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Top Horse Analytics: 12/11/2022 Picks and Results - AQU


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.22.10.29a)

Track: AQU
Start Of Statistics - 11/11/2021
Past Number of Races - 973

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
35.56 0.84   9.60   Favorites
33.26 0.84 17.00   Morning Line Favorites
30.42 0.93 37.00   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

12/11/22, AQU, Race 1, 12.20 ET
12/11/22,AQU,1,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $85,000. (UP TO $14,790 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 121 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Charging Lady 9/5 Carmouche K Pletcher Todd A. T 87 20.69 1.20/$1
098.3012 2 Geometrique 4/1 Huayas G Ribaudo Robert FC 63 39.68 1.30/$1
098.2989 4 Mischief Motion(b-) 5/1 Gomez J A Tessore Bruno S 63 39.68 1.30/$1
098.0333 1 Into Happiness 5/2 Franco M Nevin Michelle JEL 63 39.68 1.30/$1
097.4056 5 Ughrouda 9/2 Adorno A Jones. Jr. Michael E. W 63 39.68 1.30/$1
095.5555 3 Dolce Sera(b-) 12/1 Cancel E DeLauro Edward J. 63 39.68 1.30/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.6988
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance is 1m


12/11/22, AQU, Race 2, 12.50 ET
12/11/22,AQU,2,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $32,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Cookie Crumbs 6/5 Carmouche K Pletcher Todd A. JTSFEL 86 22.09 1.48/$1
095.4239 7 Bella Michelle(b-) 5/2 Huayas G Martin Carlos F. 86 18.60 1.04/$1
095.2553 1 In Good Trouble 6/1 Gomez J A DiPrima Gregory 86 18.60 1.04/$1
094.3211 4 Hoochie Coo 8/1 Davis J A Sciacca Gary 113 32.74 1.03/$1
094.0439 6 Indyan Penny(b+) 10/1 Cancel E Johnson Cleveland WC 86 22.09 1.48/$1
090.6163 2 Bank Buster 8/1 Luzzi M J Ryan Derek S. 86 18.60 1.04/$1
087.9932 3 Hypnocurrency 12/1 Maragh R R Begg James Bentley 86 22.09 1.48/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -4.5761
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Workouts Turf Last 8 (M)


12/11/22, AQU, Race 3, 1.18 ET
12/11/22,AQU,3,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:14:02 CLAIMING. Purse $37,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR THREE YEAR OLDS. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since June 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Win for Gold 7/5 Carmouche K Rice Linda TEL 182 15.93 1.19/$1
099.8283 4 Jake Rocks 2/1 Lezcano J Rodriguez Rudy R. S 211 14.69 1.04/$1
098.4186 2 Charger(b+) 8/1 Olver M Rodriguez Rudy R. 33 45.45 1.33/$1
098.1405 5 Will E Sutton 6/1 Harkie H K Kantarmaci Mertkan 86 23.26 1.20/$1
096.7784 6 Eddie the Great 4/1 Davis D Barker Edward R. JFC 211 14.69 1.04/$1
094.5636 3 Alite 15/1 Maragh R R Pringle Edmund W 86 17.44 1.13/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.1717
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f
*Scratches may change this condition

12/11/22, AQU, Race 4, 1.46 ET
12/11/22,AQU,4,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $47,000. (UP TO $8,178 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $25,000 OR LESS IN 2021 - 2022. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Since June 1 Allowed 2 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Spooky Road 9/5 Lezcano J Rice Linda 86 17.44 1.13/$1
099.2857 1 Its Cold in Dehere 2/1 Carmouche K Rodriguez Gustavo 86 17.44 1.13/$1
099.1983 6 Aegean Sea 15/1 Davis D Brown. Jr. Howard R. JW 86 17.44 1.13/$1
099.1944 4 Alarm Clock 12/1 Harkie H K Follett Norman C. FC 123 33.33 1.05/$1
098.3826 1A Customerexperience(b+) 2/1 Cancel E Toscano. Jr. John T. S 505 27.92 0.83/$1
098.3451 5 Easy to Bless 7/2 Davis J A Ferraro James W. E 505 27.92 0.83/$1
097.9682 3 Honey Money 8/1 Gomez J A Atras Rob T 33 45.45 1.33/$1
097.8263 7 Short Summer Dress 8/1 Franco M Lee Joseph R. L 505 27.92 0.83/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.7143
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Workouts Turf Last 6 (M)


