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Top Horse Analytics: 12/16/2022 Picks and Results - AQU


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.22.10.29a)

Track: AQU
Start Of Statistics - 11/11/2021
Past Number of Races - 973

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
35.56 0.84   9.60   Favorites
33.26 0.84 17.00   Morning Line Favorites
30.42 0.93 37.00   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

12/16/22, AQU, Race 1, 12.20 ET
12/16/22,AQU,1,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $85,000. (UP TO $14,790 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Clubhouse 7/5 Carmouche K Pletcher Todd A. TS 86 22.09 1.48/$1
098.5986 4 Login Required 6/1 Franco M Camejo Jose M. FEC 113 32.74 1.03/$1
098.1903 6 Kool Kathmandu 6/1 Davis D Baker Charlton L 113 32.74 1.03/$1
098.0999 3 Venge 2/1 Castellano J Ribaudo Robert JW 50 42.00 1.21/$1
097.0492 5 Paxsational 9/2 Gomez J A Barker Edward R. 113 32.74 1.03/$1
092.8630 2 Fast Boat to Skye 15/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Donk David G. 86 22.09 1.48/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.4014
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Workouts Turf Last 8 (M)


12/16/22, AQU, Race 2, 12.50 ET
12/16/22,AQU,2,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 CLAIMING. Purse $55,000. (UP TO $9,570 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since June 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $32,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $25,000 Or Less Not Considered InAllowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1A Blue Paynt 9/5 Gonzalez S Kantarmaci Mertkan J 86 17.44 1.13/$1
099.9243 4 Suspended Campaign 3/1 Davis D Noda Orlando S 86 17.44 1.13/$1
099.6915 1 Chaysenbryn 9/5 Vargas. Jr. J A Kantarmaci Mertkan FEC 86 17.44 1.13/$1
099.4547 3 Sweet Mia 9/2 Olver M Baker Charlton T 33 45.45 1.33/$1
098.3772 2 Mon Petit Chou 5/2 Gomez J A Abreu Fernando 33 45.45 1.33/$1
098.2668 5 Chloe Rose 6/1 Huayas G Rodriguez Gustavo WL 33 45.45 1.33/$1
098.0047 6 Game Theory 15/1 Hernandez Moreno O Jones Eduardo E. 33 45.45 1.33/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0757
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Workouts Turf Last 6 (M)


12/16/22, AQU, Race 3, 1.18 ET
12/16/22,AQU,3,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $55,000. (UP TO $9,570 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since June 1 Allowed 2 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Holey Matrimony 8/1 Davis D Barrera. III Oscar S. SFE 86 23.26 1.20/$1
099.0605 5 Cees Get Degrees 8/5 Castellano J Jacobson David J 211 14.69 1.04/$1
098.3870 4 Cousin Andrew 7/2 Carmouche K Rice Linda C 211 14.69 1.04/$1
097.4814 2 Outasite 9/2 Olver M De Paz Horacio 86 23.26 1.20/$1
097.1662 7 Jet Speed 12/1 Lezcano J Tessore Bruno T 86 17.44 1.13/$1
097.1207 3 Upper Level 6/1 Franco M Lynch Natalia WL 211 14.69 1.04/$1
096.3637 1 Hatch 5/1 Gomez J A Martin Carlos F. 182 15.93 1.19/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.9395
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Finish Turf Last 1 (M)


12/16/22, AQU, Race 4, 1.46 ET
12/16/22,AQU,4,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:14:02 CLAIMING. Purse $28,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since June 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $10,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $8,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment DueAt Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 First Deputy 5/2 Davis D Englehart Jeffrey S. JTSFC 86 17.44 1.13/$1
098.8810 6 Cavaradossi 7/2 Gomez J A Englehart Chris J. E 33 45.45 1.33/$1
097.0442 8 Son of Darkness 5/1 Gomez O Breed. Jr. Ronald 211 14.69 1.04/$1
096.2450 1 Musical America 4/1 Olver M Jones Eduardo E. 182 15.93 1.19/$1
094.4714 4 Exxtop 20/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Thompson Marcus George 86 23.26 1.20/$1
094.3381 7 Trigger Pull 5/1 Davis J A Loaiza Ilmar 211 14.69 1.04/$1
093.4470 3 Acalteque 10/1 Fuentes E Chin Peter A. W 33 45.45 1.33/$1
092.8012 2 Reux (GB)(b+) 10/1 Harkie H K Kantarmaci Mertkan L 86 17.44 1.13/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.1190
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Workouts Turf Last 6 (M)


12/16/22, AQU, Race 5, 2.14 ET
12/16/22,AQU,5,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $70,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Weight, 119 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Silver Skillet 6/5 Franco M Clement Christophe SFE 63 39.68 1.30/$1
099.4924 8 Miss Fashionista 4/1 Carmouche K Pletcher Todd A. T 87 20.69 1.20/$1
098.4720 9 The Splendid One 10/1 Harkie H K Hennig Mark A. L 86 22.09 1.48/$1
097.2326 7 Mischievous Molly 8/1 Lezcano J Rice Linda 87 20.69 1.20/$1
096.7365 3 Lavon 12/1 Davis J A Coffey Marialice C 63 39.68 1.30/$1
096.5312 1 Cairo Sugar 8/1 Wolfsont A Bedard Alan 86 22.09 1.48/$1
094.5883 5 La Conquistadora(b+) 10/1 Castellano J Breen Kelly J. JW 63 39.68 1.30/$1
093.5140 4 Miss Barb 15/1 Maragh R R Nevin Michelle 86 22.09 1.48/$1
091.1077 6 Never Personal 12/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Levine Bruce N. 63 39.68 1.30/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.5076
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] First Race After 45 Days Off


