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Top Horse Analytics: 07/21/2022 Picks and Results - SAR


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.22.05.24b)

Track: SAR
Start Of Statistics - 07/15/2021
Past Number of Races - 411

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
38.69 0.92   9.40   Favorites
36.22 0.94 18.80   Morning Line Favorites
36.25 1.14 28.40   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

07/21/22, SAR, Race 1, 1.05 ET
07/21/22,SAR,1,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $105,000. (UP TO $18,270 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Drink the Wind 3/1 Rosario J Catalano Wayne M. SFL 225 38.22 1.21/$1
099.1661 6 Up to the Mark 6/5 Ortiz. Jr. I Pletcher Todd A. JW 225 38.22 1.21/$1
098.9284 2 Frat Pack 2/1 Prat F Brown Chad C. T 225 38.22 1.21/$1
097.2271 3 Insomniac 8/1 Lezcano J Pletcher Todd A. 225 38.22 1.21/$1
096.6744 5 Citizen Mack 10/1 Ortiz J L McGaughey III Claude R EC 225 38.22 1.21/$1
090.2418 4 Be There(b-) 30/1 Gomez J A Zito Nicholas P. 225 38.22 1.21/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.50, ROI 1.49/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.8339
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Age Not 3


07/21/22, SAR, Race 2, 1.39 ET
07/21/22,SAR,2,1 1/8M [Dirt] 1:46:03 STARTER HANDICAP. Purse $75,000. A Handicap For Three Year Olds and Upward Which Have Started For A Claiming Price of $25,000 or Less Since July 15, 2021.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Palace Coup 7/2 Saez L Sharp Joe FEW 181 40.33 1.27/$1
099.0370 4 No Burn 3/1 Davis D Barrera. III Oscar S. SL 181 40.33 1.27/$1
098.5851 1 Grumps Little Tots 7/2 Rosario J Baker Charlton T 181 40.33 1.27/$1
098.5328 5 Perceived 2/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Rodriguez Rudy R. JC 181 40.33 1.27/$1
097.8279 2 Kumar 9/2 Lezcano J Rodriguez Gustavo 181 40.33 1.27/$1
096.2141 3 Blake B. 15/1 Cancel E Romero Jesus 181 40.33 1.27/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.50, ROI 1.49/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.9630
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Purse Not Greater Than $100K


07/21/22, SAR, Race 3, 2.15 ET
07/21/22,SAR,3,1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1:39:00 CLAIMING. Purse $55,000. INNER TURF (UP TO $9,570 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over In 2022 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void). (Rail at 9 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 8 Hometown 3/5 Rider TBA Atras Rob FE 87 28.74 1.47/$1
099.7181 6 St. Joe Louis (GB) 8/5 Ortiz. Jr. I Brown Chad C. JT 87 28.74 1.47/$1
099.3545 5 Icarus 2/1 Franco M Cox Brad H. 87 28.74 1.47/$1
098.6961 7 Al's Prince 6/1 Davis D Englehart Jeffrey S. W 87 28.74 1.47/$1
097.9404 1 I Am the Law 10/1 Rosario J Terranova. II John P. C 87 28.74 1.47/$1
096.2425 4 Resilient Courage 15/1 Ortiz J L Donk David G. 87 28.74 1.47/$1
093.6301 2 Hatch(b+) 12/1 Gaffalione T Maker Michael J. 87 28.74 1.47/$1
091.5219 3 Cash in a Flash 9/2 Velazquez J R Casse Mark E. L 87 28.74 1.47/$1
091.2294 9 Inspiration Point 6/1 Cancel E Englehart Chris J. 87 28.74 1.47/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 30.30, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.2819
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Trainer Dirt YTD_Curr*3.0 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

07/21/22, SAR, Race 4, 2.49 ET
07/21/22,SAR,4,5 1/2F [Dirt] 1:02:02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $83,000. (UP TO $14,442 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. (For Horses That Sold or RNA for $50,000 Or Less In Their Most Recent Sale).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Forbidden Secret 3/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Pletcher Todd A. JT 181 40.33 1.27/$1
099.2407 2 Smart Prize 7/2 Prat F Casse Mark E. 181 40.33 1.27/$1
098.7389 5 V Mart 6/1 Olivero C Avila Juan Carlos W 181 40.33 1.27/$1
096.8576 8 Tyver 30/1 Cancel E Chichakly Amira 181 40.33 1.27/$1
096.5311 1 Run Poppy 5/2 Gaffalione T Asmussen Steven M. FEC 181 40.33 1.27/$1
095.7354 4 Kbcya Later 10/1 Saez L Sharp Joe SL 181 40.33 1.27/$1
095.2039 6 Clear the Deck 9/2 Leparoux J R McPeek Kenneth G. 181 40.33 1.27/$1
092.5132 7 Fourfaith 12/1 Franco M Rodriguez Rudy R. 181 40.33 1.27/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.50, ROI 1.49/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.7593
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Purse Not Greater Than $100K


