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Top Horse Analytics: 12/30/2022 Picks and Results - AQU


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.22.10.29a)

Track: AQU
Start Of Statistics - 11/11/2021
Past Number of Races - 973

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
35.56 0.84   9.60   Favorites
33.26 0.84 17.00   Morning Line Favorites
30.42 0.93 37.00   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

12/30/22, AQU, Race 1, 12.50 ET
12/30/22,AQU,1,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $70,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Weight, 119 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Vax 2/1 Carmouche K Maker Michael J. TSFEL 46 32.61 1.05/$1
097.1644 6 Graceful Rose 12/1 Franco M Gorham Michael E. W 50 42.00 1.21/$1
096.8533 8 Marley's Ghost 9/2 Cancel E Trombetta Michael J. 19 26.32 1.18/$1
096.5020 5 I'mhavingamoment 7/2 Lezcano J Mott William I. 256 27.34 0.89/$1
096.1282 1 Northern Ballet 20/1 Davis J A Davis Edmund D. 5 40.00 2.44/$1
095.7555 9 Ultimate Edition 15/1 Hernandez Moreno O Davis Edmund D. 5 40.00 2.44/$1
095.2154 4 Cairo Sugar 6/1 Wolfsont A Bedard Alan 86 22.09 1.48/$1
095.2129 7 Hypnocurrency 12/1 Maragh R R Begg James Bentley 5 40.00 2.44/$1
095.0115 2 K D Kakes 8/1 Davis D Falcone. Jr. Robert N. JC 5 40.00 2.44/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.8356
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] 5f Workout Since Last Race


12/30/22, AQU, Race 2, 1.18 ET
12/30/22,AQU,2,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 ALLOWANCE. Purse $75,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 2 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Tough Street 8/5 Franco M Brown Chad C. TFEL 505 27.92 0.83/$1
097.3715 7 Juliana's Rose 3/1 Davis D Hennig Mark A. J 86 23.26 1.20/$1
097.0754 6 Mia Bea Star 9/2 Gomez J A Persaud Randi S 33 45.45 1.33/$1
096.2623 4 Duckphat 8/1 Samuel J L Henry Neville C 123 33.33 1.05/$1
095.2004 5 Shadolamo 6/1 Huayas G Jones Eduardo E. 86 23.26 1.20/$1
095.1335 3 Gringotts 12/1 Harkie H K Klesaris Robert P. 86 23.26 1.20/$1
094.1206 1 Steal My Heart 20/1 Alpander T B Clarke Dylan 86 23.26 1.20/$1
089.5832 8 Focus(b+) 15/1 Cancel E Martin Carlos F. W 505 27.92 0.83/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.6285
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


12/30/22, AQU, Race 3, 1.46 ET
12/30/22,AQU,3,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $43,000. FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Weight, 119 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Who Me 2/1 Carmouche K Nevin Michelle 87 20.69 1.20/$1
098.6693 8 Sounds Spooky 5/2 Lezcano J Pletcher Todd A. T 87 20.69 1.20/$1
095.5569 3 Provision 6/1 Franco M Weaver George FEL 86 22.09 1.48/$1
095.4138 4 October Bliss 5/1 Cancel E Ryerson James T. SW 87 20.69 1.20/$1
095.3195 1 P Money 15/1 Gomez J A Klesaris Robert P. 67 19.40 1.26/$1
094.8146 6 West Star 10/1 Harkie H K Kantarmaci Mertkan 87 20.69 1.20/$1
091.4264 2 Fast Study(b+) 12/1 Huayas G Schettino Domenick L. 63 39.68 1.30/$1
089.4035 5 Empire Ride(b+) 8/1 Davis D Morley Thomas J 86 22.09 1.48/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.3307
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance is 1m


12/30/22, AQU, Race 4, 2.14 ET
12/30/22,AQU,4,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $95,000. (UP TO $16,530 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $62,500. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Claiming Or Starter Since June 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $62,500 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Sheriff Bianco 9/5 Lezcano J Rice Linda F 211 14.69 1.04/$1
099.3403 6 Chateau 7/2 Carmouche K Atras Rob TEL 211 14.69 1.04/$1
099.0608 4 In Dreams 6/1 Davis D De Paz Horacio JS 86 23.26 1.20/$1
098.0294 8 Outlaw Kid 3/1 Franco M Weaver George 86 23.26 1.20/$1
097.6486 5 War Stopper 8/1 Huayas G Jacobson David C 86 23.26 1.20/$1
097.6395 1 Pirate Rick 12/1 Gomez J A Cash Norman L. W 182 15.93 1.19/$1
097.0259 2 More Graytful 20/1 Harkie H K Giangiulio Michelle 211 14.69 1.04/$1
093.2566 3 Alogon 15/1 Adorno A Allard Edward T. 211 14.69 1.04/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.6597
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f


12/30/22, AQU, Race 5, 2.42 ET
12/30/22,AQU,5,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $95,000. (UP TO $16,530 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $62,500. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Since June 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $62,500 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment DueAt Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Frost Point 5/2 Lezcano J Mott William I. SFC 123 33.33 1.05/$1
099.5624 4 Ice Princess 3/1 Carmouche K Rice Linda 505 27.92 0.83/$1
098.9253 8 Timeless Journey 5/1 Davis D Handal Raymond JT 505 27.92 0.83/$1
098.6009 1 Baby Man 20/1 Gomez J A Rodriguez Rudy R. EL 33 45.45 1.33/$1
098.5386 7 Spooky Road 8/1 Davis J A Rice Linda 505 27.92 0.83/$1
098.0364 2 Missy Greer 4/1 Franco M Gargan Danny W 505 27.92 0.83/$1
097.6955 6 Its Cold in Dehere(b+) 30/1 Cancel E Rodriguez Gustavo 505 27.92 0.83/$1
096.7893 9 Toned Up 10/1 Huayas G Hills Timothy A. 33 45.45 1.33/$1
089.6961 5 Tic Tic Tic Boom 12/1 Wolfsont A Bedard Alan 505 27.92 0.83/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.4376
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Best Closer


