Jump to content
Top Horse Analytics

Top Horse Analytics: 01/07/2023 Picks and Results - AQU


Recommended Posts

TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.22.10.29a)

Track: AQU
Start Of Statistics - 11/11/2021
Past Number of Races - 973

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
35.56 0.84   9.60   Favorites
33.26 0.84 17.00   Morning Line Favorites
30.42 0.93 37.00   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

01/07/23, AQU, Race 1, 11.50 ET
01/07/23,AQU,1,1 1/8M [Dirt] 1:47:00 CLAIMING. Purse $35,000. FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since July 1 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $12,500 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $10,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At TimeOf Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Winter Pool 4/5 Cancel E Rice Linda TSE 505 27.92 0.83/$1
098.8896 6 Icy Storm 7/2 Laprida J Linder. Jr. Louis C. F 505 27.92 0.83/$1
097.9517 3 Goldini 5/1 Carmouche K Jacobson David 505 27.92 0.83/$1
096.8461 1 Forever Wicked 6/1 Maragh R R Persaud Randi WC 123 33.33 1.05/$1
096.7178 5 Kumar 15/1 Castillo A Barrera. III Oscar S. L 505 27.92 0.83/$1
095.7896 7 Supply Chain(b+) 12/1 Worrie A S Chichakly Amira J 86 23.26 1.20/$1
094.8638 2 Scotty 20/1 Davis J A DiPrima Gregory 86 23.26 1.20/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.1104
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


01/07/23, AQU, Race 2, 12.20 ET
01/07/23,AQU,2,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $70,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Weight, 120 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Disarmed 6/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Rodriguez Rudy R. F 68 42.65 1.17/$1
098.6818 4 Bustino Santino 3/1 Carmouche K Levine Bruce N. SE 86 22.09 1.48/$1
098.6453 6 Scaramanga 6/1 Franco M Breen Kelly J. WL 86 22.09 1.48/$1
096.9290 7 American Grant 12/1 Davis D Brown Bruce R. C 86 22.09 1.48/$1
096.7696 5 Please Be Nice 5/2 Lezcano J Mott William I. 113 32.74 1.03/$1
096.0741 8 Russi 15/1 Cancel E Bond H. James 113 32.74 1.03/$1
095.7213 10 Tater and Tot(b+) 10/1 Worrie A S Englehart Jeffrey S. JT 86 22.09 1.48/$1
094.5198 3 Radio Red 12/1 Huayas G Gargan Danny 63 39.68 1.30/$1
093.9532 2 Brad's Bet 30/1 Panaijo J Cash Russell J. 68 42.65 1.17/$1
091.3193 9 Bingood to Knowya(b+) 8/1 Gomez J A Baker Charlton 86 22.09 1.48/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.3182
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Less Than Today


01/07/23, AQU, Race 3, 12.52 ET
01/07/23,AQU,3,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 CLAIMING. Purse $37,000. FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since July 1 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Holey Matrimony 4/1 Gomez J A Barrera. III Oscar S. SFW 33 45.45 1.33/$1
098.5542 5 Skylander 7/2 Davis D Englehart Jeffrey S. JT 505 27.92 0.83/$1
098.1792 6 Blu Grotto 5/2 Maragh R R Kimmel John C. C 123 33.33 1.05/$1
096.9415 8 Jonny Quist 20/1 Wolfsont A Bedard Alan 505 27.92 0.83/$1
096.8685 1 Charger(b+) 6/1 Olver M Rodriguez Rudy R. 33 45.45 1.33/$1
096.8237 3 Will E Sutton 8/1 Franco M Kantarmaci Mertkan E 505 27.92 0.83/$1
096.3928 7 Fenway 8/1 Hernandez Moreno O Jones Eduardo E. L 33 45.45 1.33/$1
095.8601 2 Seanan 6/1 Davis J A Sells Rachel 505 27.92 0.83/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.4458
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Carries Apprentice Weight


01/07/23, AQU, Race 4, 1.18 ET
01/07/23,AQU,4,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $74,000. FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $45,000. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Claiming Or Starter Since July 1 Allowed 3 lbs. Such A Race Since Then Allowed 5 lbs. Claiming Price $45,000 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Today's Flavor 6/5 Franco M Weaver George FE 182 15.93 1.19/$1
098.8771 8 Victory Built 6/1 Davis D Englehart Jeffrey S. JT 211 14.69 1.04/$1
098.5566 2 Bold Journey 8/1 Cancel E Mott William I. 211 14.69 1.04/$1
098.0831 7 Foolish Ghost(b+) 8/1 Gomez J A Rodriguez Rudy R. SWL 33 45.45 1.33/$1
097.8245 4 Scilly Cay 7/2 Lezcano J Rice Linda C 211 14.69 1.04/$1
097.3473 3 Winners Laugh 12/1 Carmouche K De Paz Horacio 86 23.26 1.20/$1
096.9744 5 Brew Pub 15/1 Laprida J Arenas Marcelo 211 14.69 1.04/$1
091.0304 6 Phantom Smoke 10/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Miceli Michael 211 14.69 1.04/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.1229
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f
*Scratches may change this condition

