Jump to content
Top Horse Analytics

Top Horse Analytics: 08/03/2022 Picks and Results - SAR


Recommended Posts

TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.22.05.24b)

Track: SAR
Start Of Statistics - 07/28/2021
Past Number of Races - 411

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
36.74 0.87   9.40   Favorites
34.67 0.91 18.80   Morning Line Favorites
35.28 1.14 31.40   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

08/03/22, SAR, Race 1, 1.05 ET
08/03/22,SAR,1,2 1/16M [Turf] 3:36:01 STAKES. Jonathan Kiser Novice Stakes. Purse $75,000. TO BE RUN OVER NATIONAL FENCES HURDLE. For Four Year Olds and Upward which have not won over hurdles prior to March 1, 2021 or which have never won three races, other than three-year-old. Four year olds, 144lbs, Older, 150lbs. Winners, other than maiden, claiming, starter, or three-year-old: 3lbs. extra for each race won.
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 19.05, ROI 0.67/$1

* Race is not supported *

08/03/22, SAR, Race 2, 1.39 ET
08/03/22,SAR,2,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $50,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Darn That Song 7/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Sciacca Gary JL 221 42.53 1.27/$1
098.3175 8 Dorothy's the Boss 4/1 Ortiz J L Kimmel John C. E 221 42.53 1.27/$1
097.0581 4 Ace Up Her Sleeve 8/1 Gaffalione T Klesaris Steve W 221 42.53 1.27/$1
096.6802 1 Fuligni 5/2 Harkie H K Bond H. James C 221 42.53 1.27/$1
094.9200 1A Glittering Prize 5/2 Saez L Bond H. James F 221 42.53 1.27/$1
094.8642 6 Frosty Invasion 9/2 McCarthy T Schettino Domenick L. T 221 42.53 1.27/$1
093.0019 2 Laughter 6/1 Santana. Jr. R Lerman Roy S. 221 42.53 1.27/$1
091.6233 5 Mike's Little Diva 15/1 Lezcano J Barrow Paul W. 221 42.53 1.27/$1
089.5107 3 Yogi 15/1 Carmouche K Antonucci Jena M. 221 42.53 1.27/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 43.08, ROI 1.35/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.6825
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Actual Post Not Greater Than 9


08/03/22, SAR, Race 3, 2.13 ET
08/03/22,SAR,3,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 CLAIMING. Purse $60,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races In 2022 Allowed 2 lbs. A Race In 2022 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $20,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At TimeOf Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Never Early 3/1 Gomez J A Englehart Jeffrey S. F 221 42.53 1.27/$1
099.6971 2 Printrack 2/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Rice Linda JWL 221 42.53 1.27/$1
099.4706 6 Leddy 5/2 Santana. Jr. R Asmussen Steven M. E 221 42.53 1.27/$1
097.5022 7 Achilles Heel 6/1 Davis D Englehart Jeffrey S. C 221 42.53 1.27/$1
095.6859 1 Raw Courage 15/1 McCarthy T Toscano. Jr. John T. 221 42.53 1.27/$1
095.4795 4 Not Yet Charlie(b+) 8/1 Franco M Rodriguez Rudy R. 221 42.53 1.27/$1
095.0023 3 Ready to March 12/1 Castellano J Chapman James K. 221 42.53 1.27/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 43.08, ROI 1.35/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.3029
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Actual Post Not Greater Than 9


08/03/22, SAR, Race 4, 2.49 ET
08/03/22,SAR,4,1M [Inner Turf] 1:32:00 CLAIMING. Purse $60,000. INNER TURF FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over In 2022 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $20,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void). (Rail at 18 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Golden Voice 9/5 Santana. Jr. R Maker Michael J. FE 82 28.05 1.46/$1
099.1729 9 Invaluable 8/5 Santana. Jr. R Diodoro Robertino 82 28.05 1.46/$1
098.3329 8 Chaysenbryn 2/1 McCarthy T Kantarmaci Mertkan C 82 28.05 1.46/$1
096.3099 4 Adelaide Miss 5/2 Saez L Russell Brittany T. JTL 82 28.05 1.46/$1
096.0798 2 Shadolamo 15/1 Davis D Toscano. Jr. John T. 82 28.05 1.46/$1
095.9840 3 War Canoe 7/2 Carmouche K Klesaris Steve SW 67 38.81 1.59/$1
095.9290 7 Carry On 15/1 Gaffalione T Sharp Joe 82 28.05 1.46/$1
094.7607 6 Charge Account 4/1 Castellano J Morley Thomas 82 28.05 1.46/$1
093.9082 1 Jasminesque 10/1 Gomez J A Sciacca Gary 82 28.05 1.46/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 19.05, ROI 0.67/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.8271
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Trainer Dirt YTD_Curr*4.5 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

