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Top Horse Analytics: 07/20/2022 Picks and Results - SAR


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.22.05.24b)

Track: SAR
Start Of Statistics - 07/15/2021
Past Number of Races - 411

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
38.69 0.92   9.40   Favorites
36.22 0.94 18.80   Morning Line Favorites
36.25 1.14 28.40   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

07/20/22, SAR, Race 1, 1.05 ET
07/20/22,SAR,1,2 1/16M [Turf] 3:36:01 STAKES. A. P. Smithwick Memorial Steeplechase Stakes. Grade 1. Purse $150,000. TO BE RUN OVER NATIONAL FENCES A HURDLE FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. This is a Non-Lasix race pursuant to 4043.2 (7)(e)(5) Lasix not permitted within 48 hours of post time. Closed Saturday, July 9, 2022 with 7 Nominations.
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 30.30, ROI 0.88/$1

* Race is not supported *

07/20/22, SAR, Race 2, 1.39 ET
07/20/22,SAR,2,7F [Dirt] 1:20:02 CLAIMING. Purse $45,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2022 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Evoking 8/5 Ortiz. Jr. I Thomas Jonathan JSFEL 181 40.33 1.27/$1
097.3488 3 Holiday Jazz(b+) 5/1 Carmouche K Duggan David P. TW 181 40.33 1.27/$1
095.6023 6 Babyitsgoldoutside 12/1 Franco M Englehart Jeremiah C. 181 40.33 1.27/$1
095.2802 2 U Cant Handle This 15/1 Gomez J A Rodriguez Rudy R. 181 40.33 1.27/$1
093.5162 7 Infringement 15/1 Harkie H K Persaud Randi 181 40.33 1.27/$1
092.2126 4 Mariah's Fortune 6/5 Saez L Cox Brad H. 181 40.33 1.27/$1
086.7759 5 Backed by Gold 12/1 Rodriguez Castro L A DiPrima Gregory C 181 40.33 1.27/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.50, ROI 1.49/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.6512
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Purse Not Greater Than $100K


07/20/22, SAR, Race 3, 2.13 ET
07/20/22,SAR,3,5 1/2F [Turf] 1:00:01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $50,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at Five and One Half Furlongs on the Main Track). (Rail at 12 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Izeamalibumoon 7/5 Ortiz. Jr. I Camejo Jose M. JF 50 44.00 1.30/$1
098.8759 8 Gracefully Wild 6/1 Castellano J Barker Edward R. S 17 58.82 1.62/$1
098.3759 1 Chiara 12/1 Saez L Bond H. James L 17 58.82 1.62/$1
098.0701 5 Aunt Virginia 5/2 Santana. Jr. R Camejo Jose M. E 17 58.82 1.62/$1
097.4365 9 Rent Control 8/1 Cancel E Chichakly Amira 17 58.82 1.62/$1
097.0735 1X Glittering Prize 12/1 Rider TBA Bond H. James 17 58.82 1.62/$1
096.9986 6 Seems to Whisper 12/1 McCarthy T Trombetta Michael J. 17 58.82 1.62/$1
096.5551 4 Sea Monster 15/1 Gaffalione T D'Angelo Jose Francisc T 17 58.82 1.62/$1
095.8833 3 White Hot 20/1 Diaz. Jr. H R Schettino Domenick L. 17 58.82 1.62/$1
095.6274 10 Ace Up Her Sleeve 8/1 Rider TBA Klesaris Steve W 17 58.82 1.62/$1
095.3111 2B Laughter 20/1 Rider TBA Lerman Roy S. 17 58.82 1.62/$1
093.9008 1A Fuligni 12/1 Saez L Bond H. James C 17 58.82 1.62/$1
092.8881 2 Galley Head 20/1 Gomez J A Lerman Roy S. 17 58.82 1.62/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 30.30, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.1241
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] *2nd Horse Not 99 Rating And Top Horse 100 Rating
*Scratches may change this condition

07/20/22, SAR, Race 4, 2.49 ET
07/20/22,SAR,4,1M [Inner Turf] 1:32:00 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $100,000. INNER TURF FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $45,000. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over In 2022 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race In 2022 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $45,000 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void). (Rail at 9 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Out of Sight 2/1 Ortiz J L Donk David G. FEL 87 28.74 1.47/$1
099.4346 6 Instinctive 5/2 Franco M Moore Michael M. T 87 28.74 1.47/$1
099.0592 3 Pure Bode 7/2 Lezcano J Ryerson James T. 87 28.74 1.47/$1
098.6559 4 Home for Christmas 4/1 Rosario J Clement Christophe 87 28.74 1.47/$1
098.4085 7 Epona's Dream 6/5 Rider TBA Hennig Mark A. C 87 28.74 1.47/$1
097.8370 2 Sweet Franny Lu 6/1 Gomez J A Morley Thomas W 87 28.74 1.47/$1
096.9272 5 A Bit o'Irish Sass 10/1 Prat F Schosberg Richard E. J 87 28.74 1.47/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 30.30, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.5654
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Trainer Dirt YTD_Curr*3.0 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

