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Top Horse Analytics: 12/16/2022 Picks and Results - TP


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.22.10.29a)

Track: TP
Start Of Statistics - 12/02/2021
Past Number of Races - 457

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
34.14 0.86 10.20   Favorites
33.72 0.88 13.00   Morning Line Favorites
28.45 1.06 53.00   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

12/16/22, TP, Race 1, 5.55 ET
12/16/22,TP,1,6 1/2F [All Weather] 1:15:00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $19,000 (plus up to $4,750 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $7,500.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 14 Meatloaf's Chance 20/1 Bermudez S E Gonzalez Lilia TL 98 31.63 1.68/$1
098.9306 6 Jahez 6/1 Rodriguez W A Trujillo Elvis 98 31.63 1.68/$1
098.5097 9 Strings(b+) 6/1 Canuto T Demeritte Larry W. S 98 31.63 1.68/$1
098.3903 10 Private Connie 4/1 Lebron V Hancock John A. 98 31.63 1.68/$1
097.8505 12 Mahal Kita 10/1 De La Cruz F Medina Tomas 98 31.63 1.68/$1
097.7989 7 Gaon Flag (KOR) 5/2 Sanjur S Hernandez Rey E 98 31.63 1.68/$1
096.7884 13 Rhodesia 12/1 Cannon D Medina Robert 98 31.63 1.68/$1
096.5968 11 Just a Notion 12/1 Bermudez S E Fontenot Dawn A. W 98 31.63 1.68/$1
096.5640 4 John Edward 30/1 Betancourt R Jones Bobbie E. 98 31.63 1.68/$1
096.1941 8 Jackys Back 9/2 Ramos J D Matthews Randy JFC 98 31.63 1.68/$1
095.9553 5 Pursuant 20/1 Bays B Egbert James 98 31.63 1.68/$1
092.3133 3 River Stones 15/1 Elliott J Duvall William E. 98 31.63 1.68/$1
087.6083 1 Memphis Theprophet 30/1 Haldar D J Hernandez Javier 283 20.14 1.22/$1
087.0216 2 American Silver 30/1 Miranda R Bahena Ismael 98 31.63 1.68/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 0.00, ROI 0.00/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.0694
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f
*Scratches may change this condition

12/16/22, TP, Race 2, 6.25 ET
12/16/22,TP,2,1 1/4M [All Weather] 2:01:04 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $23,000 (plus up to $5,750 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS IN 2021 - 2022. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Over A Mile Since November 16 Allowed 2 lbs. (Highweights Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 English Challenge 5/2 Ramos J D Estvanko Richard 341 27.27 1.10/$1
098.4476 7 T J Munnings 30/1 Rodriguez W A Bogle Fergus S 341 27.27 1.10/$1
098.3518 6 Orazio 8/1 Sanjur S Walsh Ryan D. 283 20.14 1.22/$1
096.7717 3 Count Frost 20/1 Machado L Caramori Eduardo 341 27.27 1.10/$1
093.6592 8 Sun Daddy 8/1 Franklin M Greenhill Jeffrey L. 283 20.14 1.22/$1
092.4548 5 Snake Bite 5/1 Esquivel E Cano Juan Munoz F 371 28.57 1.09/$1
091.5099 13 Neversaynoletsgo 6/1 McKee J Reed Eric R. C 283 20.14 1.22/$1
091.4300 11 Blessed With Luck 10/1 Bermudez S E Eggleston Tim L 283 20.14 1.22/$1
091.1488 9 Shipshape 10/1 Corrales G Medina Tomas J 283 20.14 1.22/$1
090.7902 4 Wildcard Prado 12/1 De La Cruz F Richardville Tianna TW 174 24.71 1.22/$1
090.7825 10 Markitoff 3/1 Achard A Ennis John E 341 27.27 1.10/$1
089.5417 2 Saving Mama 30/1 Canuto T Morelos Mateo 283 20.14 1.22/$1
087.9597 12 Howard Roark 50/1 Ayala I Martinez Matthew R. 283 20.14 1.22/$1
087.7322 14 Eye of Gunfighter 20/1 McKee J Smith Lawrence M. 283 20.14 1.22/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 0.00, ROI 0.00/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.5524
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Was Not Favorite(not entry)


