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Top Horse Analytics: 01/08/2023 Picks and Results - SA


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.22.10.29a)

Track: SA
Start Of Statistics - 10/01/2021
Past Number of Races - 1014

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
42.70 0.96   8.80   Favorites
35.88 0.81 12.80   Morning Line Favorites
33.73 0.93 30.00   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

01/08/23, SA, Race 1, 12.00 PT
01/08/23,SA,1,1M [Turf] 1:31:03 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $67,000. FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. Weight, 122 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In Their Last Starts Preferred). (Rail at 30 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Thirsty Pappy 5/2 Vazquez R A Miller Peter E 80 36.25 1.16/$1
099.0572 3 Hondo Crouch(b-) 6/1 Herrera D A Glatt Mark W 22 45.45 2.22/$1
098.4145 10 Ship and Scam 6/1 Gutierrez M O'Neill Doug F. 22 45.45 2.22/$1
097.9903 9 My Ransom 15/1 Contreras L Sierra Javier Jose 22 45.45 2.22/$1
097.9354 8 Workday(b+) 5/1 Prat F Sadler John W. J 22 45.45 2.22/$1
097.8095 6 Herecomegeorgieboy 7/2 Gonzalez R Mullins Jeff S 80 36.25 1.16/$1
097.1355 5 Star Prospect 8/1 Bravo J Gaines Carla L 22 45.45 2.22/$1
096.6400 2 Buck Owens(b+) 4/1 Frey K Miyadi Steven T 22 45.45 2.22/$1
096.3675 7 Mickey Goldmill 12/1 Aguilar A Wong Jonathan FC 22 45.45 2.22/$1
092.0087 4 Do It for Dave 20/1 Cedillo A Howey Quinn 22 45.45 2.22/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 44.44, ROI 1.79/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.9428
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Race Age 3


01/08/23, SA, Race 2, 12.30 PT
01/08/23,SA,2,1M [Dirt] 1:33:02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $24,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Weight, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Parco 5/2 Alsagoor A Papaprodromou George FWL 83 53.01 1.28/$1
098.4952 5 Margot's Girl 2/1 Maldonado E A Lewis Craig Anthony 151 41.06 1.20/$1
097.9572 4 Worthiness 3/1 Pereira T J Palma Hector O. E 203 38.92 1.06/$1
097.8866 6 What a Way to Go 8/1 Aguilar A Trela Rosemary JC 203 38.92 1.06/$1
096.8937 1 Moonlite in Heaven 5/1 Herrera D A Yakteen Tim T 203 38.92 1.06/$1
093.6101 2 Supercents 6/1 Franco G Papaprodromou George S 46 41.30 1.40/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 50.00, ROI 1.43/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.5048
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Best Workouts


01/08/23, SA, Race 3, 1.00 PT
01/08/23,SA,3,1M [Turf] 1:31:03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $72,000. FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $20,000. Weight, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming, Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000 (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $16,000 Or Less In Their Last 3 Starts Preferred). (Rail at 30 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Forgiving Spirit 2/1 Prat F Miller Peter S 191 37.17 1.07/$1
097.3650 5 Talklessworkmore 6/1 Hernandez J J Ruis Shelbe JFEC 54 48.15 1.58/$1
096.6164 4 So I'm Told 8/1 Gutierrez M Ruiz Lorenzo 54 48.15 1.58/$1
096.4450 6 Lil Nas 5/1 Dettori L Sadler John W. L 54 48.15 1.58/$1
095.2531 1 Beaudacious 4/1 Rispoli U Hanson Ryan W 191 37.17 1.07/$1
095.1831 2 Mischievous Path 5/2 Bravo J Gaines Carla 191 37.17 1.07/$1
092.6495 7 Shortman 15/1 Vazquez R A Naranjo Salvador T 54 48.15 1.58/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 44.44, ROI 1.79/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.6350
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Distance Route


01/08/23, SA, Race 4, 1.30 PT
01/08/23,SA,4,1M [Dirt] 1:33:02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $34,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. Weight, 122 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000, For Each $2,500 To $35,000 2 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Post Facto 5/2 Hernandez J J Sadler John W. JL 151 41.06 1.20/$1
098.0108 5 Chicknfingerfriday 4/1 Maldonado E A O'Neill Doug F. SFE 65 41.54 1.18/$1
097.4694 3 Clooney 8/5 Prat F Yakteen Tim WC 83 53.01 1.28/$1
096.0440 1 Reef City 8/1 Rispoli U Bonde Jeff T 46 41.30 1.40/$1
093.3359 2 Take Charge Curly 6/1 Frey K Oviedo Philip A. 65 41.54 1.18/$1
092.5746 6 Deep River 10/1 Herrera D A Harty Eoin G. 151 41.06 1.20/$1
092.1347 7 Moon Time(b-) 12/1 Aguilar A Saavedra Anthony K. 151 41.06 1.20/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 50.00, ROI 1.43/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.9892
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] First Race After 45 Days Off