07/20/22, SAR, Race 5, 3.21 ET
07/20/22,SAR,5,5 1/2F [Dirt] 1:02:02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $83,000. (UP TO $14,442 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. (For Horses That Sold or RNA for $50,000 Or Less In Their Most Recent Sale).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 U Glow Girl 5/2 Prat F Cox Brad H. TW 181 40.33 1.27/$1
098.4828 3 Numero Seis 4/1 Saez L Sharp Joe SFE 181 40.33 1.27/$1
098.1524 4 Whatchamacall 5/1 Santana. Jr. R Camejo Jose M. L 181 40.33 1.27/$1
097.0154 5 Leave No Trace 4/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Serpe Philip M. J 181 40.33 1.27/$1
095.9660 1 Callie's Passion 6/1 Gaffalione T Sharp Joe 181 40.33 1.27/$1
093.9279 6 Shaymyname 30/1 Alvarado J Chichakly Amira 181 40.33 1.27/$1
092.6639 9 Our Rosie Diamonds 15/1 Castellano J Chichakly Amira 181 40.33 1.27/$1
092.2264 7 Stellar Lady 12/1 Leparoux J R McPeek Kenneth G. 181 40.33 1.27/$1
091.2227 8 Darknstormy 8/1 Franco M Rodriguez Rudy R. 181 40.33 1.27/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.50, ROI 1.49/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.5172
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Purse Not Greater Than $100K


07/20/22, SAR, Race 6, 3.55 ET
07/20/22,SAR,6,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 CLAIMING. Purse $72,000. (UP TO $12,528 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2022 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $32,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Aristocratic 3/1 Rosario J Falcone. Jr. Robert N. L 181 40.33 1.27/$1
099.9058 2 Copper Town 3/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Kantarmaci Mertkan J 181 40.33 1.27/$1
099.7437 1 Prince James 10/1 Ortiz J L Donk David G. TS 181 40.33 1.27/$1
099.1910 6 Happy Farm 2/1 Prat F Arriaga Antonio FEC 181 40.33 1.27/$1
098.0851 3 Shadow Matter 8/1 Saez L Stewart Dallas 181 40.33 1.27/$1
097.7761 4 Wendell Fong 4/1 Gaffalione T Summers Chad W 181 40.33 1.27/$1
096.4086 7 Magnificent Chrome(b-) 30/1 Harkie H K Goberdhan Chandradat 181 40.33 1.27/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.50, ROI 1.49/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0942
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Purse Not Greater Than $100K


07/20/22, SAR, Race 7, 4.29 ET
07/20/22,SAR,7,5 1/2F [Turf] 1:00:01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $105,000. (UP TO $18,270 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at Five and One Half Furlongs on the Main Track). (Rail at 12 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Crowding Out 3/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Brown Chad C. JT 71 30.99 1.08/$1
099.6209 3 Hey There 5/2 Prat F Cox Brad H. SFEC 52 38.46 1.11/$1
099.1788 4 Bali Dove (FR) 4/1 Velazquez J R Ward Wesley A. L 9 55.56 1.52/$1
097.2474 6 Mrs. Green 9/2 Lezcano J Rice Linda 66 33.33 1.51/$1
096.9950 10 Alessia 8/1 Gaffalione T Zito Nicholas P. W 19 31.58 1.18/$1
096.5065 5 Meander 15/1 Franco M Motion H. Graham 66 33.33 1.51/$1
095.7290 1 Yamas 20/1 Gomez J A Jerkens James A. 5 40.00 1.05/$1
095.1555 8 Temerity 15/1 Ortiz J L Abreu Fernando 24 50.00 1.55/$1
094.2533 7 Spicy Ginger 12/1 Saez L Weaver George 19 31.58 1.18/$1
090.4264 9 Libretto (IRE) 8/1 Rosario J Abreu Jorge R. 4 25.00 1.60/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 30.30, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.3791
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Not 3YO In 3UP Race