08/03/22, SAR, Race 5, 3.21 ET
08/03/22,SAR,5,5 1/2F [Turf] 1:00:01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $105,000. (UP TO $18,270 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this raceon the turf course, this race will be run at Five and One Half Furlongs on the Main Track). (Rail at 18 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Sosua Summer 2/1 Lezcano J Mott William I. S 82 29.27 1.53/$1
099.0944 6 Sul Pharoah 8/1 Ortiz J L Mott William I. F 82 29.27 1.53/$1
097.5733 1 Java Buzz 9/5 Prat F Rice Linda EC 82 29.27 1.53/$1
096.9465 2 Upper Level 4/1 Gomez J A Jerkens James A. L 82 29.27 1.53/$1
096.8018 3 Rocket's Red Glare 6/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Rice Linda JW 82 29.27 1.53/$1
096.6854 1A Stealththirtyfour 9/5 Rider TBA Rice Linda 82 29.27 1.53/$1
094.9253 7 Theregoesmymiracle 30/1 Cardenas L Seyler Douglas J. 82 29.27 1.53/$1
089.1740 4 Triumphant Road 10/1 Castellano J Barker Edward R. 82 29.27 1.53/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 19.05, ROI 0.67/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.9056
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Trainer Dirt YTD_Curr*3.0 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

08/03/22, SAR, Race 6, 3.55 ET
08/03/22,SAR,6,1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1:39:00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $88,000. INNER TURF FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Weight, 119 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred). (Rail at 18 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 8 Lady Quinn 5/2 Rider TBA Thomas Jonathan T 82 29.27 1.53/$1
099.4734 7 Smokie Eyes 9/5 Prat F Clement Christophe 82 29.27 1.53/$1
098.4254 3 Collaboration 7/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Rice Linda J 82 29.27 1.53/$1
098.3010 4 Dream On Cara 6/1 Castellano J Friedman Mitchell E. SEC 82 29.27 1.53/$1
098.1989 1 Amanda's Folly(b+) 8/1 McCarthy T Rodriguez Rudy R. F 82 29.27 1.53/$1
098.0036 5 Lady Jasmine 4/1 Velazquez J R Donk David G. W 82 29.27 1.53/$1
097.6880 6 Sweetest Princess 5/1 Franco M Weaver George 82 29.27 1.53/$1
097.2952 2 Bernt Again 12/1 Saez L Schettino Domenick L. 82 29.27 1.53/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 19.05, ROI 0.67/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.5266
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Trainer Dirt YTD_Curr*3.0 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

08/03/22, SAR, Race 7, 4.29 ET
08/03/22,SAR,7,1M [Dirt] 1:34:04 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $100,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $45,000.Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over In 2022 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race In 2022 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $45,000 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Blewitt 5/2 Davis D Toscano. Jr. John T. SF 221 42.53 1.27/$1
097.8390 3 Tiergan 8/5 Ortiz. Jr. I Giangiulio Michelle JE 221 42.53 1.27/$1
096.5071 1 Vintage Hollywood 4/1 Lezcano J Rodriguez Gustavo 221 42.53 1.27/$1
095.9449 2 Daddy Knows 6/1 Franco M Englehart Jeffrey S. 221 42.53 1.27/$1
095.4068 5 Bar Fourteen 10/1 Gomez J A Sciacca Gary WL 221 42.53 1.27/$1
095.3845 4 Troubleshooter 5/1 Saez L Englehart Jeremiah C. TC 221 42.53 1.27/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 43.08, ROI 1.35/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.1610
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Actual Post Not Greater Than 9