12/16/22, TP, Race 3, 6.55 ET
12/16/22,TP,3,1 1/16M [All Weather] 1:42:01 CLAIMING. Purse $22,000 (plus up to $5,500 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since November 16 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $7,500 (Races Where Entered For $6,250 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Not So Easy 7/2 Chirinos R Girten Tim FC 341 27.27 1.10/$1
097.9251 5 Eli 6/1 Cannon D Macias Adolfo S 283 20.14 1.22/$1
097.6172 10 Got Lost 10/1 Bermudez S E Klopp Randy L. E 283 20.14 1.22/$1
096.9490 9 Generator 9/2 Franklin M Grubbs Jamie L. T 283 20.14 1.22/$1
095.9906 1 American Nightmare(b-) 8/1 Canuto T Howard John D. 283 20.14 1.22/$1
095.0867 4 Ferryboat 15/1 Peterson F Miller Jerome F. WL 130 30.77 1.32/$1
094.8901 3 Daaher Street 8/1 Miranda R Wisner Tracey J. 283 20.14 1.22/$1
094.6401 8 Deceiver 6/1 De La Cruz F Glyshaw Tim 283 20.14 1.22/$1
089.6755 6 World of Fools 20/1 McKee J Smith Lawrence M. 283 20.14 1.22/$1
089.2581 7 Rookwood 4/1 Ramos J D Langemeier John L. J 174 31.61 1.29/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 0.00, ROI 0.00/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.0749
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Was Not Favorite(not entry)


12/16/22, TP, Race 4, 7.25 ET
12/16/22,TP,4,6 1/2F [All Weather] 1:15:00 CLAIMING. Purse $32,000 (plus up to $8,000 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since November 16 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $30,000, For Each $5,000 To $20,000 1 lb. (Races Where Entered For $17,500 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Blue Norther(b-) 7/2 Gilligan J Walden William TW 98 31.63 1.68/$1
099.4782 6 Holiday House 9/2 Corrales G Estvanko Richard JS 98 31.63 1.68/$1
098.5828 3 Filippo 3/1 McKee J Thornbury Jeffrey D. L 98 31.63 1.68/$1
098.5777 7 Bernie Lomax 6/1 Lezcano A Corrigan Jimmy 98 31.63 1.68/$1
098.4872 11 Mischievous Rogue 6/1 Machado L Cowans William D. 98 31.63 1.68/$1
097.7366 8 My Gold Mirror 8/1 Bermudez S E Klopp Randy L. 98 31.63 1.68/$1
096.6020 2 Enjoyment 15/1 Haldar D J Gorostieta Cirilo 98 31.63 1.68/$1
096.4773 10 Gun Rush 15/1 Padron-Barcenas J Corrigan Jimmy E 98 31.63 1.68/$1
096.3496 9 Oxwood 20/1 Ramos J D Woodbury Judy 98 31.63 1.68/$1
095.2470 5 Mr. Cunningham 20/1 Chirinos R Meredith Charles 98 31.63 1.68/$1
092.4346 1 Bullbriar 20/1 Elliott J Guida Anthony E. FC 283 20.14 1.22/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 0.00, ROI 0.00/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.5218
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f
*Scratches may change this condition