07/20/22, SAR, Race 8, 5.05 ET
07/20/22,SAR,8,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $120,000. (UP TO $20,880 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $62,500. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Claiming Or Starter In 2022 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race In 2022 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $62,500 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Smash Ticket 5/2 Carmouche K Atras Rob F 225 38.22 1.21/$1
099.8286 9 Mischievous Diane 4/1 Davis D Handal Raymond EL 225 38.22 1.21/$1
099.3223 1A Piece of My Heart 4/1 Gaffalione T Gargan Danny TS 225 38.22 1.21/$1
098.8068 3 (F)Far Away Love (ARG) 10/1 Rosario J Mott William I. 225 38.22 1.21/$1
098.6860 1 Short Summer Dress 4/1 Santana. Jr. R Diodoro Robertino 225 38.22 1.21/$1
098.3709 6 Betsy Blue 6/1 Lezcano J Rice Linda C 225 38.22 1.21/$1
098.2499 5 Honey Money 12/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Persaud Randi J 225 38.22 1.21/$1
098.2489 7 Eloquent Speaker 12/1 Prat F Lynch Natalia 225 38.22 1.21/$1
098.0237 8 Movie Moxy 8/1 Franco M Weaver George 225 38.22 1.21/$1
097.8415 4 Secret Love 10/1 Velazquez J R Kimmel John C. W 225 38.22 1.21/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.50, ROI 1.49/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.1714
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Age Not 3


07/20/22, SAR, Race 9, 5.39 ET
07/20/22,SAR,9,1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1:39:00 STAKES. Suzie O'Cain Stakes. Purse $125,000. INNER TURF FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Non-Lasix race pursuant to 4043.2 (7)(e)(5) Lasix not permitted within 48 hours of post time. By subscription of $125 each which should accompany the nomination; $625 to pass the entry box and an additional $625 to start. For horses not originally nominated, a supplement payment of $625 (along with the entry and starting fees) may be made at any time prior to the closing of entries. The purseto be divided 55% to the winner, 20% to second, 12% to third, 6% to fourth, 4% to fifth and 3% divided equally amongst the remaining finishers. Weight 123 lbs. Non-winners of a sweepstakes in 2022 or two races on the turf other than maiden, claiming or sttarter allowed 3 lbs.; of a race other than maiden, claiming or starter on the turf allowed 5 lbs. The New York Racing Association reserves the right to transfer this race to the main track. A presentation will be made to the winning owner. Closed Saturday, July 9, 2022 with 13 Nominations. (Rail at 9 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 She's a Mia 7/5 Rosario J Clement Christophe JT 87 28.74 1.47/$1
099.2451 4 Classic Lynne 4/1 Gaffalione T Sharp Joe S 87 28.74 1.47/$1
099.1759 8 Caragate 2/1 Castellano J Friedman Mitchell E. 87 28.74 1.47/$1
098.7377 1 Solib 6/1 Saez L Sharp Joe 87 28.74 1.47/$1
098.3645 9 Reigning Chick 6/1 Ortiz J L Noda Orlando 87 28.74 1.47/$1
093.4923 3 Lisa's Vision 5/2 Ortiz J L Abreu Jorge R. FC 87 28.74 1.47/$1
092.9351 7 Galaxina 5/2 McCarthy T Bond H. James EL 87 28.74 1.47/$1
091.4050 2 Dufresne 8/1 Velazquez J R Trombetta Michael J. W 87 28.74 1.47/$1
091.1146 6 Dream Central 8/1 Lezcano J Sciacca Gary 87 28.74 1.47/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 30.30, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.7549
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Trainer Dirt YTD_Curr*3.0 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

07/20/22, SAR, Race 10, 6.13 ET
07/20/22,SAR,10,5 1/2F [Turf] 1:00:01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $52,000. (UP TO $9,048 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable torun this race on the turf course, this race will be run at Five and One Half Furlongs on the Main Track). (Rail at 12 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Blinding Light 2/1 Franco M Weaver George FE 31 38.71 1.23/$1
099.3872 2 Rum 'n Tonic 5/1 Gaffalione T Maker Michael J. S 31 38.71 1.23/$1
098.7849 3 Super Quality 7/2 Saez L Weaver George W 31 38.71 1.23/$1
098.0713 4 Rugged Union 6/1 Davis D Gargan Danny T 31 38.71 1.23/$1
096.8110 7 Big Woo 15/1 Ortiz J L Catalano Wayne M. 31 38.71 1.23/$1
095.8759 9 Jurkovec 15/1 McCarthy T Albertrani Thomas 31 38.71 1.23/$1
095.8727 8 Naked and Famous(b+) 8/1 Gomez J A Rodriguez Rudy R. L 31 38.71 1.23/$1
095.5068 1 Kobe's Legacy 6/1 Lezcano J Englehart Chris J. C 31 38.71 1.23/$1
094.6908 5 Vinny Two Cents 30/1 Castillo A Barrera. III Oscar S. 31 38.71 1.23/$1
094.4093 1A Pistol Or Shotgun 6/1 Rosario J Mott William I. J 31 38.71 1.23/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 30.30, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.6128
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf MdnMClm] Race Sex Not Females


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