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Top Horse Analytics: 01/04/2023 Picks and Results - TAM


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.22.10.29a)

Track: TAM
Start Of Statistics - 11/24/2021
Past Number of Races - 837

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
36.92 0.89   9.80   Favorites
32.49 0.85 12.80   Morning Line Favorites
29.39 0.92 41.60   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

01/04/23, TAM, Race 1, 12.31 ET
01/04/23,TAM,1,5 1/2F [Dirt] 1:02:04 CLAIMING. Purse $13,500 (includes up to $500 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE JULY 4. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since December 4 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $5,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Sir Aggravator(b+) 8/5 Allen. Jr. R D Bowersock Maria FE 33 27.27 1.79/$1
099.0252 2 Ask for Bode 5/1 Diaz. Jr. H R Arnett Jon G. SC 33 27.27 1.79/$1
098.2330 1 Mr Lightning Boy 4/1 Gallardo A A Feliciano Benny R. T 77 42.86 1.22/$1
097.1853 5 Arcadia Calls 5/2 Rowland M Delgado Jose H. WL 33 27.27 1.79/$1
096.3497 3 Paladio(b+) 6/1 Camacho S McGoey Monica J 33 27.27 1.79/$1
092.0205 4 Rockysbuckaroo 20/1 Villa-Gomez H Wasiluk. Jr. Peter 33 27.27 1.79/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 32.65, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.9748
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 5f Or 5 1/2f
*Scratches may change this condition

01/04/23, TAM, Race 2, 1.00 ET
01/04/23,TAM,2,7F [Dirt] 1:20:04 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $23,500 (includes up to $1,500 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $25,000 OR LESS OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $25,000. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since November 4 Allowed 2 lbs. Since October 4 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (Races Where Entered For $16,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Flag Woman 8/5 Villa-Gomez H Fisher David TSL 201 23.88 1.18/$1
099.7284 2 Astonishing Anabel 2/1 Arroyo A S Delgado Jorge FEWC 201 23.88 1.18/$1
098.5106 3 Girl Afraid 6/1 Morales P Kintz S. Matthew J 201 23.88 1.18/$1
097.3422 6 Glass Star 6/1 Camacho S Garcia Rodolfo 201 23.88 1.18/$1
096.6874 1 Binoche 8/1 Marin S Delgado Jorge 201 23.88 1.18/$1
094.0077 5 Elsa's Rocket 8/1 Allen. Jr. R D Bowersock Maria 201 23.88 1.18/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 32.65, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.2716
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Jockey Dirt YTD_Curr*3.0 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

01/04/23, TAM, Race 3, 1.27 ET
01/04/23,TAM,3,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:39:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $17,000 (includes up to $1,000 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Weight, 122 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000, if for $20,000, allowed 2 lbs. (Preference Will Be Given To Horses Which Have Not Started For Less Than $16,000. The Same Preference Will Be Given To Horses Which Have Started For Less Than $16,000 And Since Then Have Finished 2nd Or 3rd For $16,000 Or More.).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Eau Claire(b+) 3/2 Centeno D Delacour Arnaud TSE 77 38.96 1.54/$1
095.1810 3 The Sweaty Fox 3/1 Castanon J L Stoddard Brittany 201 24.38 1.20/$1
094.8125 1 Redzilla(b+) 20/1 Marin S Paragallo Jennifer F 201 24.38 1.20/$1
094.6442 7 Silver Sprinter 9/2 Camacho S Mazza Joseph W. J 201 24.38 1.20/$1
093.7853 4 Irish Kitten 6/1 Green A McGoey Monica C 201 24.38 1.20/$1
093.5295 6 I'll Go All In 12/1 Sanchez L Romero Rafael W 201 24.38 1.20/$1
092.7539 2 Morena Dancer 15/1 Dominguez C G Marrero Nestor 201 24.38 1.20/$1
092.7058 8 Syllabus 10/1 Alencar W Dominguez Luis R. L 201 24.38 1.20/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 35.48, ROI 1.71/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -4.8190
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Best Speed


