Jump to content
Top Horse Analytics

Top Horse Analytics: 01/05/2023 Picks and Results - AQU


Recommended Posts

TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.22.10.29a)

Track: AQU
Start Of Statistics - 11/11/2021
Past Number of Races - 973

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
35.56 0.84   9.60   Favorites
33.26 0.84 17.00   Morning Line Favorites
30.42 0.93 37.00   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

01/05/23, AQU, Race 1, 12.50 ET
01/05/23,AQU,1,1 1/8M [Dirt] 1:47:00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $35,000. FOR MAIDENS, FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Weight, 122 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Bointheback 4/1 Rodriguez Castro L A DiPrima Gregory S 63 39.68 1.30/$1
098.1579 1 Reunion Tour 6/1 Olver M Ferraro James W. 19 26.32 1.18/$1
096.6754 2 Midnight Express 5/2 Lezcano J Rodriguez Rudy R. 63 39.68 1.30/$1
095.8311 7 Your Mission 8/5 Carmouche K Pletcher Todd A. JTFEC 63 39.68 1.30/$1
095.5445 6 Uncle Bruce 12/1 Hernandez Moreno O Brown Bruce R. 5 40.00 2.44/$1
094.6602 3 Tiza Brown 12/1 Castillo A Persaud Randi 68 42.65 1.17/$1
091.2383 4 Phoebe's Frosty 8/1 Huayas G Baker Charlton WL 50 42.00 1.21/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.8421
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] First Race After 45 Days Off


01/05/23, AQU, Race 2, 1.18 ET
01/05/23,AQU,2,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 CLAIMING. Purse $39,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since July 1 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $12,500 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Melting Snow 7/5 Carmouche K Atras Rob TSFEC 86 17.44 1.13/$1
098.6542 3 Viradia 5/1 Worrie A S Englehart Jeffrey S. J 505 27.92 0.83/$1
098.2036 5 Vegas Weekend 5/2 Franco M Rodriguez Rudy R. 86 17.44 1.13/$1
096.9375 6 Greatest Love 6/1 Maragh R R Baker Charlton W 505 27.92 0.83/$1
096.6003 4 Prairie Fire 8/1 Adorno A Clarke Dylan 505 27.92 0.83/$1
096.3150 1 New York Banker 6/1 Gomez J A Noda Orlando L 33 45.45 1.33/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.3458
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Workouts Turf Last 6 (M)


01/05/23, AQU, Race 3, 1.47 ET
01/05/23,AQU,3,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 CLAIMING. Purse $39,000. FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since July 1 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $12,500 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Gandy Dancing 8/5 Carmouche K Atras Rob 211 14.69 1.04/$1
099.7697 3 Acalteque 8/1 Fuentes E Chin Peter A. TW 33 45.45 1.33/$1
099.4617 6 Motion to Strike 4/1 Gomez J A Reynolds Patrick L. FL 33 45.45 1.33/$1
099.2718 7 Miami Chrome 12/1 Worrie A S Loaiza Ilmar J 211 14.69 1.04/$1
098.5755 1 Double Shot 5/2 Franco M Barrera. III Oscar S. SEC 182 15.93 1.19/$1
098.3408 2 First Deputy 6/1 Huayas G Shivmangal Lolita 33 45.45 1.33/$1
095.8402 1A Bustin the Rules 5/2 Olver M Barrera. III Oscar S. 33 45.45 1.33/$1
094.2323 5 Trigger Pull 15/1 Harkie H K Follett Norman C. 211 14.69 1.04/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.2303
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f


01/05/23, AQU, Race 4, 2.16 ET
01/05/23,AQU,4,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $32,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. Weight, 120 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Charlies Medal 6/1 Davis J A Sells Rachel SFC 87 20.69 1.20/$1
099.9708 6 Basic Truth 9/2 Gomez J A Reynolds Patrick L. 87 20.69 1.20/$1
098.5814 10 Second and Reed 7/2 Cancel E Ryerson James T. W 33 51.52 1.74/$1
097.8507 7 Excalibrate 12/1 Montanez R Chichakly Amira L 63 39.68 1.30/$1
097.5927 1 Per Key D P 15/1 Worrie A S Englehart Jeffrey S. JT 67 19.40 1.26/$1
095.6354 8 Danny's a Cowboy 12/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Nevin Michelle 87 20.69 1.20/$1
095.3443 2 Dromoland 5/1 Luzzi M J Levine Bruce N. E 63 39.68 1.30/$1
095.2497 3 Metamorphoses 6/1 Huayas G Levine Bruce N. 87 20.69 1.20/$1
092.8562 5 Saratoga Strong(b+) 6/1 Olver M Handal Raymond 87 20.69 1.20/$1
091.9624 9 Hoochie Coo 15/1 Davis K Sciacca Gary 87 20.69 1.20/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0292
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance is 1m