01/07/23, AQU, Race 5, 1.47 ET
01/07/23,AQU,5,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $55,000. (UP TO $9,570 NYSBFOA) FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since July 1 Allowed 3lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Fromanothamutha 9/2 Davis D Handal Raymond JTSEL 505 27.92 0.83/$1
098.0438 1 Complete Agenda 5/2 Lezcano J Rice Linda 505 27.92 0.83/$1
097.9607 6 Colloquy(b+) 6/1 Franco M De Paz Horacio 86 23.26 1.20/$1
097.8851 2 Swift Tap 3/1 Gomez J A Nevin Michelle FW 33 45.45 1.33/$1
097.4425 3 Afjan 12/1 Olver M Morley Thomas 33 45.45 1.33/$1
097.3632 8 Russian to Win 10/1 Cancel E Friedman Mitchell E. 505 27.92 0.83/$1
096.3900 9 Doctor Love 8/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Morley Thomas 505 27.92 0.83/$1
095.9500 7 Union Lights 12/1 Carmouche K Nevin Michelle 505 27.92 0.83/$1
095.9305 5 Achilles Heel 15/1 Huayas G Rodriguez Rudy R. C 33 45.45 1.33/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.9562
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


01/07/23, AQU, Race 6, 2.16 ET
01/07/23,AQU,6,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $80,000. (UP TO $13,920 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. Weight, 120 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 9 Senior Prank 3/1 Franco M Brown Chad C. T 113 32.74 1.03/$1
099.6038 7 Risk Free 10/1 Huayas G DeLauro Edward J. SWC 68 42.65 1.17/$1
099.3369 4 Tryinmyheartout 5/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Camejo Jose M. 113 32.74 1.03/$1
098.6987 3 Machiavellique 8/1 Carmouche K Albertrani Thomas 113 32.74 1.03/$1
098.5062 8 Balentina 12/1 Gomez J A Rodriguez Rudy R. 113 32.74 1.03/$1
098.2283 2 Fabulously Funny 4/1 Lezcano J Dutrow Anthony W. 113 32.74 1.03/$1
097.7838 6 Bounty Killah 50/1 Bailey L O Richards Marvin 68 42.65 1.17/$1
095.7566 5 Spelterini 2/1 Davis D Mott William I. JFEL 86 22.09 1.48/$1
095.4299 1 Graceful 30/1 Harkie H K Friedman Mitchell E. 63 39.68 1.30/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.3962
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f
*Scratches may change this condition

01/07/23, AQU, Race 7, 2.45 ET
01/07/23,AQU,7,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 CLAIMING. Purse $50,000. FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since July 1 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $20,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At TimeOf Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Musical Heart 7/2 Carmouche K Atras Rob TSEL 35 31.43 1.02/$1
097.8191 9 War Stopper 5/2 Huayas G Jacobson David 33 51.52 1.74/$1
097.6459 12 Dust Devil 5/1 Olver M Englehart Jeremiah C. F 33 51.52 1.74/$1
097.4201 2 Night Ops 30/1 Davis K Brown Bruce R. 35 31.43 1.02/$1
096.8379 10 Hammerin Aamer 12/1 Maragh R R Rodriguez Gustavo C 33 51.52 1.74/$1
096.4814 5 Dark Storm 12/1 Cancel E Kantarmaci Mertkan W 35 31.43 1.02/$1
096.2176 1A Perceived 8/1 Gomez J A Rodriguez Rudy R. 33 45.45 1.33/$1
096.1824 1 Runabout 8/1 Davis D Rodriguez Rudy R. 35 31.43 1.02/$1
096.1423 11 Pit Boss 15/1 Acosta J D Cash Norman L. 33 51.52 1.74/$1
095.5817 8 Grumps Little Tots 10/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Baker Charlton 35 31.43 1.02/$1
094.8763 6 Microscope 20/1 Worrie A S Quick Patrick J. J 35 31.43 1.02/$1
094.6872 3 Uno 20/1 Hernandez Moreno O DeLauro Edward J. 33 45.45 1.33/$1
093.9942 4 It's Mandatory 15/1 Davis J A Jones Eduardo E. 35 31.43 1.02/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.1809
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Race Entries Greater Than 9
*Scratches may change this condition

