.  J 
098.9396 :4:  Shane's Jewel  [5-1]  Carmouche K  /  Servis John C.  EWL 
098.2022 :5:  Nothings Changed(b+)  [6-1]  Saez L  /  Scherer Merrill R.  TF 
097.2836 :8:  Day of Reckoning  [8-1]  Velazquez J R  /  Ward Wesley A.    
097.1182  9  The Berber  [10-1]  Lopez P  /  Contessa Gary C.    
095.7791  7  Tom's Music  [12-1]  Rosario J  /  Lukas D. Wayne    
094.4153  2  Factor This  [8-1]  Arroyo A S  /  Barker Edward R.    
093.0719  3  Nate Can't Wait  [10-1]  Reyes L R  /  Schettino Dominick L.    
*Scratch*  10  Duncastle  [4-1]  Ortiz J L  /  Rice Linda    
*Scratch*  1  Buss the Bell  [20-1]  Montanez R  /  Persaud Randi    
 
07/31/17, SAR, Race 5, 3.14 ET
5 1/2F [Turf] 1.00.02  CLAIMING. Purse $62,000. Claiming Price $40,000 (Maiden and Claiming races for $32,000 or less not considered).
(UP TO $11,160 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (5-7) - Grand Slam Races (5-8), NYRA Bets Pick 5 (.50) Races (5-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating  Pgm#  Horse  [M/L]  Jockey  /  Trainer  FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :8:  Aktabantay (GB)  [3-1]  Carmouche K  /  Cox Brad H.    
099.8131 :1:  No Hiding Place  [8-1]  Santana. Jr. R  /  Asmussen Steven M.  W 
098.7062 :2:  Tale of E Dubai  [8-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Salzman. Jr. John E.  JEL 
096.6333 :3:  Street Shark  [20-1]  Arroyo A S  /  Chatterpaul Naipaul    
096.4899  9  Shadow Rock  [5/2]  Ortiz J L  /  Maker Michael J.  C 
096.0865  7  Full Salute  [10-1]  Saez L  /  Englehart Chris J.  F 
094.9551  10  Padilla  [6-1]  Maragh R  /  Summers Chad  TS 
094.9521  6  Starship Wildcat  [9/2]  Lezcano J  /  Gullo Gary P.    
093.2708  5  Francis Freud  [20-1]  Lezcano A  /  Metivier Richard    
*Scratch*  4  Ray'swarrior  [2-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Rodriguez Rudy R.    
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000   8   Aktabantay (GB)  [3-1]  Carmouche K  /  Cox Brad H.  TS 
099.2464   2   Tale of E Dubai  [8-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Salzman. Jr. John E.  JEWL 
098.8983   9   Shadow Rock  [5/2]  Ortiz J L  /  Maker Michael J.  C 
096.9539   10   Padilla  [6-1]  Maragh R  /  Summers Chad    
096.8015   7   Full Salute  [10-1]  Saez L  /  Englehart Chris J.    
096.6684   6   Starship Wildcat  [9/2]  Lezcano J  /  Gullo Gary P.  F 
094.6183   1   No Hiding Place  [8-1]  Santana. Jr. R  /  Asmussen Steven M.    
091.1655   5   Francis Freud  [20-1]  Lezcano A  /  Metivier Richard    
090.1338   3   Street Shark  [20-1]  Arroyo A S  /  Chatterpaul Naipaul    
*Scratch*   4   Ray'swarrior  [2-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Rodriguez Rudy R.    