01/08/23, SA, Race 5, 2.00 PT
01/08/23,SA,5,1 1/8M [Turf] 1:44:00 CLAIMING. Purse $37,000. FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Weight, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $32,000, For Each $2,000 To $28,000 2 lbs. (Rail at 30 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Flint Stroll 5/2 Prat F D'Amato Philip EC 84 47.62 1.23/$1
099.2765 1 Arrest 4/1 Desormeaux K J Puype Mike FL 54 48.15 1.58/$1
098.7954 10 Derecho Dandy 3/1 Hernandez J J Sadler John W. JSW 191 37.17 1.07/$1
095.2762 9 Never Seen Before (IRE) 6/1 Pereira T J Harty Eoin G. 54 48.15 1.58/$1
095.2753 5 George Herman Ruth 5/1 Vazquez R A Miyadi Steven 191 37.17 1.07/$1
094.5413 8 Oculus 6/1 Gonzalez R Mullins Jeff 54 48.15 1.58/$1
094.0718 2 Oncoming 12/1 Rispoli U Saldana Reed 191 37.17 1.07/$1
093.4003 6 Hoodlum 20/1 Contreras L Ortiz. Sr. Manuel 54 48.15 1.58/$1
092.4559 3 Berolijean (FR) 6/1 Frey K France Reid T 54 48.15 1.58/$1
092.3989 4 Algeria (IRE) 8/1 Van Dyke D Knapp Steve R. 54 48.15 1.58/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 44.44, ROI 1.79/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.7235
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Best Closer


01/08/23, SA, Race 6, 2.30 PT
01/08/23,SA,6,7F [Dirt] 1:19:04 STAKES. Santa Ynez Stakes. Grade 3. Purse $200,000. FOR FILLIES THREE-YEAR-OLDS. By subscription of $100 each if made on or before Thursday, December 22, 2022, closed with 10 or by Supplementary nomination of $4,000 due at time of entry, closed with 1 (Fast and Shiny). $1,500 to enter and an additional $1,500 to start with $200,000 guaranteed of which $120,000 PLUS Twenty KENTUCKY OAKS POINTS to the winner. $40,000 (Eight Ky. Oaks Points) to second, $24,000 (Six Ky. Oaks Points) to third, $12,000 (Four Ky. Oaks Points) to fourth, and $4,000 (Two Ky. OaksPoints) to fifth. 124 lbs. Non-Winners of a Graded Stakes allowed 2 lbs. Non-Winners of A Race other than Maiden, Claiming or Starter allowed 4 lbs. A trophy will be presented to the winning owner.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Parody 5/1 Hernandez J J Baffert Bob JSFWL 151 41.06 1.20/$1
095.5089 6 Ice Dancing 5/2 Prat F Mandella Richard E. 43 53.49 1.58/$1
095.0012 2 Fast and Shiny 10/1 Vazquez R A Baffert Bob 143 35.66 1.22/$1
094.2994 3 Justique 4/5 Espinoza V Shirreffs John A. EC 151 41.06 1.20/$1
093.4272 5 Huntingcoco 6/1 Velazquez J R Baffert Bob 143 35.66 1.22/$1
093.3895 1 Satin Doll 15/1 Maldonado E A O'Neill Doug F. 143 35.66 1.22/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 50.00, ROI 1.43/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -4.4911
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] First Race After 45 Days Off