01/05/23, AQU, Race 5, 2.45 ET
01/05/23,AQU,5,1 3/16M [Dirt] 1:52:02 ALLOWANCE. Purse $82,000. (UP TO $14,268 NYSBFOA) FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 3 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Bold Victory 6/1 Franco M Englehart Jeffrey S. J 505 27.92 0.83/$1
099.9474 7 Tonal Impact 7/5 Carmouche K Rice Linda FC 123 33.33 1.05/$1
099.2687 1 Anejo 4/1 Lezcano J O'Neill Doug F. SEW 505 27.92 0.83/$1
099.2616 4 Gasoline 5/2 Cancel E Pletcher Todd A. TL 505 27.92 0.83/$1
097.4996 5 Royal Tryst 12/1 Laprida J Arenas Marcelo 505 27.92 0.83/$1
097.1191 6 Vasariano 8/1 Gomez J A Cash Norman L. 33 45.45 1.33/$1
096.0957 3 Midnight Worker 30/1 Huayas G Chichakly Amira 33 45.45 1.33/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0526
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


01/05/23, AQU, Race 6, 3.16 ET
01/05/23,AQU,6,1 1/8M [Dirt] 1:47:00 ALLOWANCE. Purse $72,000. FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 3 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Mason Mania 4/1 Lezcano J Englehart Jeremiah C. S 505 27.92 0.83/$1
099.6852 1 Simply Even Vargas. Jr. J A Atras Rob T 505 27.92 0.83/$1
098.5801 7 Ria's Angel 9/2 Cancel E Rice Linda 505 27.92 0.83/$1
098.5068 1A Ouster 1/1 Carmouche K Hennig Mark A. JFEC 123 33.33 1.05/$1
097.2690 6 Son of an Ex 5/1 Martinez J R Persaud Randi 505 27.92 0.83/$1
097.2323 4 Royal Suspect 12/1 Maragh R R Huertas Nirka WL 505 27.92 0.83/$1
095.9945 8 Dr. Marbooz 12/1 Davis K Davis Robbie G. 505 27.92 0.83/$1
093.9267 3 Datesfreedom 30/1 Hernandez Moreno O DeLauro Edward J. 33 45.45 1.33/$1
093.3813 5 Cagney 30/1 Huayas G Schettino Domenick L. 33 45.45 1.33/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.3148
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


01/05/23, AQU, Race 7, 3.45 ET
01/05/23,AQU,7,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $88,000. (UP TO $15,312 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 THREE TIMES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $80,000. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Claiming Or Starter Since July 1 Allowed 3 lbs. Such A Race Since Then Allowed 5 lbs. Claiming Price $80,000 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Piece of My Heart 2/1 Lezcano J Rice Linda S 505 27.92 0.83/$1
099.6580 1 Secret Love 5/2 Carmouche K Kimmel John C. FC 123 33.33 1.05/$1
099.4364 5 Fouette 7/2 Vargas. Jr. J A Rice Linda WL 505 27.92 0.83/$1
098.6987 3 Thistlefield 15/1 Adorno A Lake Scott A. 505 27.92 0.83/$1
097.8360 2 Easy to Bless 6/1 Davis J A Ferraro James W. E 505 27.92 0.83/$1
097.8258 4 Corey 6/1 Cancel E Walder Peter R. 505 27.92 0.83/$1
097.6969 6 Short Summer Dress(b+) 10/1 Franco M Lee Joseph R. J 505 27.92 0.83/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.3420
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


01/05/23, AQU, Race 8, 4.14 ET
01/05/23,AQU,8,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $35,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Weight, 122 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 9 Chiara 5/2 Harkie H K Bond H. James SL 63 39.68 1.30/$1
098.6566 1 Tonight We Love 10/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Martin Carlos F. 86 22.09 1.48/$1
098.2412 8 Bonana Fanna Foe(b+) 4/1 Davis J A Englehart Chris J. C 86 22.09 1.48/$1
097.9778 6 Warsalm 12/1 Worrie A S Englehart Chris J. J 86 22.09 1.48/$1
097.9127 2 Treat Street 9/2 Carmouche K Hennig Mark A. F 63 39.68 1.30/$1
095.9765 4 Sarah's Pride 30/1 Hylton E Persaud Randi 63 39.68 1.30/$1
094.9251 5 Try It Again 7/2 Lezcano J Maker Michael J. EW 63 39.68 1.30/$1
094.2180 3 Frannie Lew(b+) 8/1 Gomez J A Donk David G. 86 22.09 1.48/$1
088.6272 7 Menily(b+) 12/1 Davis K Handal Raymond T 86 22.09 1.48/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.3434
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] First Race After 45 Days Off


Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...