12/16/22, TP, Race 5, 7.55 ET
12/16/22,TP,5,6F [All Weather] 1:08:00 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $74,000 (includes up to $37,000 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $7,500 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $25,000. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of $18,600 Since November 16 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (Races Where Entered For $20,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 9 Purple Dream 6/1 Ramos J D Lobo Paulo H. J 98 31.63 1.68/$1
099.9329 14 Lincoln City 5/2 Cannon D Wong Jonathan F 98 31.63 1.68/$1
099.6757 10 Real News 10/1 McKee J Martinez Ralph TS 98 31.63 1.68/$1
099.0192 6 Race Driver 3/1 Esquivel E Hernandez Armando 98 31.63 1.68/$1
098.9388 5 Fight On 6/1 Emigh C A Vanden Berg Brittany A 98 31.63 1.68/$1
098.7372 11 Circle Back Jack 8/1 Gilligan J Hamilton Sarah EL 98 31.63 1.68/$1
098.1777 2 Drive for Fun 6/1 Bermudez S E Delacruz Mejia Joel 98 31.63 1.68/$1
097.6548 7 Stride(b+) 10/1 Aragon R Mackey Wayne L. C 98 31.63 1.68/$1
096.7535 13 Caramelito 10/1 Chirinos R Garcia Genaro 98 31.63 1.68/$1
096.6501 8 Natural Power (IRE) 4/1 De La Cruz F Hiles Jeff A. 98 31.63 1.68/$1
096.3437 4 Vassar's Boy 20/1 Cannon D Lyster Stephen S. 98 31.63 1.68/$1
093.9089 3 Malibu Mike(b-) 20/1 Cheminaud V Correas. IV Ignacio 98 31.63 1.68/$1
091.3779 1 Powell 50/1 Musarro J Sherman Justin W 283 20.14 1.22/$1
086.8946 12 Kantpaythetoll 30/1 Ouzts P W Greenhill Jeffrey L. 98 31.63 1.68/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 0.00, ROI 0.00/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0671
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f
*Scratches may change this condition

12/16/22, TP, Race 6, 8.25 ET
12/16/22,TP,6,6 1/2F [All Weather] 1:15:00 CLAIMING. Purse $32,000 (plus up to $8,000 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since November 16 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $30,000, For Each $5,000 To $20,000 1 lb. (Races Where Entered For $17,500 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 8 Quarterflash 10/1 Chirinos R Girten Tim 98 31.63 1.68/$1
099.8013 6 Domitia Lucilla 9/2 Esquivel E Simms. Jr. Mark TL 98 31.63 1.68/$1
098.0912 10 Quick Conversation 10/1 Gilligan J Colebrook Ben S 98 31.63 1.68/$1
097.5793 7 Spare a Dime 3/1 Corrales G Morey William E. J 98 31.63 1.68/$1
097.5741 14 Halaga 10/1 Gilligan J Hamilton Sarah E 98 31.63 1.68/$1
097.5566 4 Connectthecauseway 8/1 Machado L West Ethan W. 98 31.63 1.68/$1
097.5439 13 Social Mandate 10/1 Sanjur S Cano Juan Munoz 98 31.63 1.68/$1
097.0121 9 Monocacy 6/1 Cannon D King Barry L. 98 31.63 1.68/$1
096.9339 1 Eclipsed 12/1 Haldar D J Garcia Genaro 283 20.14 1.22/$1
096.3863 5 Miss Eliana 30/1 Mojica. Jr. R Beck Rowena 98 31.63 1.68/$1
096.2682 2 Dalton's Love 15/1 De La Cruz F Greenhill Jeffrey L. 98 31.63 1.68/$1
095.8045 11 Bel Aria 10/1 Beckman A Foster Eric N. 98 31.63 1.68/$1
093.5421 3 Vaccina 8/1 Canuto T Judd Cassandra 98 31.63 1.68/$1
091.4209 12 Only Time 12/1 Ramos J D Brownfield. III Claude FWC 98 31.63 1.68/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 0.00, ROI 0.00/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.1987
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f
*Scratches may change this condition

