Jump to content
Top Horse Analytics

Top Horse Analytics: 01/14/2023 Picks and Results - AQU


Recommended Posts

TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.22.10.29a)

Track: AQU
Start Of Statistics - 11/11/2021
Past Number of Races - 973

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
35.56 0.84   9.60   Favorites
33.26 0.84 17.00   Morning Line Favorites
30.42 0.93 37.00   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

01/14/23, AQU, Race 1, 12.20 ET
01/14/23,AQU,1,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $43,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Weight, 120 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Follow the Fed 7/2 Gomez J A Rodriguez Rudy R. FE 87 20.69 1.20/$1
098.4596 2 Dashing Della 10/1 Davis D Rodriguez Gustavo JSL 63 39.68 1.30/$1
097.6564 1 Bernt Again(b+) 5/1 Huayas G Schettino Domenick L. 63 39.68 1.30/$1
094.7976 6 Caribbean Breeze 6/5 Franco M Cox Brad H. TWC 86 22.09 1.48/$1
093.5206 5 Frankie Knows Best(b+) 15/1 Davis J A D'Alessandro Ralph 87 20.69 1.20/$1
093.2679 3 Never Personal 5/2 Vargas. Jr. J A Levine Bruce N. 63 39.68 1.30/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.5404
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance is 1m


01/14/23, AQU, Race 2, 12.50 ET
01/14/23,AQU,2,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $55,000. (UP TO $9,570 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming At A Mile Or Over Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Inspeightoftrainer 4/1 Cancel E Rice Linda SFC 123 33.33 1.05/$1
099.1735 1 Outlaw Country 5/1 Huayas G Baker Charlton 33 45.45 1.33/$1
098.5340 6 It's Viper 3/1 Franco M Russell Brittany T. JT 505 27.92 0.83/$1
097.9357 2 Mullingar 3/1 Lezcano J Rice Linda W 505 27.92 0.83/$1
097.6705 5 Playingwithmatches 2/1 Carmouche K Hennig Mark A. EL 505 27.92 0.83/$1
094.5359 4 Flashy Alex 15/1 Maragh R R Persaud Randi 86 23.26 1.20/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.8265
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Best Closer


01/14/23, AQU, Race 3, 1.18 ET
01/14/23,AQU,3,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 ALLOWANCE. Purse $72,000. FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter Allowed 3 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Awesome Native 6/5 Franco M Abreu Jorge R. SFE 505 27.92 0.83/$1
098.5149 5 Dangerous Edge 9/2 Davis D Atras Rob 86 17.44 1.13/$1
098.2869 6 Itsalittlebitfunny 30/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Chin Peter A. T 505 27.92 0.83/$1
097.4386 3 Big Brown Shoes 15/1 Worrie A S Englehart Jeffrey S. J 505 27.92 0.83/$1
097.2816 2B Joey Loose Lips 5/2 Gomez J A Rodriguez Rudy R. L 33 45.45 1.33/$1
096.6784 2 Major Spin 5/2 Carmouche K Rodriguez Rudy R. 505 27.92 0.83/$1
096.3781 4 Forty Two Ace 6/1 Huayas G Baker Charlton W 86 17.44 1.13/$1
094.9953 1A Breaking Stones 8/1 Davis K Barrera. III Oscar S. 505 27.92 0.83/$1
093.7998 1 Bustin the Rules 8/1 Olver M Barrera. III Oscar S. 33 45.45 1.33/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.4851
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


01/14/23, AQU, Race 4, 1.47 ET
01/14/23,AQU,4,1 1/8M [Dirt] 1:47:00 CLAIMING. Purse $28,000. FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since July 1 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $14,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Voliero 8/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Persaud Randi SF 505 27.92 0.83/$1
099.4238 6 Jade's Dream 7/2 Davis D Jacobson David 86 23.26 1.20/$1
098.9248 5 Regality 9/2 Worrie A S Englehart Jeffrey S. JTW 505 27.92 0.83/$1
098.8825 7 Jay'stalker(b-) 5/2 Franco M Levine Bruce N. E 505 27.92 0.83/$1
098.7651 4 Dontbelate 3/1 Carmouche K Giangiulio Michelle L 86 23.26 1.20/$1
098.3659 3 Henrythethird 6/1 Gomez J A Avila Juan Carlos C 33 45.45 1.33/$1
095.2583 2 Alite 12/1 Maragh R R Pringle Edmund 505 27.92 0.83/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.5762
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


01/14/23, AQU, Race 5, 2.17 ET
01/14/23,AQU,5,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $80,000. (UP TO $13,920 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. Weight, 120 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Clubhouse 5/2 Carmouche K Pletcher Todd A. FL 68 42.65 1.17/$1
097.8829 2 Power in Numbers 8/5 Franco M Brown Chad C. T 256 27.34 0.89/$1
097.5087 5 Venge 5/2 Davis D Ribaudo Robert JSEWC 68 42.65 1.17/$1
096.8464 3 My Imagination 10/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Morey William E. 86 22.09 1.48/$1
096.7172 1 Ride Up 8/1 Lezcano J Rice Linda 256 27.34 0.89/$1
094.8875 6 Sway'sinmydna 30/1 Maragh R R Chatterpaul Naipaul 256 27.34 0.89/$1
093.7121 4 Golden Bird Forest 50/1 Hernandez Moreno O Goberdhan Chandradat 63 39.68 1.30/$1
090.8626 8 Marty's Magic 15/1 Gomez J A De Paz Horacio 63 39.68 1.30/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.1171
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Less Than Today