07/31/17, SAR, Race 6, 3.48 ET
1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1.39.00  CLAIMING. Purse $50,000. Claiming Price $25,000 (Races where entered for $20,000 or less not considered) (Non-Starters for a claiming price less than $12,500 in the last 3 starts preferred).
INNER TURF FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (6-8) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (6-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating  Pgm#  Horse  [M/L]  Jockey  /  Trainer  FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :5:  Frosty Lady  [8-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Servis Jason  JTSE 
099.2406 :7:  Morethanawarning  [8-1]  Castellano J  /  Quick Patrick J.  W 
098.2120 :12:  Storm Petrel  [15-1]  Ortiz J L  /  Pletcher Todd A.  L 
098.1096 :6:  Carmenere  [10-1]  Geroux F  /  Scherer Merrill R.    
097.1456  10  My Good Venezuela  [7/2]  Lezcano J  /  Jacobson David    
095.3048  3  Believe Indeed  [8-1]  Maragh R  /  Levine Bruce N.    
094.6459  4  Merilore  [5-1]  Saez L  /  Sharp Joe  C 
093.2191  2  Indygita  [15-1]  Lopez P  /  Serpe Philip M.  F 
092.4964  8  Graceful Gal  [20-1]  Cancel E  /  O'Brien Leo    
092.4611  13  Perina's Pride(b-)  [30-1]  Montanez R  /  Grant Gaston    
090.2544  11  Madame Barbarian  [20-1]  Reyes L R  /  Metivier Richard    
*Scratch*  9  Tiz Twice  [20-1]  Franco M  /  Englehart Chris J.    
*Scratch*  15  Just Got Out  [3-1]  Ortiz J L  /  Rice Linda    
*Scratch*  14  Flick of an Eye  [4-1]  Carmouche K  /  Schettino Dominick L.    
*Scratch*  1  Charming Clare  [9/2]  Gaffalione T  /  Maker Michael J.    
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000   10   My Good Venezuela  [7/2]  Lezcano J  /  Jacobson David  F 
099.9160   6   Carmenere  [10-1]  Geroux F  /  Scherer Merrill R.  S 
099.5187   3   Believe Indeed  [8-1]  Maragh R  /  Levine Bruce N.  W 
099.3697   5   Frosty Lady  [8-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Servis Jason  JTE 
098.6733   7   Morethanawarning  [8-1]  Castellano J  /  Quick Patrick J.    
097.3396   12   Storm Petrel  [15-1]  Ortiz J L  /  Pletcher Todd A.  L 
096.5658   4   Merilore  [5-1]  Saez L  /  Sharp Joe  C 
094.5633   8   Graceful Gal  [20-1]  Cancel E  /  O'Brien Leo    
093.8519   2   Indygita  [15-1]  Lopez P  /  Serpe Philip M.    
092.9636   11   Madame Barbarian  [20-1]  Reyes L R  /  Metivier Richard    
090.3927   13   Perina's Pride(b-)  [30-1]  Montanez R  /  Grant Gaston    
*Scratch*   9   Tiz Twice  [20-1]  Franco M  /  Englehart Chris J.    
*Scratch*   15   Just Got Out  [3-1]  Ortiz J L  /  Rice Linda    
*Scratch*   14   Flick of an Eye  [4-1]  Carmouche K  /  Schettino Dominick L.    
*Scratch*   1   Charming Clare  [9/2]  Gaffalione T  /  Maker Michael J.    

07/31/17, SAR, Race 7, 4.24 ET
1 1/8M [Dirt] 1.46.03  ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $75,000. Claiming Price $25,000 (Non-starters For A Claiming Price of  $25,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $13,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $25,000
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (7-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating  Pgm#  Horse  [M/L]  Jockey  /  Trainer  FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :6:  Minsky Moment  [6/5]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Brown Chad C.  JTSFEWC 
095.1474 :4:  Blame the Thief  [5/2]  Lopez P  /  Hills Timothy A.  L 
093.3064 :2:  Winston's Chance  [6-1]  Arroyo A S  /  Breed Debra A.    
093.3045 :3:  Third Son  [6-1]  Santana. Jr. R  /  Avila A. C.    
092.2111  1  Royal Ekati  [4-1]  Ortiz J L  /  Tagg Barclay    
091.2961  5  Honorable Jonas  [20-1]  Camacho. Jr. S  /  Jones Eduardo E.    
 
