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Top Horse Analytics

Top Horse Analytics: 01/02/2023 Picks and Results - SA


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.22.10.29a)

Track: SA
Start Of Statistics - 10/01/2021
Past Number of Races - 1014

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
42.70 0.96   8.80   Favorites
35.88 0.81 12.80   Morning Line Favorites
33.73 0.93 30.00   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

01/02/23, SA, Race 1, 12.00 PT
01/02/23,SA,1,6 1/2F [Turf About] 1:10:04 STAKES. Las Cienegas Stakes. Grade 3. Purse $100,000. DOWNHILL TURF FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. By subscription of $100 each if made on or before Thursday, December 22, 2022, closed with 13 or by Supplementary nomination of $2,000 at time of entry, closed with 1 (Lady Jae). $750 to enter and an additional $750 to start with $100,000 guaranteed of which $60,000 to the winner, $20,000 to second, $12,000 to third, $6,000 to fourth and $2,000 to fifth. 124 lbs. Non-Winners of a Graded Stakes allowed 2 lbs. Non-Winners of a Sweepstakes allowed 4 lbs. A trophy will be presented to the winning owner. (Rail at 30 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Freedom Flyer 8/1 Dettori L Powell Leonard J 22 45.45 2.22/$1
098.5719 6 Amy C (GB) 5/2 Rispoli U D'Amato Philip 341 35.48 1.02/$1
098.4582 8 Countess Rosina (IRE) 12/1 Berrios H I Mullins Jeff SF 22 45.45 2.22/$1
098.2209 3 Lady Edith 3/1 Velazquez J R D'Amato Philip C 84 47.62 1.23/$1
098.1392 1 Burgoo Alley (IRE) 4/1 Prat F D'Amato Philip L 22 45.45 2.22/$1
097.7356 5 Brooke Marie 4/1 Hernandez J J Kenneally Eddie EW 22 45.45 2.22/$1
097.1340 7 Royal Address (IRE) 8/1 Bravo J Drysdale Neil D. 22 45.45 2.22/$1
095.1959 4 Lady Jae 12/1 Curatolo R Barocio Librado 22 45.45 2.22/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 44.44, ROI 1.79/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.4281
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Morning Line Odds Greater Than Or Equal To 4


01/02/23, SA, Race 2, 12.30 PT
01/02/23,SA,2,1M [Turf] 1:31:03 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $67,000. FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. Weight, 122 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In Their Last Starts Preferred). (Rail at 30 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Nyvan 5/2 Gutierrez M O'Neill Doug F. SFEL 80 36.25 1.16/$1
097.5257 6 Golden Temper(b+) 3/1 Hernandez J J Gaines Carla JW 80 36.25 1.16/$1
095.6141 3 Love Our Family 8/1 Frey K Truman Eddie 80 36.25 1.16/$1
094.4357 1 Violet Crown 7/2 Prat F Dollase Craig T 22 45.45 2.22/$1
092.4850 7 Cherry Chaos(b+) 12/1 Contreras L Alvarado Ruben D. 80 36.25 1.16/$1
092.3115 2 Speaking Spanglish(b-) 12/1 Alsagoor A Papaprodromou George 80 36.25 1.16/$1
091.9781 8 Turquoise Bikini 30/1 Rojas Fernandez E K Morfin Sergio 80 36.25 1.16/$1
091.8244 9 Point and Shoot 8/1 Herrera D A Kruljac Ian C 84 47.62 1.23/$1
090.1335 4 Smoove as Silk 6/1 Berrios H I Freeman Edward R. 80 36.25 1.16/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 44.44, ROI 1.79/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.4743
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Race Age 3