12/11/22, AQU, Race 5, 2.14 ET
12/11/22,AQU,5,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:14:02 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $80,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMINGPRICE OF $45,000. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Claiming Or Starter Since June 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $45,000 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Spin a Yarn 8/1 Gomez J A Progno Christopher TSL 33 45.45 1.33/$1
099.7929 3 Ribot's Valentine 7/2 Davis D Handal Raymond JFE 211 14.69 1.04/$1
099.2659 6 Khali Magic 5/2 Franco M Englehart Chris J. W 211 14.69 1.04/$1
097.9472 8 Happy Sophia 3/1 Luzzi M J Persaud Randi 211 14.69 1.04/$1
097.4290 5 Pretty Clever 10/1 Carmouche K Begg James Bentley 86 23.26 1.20/$1
097.1782 2 Captainsdaughter 6/1 Cancel E Cash Russell J. 86 23.26 1.20/$1
096.6861 1 Byhubbyhellomoney 15/1 Olver M Dunham Bob G. C 182 15.93 1.19/$1
096.5586 9 Vallelujah 15/1 Davis J A Davis Robbie G. 86 23.26 1.20/$1
093.0695 7 Curly Girl 20/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Barrow Paul W. 211 14.69 1.04/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.2071
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Carries Apprentice Weight


12/11/22, AQU, Race 6, 2.42 ET
12/11/22,AQU,6,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $43,000. FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Weight, 119 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Disarmed 5/2 Franco M Clement Christophe SFEC 86 18.60 1.04/$1
097.3833 8 Max Foster 9/2 Gomez J A Englehart Jeffrey S. 63 39.68 1.30/$1
096.5227 6 In My Shadow 30/1 Davis K Fisher Linda J 113 32.74 1.03/$1
096.3984 1 The Catillac Kid(b+) 8/1 Davis D Baker Charlton 63 39.68 1.30/$1
096.2890 9 Saratoga Strong 8/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Handal Raymond T 113 32.74 1.03/$1
095.7415 11 Zuccarace 12/1 Cancel E Englehart Chris J. 33 51.52 1.74/$1
095.4037 10 Color Commish 6/1 Davis J A Sells Rachel 33 51.52 1.74/$1
094.1747 2 Milagroso 15/1 Huayas G Brown Bruce R. 113 32.74 1.03/$1
093.4203 4 Fire King(b-) 4/1 Carmouche K Camejo Jose M. W 50 42.00 1.21/$1
092.3548 3 Lieutenant Sam 20/1 Harkie H K Bond H. James L 113 32.74 1.03/$1
091.3080 5 Brad's Bet 30/1 Panaijo J Cash Russell J. 113 32.74 1.03/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.6167
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Speed Turf Last 9 (M)