12/30/22, AQU, Race 6, 3.12 ET
12/30/22,AQU,6,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $95,000. (UP TO $16,530 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $62,500. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Claiming Or Starter Since June 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $62,500 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 8 Nova Rags 5/2 Cancel E Mott William I. SF 86 23.26 1.20/$1
099.6488 3 Hero Tiger 12/1 Laprida J Kirby John T. 86 23.26 1.20/$1
098.9987 6 Happy Farm 3/1 Davis D Miceli Michael 211 14.69 1.04/$1
098.6523 9 Going to the Lead 10/1 Carmouche K Cash Norman L. 211 14.69 1.04/$1
098.5259 4 Scilly Cay 5/1 Lezcano J Rice Linda 211 14.69 1.04/$1
098.2431 2 Final Shot 20/1 Gonzalez S Preciado Guadalupe JT 211 14.69 1.04/$1
098.0167 5 Big Engine 8/1 Franco M Rodriguez Rudy R. C 86 23.26 1.20/$1
097.6438 1 Coppola 15/1 Maragh R R Martin Carlos F. 182 15.93 1.19/$1
096.3583 7 Meraas (GB) 9/2 Adorno A Summers Chad EWL 211 14.69 1.04/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.3512
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Finish Turf Last 1 (M)


12/30/22, AQU, Race 7, 3.40 ET
12/30/22,AQU,7,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 STAKES. Gravesend Stakes. Purse $135,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Non-Lasix Race pursuant to 4043.2 (7)(e)(5) Lasix not permitted within 48 hours of post time. By subscription of $135 each which should accompany the nomination; $675 to pass the entry box and an additional $675 to start. For horses not originally nominated, a supplemental nomination payment of $675 (along with the entry and starting fees) may be made at any time prior to the closing of entries. The purse to be divided 55% to the owner of the winner, 20% to second, 12% to third, 6% to fourth, 4% to fifth and 3% divided equally amongst the remaining finishers. Three year olds, 124 lbs. Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners of a Graded sweepstake in 2022 allowed 2 lbs.; of a sweepstake in 2022 allowed 4 lbs.; of two races other than maiden, claiming, starter or state bred allowance since June 1, 2022 allowed 6 lbs. A trophy will be presented to the winning owner. Closed Saturday, December 17, 2022 with 25 Nominations.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 10 Greeley and Ben 7/2 Franco M Englehart Jeffrey S. S 33 51.52 1.74/$1
099.8002 9 Beren 8/1 Pennington F Reid. Jr. Robert E. FWL 211 14.69 1.04/$1
099.2059 3 Drafted 6/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Duggan David P. T 211 14.69 1.04/$1
098.9553 6 Amundson 8/1 Carmouche K Rice Linda 211 14.69 1.04/$1
098.8589 4 Synthesis 12/1 Worrie A S Jacobson David C 211 14.69 1.04/$1
098.6897 12 Twisted Ride 20/1 Gonzalez S Moore Michael M. 33 51.52 1.74/$1
098.2728 8 Repo Rocks 15/1 Wolfsont A Ness Jamie 211 14.69 1.04/$1
098.2066 1 Three Two Zone 9/2 Davis D Handal Raymond 182 15.93 1.19/$1
098.1948 7 Morello 6/1 Lezcano J Asmussen Steven M. E 86 17.44 1.13/$1
098.0103 11 Little Vic 10/1 Olivero C Avila Juan Carlos J 33 51.52 1.74/$1
097.7907 5 Smooth B 20/1 Adorno A Reid. Jr. Robert E. 211 14.69 1.04/$1
095.2410 2 Bezos 30/1 Hernandez Moreno O Goberdhan Chandradat 211 14.69 1.04/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.1998
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] *Actual Post Greater Than 9
*Scratches may change this condition

12/30/22, AQU, Race 8, 4.08 ET
12/30/22,AQU,8,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 CLAIMING. Purse $28,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR THREE YEAR OLD FILLIES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since June 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $14,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1A Raffinity 9/2 Carmouche K Rodriguez Rudy R. FEL 33 51.52 1.74/$1
099.9564 6 Amity Island 3/1 Cancel E Rice Linda C 123 33.33 1.05/$1
099.3492 11 Jerusalema 20/1 Gomez J A Breen Kelly J. SW 33 51.52 1.74/$1
099.0722 9 Poncho Song(b+) 8/1 Franco M Atras Rob T 86 23.26 1.20/$1
098.9530 7 Masabeeh 7/2 Davis D De Paz Horacio 35 31.43 1.02/$1
098.3986 5 Alicia's Way 12/1 Worrie A S Englehart Chris J. J 86 23.26 1.20/$1
097.1530 10 Carly Hustle 15/1 Davis K Toscano. Jr. John T. 33 51.52 1.74/$1
096.9250 3 She's Got Game(b+) 20/1 Olver M Davis Edmund D. 33 45.45 1.33/$1
096.6069 8 Infringement 10/1 Hernandez Moreno O Persaud Randi 33 45.45 1.33/$1
096.3041 2 Bells On Her Toes 30/1 Panaijo J Metivier Richard 86 23.26 1.20/$1
095.9942 1 Stormi Cat Lady 9/2 Maragh R R Rodriguez Gustavo 86 23.26 1.20/$1
091.2670 4 Sealithic 6/1 Davis J A Englehart Chris J. 35 31.43 1.02/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0436
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] *Actual Post Greater Than 9
*Scratches may change this condition

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