01/08/23, SA, Race 7, 3.00 PT
01/08/23,SA,7,6 1/2F [Turf About] 1:10:04 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $72,000 (plus up to $21,600 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). DOWNHILL TURF FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $100,000. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming, Or Starter Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $100,000 (All Horses Are Equal And Will Get A Draw). (Rail at 30 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 The Wild Grazer (IRE) 5/2 Hernandez J J Mullins Jeff JSFC 84 47.62 1.23/$1
096.8759 1 Princess Bettina 5/1 Bravo J Eurton Peter W 93 35.48 1.15/$1
096.2608 3 Excelia (IRE) 3/1 Vazquez R A D'Amato Philip T 93 35.48 1.15/$1
095.8575 11 Havana Angel (IRE) 4/1 Dettori L Powell Leonard 93 35.48 1.15/$1
095.1498 9 Fun Money 6/1 Gutierrez M O'Neill Doug F. E 93 35.48 1.15/$1
093.9282 7 (F)Arinniti (FR) 5/1 Berrios H I Mandella Richard E. 93 35.48 1.15/$1
093.6569 4 Jordan(b+) 6/1 Prat F Miller Peter 93 35.48 1.15/$1
093.3991 6 Happy Gal 8/1 Velazquez J R O'Neill Doug F. 93 35.48 1.15/$1
092.9168 8 Miss Bellimbusto 20/1 Frey K Jauregui O. J. 93 35.48 1.15/$1
092.0857 10 Thread Count 10/1 Rispoli U Gallagher Patrick L 93 35.48 1.15/$1
091.3145 2 Always At Ease 6/1 Desormeaux K J Desormeaux J. Keith 93 35.48 1.15/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 44.44, ROI 1.79/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -3.1241
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Best Closer


01/08/23, SA, Race 8, 3.30 PT
01/08/23,SA,8,1M [Dirt] 1:33:02 STAKES. Sham Stakes. Grade 3. Purse $100,000. FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS. By subscription of $100 each if made on or before Thursday, December 29, 2022, closed with 17 or by Supplementary nomination of $2,000 due at time of entry. $750 to enter and an additional $750 to start with $100,000 guaranteed. The winner to receive $60,000 PLUS TEN KENTUCKY DERBY POINTS, $20,000 (Four Ky. Derby Points) to second, $12,000 (Three Ky. Derby Points ) to third, $6,000 (Two Ky. Derby Points) to fourth and $2,000 (One Ky. Derby Point) to fifth. 124 lbs. Non-Winners of a Sweepstakes at One Mile or Over allowed 2 lbs. Non-Winners of A race other than Maiden, Claiming or Starter at One Mile or Over allowed 4 lbs. A trophy will be presented to the winning owner.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Speed Boat Beach 5/2 Prat F Baffert Bob WL 220 38.64 1.11/$1
099.6849 2 National Treasure(b-) 2/1 Velazquez J R Baffert Bob SE 151 41.06 1.20/$1
098.9517 1 Newgate 6/1 Dettori L Baffert Bob 143 35.66 1.22/$1
098.7463 4 Reincarnate 8/1 Hernandez J J Baffert Bob J 143 35.66 1.22/$1
098.7227 6 Spun Intended 5/2 Smith M E Glatt Mark FC 127 40.94 1.21/$1
097.8619 5 Packs a Wahlop(b+) 6/1 Vazquez R A Mullins Jeff 143 35.66 1.22/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 50.00, ROI 1.43/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.3151
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Age Not 4Up


01/08/23, SA, Race 9, 4.00 PT
01/08/23,SA,9,1 1/8M [Turf] 1:44:00 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $75,000 (plus up to $22,500 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $80,000. Weight, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Maiden, Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $80,000 (All Horses Are Equal And Will Get A Draw). (Rail at 30 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Mecklenburg (IRE) 4/1 Gonzalez R Mullins Jeff L 191 37.17 1.07/$1
098.5769 8 Lincoln Hawk (IRE) 5/2 Prat F D'Amato Philip C 84 47.62 1.23/$1
097.8223 3 Opry 12/1 Bravo J Papaprodromou George F 54 48.15 1.58/$1
096.9300 5 Script 3/1 Velazquez J R Motion H. Graham E 191 37.17 1.07/$1
096.4761 9 Rip City 12/1 Dettori L O'Neill Doug F. 191 37.17 1.07/$1
096.1931 4 Avenue 4/1 Hernandez J J McCarthy Michael W. J 191 37.17 1.07/$1
095.2682 1 Hudson Ridge(b+) 12/1 Vazquez R A Baffert Bob TW 191 37.17 1.07/$1
094.0029 6 Count of Amazonia (IRE) 12/1 Rispoli U Hess. Jr. Robert B. 191 37.17 1.07/$1
091.8511 2 Dean Martini 12/1 Maldonado E A Eurton Peter S 191 37.17 1.07/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 44.44, ROI 1.79/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.4231
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Distance Route


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