12/16/22, AQU, Race 6, 2.42 ET
12/16/22,AQU,6,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:14:02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $70,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 9 Shinfull 5/2 Carmouche K Schosberg Richard E. SFL 113 32.74 1.03/$1
099.1984 3 Photon(b+) 2/1 Castellano J Breen Kelly J. JE 86 22.09 1.48/$1
097.9013 8 Voleuse 4/1 Franco M Clement Christophe TC 113 32.74 1.03/$1
097.3895 1 Bon Adieu 6/1 Davis D Gargan Danny W 50 42.00 1.21/$1
097.2726 6 Spooky Lady 8/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Rodriguez Rudy R. 68 42.65 1.17/$1
096.6434 5 Grannys Connection 12/1 Cancel E Morley Thomas 113 32.74 1.03/$1
096.4560 7 Frannie Lew 15/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Donk David G. 113 32.74 1.03/$1
093.3935 2 Virtual Beauty 30/1 Maragh R R Goberdhan Chandradat 113 32.74 1.03/$1
092.1016 4 She's a Natural 30/1 Harkie H K Sciacca Gary 86 22.09 1.48/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.8016
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f
*Scratches may change this condition

12/16/22, AQU, Race 7, 3.12 ET
12/16/22,AQU,7,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 CLAIMING. Purse $65,000. (UP TO $11,310 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Since June 1 Allowed 2 lbs. A Race Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $40,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Funny Joke 3/1 Carmouche K Atras Rob TE 505 27.92 0.83/$1
099.6466 8 Buckingham Prince(b+) 6/1 Huayas G Englehart Chris J. S 33 45.45 1.33/$1
099.2447 7 Catching Cupid 5/1 Franco M Arriaga Antonio 505 27.92 0.83/$1
099.0802 2 Printrack 2/1 Gomez J A Nevin Michelle FL 33 45.45 1.33/$1
098.5786 6 Skylander 8/1 Davis D Englehart Jeffrey S. C 123 33.33 1.05/$1
098.4597 5 Good Skate 6/1 Harkie H K Giangiulio Michelle 86 17.44 1.13/$1
098.1164 3 Salute to America 10/1 Castellano J Morley Thomas J 86 17.44 1.13/$1
096.1999 4 Lord Gatling 20/1 Maragh R R Pringle Edmund W 86 17.44 1.13/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.3534
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


12/16/22, AQU, Race 8, 3.40 ET
12/16/22,AQU,8,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $90,000. (UP TO $15,660 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $45,000. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $45,000 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Jane Grey 1/1 Lezcano J Mott William I. FEWC 86 23.26 1.20/$1
098.7479 1 My Sweet Wife 5/1 Carmouche K Nevin Michelle 505 27.92 0.83/$1
098.6050 5 Flashndynamite 10/1 Gonzalez S Moore Michael M. JTS 505 27.92 0.83/$1
098.5899 6 Choose Happiness 8/1 Franco M Rodriguez Rudy R. 86 23.26 1.20/$1
097.3679 2 Vienna Code 12/1 Cancel E Williams Andrew O. 86 23.26 1.20/$1
097.0364 7 Firenze Freedom 15/1 Gomez J A Breen Kelly J. 33 45.45 1.33/$1
096.9670 8 Sweet Surprise 10/1 Huayas G Hills Timothy A. L 86 23.26 1.20/$1
090.9602 3 Caironi 9/2 Davis D Miceli Michael 86 23.26 1.20/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.2521
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Finish Turf Last 1 (M)


12/16/22, AQU, Race 9, 4.08 ET
12/16/22,AQU,9,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $43,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Weight, 119 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Maize Loved Laffy 12/1 Enriquez Jr. M Chichakly Amira SW 50 42.00 1.21/$1
099.9090 5 Slow Down Summer 9/2 Davis D Rodriguez Rudy R. L 68 42.65 1.17/$1
099.8424 9 Kara Para(b+) 5/2 Carmouche K Rice Linda FEC 86 22.09 1.48/$1
099.2335 2 Follow the Fed 8/1 Davis K Rodriguez Rudy R. 86 22.09 1.48/$1
098.9314 11 Forever Amy 30/1 Worrie A S Englehart Jeffrey S. J 33 51.52 1.74/$1
098.8702 1A Honest Banker 10/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Atras Rob T 33 51.52 1.74/$1
098.7989 10 Joeybignose 8/1 Gomez J A Joseph. Jr. Saffie A. 113 32.74 1.03/$1
098.0469 6 Knowing You 8/1 Lezcano J Breen Kelly J. 113 32.74 1.03/$1
097.8384 1 Frankie Knows Best 10/1 Davis J A D'Alessandro Ralph 33 51.52 1.74/$1
097.4669 4 Pretty Miss Keens 6/1 Franco M Weaver George 86 18.60 1.04/$1
097.4400 8 Pauciloquent 15/1 Harkie H K Bond H. James 113 32.74 1.03/$1
095.1929 7 Bernt Again(b+) 15/1 Huayas G Schettino Domenick L. 86 22.09 1.48/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0910
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Best Workouts


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