01/04/23, TAM, Race 4, 1.53 ET
01/04/23,TAM,4,5F [Dirt] 00:56:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $17,000 (includes up to $1,000 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. Weight, 120 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 8 Rainbow's Pride 9/2 Morales P Hamm Timothy E. J 33 27.27 1.79/$1
099.2029 4 Aztec Legend 5/2 Marin S Hamm Timothy E. E 33 27.27 1.79/$1
097.6187 7 Discreet Magic 4/1 Rowland M Dini Michael FL 33 27.27 1.79/$1
096.6079 5 Exquisito Coco 5/1 Mendez K Morales. Jr. Guillermo SC 33 27.27 1.79/$1
095.6104 2 Discreet Devil 6/1 Arroyo A S Ochoa Gerard W 33 27.27 1.79/$1
095.5697 6 Bad Water 8/1 Meneses M Smith Robert G. 33 27.27 1.79/$1
094.9077 1 Rocky Chitu 10/1 Flores A Cascallares Nestor 54 18.52 1.15/$1
094.4225 3 Music Gem 12/1 Alicea J Tsirigotis. Jr. James 33 27.27 1.79/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 32.65, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.7971
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 5f Or 5 1/2f
*Scratches may change this condition

01/04/23, TAM, Race 5, 2.20 ET
01/04/23,TAM,5,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:39:03 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $18,600 (includes up to $1,350 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $25,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since December 4 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race Since November 4 Allowed 4 lbs. (Condition Eligibility).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Dyna's Honor 8/1 Morales P Arnett Jon G. JTFL 201 24.88 1.26/$1
095.7619 3 Investment Income 8/5 Camacho S Kintz S. Matthew 201 24.88 1.26/$1
095.6683 4 Roundabout 8/1 Ferrer J C Terranova. II John P. 201 24.88 1.26/$1
094.6316 2 I'm Nervous Now 6/1 Gallardo A A Dini Michael E 201 24.88 1.26/$1
094.2485 5 Dry Humor 7/2 Suarez A Morici Diane D. W 201 24.88 1.26/$1
093.3330 8 Any Port 4/1 Diaz. Jr. H R Lerman Roy S. S 201 24.88 1.26/$1
092.2789 7 All Bizz 30/1 Coa K J Dixon Linda K. C 201 24.88 1.26/$1
087.9193 1 Bazzarina 20/1 Jimenez M Mazza Joseph W. 201 24.88 1.26/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 35.48, ROI 1.71/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -4.2381
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Jockey Dirt YTD_Curr*1.0 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

01/04/23, TAM, Race 6, 2.50 ET
01/04/23,TAM,6,1M 40Y [Dirt] 1:38:03 CLAIMING. Purse $14,000 (includes up to $500 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since December 4 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $8,000 (Races Where Entered For $6,250 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Mapache G 7/2 Diaz. Jr. H R Arnett Jon G. TC 221 34.84 1.02/$1
099.4195 1 Shimmering Light 9/2 Suarez A Rodriguez Darien SF 62 41.94 1.22/$1
099.3211 2 Watch for the Lute 7/2 Camacho S Orseno Joseph F. J 212 35.38 1.08/$1
097.7449 8 Noicattaro 8/1 Flores A Cordero Antonio E 221 34.84 1.02/$1
095.9485 5 I Am That I Am 5/2 Sanchez L Williams Abdul 62 41.94 1.22/$1
095.6909 6 Nip of Bourbon 10/1 Walker E M Spieth Aldana L 77 35.06 1.21/$1
094.6656 3 Tithed 20/1 Spanabel S Spanabel Kelly R. W 62 41.94 1.22/$1
093.7688 4 Mista Donzella 8/1 Allen. Jr. R D Wasiluk. Jr. Peter 62 41.94 1.22/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 32.65, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.5805
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Not Less Than Today


