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Top Horse Analytics: 07/24/2022 Picks and Results - SAR


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.22.05.24b)

Track: SAR
Start Of Statistics - 07/15/2021
Past Number of Races - 411

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
38.69 0.92   9.40   Favorites
36.22 0.94 18.80   Morning Line Favorites
36.25 1.14 28.40   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

07/24/22, SAR, Race 1, 1.05 ET
07/24/22,SAR,1,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $105,000. (UP TO $18,270 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Faithful and True 5/2 Prat F Brisset Rodolphe W 225 38.22 1.21/$1
099.9222 8 Blazing Sevens 4/1 Franco M Brown Chad C. T 225 38.22 1.21/$1
099.0636 2 Bat Flip 7/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Pletcher Todd A. J 225 38.22 1.21/$1
097.2432 4 Bourbon Bash 9/2 Gaffalione T Lukas D. Wayne 225 38.22 1.21/$1
094.9200 3 Saint in the City 10/1 Castellano J Mott William I. 225 38.22 1.21/$1
094.0881 5 Upgrade 8/1 Saez L Pletcher Todd A. 225 38.22 1.21/$1
093.0590 7 Wasabi Boy 6/1 Santana. Jr. R Falcone. Jr. Robert N. SFEC 225 38.22 1.21/$1
091.5619 6 No Confession 30/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Mc Allen John P. L 225 38.22 1.21/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.50, ROI 1.49/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0778
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Age Not 3


07/24/22, SAR, Race 2, 1.39 ET
07/24/22,SAR,2,1M [Dirt] 1:34:04 CLAIMING. Purse $35,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over In 2022 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Ampersand 6/5 Ortiz. Jr. I Serpe Philip M. JT 181 40.33 1.27/$1
099.6107 1 Icon(b+) 7/2 Santana. Jr. R Diodoro Robertino S 181 40.33 1.27/$1
098.3768 4 Once a Giant 5/2 Franco M Weaver George EW 181 40.33 1.27/$1
097.5295 5 Mr. Fidget 12/1 Davis D Levine Bruce N. C 181 40.33 1.27/$1
096.6103 6 Lord Brownie 15/1 Gaffalione T Sciacca Gary L 181 40.33 1.27/$1
095.9813 7 Amedeus Music 12/1 Lezcano J Ryerson James T. 181 40.33 1.27/$1
095.6936 8 Alite 15/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Pringle Edmund F 181 40.33 1.27/$1
094.0961 3 Stud Puppy(b-) 30/1 Cancel E Zito Nicholas P. 181 40.33 1.27/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.50, ROI 1.49/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.3893
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Purse Not Greater Than $100K


07/24/22, SAR, Race 3, 2.15 ET
07/24/22,SAR,3,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 CLAIMING. Purse $45,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2022 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Power Agenda 9/5 Saez L Pletcher Todd A. TEL 181 40.33 1.27/$1
099.0601 1 Storm Shooter 5/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Rice Linda J 181 40.33 1.27/$1
098.3432 3 Taco Bean(b-) 3/1 Lezcano J Rodriguez Gustavo 181 40.33 1.27/$1
098.1562 5 Raw Courage 30/1 McCarthy T Toscano. Jr. John T. 181 40.33 1.27/$1
098.0384 1A Got the Gold 5/2 Cancel E Rice Linda F 181 40.33 1.27/$1
097.7900 6 Moonshiningbright 15/1 Davis D Baker Charlton 181 40.33 1.27/$1
097.5379 7 Cajun Commander 10/1 Castillo A Barrera. III Oscar S. S 181 40.33 1.27/$1
096.9354 4 Doctor Love 4/1 Alvarado J Stewart Dallas WC 181 40.33 1.27/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.50, ROI 1.49/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.9399
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Purse Not Greater Than $100K


07/24/22, SAR, Race 4, 2.49 ET
07/24/22,SAR,4,5 1/2F [Turf] 1:00:01 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $100,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $45,000.Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Claiming Or Starter In 2022 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race In 2022 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $45,000 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of ClaimOtherwise Claim Will Be Void). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at Five and One Half Furlongs on the Main Track). (Rail at 12 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Phantom Smoke 2/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Clement Christophe JE 87 28.74 1.47/$1
099.6035 1 King Angelo 5/2 Ortiz J L Serpe Philip M. FL 87 28.74 1.47/$1
098.8019 9 Quickflash 4/1 Davis D Lynch Natalia 87 28.74 1.47/$1
098.5577 10 Bronx Bomber 5/2 Cancel E Rice Linda W 87 28.74 1.47/$1
098.3105 5 Call Me Harry 8/1 Gaffalione T Hemingway Michelle 87 28.74 1.47/$1
098.0307 7 Battle Station 6/1 Carmouche K Atras Rob T 87 28.74 1.47/$1
097.6882 2 Swashbuckle 9/2 Cancel E Clement Christophe 87 28.74 1.47/$1
097.6713 8 Shiraz 8/1 Saez L Maker Michael J. 87 28.74 1.47/$1
096.6512 4 Dr. Duke 12/1 Castellano J Antonucci Jena M. 87 28.74 1.47/$1
095.8958 3 Brew Pub 30/1 Mena R E Arenas Marcelo 87 28.74 1.47/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 30.30, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.3965
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Trainer Dirt YTD_Curr*3.0 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

