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Top Horse Analytics: 01/13/2023 Picks and Results - SA


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.22.10.29a)

Track: SA
Start Of Statistics - 10/01/2021
Past Number of Races - 1014

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
42.70 0.96   8.80   Favorites
35.88 0.81 12.80   Morning Line Favorites
33.73 0.93 30.00   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

01/13/23, SA, Race 1, 12.30 PT
01/13/23,SA,1,1M [Turf] 1:31:03 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $67,000. FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Weight, 124 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In Their Last Starts Preferred). (Rail at 20 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 8 Shocking Grey 9/5 Hernandez J J Mullins. Jr. Jeff JFEC 84 47.62 1.23/$1
098.9943 5 Elegance Code 4/1 Prat F Gaines Carla 22 45.45 2.22/$1
098.8399 4 Candy On Top 4/1 Velazquez J R Gaines Carla L 22 45.45 2.22/$1
098.2547 1 Blursday(b+) 8/1 Vazquez R A Hanson Ryan W 22 45.45 2.22/$1
096.7012 7 Smart Monique 6/1 Frey K Dunham Daniel 22 45.45 2.22/$1
095.2866 6 American Conquest 8/1 Aguilar A Miller Peter TS 22 45.45 2.22/$1
093.4384 2 Oat Milk Latte 12/1 Maldonado E A Drysdale Neil D. 22 45.45 2.22/$1
092.1528 3 Tiz My Princess 20/1 Curatolo R Winick Debbie 22 45.45 2.22/$1
091.9925 9 Tapit Rocks 15/1 Herrera D A Dunham Daniel 22 45.45 2.22/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 44.44, ROI 1.79/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.0057
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Best Closer


01/13/23, SA, Race 2, 12.59 PT
01/13/23,SA,2,6F [Dirt] 1:07:00 CLAIMING. Purse $26,000. FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Weight, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000, For Each $1,750 To $12,500 1 lb.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Brutto 8/5 Hernandez J J Baffert Bob JTSEW 143 35.66 1.22/$1
097.4817 2 Nolo Contesto 5/2 Maldonado E A O'Neill Doug F. 143 35.66 1.22/$1
095.8252 3 Derby Storm 20/1 Franco G Gomez Ruben FL 61 40.98 1.58/$1
094.7747 4 Fireman Dan 4/1 Desormeaux K J Amescua Rene C 143 35.66 1.22/$1
093.3550 1 Big Splash 5/2 Prat F Yakteen Tim 143 35.66 1.22/$1
091.2986 6 Wink and a Dream 20/1 Jimenez A Winick Debbie 143 35.66 1.22/$1
090.5109 7 Seattle Breakout 15/1 Contreras L Headley Karen 143 35.66 1.22/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 50.00, ROI 1.43/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.5183
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Different Jockey


01/13/23, SA, Race 3, 1.30 PT
01/13/23,SA,3,6F [Turf] 1:06:03 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $40,000 (plus up to $4,800 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING $50,000 AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Weight, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000 (All Horses Are Equal And Will Get A Draw). (Rail at 20 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Topolina 4/1 Maldonado E A O'Neill Doug F. SEL 149 40.94 1.05/$1
099.4426 4 Majestic Steps (IRE) 4/1 Prat F Eurton Peter JF 100 35.00 1.14/$1
098.5352 11 Too Bossy 5/1 Gonzalez R Puype Mike 100 35.00 1.14/$1
098.0120 8 Crimson Rose 4/1 Vazquez R A Knapp Steve R. W 100 35.00 1.14/$1
097.8293 9 Good Boo Joo 7/2 Franco G Mullins. Jr. Jeff 357 30.53 0.88/$1
097.5224 5 Gypsy Lynn 8/1 Herrera D A Kruljac Ian 110 33.64 1.11/$1
097.2490 6 Runninwiththeboyz 5/1 Berrios H I Mullins. Jr. Jeff C 84 47.62 1.23/$1
095.8055 7 Adam's Creed 15/1 Frey K Yakteen Tim T 100 35.00 1.14/$1
095.3145 10 La Aguililla 15/1 Cedillo A Ramos Jesus 125 34.40 1.05/$1
092.7379 1 Roses and Candy 15/1 Contreras L McAnally Ronald L. 357 30.53 0.88/$1
091.4929 3 Fried Asparagus 15/1 Pereira T J Knapp Steve R. 110 33.64 1.11/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 44.44, ROI 1.79/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.5574
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Best Speed


