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Top Horse Analytics: 07/27/2022 Picks and Results - SAR


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.22.05.24b)

Track: SAR
Start Of Statistics - 07/15/2021
Past Number of Races - 411

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
38.69 0.92   9.40   Favorites
36.22 0.94 18.80   Morning Line Favorites
36.25 1.14 28.40   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

07/27/22, SAR, Race 1, 1.05 ET
07/27/22,SAR,1,2 1/16M [Turf] 3:36:01 ALLOWANCE. Purse $70,000. TO BE RUN OVER NATIONAL FENCES (UP TO $12,180 NYSBFOA) FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Four Year Olds, 150 lbs.; Older, 156 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2022 Allowed 4 lbs. A Race In 2021 - 2022 Allowed 8 lbs. (Claiming Races Not Considered In Allowances).
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 30.30, ROI 0.88/$1

* Race is not supported *

07/27/22, SAR, Race 2, 1.39 ET
07/27/22,SAR,2,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 CLAIMING. Purse $32,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2022 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $14,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Knot Anymore Even Franco M Russell Brittany T. JEL 181 40.33 1.27/$1
098.7261 4 Daily Briefing 9/2 Gomez J A Terranova. II John P. T 181 40.33 1.27/$1
098.3704 3 Bastet 8/1 Castillo A Rodriguez Gustavo W 181 40.33 1.27/$1
097.7813 5 Bells On Her Toes 3/1 Davis D Baker Charlton F 181 40.33 1.27/$1
096.6251 6 Big Tony's Girl 5/1 Carmouche K Ryerson James T. C 181 40.33 1.27/$1
094.4184 2 London Gold 15/1 Samuel J L Persaud Randi 181 40.33 1.27/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.50, ROI 1.49/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.2739
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Purse Not Greater Than $100K


07/27/22, SAR, Race 3, 2.13 ET
07/27/22,SAR,3,5 1/2F [Turf] 1:00:01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $88,000. FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Weight, 119 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at Five and One Half Furlongs on the Main Track). (Rail at 18 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Weyhill Farm Rd.(b+) 7/2 Davis D Clement Christophe SFL 31 38.71 1.23/$1
099.0139 2 Disarmed 8/5 Rosario J Clement Christophe JW 31 38.71 1.23/$1
098.3479 1 Twenty Six Black 4/1 Ortiz J L De Paz Horacio 31 38.71 1.23/$1
097.9201 5 Noble Huntsman 5/1 Castellano J Friedman Mitchell E. 31 38.71 1.23/$1
097.4092 7 Vince the Prince 6/1 Carmouche K Nevin Michelle 31 38.71 1.23/$1
097.0076 4 Disco Demolition 10/1 Alvarado J Lugovich Richard J. 31 38.71 1.23/$1
096.5705 3 General Banker 12/1 Gomez J A Ferraro James W. 31 38.71 1.23/$1
096.4790 8 Shortsinthewinter 5/1 Carmouche K Hennig Mark A. 31 38.71 1.23/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 30.30, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.9861
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf MdnMClm] Race Sex Not Females


07/27/22, SAR, Race 4, 2.49 ET
07/27/22,SAR,4,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 HANDICAP. Honorable Miss Handicap. Grade 2. Purse $200,000. A HANDICAP FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Non-Lasix race pursuant to 4043.2 (7)(e)(5) Lasix not permitted within 48 hours of post time. By subscription of $200 each which should accompany the nomination; $1,000 to pass the entry box and an additional $1,000 to start. For horses not originally nominated, a supplemental payment of $1,000 along with the entry and starting fees may be made at any time prior to the publication of weights. The purse to be divided 55% to the winner, 20% to second, 12% to third, 6% to fourth, 4% to fifth and 3% divided equally amongst the remaining finishers. A trophy will be presented to the winning owner. Closed Saturday, July 16, 2022 with 11 Nominations.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Amadevil 12/1 Ortiz J L Wolochuk David T 225 38.22 1.21/$1
099.2510 2 Bella Sofia 1/2 Saez L Rodriguez Rudy R. FEL 225 38.22 1.21/$1
098.7578 4 Kimari 4/1 Rosario J Ward Wesley A. SC 225 38.22 1.21/$1
098.3311 1 Frank's Rockette 2/1 Prat F Mott William I. JW 225 38.22 1.21/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.50, ROI 1.49/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.7490
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Age Not 3