07/21/22, SAR, Race 5, 3.21 ET
07/21/22,SAR,5,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 CLAIMING. Purse $36,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2022 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $12,500 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $10,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% AftercareAssessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Domineer 8/1 Saez L D'Angelo Jose Francisc TWL 181 40.33 1.27/$1
098.7179 4 Greatest Love 3/2 Rosario J Rodriguez Gustavo S 181 40.33 1.27/$1
097.8012 2 Aidanike 5/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Lucas Bonnie JFEC 181 40.33 1.27/$1
097.6540 7 Guns Blazing 6/1 Gomez J A Reynolds Patrick L. 181 40.33 1.27/$1
096.3566 3 Bay Jewel 8/1 Santana. Jr. R Summers Chad 181 40.33 1.27/$1
096.2121 6 Song of Honor 8/1 Davis D Handal Raymond 181 40.33 1.27/$1
095.0178 8 My Girl Lexi 15/1 Davis J A Ferraro James W. 181 40.33 1.27/$1
094.9576 1 Big Al's Gal 20/1 Rodriguez Castro L A DiPrima Gregory 181 40.33 1.27/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.50, ROI 1.49/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.2821
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Purse Not Greater Than $100K


07/21/22, SAR, Race 6, 3.55 ET
07/21/22,SAR,6,5 1/2F [Dirt] 1:02:02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $83,000. (UP TO $14,442 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. (For Horses That Sold or RNA for $50,000 Or Less In Their Most Recent Sale).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 8 Jeremy's Jet(b-) 8/1 Davis D McEntee Paul SFEWL 181 40.33 1.27/$1
099.9473 4 A Western Yarn 6/1 McCarthy T Delacour Arnaud T 181 40.33 1.27/$1
098.9362 3 Barzini 4/1 Saez L Trombetta Michael J. 181 40.33 1.27/$1
096.9273 5 In Detail 5/1 Ortiz J L Camejo Jose M. 181 40.33 1.27/$1
096.6455 7 Three Zero 6/1 Bridgmohan S Abreu Fernando C 181 40.33 1.27/$1
096.1530 2 Ee Yah 9/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Lucas Bonnie J 181 40.33 1.27/$1
091.5192 1 Noble Connection 10/1 Leparoux J R McPeek Kenneth G. 181 40.33 1.27/$1
088.5440 6 Cara's Prince 15/1 Castellano J Friedman Mitchell E. 181 40.33 1.27/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.50, ROI 1.49/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0527
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Purse Not Greater Than $100K


07/21/22, SAR, Race 7, 4.29 ET
07/21/22,SAR,7,5 1/2F [Turf] 1:00:01 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $125,000. (UP TO $21,750 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 THREE TIMES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $80,000. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Claiming Or Starter In 2022 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race In 2022 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $80,000 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at Five and One Half Furlongs on the Main Track). (Rail at 12 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Principled Stand (GB) 5/2 Franco M Brown Chad C. TEL 87 28.74 1.47/$1
099.9221 6 Big Package 3/1 Ortiz J L Donk David G. C 87 28.74 1.47/$1
099.8055 5 Artemus Citylimits 7/2 Saez L Maker Michael J. FW 87 28.74 1.47/$1
099.2593 7 Nothing Better 6/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Duarte. Jr. Jorge J 87 28.74 1.47/$1
099.1017 3 Maxwell Esquire 5/1 Gaffalione T Maker Michael J. 87 28.74 1.47/$1
098.4738 1 Smooth B 15/1 Lezcano J Reid. Jr. Robert E. S 87 28.74 1.47/$1
091.4103 4 It's a Gamble 6/1 Rosario J Breen Kelly J. 87 28.74 1.47/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 30.30, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0779
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Trainer Dirt YTD_Curr*3.0 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

