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Top Horse Analytics: 12/18/2022 Picks and Results - AQU


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.22.10.29a)

Track: AQU
Start Of Statistics - 11/11/2021
Past Number of Races - 973

 

 

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
35.56 0.84   9.60   Favorites
33.26 0.84 17.00   Morning Line Favorites
30.42 0.93 37.00   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)


Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

 

 

 

 

12/18/22, AQU, Race 1, 11.50 ET
12/18/22,AQU,1,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:14:02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $85,000. (UP TO $14,790 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).

. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

 

 

 

Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Wings Like Eagles 9/5 Lezcano J Mott William I. SFEC 86 22.09 1.48/$1
097.7873 3 Sourcing Network 1/1 Franco M Brown Chad C. JTW 50 42.00 1.21/$1
095.7268 1A Harley Girl 6/1 Gomez J A Corrales Jose   113 32.74 1.03/$1
095.5879 1 Golden Sting 6/1 Carmouche K Corrales Jose   86 22.09 1.48/$1
094.9684 2 Dolce Sera 15/1 Davis J A DeLauro Edward J. L 86 22.09 1.48/$1
090.9894 4 Western Lane 7/2 Rodriguez Castro L A Lynch Natalia   86 22.09 1.48/$1

Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.2127
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Workouts Turf Last 8 (M)

 

 


 

 

12/18/22, AQU, Race 2, 12.20 ET
12/18/22,AQU,2,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 CLAIMING. Purse $28,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR THREE YEAR OLDS. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since June 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $14,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).

. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

 

 

Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Hagler 2/1 Franco M Rodriguez Rudy R. E 505 27.92 0.83/$1
099.9815 4 Last Minute Mario 12/1 Davis D Catalano. Jr. Michael TL 505 27.92 0.83/$1
099.4449 3 Jade's Dream 7/2 Huayas G Jacobson David S 86 23.26 1.20/$1
098.7324 7 Forever Wicked 5/2 Castellano J Persaud Randi FC 86 23.26 1.20/$1
098.6244 6 El Mayor 12/1 Worrie A S Toscano. Jr. John T. JW 86 23.26 1.20/$1
098.4449 2 Dontbelate 7/2 Harkie H K Giangiulio Michelle   86 23.26 1.20/$1
095.0761 5 Super Wicked Charm 15/1 Gomez J A Jones Eduardo E.   86 23.26 1.20/$1

Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0185
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats

 

 


 

 

12/18/22, AQU, Race 3, 12.52 ET
12/18/22,AQU,3,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 CLAIMING. Purse $36,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since June 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At TimeOf Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).

. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

 

 

Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Run Devil 9/2 Cancel E Weaver George SFL 86 23.26 1.20/$1
099.7224 7 Freudian(b-) 5/2 Franco M Falcone. Jr. Robert N. J 505 27.92 0.83/$1
098.4044 6 Shigeko 7/2 Olver M Clement Christophe TEC 33 45.45 1.33/$1
098.3803 4 Goodmorning Angel 3/1 Lezcano J Asmussen Steven M.   505 27.92 0.83/$1
096.6445 1 Sedona Rocks 8/1 Harkie H K Skelton Dawn   505 27.92 0.83/$1
096.3232 2 R Girl Faith 12/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Thompson Marcus George   86 23.26 1.20/$1
095.0923 5 Infringement 6/1 Hernandez Moreno O Persaud Randi W 33 45.45 1.33/$1

Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.2776
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Finish Turf Last 1 (M)

 

 


 

 

12/18/22, AQU, Race 4, 1.18 ET
12/18/22,AQU,4,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 CLAIMING. Purse $28,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since June 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $10,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $8,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).

. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

 

 

Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 American Power 9/5 Carmouche K Atras Rob TSE 505 27.92 0.83/$1
098.8070 8 Its All Relevant 5/2 Davis D Rodriguez Rudy R. FL 505 27.92 0.83/$1
097.5108 9 Miami Chrome 20/1 Worrie A S Loaiza Ilmar J 505 27.92 0.83/$1
096.6292 6 Vintage Hollywood 15/1 Huayas G Rodriguez Gustavo W 33 45.45 1.33/$1
096.5827 4 It's Mandatory 3/1 Lezcano J Rice Linda   505 27.92 0.83/$1
096.2026 2 Jack the Cat 8/1 Gomez J A Weaver George C 86 23.26 1.20/$1
096.1205 5 Kumar 10/1 Olver M Barrera. III Oscar S.   86 23.26 1.20/$1
094.7454 1 O Shea Can U See 20/1 Maragh R R Laxmeter Daniel   86 23.26 1.20/$1
093.4918 7 Prince of Joy 30/1 Davis J A Legall Ricardo E.   505 27.92 0.83/$1

Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.1930
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats

 

 


 

 

12/18/22, AQU, Race 5, 1.46 ET
12/18/22,AQU,5,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 ALLOWANCE. Purse $90,000. (UP TO $15,660 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 2 lbs.

. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

 

 

Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 9 Curlin's Wisdom 9/5 Lezcano J Rice Linda SFC 86 23.26 1.20/$1
098.3156 6 Up to the Mark 3/1 Franco M Pletcher Todd A. T 86 23.26 1.20/$1
097.8531 1 Patient Capital 9/2 Carmouche K Maker Michael J. L 505 27.92 0.83/$1
097.7842 8 Watasha 6/1 Davis D Mott William I.   86 23.26 1.20/$1
097.4405 3 Legendary Lore 30/1 Huayas G Morey William E.   33 45.45 1.33/$1
097.3192 7 Shipsational(b+) 8/1 Castellano J Barker Edward R. JE 86 23.26 1.20/$1
096.4971 5 Perceived 15/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Rodriguez Rudy R.   86 23.26 1.20/$1
095.9758 4 Son of an Ex 15/1 Maragh R R Persaud Randi   505 27.92 0.83/$1
092.7213 2 Cool Quartet 12/1 Cancel E Atras Rob W 505 27.92 0.83/$1

Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.6844
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Finish Turf Last 1 (M)

 

 


 

 

12/18/22, AQU, Race 6, 2.14 ET
12/18/22,AQU,6,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $85,000. (UP TO $14,790 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).

. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

 

 

Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Occult 3/1 Franco M Brown Chad C. TL 63 39.68 1.30/$1
099.9186 10 My Betsy 5/2 Lezcano J Mott William I. SW 33 51.52 1.74/$1
099.7348 3 Don't Tell Amy 9/2 Carmouche K Morley Thomas FEC 63 39.68 1.30/$1
097.7462 8 Serena's Court 8/1 Davis D Clement Christophe   87 20.69 1.20/$1
096.3056 5 Welcometomyworld 12/1 Gomez J A Atras Rob   86 22.09 1.48/$1
096.1131 2 Lucky Combination 9/2 Castellano J Clement Christophe J 87 20.69 1.20/$1
095.7743 6 Graceful 30/1 Harkie H K Friedman Mitchell E.   63 39.68 1.30/$1
095.4370 1 Aunt Berra 12/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Rodriguez Rudy R.   67 19.40 1.26/$1
091.4563 9 Nightsaber (GB) 20/1 Maragh R R Trites A. Lands   86 22.09 1.48/$1
086.9199 4 Lady Empire 30/1 Huayas G Hills Timothy A.   86 22.09 1.48/$1

Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0814
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] First Race After 45 Days Off

 

 


 

 

12/18/22, AQU, Race 7, 2.42 ET
12/18/22,AQU,7,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 CLAIMING. Purse $28,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR THREE YEAR OLD FILLIES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since June 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $14,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).

. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

 

 

Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Villareggia 9/2 Castellano J Cash Norman L. FW 86 23.26 1.20/$1
099.0380 12 Poncho Song 4/1 Franco M Atras Rob TSC 33 51.52 1.74/$1
098.0944 8 Backed by Gold 7/2 Carmouche K Englehart Jeremiah C.   35 31.43 1.02/$1
097.7975 2 Gris Tormenta 15/1 Adorno A Clarke Dylan   86 23.26 1.20/$1
097.7919 5 Carly Hustle 20/1 Davis K Toscano. Jr. John T. J 86 23.26 1.20/$1
097.6468 7 Alicia's Way 6/1 Gomez J A Englehart Chris J.   86 17.44 1.13/$1
097.6111 1 Left Leaning Lucy 8/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Donk David G. L 35 31.43 1.02/$1
097.1702 4 Bells On Her Toes 30/1 Panaijo J Metivier Richard   35 31.43 1.02/$1
096.7920 9 Stormi Cat Lady 12/1 Huayas G Rodriguez Gustavo   86 17.44 1.13/$1
096.4081 11 Exfiltration 20/1 Harkie H K Pregman. Jr. John S. E 33 51.52 1.74/$1
096.2027 6 London Gold 12/1 Maragh R R Persaud Randi   86 23.26 1.20/$1
096.0044 10 More Mango 12/1 Olver M Ferraro James W.   33 51.52 1.74/$1

Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.9620
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Finish Turf Last 1 (M)

 

 


 

 

12/18/22, AQU, Race 8, 3.12 ET
12/18/22,AQU,8,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 ALLOWANCE. Purse $90,000. (UP TO $15,660 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 2 lbs.

. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

 

 

Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Gulfstream Way 4/1 Carmouche K Cox Brad H. SFL 505 27.92 0.83/$1
099.2728 4 Money Supply 2/1 Franco M Brown Chad C. TC 123 33.33 1.05/$1
098.7303 9 Luni Sima 8/1 Castellano J Walder Peter R. J 86 23.26 1.20/$1
098.6492 1 Three Jokers 6/1 Cancel E Terranova. II John P.   505 27.92 0.83/$1
098.6463 8 Southern Flag 9/2 Lezcano J Mott William I. E 505 27.92 0.83/$1
097.4497 3 Mandatory 8/1 Gomez J A Kimmel John C.   86 23.26 1.20/$1
096.4216 7 Vasariano 12/1 Davis D Cash Norman L. W 86 23.26 1.20/$1
096.4040 5 Royal Tryst 15/1 Laprida J Arenas Marcelo   505 27.92 0.83/$1
095.7218 6 Blake B. 15/1 Maragh R R Romero Jesus   505 27.92 0.83/$1

Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.7272
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats

 

 


 

 

12/18/22, AQU, Race 9, 3.40 ET
12/18/22,AQU,9,1 1/8M [Dirt] 1:47:00 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $55,000. (UP TO $9,570 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since June 1 Allowed 2 lbs.

. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

 

 

Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 11 Tonal Impact 7/2 Carmouche K Rice Linda C 33 51.52 1.74/$1
099.7609 9 Fromanothamutha 8/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Handal Raymond TSL 35 31.43 1.02/$1
098.8894 3 Gut Feeling 9/2 Laprida J Jones. Jr. Michael E.   35 31.43 1.02/$1
098.5193 6 Millean 8/1 Castellano J Klesaris Robert P.   86 23.26 1.20/$1
098.4740 8 Timbuktu 10/1 Franco M Nevin Michelle F 35 31.43 1.02/$1
098.0534 2 Big Venezuela 15/1 Gomez J A Tessore Bruno   86 23.26 1.20/$1
097.5921 7 Blu Grotto 8/1 Maragh R R Kimmel John C. W 86 23.26 1.20/$1
097.3266 1 Mo Rewards 6/1 Davis D Rodriguez Rudy R.   35 31.43 1.02/$1
097.2009 14 Curbstone 8/1 Olver M Morley Thomas E 33 51.52 1.74/$1
096.9168 12 Air Show 12/1 Lezcano J Rodriguez Rudy R.   33 51.52 1.74/$1
096.6751 5 Bert Bert Bert 12/1 Cancel E Baker Charlton   35 31.43 1.02/$1
096.1220 13 Liam's Fire 20/1 Davis K Chichakly Amira J 33 51.52 1.74/$1
095.2077 15 Voliero 30/1 Maragh R R Persaud Randi   33 51.52 1.74/$1
095.1016 4 Nantasket Beach 15/1 Adorno A Lawrence. II James L.   35 31.43 1.02/$1
092.8784 10 Cagney 50/1 Huayas G Schettino Domenick L.   33 51.52 1.74/$1

Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.2391
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] *Actual Post Greater Than 9
*Scratches may change this condition

 


 

12/18/22, AQU, Race 10, 4.08 ET
12/18/22,AQU,10,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $35,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Weight, 119 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).

. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

 

 

Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 9 Maize Loved Laffy 8/1 Enriquez Jr. M Chichakly Amira SF 113 32.74 1.03/$1
097.8889 1 Lady Quinn 4/1 Castellano J Breen Kelly J. JL 86 18.60 1.04/$1
096.0291 8 Super Slide 6/1 Davis D Baker Charlton TC 86 18.60 1.04/$1
094.6994 6 Jessica's Race 3/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Lawrence. II James L. E 63 39.68 1.30/$1
094.1252 7 Derwin's Paynter 5/1 Lezcano J Serpe Philip M.   113 32.74 1.03/$1
094.0367 3 Frankie Knows Best 15/1 Davis J A D'Alessandro Ralph   113 32.74 1.03/$1
093.9983 11 Ukrainian Princess 10/1 Huayas G Levine Bruce N.   33 51.52 1.74/$1
093.8162 5 Four Quartz 8/1 Gomez J A Morley Thomas   113 32.74 1.03/$1
092.6086 10 Striking Melody 20/1 Maragh R R Chichakly Amira W 86 22.09 1.48/$1
091.3816 4 Bandulu Queen 20/1 Adorno A Clarke Dylan   86 18.60 1.04/$1
088.4715 2 Sly Sloane 20/1 Davis K Hennig Mark A.   86 22.09 1.48/$1

Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.1111
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f
*Scratches may change this condition

 


 

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