07/24/22, SAR, Race 5, 3.21 ET
07/24/22,SAR,5,1 1/8M [Dirt] 1:46:03 STAKES. Shuvee Stakes. Grade 2. Purse $200,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Non-Lasix race pursuant to 4043.2 (7)(e)(5) Lasix not permitted within 48 hours of post time. By subscription of $200 each which should accompany the nomination; $1,000 to pass the entry box and an additional $1,000 to start. For horses not originally nominated, a supplemental payment of $1,000 along with the entry and starting fees may be made at any time prior to the closing of entries. The purse to be divided 55% to the winner, 20% to second, 12% to third, 6% to fourth, 4% to fifth and 3% divided equally amongst the remaining finishers. Weight, 124 lbs. Non-winners of $100,000 at a mile or over in 2022 allowed 2 lbs.; of such a race in 2021 or $75,000 at a mile or over in 2022 allowed 4 lbs.; of a Graded Sweepstake at a mile or over in 2021-22 or two races at a mile or over other than maiden, claiming, starter or State-Bred allowance in 2022 allowed 6 lbs. A trophy will be presented to the winning owner. Closed Saturday, July 9, 2022 with 13 Nominations.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Malathaat(b+) 4/5 Velazquez J R Pletcher Todd A. TFELC 225 38.22 1.21/$1
099.4619 4 Clairiere 1/1 Rosario J Asmussen Steven M. J 225 38.22 1.21/$1
099.2288 1 Exotic West 12/1 Castellano J Sciacca Gary S 225 38.22 1.21/$1
098.3188 2 Crazy Beautiful 8/1 Leparoux J R McPeek Kenneth G. W 225 38.22 1.21/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.50, ROI 1.49/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.5381
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Age Not 3


07/24/22, SAR, Race 6, 3.55 ET
07/24/22,SAR,6,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $105,000. (UP TO $18,270 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Key of Life 2/1 Santana. Jr. R Cox Brad H. SFEW 225 38.22 1.21/$1
097.3756 4 Kaling 7/2 Prat F Pletcher Todd A. 225 38.22 1.21/$1
096.0146 7 Rarify 3/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Ward Wesley A. J 225 38.22 1.21/$1
095.6259 6 Vahva 8/1 Saez L DeVaux Cherie 225 38.22 1.21/$1
094.0392 8 Randomized 9/2 Franco M Brown Chad C. T 225 38.22 1.21/$1
091.6416 3 Watch This Munny 12/1 Rosario J Asmussen Steven M. L 225 38.22 1.21/$1
090.8657 5 Take Charge Briana 12/1 Gaffalione T Lukas D. Wayne 225 38.22 1.21/$1
089.6620 1 Graceful 50/1 Davis D Friedman Mitchell E. 225 38.22 1.21/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.50, ROI 1.49/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.6244
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Age Not 3


07/24/22, SAR, Race 7, 4.29 ET
07/24/22,SAR,7,1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1:39:00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $105,000. INNER TURF (UP TO $18,270 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred). (Rail at 9 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Idea Generation (IRE) 2/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Brown Chad C. J 86 39.53 1.02/$1
099.2323 7 Born Dapper(b+) 4/1 Franco M Thomas Jonathan SC 3 33.33 2.13/$1
098.6606 1 Corningstone 8/1 Leparoux J R McPeek Kenneth G. FL 52 38.46 1.11/$1
098.6431 11 Hola Gata 6/1 Prat F Brown Chad C. 66 33.33 1.51/$1
098.6034 13 Bisset 5/2 Rider TBA Pletcher Todd A. 3 33.33 2.13/$1
098.6022 10 Treasured Gem 5/1 Rosario J Clement Christophe 66 33.33 1.51/$1
097.8988 2 Stay Lost 6/1 Velazquez J R O'Brien Joseph Patrick 66 33.33 1.51/$1
097.7870 1A Towhead 8/1 Gaffalione T Maker Michael J. E 10 30.00 1.45/$1
097.7709 3 Love Tank 8/1 Saez L Maker Michael J. 3 33.33 2.13/$1
096.6093 9 Be Your Best (IRE) 10/1 Ortiz J L De Paz Horacio 66 33.33 1.51/$1
095.6217 4 Spunk 20/1 Alvarado J Mott William I. 66 33.33 1.51/$1
095.2795 6 Hella Ella 20/1 Cancel E Weaver George 66 33.33 1.51/$1
092.6568 12 Empress Isabel 12/1 Leparoux J R McPeek Kenneth G. W 3 33.33 2.13/$1
091.7219 8 Rapid Miss Tapit 50/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Mc Allen John P. 3 33.33 2.13/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 30.30, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.7677
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Morning Line Favorite(not entry)