01/02/23, SA, Race 3, 1.00 PT
01/02/23,SA,3,6F [Dirt] 1:07:00 MAIDEN OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $42,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD THAT HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OR THAT WERE SOLD AT AUCTION FOR $150,000 OR LESS OR CLAIMING $62,500-$50,000. Weight, 123 lbs. Claiming Price $62,500, For Each $2,500 To $50,000 1 lb. (For Eligibility Purposes, Refer to Last Sale Horse Was Sold In).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Anybody's Choice 4/1 Valdivia. Jr. J Kitchingman Adam SF 151 41.06 1.20/$1
099.2430 4 Balenciaga Betty 5/1 Aguilar A Hanson Ryan E 77 45.45 1.34/$1
098.7993 7 Good as Gone 12/1 Gonzalez R Knapp Steve R. WL 151 41.06 1.20/$1
098.7788 5 Liberal Lady 5/2 Prat F Powell Leonard JT 77 45.45 1.34/$1
098.7712 1 Filthy Fast 2/1 Maldonado E A Mendez Luis 93 43.01 1.22/$1
096.5428 2 Midnight Vow 12/1 Rojas Fernandez E K Palma Hector O. C 77 45.45 1.34/$1
095.5703 3 Half Nelson(b-) 5/1 Contreras L Brinkerhoff Val 151 41.06 1.20/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 50.00, ROI 1.43/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.7570
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] First Race After 45 Days Off


01/02/23, SA, Race 4, 1.30 PT
01/02/23,SA,4,6F [Turf] 1:06:03 CLAIMING. Purse $37,000. FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Weight, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $32,000, For Each $2,000 To $28,000 2 lbs. (Rail at 30 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Who's Candy 6/5 Gonzalez R Koriner Brian J. SFEW 149 40.94 1.05/$1
097.6453 4 Constant Conflict 4/1 Maldonado E A Harris Andrew T 299 29.43 1.06/$1
096.8977 7 Conch Daddy 8/1 Gutierrez M Papaprodromou George L 100 35.00 1.14/$1
095.9196 6 Missed Call 5/1 Hernandez J J Aguirre Paul G. J 100 35.00 1.14/$1
093.2997 3 Thanks Maggio (ARG) 5/1 Frey K Psarras Andreas 100 35.00 1.14/$1
092.3463 8 Blame George 20/1 Contreras L Farias Adan 357 30.53 0.88/$1
092.1211 5 Kimmer(b-) 10/1 Ellingwood E A Vallejo Genaro C 84 47.62 1.23/$1
091.4474 2 Tofino Bay 12/1 Aguilar A Drysdale Neil D. 100 35.00 1.14/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 44.44, ROI 1.79/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.3547
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Best Speed


01/02/23, SA, Race 5, 2.00 PT
01/02/23,SA,5,6F [Dirt] 1:07:00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $39,000. FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. Weight, 122 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000, For Each $2,500 To $45,000 1 lb.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Sweet Hello 4/1 Dettori L Papaprodromou George JL 77 45.45 1.34/$1
096.5928 8 Time Together 5/1 Prat F Powell Leonard SF 77 45.45 1.34/$1
095.1466 7 Miss Commander 3/1 Vazquez R A Sadler John W. E 77 45.45 1.34/$1
092.9723 2 Shes Just Fluffy 6/1 Alsagoor A Wong Jonathan 77 45.45 1.34/$1
092.1966 11 Song of Shadows 12/1 Herrera D A Yakteen Tim 80 43.75 1.29/$1
092.1081 3 Magic Capital 20/1 Pereira T J Palma Hector O. W 77 45.45 1.34/$1
091.4942 4 Miss Kaline(b+) 8/1 Frey K Bell. II Thomas Ray C 151 41.06 1.20/$1
091.3481 1 Jacqueline Cochran 12/1 Van Dyke D Miyadi Steven T 93 43.01 1.22/$1
091.1096 12 One Mo Eddie 8/1 Gutierrez M Callaghan Simon 80 43.75 1.29/$1
090.7996 6 Short Journey 15/1 Rojas Fernandez E K Palma Hector O. 77 45.45 1.34/$1
090.5540 10 Lucky Vegas 20/1 Franco G Papaprodromou George 151 41.06 1.20/$1
090.4174 9 Tootufftoswallow 20/1 Bravo J Wallace. II Jerry 77 45.45 1.34/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 50.00, ROI 1.43/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -3.4072
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f  -with-
[Dirt MdnMClm] Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f
*Scratches may change this condition