01/13/23, SA, Race 4, 2.03 PT
01/13/23,SA,4,6F [Dirt] 1:07:00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $34,000. FOR MAIDENS, FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Weight, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000, For Each $2,500 To $35,000 2 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Distorted Math 6/5 Hernandez J J Baffert Bob JTEW 77 45.45 1.34/$1
098.9465 2 Famous Star 5/2 Vazquez R A Sadler John W. F 151 41.06 1.20/$1
096.5817 1 El Potente(b-) 6/1 Bravo J Blacker Dan L 151 41.06 1.20/$1
095.8152 6 Katonah 6/1 Maldonado E A O'Neill Doug F. 151 41.06 1.20/$1
092.9461 4 Tenth Street Don 8/1 Frey K Cerin Vladimir C 77 45.45 1.34/$1
092.5612 5 Hydro Frost 5/1 Herrera D A Papaprodromou George S 151 41.06 1.20/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 50.00, ROI 1.43/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.0535
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f  -with-
[Dirt MdnMClm] Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f
*Scratches may change this condition

01/13/23, SA, Race 5, 2.34 PT
01/13/23,SA,5,6F [Turf] 1:06:03 CLAIMING. Purse $47,000 (plus up to $5,640 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Weight, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since October 13 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $32,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). (Rail at 20 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 My Summer Dream 7/2 Hernandez J J Mullins. Jr. Jeff JF 98 35.71 1.09/$1
098.9611 1 Give Me the Lute 6/1 Velazquez J R Miller Peter L 176 26.14 1.03/$1
097.6640 10 Rebel Posse 4/1 Gonzalez R D'Amato Philip T 176 26.14 1.03/$1
097.5202 8 Hembree 4/1 Prat F Miller Peter SE 149 40.94 1.05/$1
097.2767 9 Mongolian Memory 20/1 Frey K Metz Jeffrey 176 26.14 1.03/$1
097.2633 3 Manitowish 15/1 Dettori L Valenzuela. Jr. Martin C 84 47.62 1.23/$1
096.3470 7 Commander Khai 15/1 Aguilar A Glatt Mark 125 34.40 1.05/$1
095.6995 4 Commander (FR) 6/1 Contreras L Palma Hector O. W 176 26.14 1.03/$1
095.2337 5 Mesut 12/1 Bravo J Gaines Carla 176 26.14 1.03/$1
094.5486 2 Kanderel 4/1 Vazquez R A Mandella Richard E. 176 26.14 1.03/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 44.44, ROI 1.79/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.0389
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] *2nd Horse 98 Rating And Top Horse 100 Rating
*Scratches may change this condition

01/13/23, SA, Race 6, 3.05 PT
01/13/23,SA,6,6F [Dirt] 1:07:00 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $72,000. FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $20,000. Weight, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming, Or Starter Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000 (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $16,000 Or Less In Their Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Feeling Grazeful 3/1 Hernandez J J Saavedra Anthony K. JFEWL 151 41.06 1.20/$1
098.1014 5 Queen Molotov 4/1 Velazquez J R Thomas Jamey R. TS 151 41.06 1.20/$1
096.9250 4 Rose Harbor 4/1 Prat F Hanson Ryan 143 35.66 1.22/$1
094.6356 2 Vegan 3/1 Frey K Glatt Mark 151 41.06 1.20/$1
094.3893 1 Big Shamrock 5/2 Maldonado E A O'Neill Doug F. 227 37.00 1.07/$1
094.2061 3 Shanghai Sunrise 10/1 Valdivia. Jr. J Puype Mike 153 35.95 1.13/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 50.00, ROI 1.43/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.8986
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] First Race After 45 Days Off