07/24/22, SAR, Race 8, 5.05 ET
07/24/22,SAR,8,7F [Dirt] 1:20:02 CLAIMING. Purse $57,000. (UP TO $9,918 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2022 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Kinetic Sky 9/5 Franco M Cox Brad H. TSFEW 181 40.33 1.27/$1
099.0934 7 Swiftsure 2/1 Santana. Jr. R Brisset Rodolphe L 181 40.33 1.27/$1
098.4748 4 Emerald Express 5/1 Gaffalione T Sharp Joe 181 40.33 1.27/$1
096.9920 1 Pico d'Oro(b-) 20/1 McCarthy T Caramori Caio 181 40.33 1.27/$1
096.7477 5 Bold Victory 6/1 Carmouche K Rice Linda C 181 40.33 1.27/$1
096.0140 2 Good Culture 6/1 Lezcano J Rodriguez Gustavo 181 40.33 1.27/$1
095.4563 6 Totalizer 10/1 Saez L Maker Michael J. J 181 40.33 1.27/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.50, ROI 1.49/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.9066
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Purse Not Greater Than $100K


07/24/22, SAR, Race 9, 5.39 ET
07/24/22,SAR,9,5 1/2F [Turf] 1:00:01 ALLOWANCE. Purse $115,000. (UP TO $20,010 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter Allowed 2 lbs. (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at Five and One Half Furlongs on the Main Track). (Rail at 12 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 10 Baba 4/5 Rider TBA Rodriguez Rudy R. 87 28.74 1.47/$1
099.7819 2 A Little Faith 7/2 Castellano J Levine Bruce N. F 87 28.74 1.47/$1
099.6650 3 Nota Bene 5/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Wilkes Ian R. JSC 87 28.74 1.47/$1
099.6570 1 Osiria 5/2 Rosario J Clement Christophe TE 87 28.74 1.47/$1
099.1071 9 Chasing Cara 3/1 Castellano J Friedman Mitchell E. W 87 28.74 1.47/$1
098.5289 4 Boxing Day 7/2 Santana. Jr. R Walsh Brendan P. 87 28.74 1.47/$1
097.8525 8 Tuscan Queen 6/1 Ortiz J L Kimmel John C. 87 28.74 1.47/$1
096.8993 7 Neon Summer(b-) 10/1 Saez L Maker Michael J. L 87 28.74 1.47/$1
090.3232 6 Caironi(b-) 12/1 Davis D Miceli Michael 87 28.74 1.47/$1
087.6163 5 Blazing Star (GB) 12/1 Franco M Maker Michael J. 87 28.74 1.47/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 30.30, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.2181
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Trainer Dirt YTD_Curr*3.0 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

07/24/22, SAR, Race 10, 6.13 ET
07/24/22,SAR,10,1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1:39:00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $60,000. INNER TURF (UP TO $10,440 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $75,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void). (Rail at 9 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 10 Cheeky Tico 9/2 Franco M Noda Orlando S 31 38.71 1.23/$1
099.3761 2 What a Dude 7/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Brown Chad C. JT 31 38.71 1.23/$1
098.2498 8 Floki's Flight 8/1 Ortiz J L Rodriguez Rudy R. FL 31 38.71 1.23/$1
097.8661 7 Street Vendor 6/1 Saez L Pletcher Todd A. C 31 38.71 1.23/$1
097.8315 5 Good Medicine 8/1 Prat F Pletcher Todd A. 31 38.71 1.23/$1
097.8002 9 Funding Gap (IRE) 5/1 Lezcano J Abreu Jorge R. 31 38.71 1.23/$1
097.7285 1 Smoke and Heat(b+) 4/1 Cancel E Dutrow Anthony W. 31 38.71 1.23/$1
097.6619 6 Pivotal Mission 6/1 Franco M Motion H. Graham E 31 38.71 1.23/$1
097.0263 4 Emboite (IRE) 8/1 Gaffalione T Maker Michael J. W 24 50.00 1.55/$1
096.4210 3 Drakon(b+) 15/1 Carmouche K Russell Brittany T. 31 38.71 1.23/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 30.30, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.6239
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf MdnMClm] Race Sex Not Females


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