07/27/22, SAR, Race 5, 3.21 ET
07/27/22,SAR,5,1 1/2M [Inner Turf] 2:23:01 ALLOWANCE. Purse $115,000. INNER TURF (UP TO $20,010 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 2 lbs. (Rail at 18 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Dante's Fire 5/1 Saez L Maker Michael J. S 87 28.74 1.47/$1
099.3705 3 Jarreau 7/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Maker Michael J. J 87 28.74 1.47/$1
093.6223 7 Hometown 6/5 Rider TBA Atras Rob L 87 28.74 1.47/$1
093.1637 6 (F)Mooney Love (IRE) 2/1 Rosario J Mott William I. 87 28.74 1.47/$1
093.0406 2 Forwardly 5/2 Prat F Brown Chad C. TFEWC 87 28.74 1.47/$1
091.3732 4 Curbstone 6/1 Gaffalione T Walsh Brendan P. 87 28.74 1.47/$1
091.3563 1 Neotropic 8/1 Ortiz J L Toner James J. 87 28.74 1.47/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 30.30, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.6295
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Trainer Dirt YTD_Curr*3.0 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

07/27/22, SAR, Race 6, 3.55 ET
07/27/22,SAR,6,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $88,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Weight, 119 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Miracle 8/1 Prat F Brisset Rodolphe 181 40.33 1.27/$1
099.3584 5 Silver Skillet 6/1 Rosario J Clement Christophe 181 40.33 1.27/$1
097.9691 3 Berning Honor 15/1 Davis D Schettino Domenick L. 181 40.33 1.27/$1
097.8706 12 Little Linzee 20/1 Castellano J Schettino Domenick L. 181 40.33 1.27/$1
097.4026 6 Disruption 5/1 Franco M Brown Chad C. T 181 40.33 1.27/$1
097.2678 8 August Bloom 20/1 Gaffalione T Sharp Joe 181 40.33 1.27/$1
096.5217 11 Banterra 5/1 Ortiz J L Asmussen Steven M. 181 40.33 1.27/$1
096.1518 4 Danseur d'Oro 4/1 Carmouche K Morey William E. SL 181 40.33 1.27/$1
095.9280 1 Gambling Girl 7/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Pletcher Todd A. JC 181 40.33 1.27/$1
095.8019 1A Book and Cancel 7/2 Saez L Rodriguez Rudy R. 181 40.33 1.27/$1
094.5201 2 Recognize 9/2 Lezcano J Mott William I. FE 181 40.33 1.27/$1
093.2377 10 Alice Kramden 10/1 Saez L Abreu Jorge R. 181 40.33 1.27/$1
090.3800 9 Luna Loca 20/1 Velazquez J R Schosberg Richard E. 181 40.33 1.27/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.50, ROI 1.49/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.6416
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Purse Not Greater Than $100K


07/27/22, SAR, Race 7, 4.29 ET
07/27/22,SAR,7,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:38:01 CLAIMING. Purse $72,000. (UP TO $12,528 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races At A Mile Or Over In 2022 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race In 2022 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $32,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at One Mile on the Main Track). (Rail at 18 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Mirth 'n Merriment 2/1 Alvarado J Hamm Timothy E. SL 87 28.74 1.47/$1
099.8075 3 Vintage Girl 9/2 Ortiz J L Ryerson James T. F 87 28.74 1.47/$1
098.9885 1 Hatari 9/5 Ortiz. Jr. I Maker Michael J. JC 87 28.74 1.47/$1
097.9014 4 Fish Mooney 4/1 Gaffalione T Casse Mark E. E 87 28.74 1.47/$1
097.4520 2 Spooky Road(b+) 6/1 Saez L Maker Michael J. 87 28.74 1.47/$1
095.0374 6 Miss Invincible 15/1 Luzzi M J Chichakly Amira W 87 28.74 1.47/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 30.30, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.1925
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Trainer Dirt YTD_Curr*3.0 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