01/07/23, AQU, Race 8, 3.16 ET
01/07/23,AQU,8,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 STAKES. Jerome Stakes. Purse $150,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Neural Network 7/2 Franco M Brown Chad C. TFC 123 33.33 1.05/$1
099.9977 6 Arctic Arrogance 8/5 Lezcano J Rice Linda EL 505 27.92 0.83/$1
099.8210 5 Andiamo a Firenze 6/1 Carmouche K Breen Kelly J. S 505 27.92 0.83/$1
099.3504 3 Valenzan Day 10/1 Gomez J A Rice Linda 505 27.92 0.83/$1
099.2485 2 Circling the Drain 12/1 Toledo J Russell Brittany T. JW 505 27.92 0.83/$1
099.1935 4 Lugan Knight 4/1 Davis D McCarthy Michael W. 505 27.92 0.83/$1
098.5109 7 General Banker 8/1 Cancel E Ferraro James W. 505 27.92 0.83/$1
096.1789 8 Narciso Dali 20/1 Davis K Chichakly Amira 505 27.92 0.83/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0023
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Best Closer


01/07/23, AQU, Race 9, 3.45 ET
01/07/23,AQU,9,1 1/8M [Dirt] 1:47:00 STAKES. Queens County Stakes. Purse $150,000. FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Non-Lasix Race pursuant to 4043.2 (7)(e)(5) Lasix not permitted within 48 hours of post time. By subscription of $150 each which should accompany the nomination; $750 to pass the entry box and an additional $750 to start. For horses not originally nominated, a supplemental nomination payment of $750 (along with the entry and starting fees) may be made at any time prior to the closing of entries. The purse to be divided 55% to the owner of the winner, 20% to second, 12% to third, 6% to fourth, 4% to fifth and 3% divided equally amongst the remaining finishers. Four Year Olds 123 lbs. Five Year Olds and Older 126 lbs. Non-winners of a Graded sweepstakes at a mile or over in 2022-23 allowed 2 lbs.; of a sweepstake at a mile or over in 2022-23 or two races at a mile or over other than maiden, claiming, starter or state-bred allowance since June 1, 2022 allowed 4 lbs. A trophy will be presented to the winning owner. *ORIGINAL NOMINATIONS, CONDITIONS AND WEIGHT ALLOWANCES WILL APPLY. Closed Saturday, December 17, 2022 with 21 Original Nominations and 1 Supplement.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Law Professor 2/1 Franco M Atras Rob E 35 31.43 1.02/$1
099.5476 2 Unbridled Bomber 7/2 Davis D Ryerson James T. JS 35 31.43 1.02/$1
098.7677 10 Thomas Shelby 10/1 Lezcano J Jacobson David L 33 51.52 1.74/$1
098.2844 3 Sea Foam 12/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Giangiulio Michelle F 35 31.43 1.02/$1
097.9085 8 Eloquist 10/1 Cancel E Reid. Jr. Robert E. T 86 23.26 1.20/$1
097.8106 6 Plot the Dots 12/1 Wolfsont A Cash Norman L. 35 31.43 1.02/$1
097.4911 9 Bourbonic 8/1 Carmouche K Pletcher Todd A. C 123 33.33 1.05/$1
097.1687 5 Naval Aviator 12/1 Laprida J Jones. Jr. Michael E. 86 23.26 1.20/$1
097.0427 11 Double Crown 10/1 Acosta J D Cash Norman L. W 33 51.52 1.74/$1
096.6625 1 Forewarned 20/1 Gomez J A St. Lewis Uriah 35 31.43 1.02/$1
096.0481 4 Shooger Ray Too 15/1 Adorno A Servis J. Tyler 35 31.43 1.02/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.4524
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Race Entries Greater Than 9
*Scratches may change this condition

01/07/23, AQU, Race 10, 4.14 ET
01/07/23,AQU,10,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 ALLOWANCE. Purse $82,000. (UP TO $14,268 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter Allowed 3 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Funny How 3/1 Davis K Handal Raymond F 35 31.43 1.02/$1
099.7842 4 Yo Cuz 4/1 Lezcano J Mott William I. SE 35 31.43 1.02/$1
098.6499 10 Hot Fudge 8/1 Carmouche K Rice Linda C 33 51.52 1.74/$1
098.5161 12 Western Lane 10/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Lynch Natalia 33 51.52 1.74/$1
097.8447 9 Dame Cinco 6/1 Franco M Atras Rob T 86 17.44 1.13/$1
097.7554 5 My Glory(b-) 50/1 Davis J A Davis Edmund D. 35 31.43 1.02/$1
097.6152 11 I'm Buzzy 12/1 Davis D Friedman Mitchell E. J 33 51.52 1.74/$1
097.4587 3 Captainsdaughter 8/1 Cancel E Cash Russell J. 35 31.43 1.02/$1
097.1010 7 Firing Carol 20/1 Samuel J L Legall Ricardo E. 35 31.43 1.02/$1
096.9629 6 Chasing Cara 12/1 Gomez J A Friedman Mitchell E. L 33 45.45 1.33/$1
096.0533 2 Desert Dalliance 15/1 Huayas G Breen Kelly J. W 33 45.45 1.33/$1
090.0048 8 Caironi 10/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Miceli Michael 86 17.44 1.13/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.2158
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Race Entries Greater Than 9
*Scratches may change this condition

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...