12/16/22, TP, Race 7, 8.55 ET
12/16/22,TP,7,6 1/2F [All Weather] 1:15:00 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $80,000 (includes up to $40,000 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $12,500 THREE TIMES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED SINCE JUNE 16, 2022 OR CLAIMING PRICE $50,000. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of $18,600 Twice Since September 16 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000 (Races Where Entered For $45,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 12 Visitant 8/5 Corrales G Morey William E. JFE 98 31.63 1.68/$1
098.8641 5 Bad Beat Brian 7/2 Emigh C A Vanden Berg Brittany A 98 31.63 1.68/$1
098.7925 8 Asymmetric (IRE) 4/1 Ramos J D Ward Wesley A. T 98 31.63 1.68/$1
097.9674 13 Like a Saltshaker 15/1 Esquivel E Contreras Cipriano 98 31.63 1.68/$1
097.8858 7 Mucho 4/1 Esquivel E Ortiz John Alexander W 98 31.63 1.68/$1
097.3816 1 Night Time 10/1 Landeros C Romans Dale L. S 283 20.14 1.22/$1
097.1198 3 Solidify 15/1 Chirinos R D'Angelo Jose Francisc C 98 31.63 1.68/$1
096.5254 4 Awesome Aaron 20/1 Cannon D Green Troy 98 31.63 1.68/$1
096.5157 11 A Few too Many 30/1 De La Cruz F Elliott Michelle L. 98 31.63 1.68/$1
095.0681 2 Lofty Adjudicator 50/1 McKee J Navarrete Anna 98 31.63 1.68/$1
093.6109 9 Blessed Arion 50/1 Rodriguez W A Rawlings Amanda Collee 98 31.63 1.68/$1
092.7481 6 Hazel Rah 50/1 Elliott J Guida Anthony E. 98 31.63 1.68/$1
089.9297 14 Bakers Bay 10/1 Franklin M Drury. Jr. Thomas 98 31.63 1.68/$1
086.9543 10 Rome 30/1 Lezcano A Hernandez Rey L 98 31.63 1.68/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 0.00, ROI 0.00/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.1359
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f
*Scratches may change this condition

12/16/22, TP, Race 8, 9.25 ET
12/16/22,TP,8,1 1/16M [All Weather] 1:42:01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $70,000 (includes up to $35,000 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. (Preference To Horses That Have Not Started For Less Than $30,000).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Coach Petro 5/2 Landeros C Cox Brad H. SE 283 20.14 1.22/$1
096.7258 3 Chance(b+) 12/1 Franklin M Drury. Jr. Thomas W 283 20.14 1.22/$1
096.6956 1 Let Me Love You 10/1 Machado L Asmussen Steven M. FC 283 20.14 1.22/$1
095.0924 8 Accident 5/1 De La Cruz F Short Tommy C. 283 20.14 1.22/$1
092.6362 12 Onasa 4/1 Corrales G Rivelli Larry TL 283 20.14 1.22/$1
090.2725 2 Global Surprise 7/2 Cheminaud V Delgado Gustavo 283 20.14 1.22/$1
090.1721 10 First Strike 12/1 Ramos J D Lobo Paulo H. 283 20.14 1.22/$1
089.8741 5 Pace 30/1 Esquivel E Simms. Jr. Mark 283 20.14 1.22/$1
089.3041 14 Mogul Crack 12/1 Corrales G Gutierrez Fausto 283 20.14 1.22/$1
088.0794 13 Crossing 20/1 McKee J Lauer Michael E. 260 30.77 1.23/$1
087.7053 7 Barrelhouse(b+) 12/1 Rodriguez W A McCarthy Michael W. 283 20.14 1.22/$1
087.2356 11 Washington's Union 20/1 Gilligan J Sims Philip A. 283 20.14 1.22/$1
086.8598 9 Spencer's Boy Luna(b-) 50/1 Mojica. Jr. R Toye Kara Lin 283 20.14 1.22/$1
086.8062 6 Canavall 50/1 Cannon D Vaughan Edward 283 20.14 1.22/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 0.00, ROI 0.00/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -3.2742
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Jockey+Trainer Dirt YTD_Curr*0.5
*Scratches may change this condition

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