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Top Horse Analytics

Top Horse Analytics: 01/15/2023 Picks and Results - SA


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.22.10.29a)

Track: SA
Start Of Statistics - 10/01/2021
Past Number of Races - 1014

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
42.70 0.96   8.80   Favorites
35.88 0.81 12.80   Morning Line Favorites
33.73 0.93 30.00   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

01/15/23, SA, Race 1, 12.30 PT
01/15/23,SA,1,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:13:01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $67,000 (plus up to $20,100 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. Weight, 122 lbs. Cal-Bred or Cal-Sired horses Get a Five (5) Pound Weight Allowance.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Hejazi 4/5 Smith M E Baffert Bob SFE 151 41.06 1.20/$1
098.3757 6 Sully 4/1 Espinoza V Shirreffs John A. WL 151 41.06 1.20/$1
096.2911 4 Worcester 4/1 Hernandez J J Baffert Bob JC 77 45.45 1.34/$1
094.9946 2 I Don't Get It 4/1 Gutierrez M O'Neill Doug F. 77 45.45 1.34/$1
092.7759 7 Tiz Tok 15/1 Maldonado E A O'Neill Doug F. 77 45.45 1.34/$1
092.7215 5 Speed of the Nile 20/1 Vazquez R A Gomez Ruben 77 45.45 1.34/$1
088.0278 3 The Last One Perk(b+) 30/1 Franco G Winick Debbie 77 45.45 1.34/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 50.00, ROI 1.43/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.6243
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] First Race After 45 Days Off


01/15/23, SA, Race 2, 12.59 PT
01/15/23,SA,2,1M [Dirt] 1:33:02 CLAIMING. Purse $24,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Weight, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since October 15 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $10,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $8,000 Or Less Not Considered In Eligibility And Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Shvere Arbeter(b-) 4/1 Aguilar A Morfin Sergio TSW 143 35.66 1.22/$1
098.4361 3 A Broken Breeze 8/5 Maldonado E A Harris Andrew F 61 40.98 1.58/$1
098.0717 1 Sacred Beauty 5/2 Franco G Saldana Reed E 143 35.66 1.22/$1
097.1638 6 Hot On the Trail 6/1 Ramirez R Farias Adan JL 143 35.66 1.22/$1
096.7257 4 Secret Square 5/1 Alsagoor A Knapp Steve R. 143 35.66 1.22/$1
092.9487 5 Chao Mar 8/1 Herrera D A Stute Gary C 184 40.76 1.12/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 50.00, ROI 1.43/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.5639
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Different Jockey


01/15/23, SA, Race 3, 1.29 PT
01/15/23,SA,3,1 1/16M [Dirt] 1:39:01 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $75,000 (plus up to $22,500 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $80,000. Weight, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Maiden, Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $80,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Holden the Lute 5/2 Frey K Glatt Mark FL 61 40.98 1.58/$1
099.6806 1 Hero Status 3/1 Smith M E Glatt Mark EC 151 41.06 1.20/$1
099.1878 5 American Admiral 4/1 Hernandez J J Yakteen Tim JSW 143 35.66 1.22/$1
098.5893 3 Bold Endeavor 3/1 Vazquez R A Miller Peter 143 35.66 1.22/$1
097.6524 6 Midnight Mammoth 6/1 Desormeaux K J McCarthy Sean T 143 35.66 1.22/$1
094.1933 4 Red Flag 5/1 Espinoza V Shirreffs John A. 151 41.06 1.20/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 50.00, ROI 1.43/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.3194
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Different Jockey  -with-
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Best Finish


01/15/23, SA, Race 4, 1.59 PT
01/15/23,SA,4,1M [Dirt] 1:33:02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $42,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. Weight, 123 lbs. Claiming Price $62,500, For Each $2,500 To $50,000 1 lb.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Looks Rare 2/1 Dettori L O'Neill Doug F. JSFEWL 151 41.06 1.20/$1
096.8001 7 Low Expectations(b+) 5/2 Gutierrez M Garcia Antonio C. 151 35.76 1.10/$1
094.1681 5 Donttestyourluck 6/1 Maldonado E A O'Neill Doug F. 65 41.54 1.18/$1
093.2247 3 Russells Hustle(b+) 5/2 Vazquez R A Papaprodromou George 151 35.76 1.10/$1
091.8048 6 Reign Over Me 12/1 Contreras L Palma Hector O. C 151 41.06 1.20/$1
090.7047 2 Glendale 8/1 Franco G Kruljac Ian 151 35.76 1.10/$1
090.3255 4 Deep River 12/1 Pereira T J Harty Eoin G. 151 35.76 1.10/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 50.00, ROI 1.43/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -3.1999
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] First Race After 45 Days Off