07/27/22, SAR, Race 8, 5.05 ET
07/27/22,SAR,8,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 CLAIMING. Purse $35,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2022 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 8 O'Gotten Girl 1/1 Saez L Pletcher Todd A. TFEL 181 40.33 1.27/$1
098.6332 7 Anotherworldinside 8/1 Franco M Trombetta Michael J. S 181 40.33 1.27/$1
097.8197 1 Saratoga Commando 10/1 Gomez J A Rodriguez Rudy R. 181 40.33 1.27/$1
097.2854 3 Lady Yellen 10/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Rice Linda J 181 40.33 1.27/$1
096.8291 9 Unlock 6/1 Davis D Albertrani Thomas 181 40.33 1.27/$1
096.0745 6 Majestic Spirit 15/1 Velazquez J R Schosberg Richard E. 181 40.33 1.27/$1
093.9860 4 Handle the Truth 30/1 Harkie H K Metivier Richard 181 40.33 1.27/$1
092.8208 2 Keen Dancer 30/1 Cancel E Persaud Randi C 181 40.33 1.27/$1
091.7824 5 Preposterous 4/1 Gaffalione T Joseph. Jr. Saffie A. W 181 40.33 1.27/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.50, ROI 1.49/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.3668
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Purse Not Greater Than $100K


07/27/22, SAR, Race 9, 5.39 ET
07/27/22,SAR,9,1M [Inner Turf] 1:32:00 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $125,000. INNER TURF (UP TO $21,750 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 THREE TIMES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $80,000. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over In 2022 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race In 2022 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $80,000 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void). (Rail at 18 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 9 W W Fitzy 6/5 Santana. Jr. R Diodoro Robertino W 87 28.74 1.47/$1
099.9902 5 Messidor (IRE) 2/1 Castellano J Clement Christophe S 87 28.74 1.47/$1
099.7699 1 High Opinion 7/5 Prat F Dutrow Anthony W. JEC 87 28.74 1.47/$1
099.5220 8 Misty Veil 8/5 Rider TBA Amoss Thomas M. TFL 87 28.74 1.47/$1
098.7106 7 Evvie Jets 6/1 Cancel E Kantarmaci Mertkan 87 28.74 1.47/$1
098.2106 3 Phantom Vision 12/1 Gaffalione T Maker Michael J. 87 28.74 1.47/$1
097.9904 6 Tass 12/1 Lezcano J Martin Carlos F. 87 28.74 1.47/$1
097.6735 4 Amalfi Princess 4/1 Saez L Maker Michael J. 87 28.74 1.47/$1
095.2148 2 Wholebodemeister 30/1 Diaz. Jr. H R Hemingway Michelle 87 28.74 1.47/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 30.30, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0098
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Trainer Dirt YTD_Curr*3.0 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

07/27/22, SAR, Race 10, 6.13 ET
07/27/22,SAR,10,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $105,000. (UP TO $18,270 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Adam's Angel 7/2 Saez L McGaughey III Claude R FE 225 38.22 1.21/$1
099.6422 3 Liquidity Provider 4/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Brown Chad C. JT 225 38.22 1.21/$1
098.8979 6 Alessia 8/1 Cancel E Zito Nicholas P. SW 225 38.22 1.21/$1
098.8685 7 Glitter Up 10/1 Davis D Hills Timothy A. 225 38.22 1.21/$1
097.2343 10 She's Awesome 20/1 Santana. Jr. R Klesaris Steve 225 38.22 1.21/$1
097.2334 8 Dover Dreams 12/1 Gaffalione T Walsh Brendan P. C 225 38.22 1.21/$1
096.5686 11 Aquila Moon(b+) 5/1 Alvarado J Stewart Dallas L 225 38.22 1.21/$1
096.3597 4 Course Runner 6/1 Lezcano J Arnold. II George R. 225 38.22 1.21/$1
092.7855 5 Backyard Money 12/1 Ortiz J L Lukas D. Wayne 225 38.22 1.21/$1
092.3074 9 Mattapoisett 12/1 Castellano J Mott William I. 225 38.22 1.21/$1
090.4744 1 Ms. Solveig 15/1 Prat F Antonacci Philip 225 38.22 1.21/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.50, ROI 1.49/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.3578
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Age Not 3


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