01/02/23, SA, Race 6, 2.30 PT
01/02/23,SA,6,6 1/2F [Turf] 1:13:04 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $67,000 (plus up to $20,100 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Weight, 124 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In Their Last Starts Preferred). (Rail at 30 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Denim in Gold 4/1 Bravo J Kitchingman Adam FEC 84 47.62 1.23/$1
099.8766 1 Lucky for You 4/1 Hernandez J J Baffert Bob W 186 33.33 1.05/$1
098.9388 4 Cuban Crisis (GB) 5/2 Prat F Glatt Mark L 186 33.33 1.05/$1
098.2563 5 Socially Smart 4/1 Vazquez R A Koriner Brian J. 186 33.33 1.05/$1
096.7741 8 Rebel Girl 8/1 Velazquez J R Powell Leonard 186 33.33 1.05/$1
096.6639 6 Looks Like Money 8/1 Maldonado E A Baffert Bob 186 33.33 1.05/$1
096.6028 7 Infinite Empire 6/1 Dettori L Mandella Richard E. J 40 37.50 1.31/$1
094.4785 2 Sinners Saints 20/1 Kimura K Papaprodromou George 186 33.33 1.05/$1
092.3860 9 Karin With an I 12/1 Berrios H I Mandella Richard E. 186 33.33 1.05/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 44.44, ROI 1.79/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.1234
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Best Closer


01/02/23, SA, Race 7, 3.00 PT
01/02/23,SA,7,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:13:01 CLAIMING. Purse $34,000. FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Weight, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since October 2 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000, if for $18,000, allowed 2 lbs. (Maiden And Claiming Races For $16,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Nice Guy Clay 6/1 Aguilar A Periban Jorge W 143 35.66 1.22/$1
098.6549 3 Ted 6/1 Contreras L Palma Hector O. L 143 35.66 1.22/$1
098.1359 7 Italiano 5/2 Hernandez J J Mullins Jeff JSC 143 35.66 1.22/$1
098.1077 2 Established 2/1 Prat F Yakteen Tim E 143 35.66 1.22/$1
097.0345 6 Next Revolt 5/2 Herrera D A Glatt Mark TF 151 41.06 1.20/$1
096.1694 8 Brace for Impact(b-) 12/1 Franco G Headley Karen 143 35.66 1.22/$1
092.4024 4 Heartfullofstars 20/1 Orduna-Rojas F Alvarez Edwin G. 184 40.76 1.12/$1
091.3777 5 Santa Cruiser 12/1 Desormeaux K J Desormeaux J. Keith 143 35.66 1.22/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 50.00, ROI 1.43/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.3451
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Different Jockey


01/02/23, SA, Race 8, 3.30 PT
01/02/23,SA,8,6F [Turf] 1:06:03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $75,000 (plus up to $22,500 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $80,000. Weight, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Maiden, Claiming Or Starter Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $80,000 (All Horses Are Equal And Will Get A Draw). (Rail at 30 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 9 Yeng Again 4/1 Bravo J Papaprodromou George F 100 35.00 1.14/$1
099.5972 4 Motorious (GB) 5/2 Prat F D'Amato Philip 341 35.48 1.02/$1
098.7181 1 Coulthard (IRE) 4/1 Dettori L D'Amato Philip J 341 35.48 1.02/$1
098.5233 3 Give Me the Lute 5/1 Kimura K Miller Peter L 341 35.48 1.02/$1
098.1318 5 Classier 5/1 Hernandez J J Baffert Bob TW 100 35.00 1.14/$1
097.5451 6 Maglev (IRE) 3/1 Rispoli U Glatt Mark C 84 47.62 1.23/$1
096.0666 14 Hembree 4/1 Velazquez J R Miller Peter SE 341 35.48 1.02/$1
096.0493 2 Respect the Code 12/1 Frey K Papaprodromou George 341 35.48 1.02/$1
095.5636 7 Zoffarelli (IRE) 10/1 Vazquez R A Mullins Jeff 341 35.48 1.02/$1
095.5070 10 Jetovator 5/1 Maldonado E A Eurton Peter 341 35.48 1.02/$1
095.2070 8 Hot Box 12/1 Gonzalez R Koriner Brian J. 341 35.48 1.02/$1
095.1451 11 Get Back Goldie 12/1 Smith M E O'Neill Doug F. 341 35.48 1.02/$1
094.6898 13 Commander (FR) 10/1 Contreras L Palma Hector O. 100 35.00 1.14/$1
092.9468 12 Figureti (CHI) 15/1 Berrios H I Sanchez Amador Merei 341 35.48 1.02/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 44.44, ROI 1.79/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.4028
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Purse Lower Than Today