01/13/23, SA, Race 7, 3.36 PT
01/13/23,SA,7,6 1/2F [Turf About] 1:10:04 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $75,000 (plus up to $22,500 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). DOWNHILL TURF FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $80,000. Weight, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of Two RacesOther Than Maiden, Claiming Or Starter Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $80,000. (Rail at 20 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Phenom 8/5 Hernandez J J D'Amato Philip JSFL 100 35.00 1.14/$1
095.5148 3 Secrets Told 8/1 Frey K D'Amato Philip E 100 35.00 1.14/$1
095.2773 5 Gold for Kitten 7/2 Velazquez J R Sadler John W. C 84 47.62 1.23/$1
094.8049 1 Aqua Seaform Shame 6/1 Bravo J Papaprodromou George 341 35.48 1.02/$1
092.9187 4 Angelcents 12/1 Franco G Barocio Librado W 110 33.64 1.11/$1
092.8513 8 Xmas Surprise 6/1 Prat F Powell Leonard 110 33.64 1.11/$1
091.8382 2 Stella Noir 5/1 Desormeaux K J Desormeaux J. Keith 341 35.48 1.02/$1
091.3906 7 Founder's Day 8/1 Maldonado E A Hess. Jr. Robert B. 100 35.00 1.14/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 44.44, ROI 1.79/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -4.4852
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Purse Lower Than Today


01/13/23, SA, Race 8, 4.07 PT
01/13/23,SA,8,6F [Dirt] 1:07:00 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $72,000. FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $20,000. Weight, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming, Or Starter Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000 (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $16,000 Or Less In Their Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Starship Defiant 2/1 Dettori L Hess. Jr. Robert B. JFL 61 40.98 1.58/$1
096.7491 5 Vella 5/2 Vazquez R A Wong Jonathan C 153 35.95 1.13/$1
096.6563 1 Irish Wahine 5/2 Aguilar A Knapp Steve R. 153 35.95 1.13/$1
096.4111 2 Glorious Spring 5/2 Gutierrez M Blacker Dan SE 153 35.95 1.13/$1
095.7520 6 Gianna's Wild Cat 12/1 Frey K Dollase Craig TW 153 35.95 1.13/$1
092.5829 4 Roman Empress 20/1 Herrera D A Saavedra Anthony K. 143 35.66 1.22/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 50.00, ROI 1.43/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -3.2509
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Different Jockey  -with-
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Best Finish


01/13/23, SA, Race 9, 4.37 PT
01/13/23,SA,9,1M [Turf] 1:31:03 CLAIMING. Purse $37,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Weight, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $32,000, For Each $2,000 To $28,000 2 lbs. (Rail at 20 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Sweet Heidelberg 10/1 Dettori L Papaprodromou George F 54 48.15 1.58/$1
099.6901 9 Dolly May (IRE) 3/1 Prat F Sadler John W. J 191 37.17 1.07/$1
098.9652 3 Bali Dancer 20/1 Vazquez R A Barocio Librado S 191 37.17 1.07/$1
098.0487 10 Ice Queen 5/1 Gutierrez M Saldana Reed WL 54 48.15 1.58/$1
097.3240 8 Beachgrass 8/1 Maldonado E A O'Neill Doug F. 54 48.15 1.58/$1
096.5863 11 Consternation (IRE) 4/1 Rispoli U Gallagher Patrick C 54 48.15 1.58/$1
096.2573 2 A Crown for Kitten 12/1 Van Dyke D Yakteen Tim TE 191 37.17 1.07/$1
094.2884 7 Cheerful Charm 5/1 Curatolo R Winick Debbie 191 37.17 1.07/$1
093.9838 6 Noble Hearted(b-) 12/1 Cedillo A Hess. Jr. Robert B. 54 48.15 1.58/$1
093.4663 4 Witch Moon 12/1 Frey K Spawr William 191 37.17 1.07/$1
092.9674 5 Lizy D 15/1 Valdivia. Jr. J Capestro Paula S. 191 37.17 1.07/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 44.44, ROI 1.79/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.3099
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Purse Lower Than Today  -with-
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Distance Route


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