01/14/23, AQU, Race 6, 2.47 ET
01/14/23,AQU,6,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $70,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Weight, 120 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Weekend Rags 8/5 Franco M Abreu Jorge R. SFELC 63 39.68 1.30/$1
097.7369 8 Debbie Darling 9/2 Davis D Abreu Jorge R. J 113 32.74 1.03/$1
097.7341 9 Pinstripepizzo 6/1 Carmouche K De Paz Horacio 113 32.74 1.03/$1
097.7197 5 Downtown Mischief 6/1 Lezcano J Rice Linda T 113 32.74 1.03/$1
097.5453 4 My Angel 10/1 Gomez J A Maker Michael J. 113 32.74 1.03/$1
097.3279 7 Kilbrittain's Red 8/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Gaudet Lacey 113 32.74 1.03/$1
096.8922 2 Sperss 15/1 Cancel E Bond H. James 113 32.74 1.03/$1
096.4576 6 Sweet Liberty 8/1 Davis J A Quick Patrick J. W 86 22.09 1.48/$1
096.2383 1 Bustinroxy 20/1 Huayas G Schettino Domenick L. 256 27.34 0.89/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.2631
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] First Race After 45 Days Off


01/14/23, AQU, Race 7, 3.18 ET
01/14/23,AQU,7,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $55,000. (UP TO $9,570 NYSBFOA) FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since July 1 Allowed 3 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Blinding Light 5/2 Davis D Englehart Jeffrey S. JFEC 86 23.26 1.20/$1
098.9463 7 Jake Rocks 3/1 Lezcano J Atras Rob T 211 14.69 1.04/$1
098.1767 6 Ikigai 7/2 Carmouche K Giangiulio Michelle S 211 14.69 1.04/$1
097.7829 4 Upper Level 8/1 Gomez J A Lynch Natalia L 86 23.26 1.20/$1
096.5884 5 Clash A. J. 30/1 Gomez O Jones Eduardo E. W 211 14.69 1.04/$1
096.5215 8 Lord Gatling 8/1 Maragh R R Pringle Edmund 211 14.69 1.04/$1
096.3490 3 Liam's Fire 6/1 Davis K Chichakly Amira 86 23.26 1.20/$1
096.3147 1 Fast N Fearious 8/1 Huayas G Brown Bruce R. 182 15.93 1.19/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.0537
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Finish Turf Last 1 (M)


01/14/23, AQU, Race 8, 3.47 ET
01/14/23,AQU,8,1 1/8M [Dirt] 1:47:00 STAKES. Busanda Stakes. Purse $100,000. FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Gambling Girl 3/1 Carmouche K Pletcher Todd A. SE 505 27.92 0.83/$1
099.5286 2 Occult 7/5 Davis D Brown Chad C. TWL 505 27.92 0.83/$1
098.8476 3 Affirmative Lady 9/5 Franco M Motion H. Graham JC 123 33.33 1.05/$1
097.1306 4 Sweetest Princess 12/1 Cancel E Weaver George F 505 27.92 0.83/$1
096.9467 5 Aniston 5/1 Lezcano J Pletcher Todd A. 505 27.92 0.83/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.4714
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


01/14/23, AQU, Race 9, 4.16 ET
01/14/23,AQU,9,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 ALLOWANCE. Purse $82,000. (UP TO $14,268 NYSBFOA) FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 3 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Money Supply(b+) 7/2 Franco M Brown Chad C. JTFC 123 33.33 1.05/$1
099.4078 8 Three Jokers 12/1 Gomez J A Terranova. II John P. 33 45.45 1.33/$1
099.3228 5 Patient Capital 5/2 Lezcano J Maker Michael J. L 35 31.43 1.02/$1
098.7728 11 Watasha 5/1 Davis D Mott William I. E 33 51.52 1.74/$1
098.3385 9 Prince of Pharoahs 10/1 Cancel E Kantarmaci Mertkan 35 31.43 1.02/$1
098.1449 10 Little Demon 8/1 Carmouche K Jacobson David 33 51.52 1.74/$1
097.9276 7 Royal Tryst 15/1 Laprida J Arenas Marcelo S 86 23.26 1.20/$1
097.8495 2 Complete Agenda 8/1 Olver M Rice Linda 33 45.45 1.33/$1
097.8354 4 Risk Profile 15/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Giangiulio Michelle W 35 31.43 1.02/$1
096.6432 1 Mauritius 15/1 Maragh R R Atras Rob 35 31.43 1.02/$1
095.5073 6 Chowda 30/1 Huayas G Sciacca Gary 33 45.45 1.33/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.5922
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Best Closer


Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...