07/31/17, SAR, Race 8, 5.02 ET
5 1/2F [Turf] 1.00.02  STAKES. Purse $100,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating  Pgm#  Horse  [M/L]  Jockey  /  Trainer  FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :5:  India Mantuana  [4-1]  Castellano J  /  Brown Chad C.  W 
098.2767 :4:  Heavenly Score  [15-1]  Saez L  /  Terranova. II John P.    
096.9919 :9:  Lady Alexandra  [6-1]  Lopez P  /  Proctor Thomas F.    
096.6059 :3:  No More Babies  [6-1]  Leparoux J R  /  Bauer Philip A.  FL 
095.2011  8  Morticia  [2-1]  Lezcano J  /  Arnold. II George R.  E 
094.5173  7  Yorkiepoo Princess  [20-1]  Arroyo A S  /  Barker Edward R.    
093.8283  6  Epping Forest  [5-1]  Ortiz J L  /  Clement Christophe    
093.6782  2  Hidden Mystery  [10-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Servis Jason  JTC 
093.4333  1  Let It Ride Mom  [8-1]  Rosario J  /  Casse Mark E.    
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000   5   India Mantuana  [4-1]  Castellano J  /  Brown Chad C.  W 
098.8120   9   Lady Alexandra  [6-1]  Lopez P  /  Proctor Thomas F.    
098.5018   6   Epping Forest  [5-1]  Ortiz J L  /  Clement Christophe    
098.2622   3   No More Babies  [6-1]  Leparoux J R  /  Bauer Philip A.  L 
097.5868   4   Heavenly Score  [15-1]  Saez L  /  Terranova. II John P.    
097.1849   1   Let It Ride Mom  [8-1]  Rosario J  /  Casse Mark E.    
097.1499   2   Hidden Mystery  [10-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Servis Jason  JTC 
096.5653   8   Morticia  [2-1]  Lezcano J  /  Arnold. II George R.  SFE 
094.1398   7   Yorkiepoo Princess  [20-1]  Arroyo A S  /  Barker Edward R.    

07/31/17, SAR, Race 9, 5.40 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.08.00  MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $39,000. Claiming Price $25,000.
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating  Pgm#  Horse  [M/L]  Jockey  /  Trainer  FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :10:  Martino  [9/2]  Castellano J  /  Martin Carlos F.  F 
098.3991 :16:  Brooklyn Major  [5-1]  Davis D  /  Baker Charlton  E 
097.4062 :1:  Dab(b+)  [7/2]  Santana. Jr. R  /  Terranova. II John P.  TS 
097.0097 :6:  Souper Colors(b+)  [8-1]  Ortiz. Jr. I  /  Trombetta Michael J.  JW 
096.5108  9  I Miss My Father  [10-1]  Lopez P  /  Gullo Gary P.    
095.9047  15  Nut Nut  [3-1]  Carmouche K  /  Brown Bruce R.    
094.9788  13  Saratoga Colonel  [8-1]  Franco M  /  Weaver George    
094.4786  4  Fullback Foye  [6-1]  Saez L  /  Zito Nicholas P.    
094.3669  2  Skeet Shot  [15-1]  Rosario J  /  Sciacca Gary  C 
093.7022  11  Run for Boston  [12-1]  Reyes L R  /  Ryerson James T.    
093.5078  12  That Mr. P  [30-1]  Arroyo A S  /  Ubillo Rodrigo A.  L 
092.8843  8  Doublins Double  [30-1]  Camacho. Jr. S  /  Friedman Mitchell E.    
092.1927  7  The Podiatrist  [12-1]  Maragh R  /  Mareina Michael    
091.4643  3  Seasall  [30-1]  Howell T  /  Quick Patrick J.    
*Scratch*  5  Little Monster Boy  [30-1]  Davis D  /  Quartarolo Anthony T.    
*Scratch*  14  Lake Surprise  [10-1]  Ortiz J L  /  Englehart Jeremiah C.    
 
 

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