12/11/22, AQU, Race 7, 3.12 ET
12/11/22,AQU,7,1 1/8M [Dirt] 1:47:00 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $47,000. (UP TO $8,178 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $25,000 OR LESS IN 2021 - 2022. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming At A Mile Or Over Since June 1 Allowed 2lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Rough Sea 9/2 Lezcano J Tessore Bruno TSC 123 33.33 1.05/$1
097.7871 9 No Salt 7/2 Davis D Miceli Michael JFW 35 31.43 1.02/$1
097.5697 7 Famished 10/1 Carmouche K De Paz Horacio 35 31.43 1.02/$1
096.8557 8 Amatteroftime 6/1 Haddock D Ramirez Silvino 35 31.43 1.02/$1
096.6925 10 No Burn 9/2 Huayas G Barrera. III Oscar S. E 33 51.52 1.74/$1
096.5307 3 Locally Owned 10/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Morley Thomas 35 31.43 1.02/$1
096.2853 1 Outlier 4/1 Batista L A Cash Norman L. 35 31.43 1.02/$1
096.1350 6 Therisastormbrewin 15/1 Gomez J A Giangiulio Michelle L 33 45.45 1.33/$1
095.4751 2 Healing 12/1 Franco M Friedman Mitchell E. 35 31.43 1.02/$1
094.4462 4 Uno 30/1 Cancel E DeLauro Edward J. 35 31.43 1.02/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.2129
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Best Closer


12/11/22, AQU, Race 8, 3.40 ET
12/11/22,AQU,8,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 ALLOWANCE. Purse $75,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter Allowed 2 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Today's Flavor 3/1 Franco M Weaver George SFE 211 14.69 1.04/$1
098.7616 10 My Last Mission 12/1 Rose J Pecoraro Anthony T 33 51.52 1.74/$1
098.5437 1 Zircon 9/2 Gomez J A Progno Christopher 182 15.93 1.19/$1
098.3181 3 On the Hill(b+) 6/1 Harkie H K Bond H. James C 86 23.26 1.20/$1
098.0979 2 Safalow's Mission 10/1 Lezcano J Rice Linda 211 14.69 1.04/$1
096.9215 6 Warriors Revenge 4/1 Navarro K Hennig Mark A. 211 14.69 1.04/$1
096.8602 11 Taco Bean 20/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Romero Jesus 33 51.52 1.74/$1
096.8225 9 Persistent Danger 30/1 Davis J A Sells Rachel 211 14.69 1.04/$1
096.0374 8 Open Til Midnight 30/1 Davis D Ryerson James T. 211 14.69 1.04/$1
095.6730 7 Constant Knight 30/1 Davis K Black Mary C. J 86 23.26 1.20/$1
092.5276 4 The Institute 4/1 Carmouche K Rice Linda WL 211 14.69 1.04/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.2384
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f


12/11/22, AQU, Race 9, 4.08 ET
12/11/22,AQU,9,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:14:02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $35,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 10 Eight and Sand 4/1 Carmouche K Giangiulio Michelle SF 33 51.52 1.74/$1
098.1887 9 Patrick the Great(b+) 7/2 Lezcano J Rice Linda EW 86 22.09 1.48/$1
097.7179 11 Escape Mission 8/1 Davis D Handal Raymond 33 51.52 1.74/$1
097.5281 2 Hereby 6/1 Franco M Brown Bruce R. J 86 18.60 1.04/$1
097.1804 5 Chief Engineer 8/1 Panaijo J Cash Russell J. L 86 18.60 1.04/$1
095.9570 3 Reunion Tour 15/1 Olver M Ferraro James W. C 86 22.09 1.48/$1
095.8570 12 Itsalittlebitfunny 8/1 Gomez J A Breen Kelly J. 33 51.52 1.74/$1
095.7509 4 Dancing With Rico 15/1 Cancel E Englehart Chris J. 113 32.74 1.03/$1
095.6896 7 Tiza Brown 20/1 Maragh R R Persaud Randi 68 42.65 1.17/$1
095.1998 8 Red Jet 30/1 Harkie H K Younghans William T 86 22.09 1.48/$1
094.7712 6 Our Son Jake(b+) 6/1 Huayas G Miceli Michael 86 22.09 1.48/$1
089.7065 1 Uncle Bruce 30/1 Hernandez Moreno O Brown Bruce R. 86 22.09 1.48/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.12, ROI 0.89/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.8113
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] *Actual Post Greater Than 9
*Scratches may change this condition

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