07/21/22, SAR, Race 8, 5.05 ET
07/21/22,SAR,8,1 1/8M [Dirt] 1:46:03 ALLOWANCE. Purse $95,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.;Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 2 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Reigning Chick 6/1 Ortiz J L Noda Orlando F 181 40.33 1.27/$1
099.3701 3 Caragate 2/1 Castellano J Friedman Mitchell E. L 181 40.33 1.27/$1
099.2446 1 U Guys Are No Fun 9/5 Ortiz. Jr. I Englehart Jeremiah C. JT 181 40.33 1.27/$1
099.1808 2 Captainsdaughter 7/2 McCarthy T Cash Russell J. SEC 181 40.33 1.27/$1
097.6150 7 Mia Bea Star 8/1 Alvarado J Persaud Randi 181 40.33 1.27/$1
095.9280 4 Elegant Laoban 50/1 Gomez J A O'Brien Keith 181 40.33 1.27/$1
093.0346 5 Stimulus Check 12/1 Carmouche K Iorio. Jr. Sal W 181 40.33 1.27/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.50, ROI 1.49/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.6299
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Purse Not Greater Than $100K


07/21/22, SAR, Race 9, 5.39 ET
07/21/22,SAR,9,1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1:39:00 STAKES. Rick Violette Stakes. Purse $125,000. INNER TURF FOR THREE YEAR OLDS FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Non-Lasix race pursuant to 4043.2 (7)(e)(5) Lasix not permitted within 48 hours of post time. By subscription of $125 each which should accompany the nomination; $625 to pass the entry box and an additional $625 to start. For horses not originally nominated, a supplement payment of $625 (along with the entry and starting fees) may be made at any time prior to the closing of entries. The purse to be divided 55% to the winner, 20% to second, 12% to third, 6% to fourth, 4% to fifth and 3% divided equally amongst the remaining finishers. Weight 123 lbs. Non-winners of a sweepstakes in 2022 or two races on the turf other than maiden, claiming or starter allowed 3 lbs.; of a race other than maiden, claiming or starter on the turf allowed 5 lbs. The New York Racing Association reserves the right to transfer this race to the main track. A presentation will be made to the winning owner. Closed Saturday, July 9, 2022 with 18 Original Nominations and 1 Supplement. (Rail at 9 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Dakota Gold 4/5 Ortiz. Jr. I Gargan Danny JSFE 87 28.74 1.47/$1
098.8160 7 Practice Squad 9/2 Prat F Sharp Joe 87 28.74 1.47/$1
098.5294 5 Timbuktu 8/1 Franco M Cox Brad H. TC 87 28.74 1.47/$1
097.8370 3 Coinage 5/2 Saez L Casse Mark E. WL 87 28.74 1.47/$1
097.4359 2 Sundaeswithsandy 12/1 Ortiz J L Rodriguez Rudy R. 87 28.74 1.47/$1
095.4245 8 Compromiser 8/1 Rider TBA Grossman Bruce R. 87 28.74 1.47/$1
093.4826 1 Stop the Spread 50/1 Lezcano A Caramori Eduardo 87 28.74 1.47/$1
090.5717 6 Seaver 20/1 Davis D Hills Timothy A. 87 28.74 1.47/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 30.30, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.1840
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Trainer Dirt YTD_Curr*3.0 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

07/21/22, SAR, Race 10, 6.13 ET
07/21/22,SAR,10,5 1/2F [Turf] 1:00:01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $105,000. (UP TO $18,270 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at Five and One Half Furlongs on the Main Track). (Rail at 12 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Margaret Burbidge 5/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Ward Wesley A. T 86 39.53 1.02/$1
099.7581 3 Factor That 8/1 Gaffalione T Casse Mark E. L 66 33.33 1.51/$1
099.2283 11 Binsky 8/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Rice Linda 66 33.33 1.51/$1
099.1866 9 Georgees Spirit 9/2 Rosario J Abreu Jorge R. W 66 33.33 1.51/$1
099.0033 6 American Rockette 3/1 Alvarado J Mott William I. 66 33.33 1.51/$1
098.2301 1 Tell Me When(b+) 10/1 Ortiz J L Hamm Timothy E. SFEC 52 38.46 1.11/$1
097.9075 4 Shackled by Lust 12/1 Saez L Sharp Joe 7 57.14 1.19/$1
097.8943 7 Strut 12/1 Franco M Motion H. Graham 66 33.33 1.51/$1
097.3441 2 Sugar Mamas Cakery 8/1 Prat F Asmussen Steven M. 7 57.14 1.19/$1
097.1196 8 Determined Jester 15/1 McCarthy T Schoenthal Phil 66 33.33 1.51/$1
096.4282 10 Anotherdaygoneby 30/1 Bridgmohan S Sideris Nicholas 66 33.33 1.51/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 30.30, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.2419
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Morning Line Favorite(not entry)


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