01/02/23, SA, Race 9, 4.00 PT
01/02/23,SA,9,1M [Dirt] 1:33:02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $67,000 (plus up to $20,100 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. Weight, 123 lbs. Cal-Bred or Cal-Sired horses Get a Five (5) Pound Weight Allowance.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Harlocap 7/2 Velazquez J R Baffert Bob FEWC 83 53.01 1.28/$1
098.9132 1 Mr Fisk 3/1 Hernandez J J Baffert Bob J 28 39.29 1.57/$1
097.1822 6 Navy Man 7/2 Vazquez R A McCarthy Michael W. S 151 41.06 1.20/$1
095.8419 8 Riverside 7/2 Prat F Sadler John W. 28 39.29 1.57/$1
095.4063 2 Roll On Big Joe 12/1 Smith M E Hess. Jr. Robert B. L 28 39.29 1.57/$1
094.0480 9 Excel Calculator 12/1 Frey K Papaprodromou George 28 39.29 1.57/$1
093.7510 7 Bolt Supremacy 15/1 Bravo J Papaprodromou George 28 39.29 1.57/$1
093.6649 3 Odonata 15/1 Maldonado E A O'Neill Doug F. 28 39.29 1.57/$1
093.5647 10 Flat On(b+) 20/1 Van Dyke D Eurton Peter 151 41.06 1.20/$1
091.4655 5 Habeas 12/1 Kimura K Sadler John W. 151 41.06 1.20/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 50.00, ROI 1.43/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.0868
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Best Workouts


01/02/23, SA, Race 10, 4.30 PT
01/02/23,SA,10,1M [Turf] 1:31:03 ALLOWANCE. Purse $72,000 (plus up to $21,600 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Weight, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Maiden, Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed2 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $25,000 Or Less In Their Last 3 Starts Preferred). (Rail at 30 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 8 Evan Harlan 4/1 Maldonado E A Motion H. Graham EL 191 37.17 1.07/$1
099.5195 1 Tio Magico 6/1 Gonzalez R D'Amato Philip W 191 37.17 1.07/$1
099.3009 10 Exaulted 6/1 Hernandez J J Eurton Peter 54 48.15 1.58/$1
098.8022 4 Weegee 3/1 Berrios H I Mullins Jeff F 54 48.15 1.58/$1
098.3030 5 Agatino (IRE)(b+) 4/1 Prat F D'Amato Philip 191 37.17 1.07/$1
098.1158 7 (F)Sarwar (FR) 6/1 Rispoli U Powell Leonard 54 48.15 1.58/$1
098.0223 3 Beef Winslow 8/1 Velazquez J R Miller Peter 54 48.15 1.58/$1
096.9789 6 Degree of Risk 6/1 Dettori L Harty Eoin G. JS 191 37.17 1.07/$1
095.7616 2 Balladeer 12/1 Gutierrez M Papaprodromou George 54 48.15 1.58/$1
094.4876 11 Del Mo 15/1 Vazquez R A O'Neill Doug F. 191 37.17 1.07/$1
092.5420 9 Seven Wonders(b+) 12/1 Bravo J Eurton Peter C 84 47.62 1.23/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 44.44, ROI 1.79/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.4805
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Distance Route


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