08/03/22, SAR, Race 8, 5.05 ET
08/03/22,SAR,8,7F [Dirt] 1:20:02 CLAIMING. Purse $80,000. (UP TO $13,920 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races In 2022 Allowed 2 lbs. A Race In 2022 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $40,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Dot's Dollar 7/2 Castellano J Morley Thomas 221 42.53 1.27/$1
099.2029 3 Buckingham Prince 4/1 Gaffalione T Casse Norm W. 221 42.53 1.27/$1
098.4974 9 Swift Tap 9/2 Santana. Jr. R Atras Rob W 221 42.53 1.27/$1
098.2444 6 Sugar Gray Leonard 6/1 Saez L Russell Brittany T. 221 42.53 1.27/$1
098.1403 4 Free Square 10/1 McCarthy T Robb John J. TSFL 221 42.53 1.27/$1
097.9970 8 Hagler 6/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Rodriguez Rudy R. J 221 42.53 1.27/$1
096.5828 1 Silipo 8/1 Carmouche K Rice Linda 221 42.53 1.27/$1
096.3129 2 Must Be Love 8/1 Rosario J Rodriguez Gustavo 221 42.53 1.27/$1
095.5080 7 Iron Lion in Zion 12/1 Franco M Morley Thomas EC 221 42.53 1.27/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 43.08, ROI 1.35/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.7971
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Actual Post Not Greater Than 9


08/03/22, SAR, Race 9, 5.39 ET
08/03/22,SAR,9,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:38:01 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $120,000. (UP TO $20,880 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $62,500. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over In 2022 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race In 2022 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $62,500 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At TimeOf Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at One Mile on the Main Track). (Rail at 18 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2B Millefeuille 5/2 Rosario J Mott William I. 82 26.83 1.43/$1
099.9442 4 Poca Mucha 6/1 Rosario J Mott William I. F 82 26.83 1.43/$1
099.7677 10 W W Fitzy 8/5 Santana. Jr. R Diodoro Robertino 82 26.83 1.43/$1
099.2427 1 Rocky Sky (IRE) Even Prat F Brown Chad C. 82 26.83 1.43/$1
099.0231 8 Played Hard 9/5 Gaffalione T Bauer Philip A. EWL 82 26.83 1.43/$1
098.2008 2 Angel Palm (GB) 5/2 Franco M Cox Brad H. 82 26.83 1.43/$1
097.9471 3 Princess Fawzia 6/1 Carmouche K Atras Rob 82 26.83 1.43/$1
096.8449 9 Halo City 10/1 Santana. Jr. R Lynch Natalia C 82 26.83 1.43/$1
096.6593 7 Juxtapose 20/1 Gaffalione T Klesaris Steve 82 26.83 1.43/$1
096.4650 6 Bramble Bay 12/1 Lezcano J Dini Michael 82 26.83 1.43/$1
096.1214 5 Movie Moxy 12/1 Ortiz J L Weaver George 82 26.83 1.43/$1
096.0744 1A American Bridge (GB) 1/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Brown Chad C. JS 67 38.81 1.59/$1
094.7851 12 Flashndynamite 6/1 Franco M Moore Michael M. 82 26.83 1.43/$1
094.5640 11 Family Time 12/1 Rider TBA Romans Dale L. 82 26.83 1.43/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 19.05, ROI 0.67/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0558
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Trainer Dirt YTD_Curr*1.0 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

08/03/22, SAR, Race 10, 6.13 ET
08/03/22,SAR,10,7F [Dirt] 1:20:02 CLAIMING. Purse $35,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2022 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 11 Cathedral Beach 7/2 Franco M Weaver George E 215 41.40 1.25/$1
099.1097 6 Regality 12/1 Gomez J A Englehart Jeffrey S. TL 221 42.53 1.27/$1
098.9125 3 Bezos 3/1 Gaffalione T Maker Michael J. 221 42.53 1.27/$1
098.7645 9 Braciole 8/1 Samuel J L Noda Orlando 215 41.40 1.25/$1
098.7629 4 Ginnsu Warrior 6/1 Davis D Morley Thomas 221 42.53 1.27/$1
098.6609 7 Yono 5/1 Santana. Jr. R Walsh Brendan P. 221 42.53 1.27/$1
098.5496 8 Arthurian 15/1 Carmouche K Caramori Caio SC 221 42.53 1.27/$1
097.3182 2 Heads Or Tails 10/1 Castellano J Klesaris Robert P. J 221 42.53 1.27/$1
097.2089 10 Flipping Fun 20/1 McCarthy T Davis Edmund D. F 215 41.40 1.25/$1
096.9547 1A Centavo 12/1 Alvarado J Chatterpaul Naipaul W 221 42.53 1.27/$1
096.3338 1 Sixty Three S 12/1 Castillo A Chatterpaul Naipaul 221 42.53 1.27/$1
093.9225 5 Prince of Joy 30/1 Cardenas L Legall Ricardo E. 221 42.53 1.27/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 43.08, ROI 1.35/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.8903
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Not Third Start


Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...