01/15/23, SA, Race 5, 2.29 PT
01/15/23,SA,5,6F [Dirt] 1:07:00 CLAIMING. Purse $26,000. FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Weight, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000, if for $18,000, allowed 2 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 9 Sawasdee 5/2 Gonzalez R DeAlba Cesar L 143 35.66 1.22/$1
099.7249 2 Sonic Brees 5/1 Cedillo A Ganbat Enebish F 127 40.94 1.21/$1
097.0723 3 My Harbors Dream 8/1 Contreras L Brinkerhoff Val 143 35.66 1.22/$1
096.4412 5 Joker Boy 4/1 Herrera D A Koriner Brian J. SE 143 35.66 1.22/$1
095.7865 7 Sittin On Go(b+) 5/1 Vazquez R A Pineda Milton G. JTC 143 35.66 1.22/$1
095.4607 4 Mighty Matt 5/1 Aguilar A Periban Jorge W 184 40.76 1.12/$1
095.4569 1 Paul Vincents Poem 15/1 Maldonado E A Trela Rosemary 143 35.66 1.22/$1
093.9882 8 Big Bad Gary 20/1 Frey K Gomez Ruben 143 35.66 1.22/$1
092.3828 6 Ring General 8/1 Franco G Hess. Jr. Robert B. 143 35.66 1.22/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 50.00, ROI 1.43/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.2751
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Different Jockey


01/15/23, SA, Race 6, 2.59 PT
01/15/23,SA,6,6F [Dirt] 1:07:00 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $75,000 (plus up to $22,500 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $80,000. Weight, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Maiden, Claiming Or Starter Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $80,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Hopkins 5/2 Hernandez J J Baffert Bob J 227 37.00 1.07/$1
098.2874 7 Traegar 7/2 Smith M E Glatt Mark SFE 127 40.94 1.21/$1
096.1278 4 McLaren Vale 3/1 Kimura K Sadler John W. 143 35.66 1.22/$1
096.0048 5 Took Charge 7/2 Herrera D A Powell Leonard L 143 35.66 1.22/$1
094.6353 3 Classier 8/1 Velazquez J R Baffert Bob W 143 35.66 1.22/$1
094.5601 1 I Got No Munny 6/1 Franco G Glatt Mark 143 35.66 1.22/$1
089.5838 6 Clem Labine 15/1 Frey K Barocio Librado C 143 35.66 1.22/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 50.00, ROI 1.43/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.7126
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Not Greater Than Today


01/15/23, SA, Race 7, 3.29 PT
01/15/23,SA,7,1 1/16M [Dirt] 1:39:01 STAKES. La Canada Stakes. Grade 3. Purse $200,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES, FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. By subscription of $100 each if made on or before Thursday, January 5, 2023, closed with 13 or by Supplementary nomination of $4,000 due at time of entry. $1,500 to enter and an additional $1,500 to startwith $200,000 guaranteed of which $120,000 to the winner, $40,000 to second, $24,000 to third, $12,000 to fourth, and $4,000 to fifth. 124 lbs. Non-Winners of a Graded Stakes at One Mile or Over allowed 2 lbs. Non-Winners of Sweepstakes at One Mile or Over allowed 4 lbs. A trophy will be presented to the winning owner.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Ganadora 2/1 Velazquez J R Baffert Bob L 43 53.49 1.58/$1
099.6186 6 Under the Stars 5/2 Hernandez J J Baffert Bob JEW 143 35.66 1.22/$1
097.0781 2 Angel Nadeshiko 6/1 Espinoza V Gallagher Patrick F 127 40.94 1.21/$1
096.9369 1 Kirstenbosch 5/2 Kimura K Sadler John W. S 43 53.49 1.58/$1
096.7294 5 Natural Colour (GB) 5/1 Prat F Badilla Manuel 143 35.66 1.22/$1
093.6797 4 Smoothlikebuttah 10/1 Pereira T J Knapp Steve R. C 43 53.49 1.58/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 50.00, ROI 1.43/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.3814
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Purse Greater Than $100K


01/15/23, SA, Race 8, 4.00 PT
01/15/23,SA,8,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:13:01 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $72,000 (plus up to $21,600 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $50,000. Weight, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Maiden, Claiming Or StarterAllowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 8 Spirit of Makena 5/2 Gutierrez M Papaprodromou George FEL 61 40.98 1.58/$1
098.1373 2 Krahenbuhl 10/1 Maldonado E A Mendez Luis SWC 153 35.95 1.13/$1
097.5354 4 Augusta Melody 4/1 Cedillo A Yakteen Tim 151 41.06 1.20/$1
097.1924 1 Redline 6/1 Dettori L Sadler John W. 143 35.66 1.22/$1
096.5931 3 Anarchist 6/1 Vazquez R A O'Neill Doug F. 143 35.66 1.22/$1
096.3897 7 Recall and Reload 4/1 Hernandez J J Baffert Bob JT 143 35.66 1.22/$1
095.7464 6 Got Thunder 6/1 Contreras L Sadler John W. 143 35.66 1.22/$1
092.0742 5 Thales 10/1 Velazquez J R Miller Peter 143 35.66 1.22/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 50.00, ROI 1.43/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.8627
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Different Jockey  -with-
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Best Finish


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