01/04/23, TAM, Race 7, 3.20 ET
01/04/23,TAM,7,1M [Turf] 1:33:01 CLAIMING. Purse $20,500 (includes up to $1,500 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Once At A Mile Or Over Since December 4 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000 (Races Where Entered For $12,500 Or Less Not Considered) (Condition Eligibility). (If deemed inadvisable by management to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the main track at One Mile and Forty Yards.).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Bird's Eye View 2/1 Morales P Dini Michael JSFC 201 21.39 1.33/$1
098.2898 5 Chimney Rock 12/1 Rowland M Laurato Michael V. 201 21.39 1.33/$1
097.7964 9 Big Red Rocks 8/1 Centeno D Wilson Tony 201 21.39 1.33/$1
097.2573 7 Joe Phillips 5/1 Castanon J L Raven Kerri TW 201 21.39 1.33/$1
097.2371 3 Albie 10/1 Coa K J Ferraro M. Anthony 201 21.39 1.33/$1
096.8733 1 D'craziness 6/1 Spieth S Spieth Aldana 201 21.39 1.33/$1
096.6812 4 Savage 12/1 Allen. Jr. R D Bowersock Maria E 201 21.39 1.33/$1
095.9545 10 Centerfoldprospect 8/1 Diaz. Jr. H R O'Connell Kathleen 201 24.88 1.26/$1
094.8207 8 Lord Barna 12/1 Gallardo A A O'Connell Kathleen 201 21.39 1.33/$1
093.7970 6 Borgobythesea 10/1 Quinonez A Carrasco. Jr. Victor L 201 21.39 1.33/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 35.48, ROI 1.71/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.7102
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Workouts Dirt Last 6 (M)


01/04/23, TAM, Race 8, 3.50 ET
01/04/23,TAM,8,7F [Dirt] 1:20:04 CLAIMING. Purse $17,000 (includes up to $1,000 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since November 4 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $8,000, For Each $500 To $7,000 1 lb. (Races Where Entered For $6,250 Or Less Not Considered) (Registered Florida Breds Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Native Hawk 5/2 Camacho S Arriagada Juan JSFC 108 24.07 1.18/$1
098.0416 6 Camptown Races 7/2 Ferrer J C Torres Pablo R. 108 24.07 1.18/$1
096.9772 7 Chucky 9/2 Bracho R A Rondon-Mora Carlos A. TEL 108 24.07 1.18/$1
096.1062 3 Flipping Fish(b-) 6/1 Suarez A Rodriguez Darien 108 24.07 1.18/$1
096.0381 2 Ocean Ride 3/1 Camacho. Jr. S McGoey Monica 108 24.07 1.18/$1
094.7189 1 Banditoftheprairie 8/1 Arroyo A S Machado Antonio W 108 24.07 1.18/$1
091.7433 5 Auburn 20/1 Mitchell R Lusk Brian R. 108 24.07 1.18/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 32.65, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.9584
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Speed Turf Last 1 (M)


01/04/23, TAM, Race 9, 4.20 ET
01/04/23,TAM,9,1M [Turf] 1:33:01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $27,000 (includes up to $2,000 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. Weight, 120 lbs. (Preference Will Be Given To Horses Which Have Not Started For Less Than $25,000. The Same Preference Will Be Given To Horses Which Have Started For Less Than $25,000 And Since Then Have Finished 2ndOr 3rd For $25,000 Or More.). (If deemed inadvisable by management to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the main track at One Mile and Forty Yards.).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Volatility 9/2 Morales P Terranova. II John P. JW 34 35.29 1.22/$1
099.2355 2 Beat the Estimates 7/2 Diaz. Jr. H R Brown Chad C. 33 24.24 1.82/$1
099.1306 8 Skyview Drive 8/1 Quinonez A Brown Chad C. 31 38.71 1.11/$1
099.0911 3 Sweet Track 5/1 Centeno D Delacour Arnaud E 33 24.24 1.82/$1
098.4969 4 Lightress 6/1 Camacho S Clement Christophe 108 24.07 0.83/$1
098.4423 5 Ella Frances(b-) 12/1 Gallardo A A Clement Christophe C 73 35.62 1.19/$1
097.8208 10 Thegirlfromireland 3/1 Suarez A Motion H. Graham SFL 77 38.96 1.54/$1
095.1115 6 Fancy Dress 15/1 Castanon J L Harty Eoin G. 25 28.00 2.08/$1
092.5765 9 Humor Sense 20/1 Arroyo A S Ochoa Gerard 33 24.24 1.82/$1
089.8313 7 Appalachian Trail 30/1 Jimenez M Paragallo Jennifer 100 23.00 1.10/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 35.48, ROI 1.71/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.7645
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Best Workouts


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