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Top Horse Analytics: 07/17/2022 Picks and Results - SAR


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.22.05.24b)

Track: SAR
Start Of Statistics - 07/15/2021
Past Number of Races - 411

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
38.69 0.92   9.40   Favorites
36.22 0.94 18.80   Morning Line Favorites
36.25 1.14 28.40   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

07/17/22, SAR, Race 1, 1.05 ET
07/17/22,SAR,1,5 1/2F [Dirt] 1:02:02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $88,000. FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Weight, 119 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 8 Miracle Mike 1/1 Prat F Pletcher Todd A. TSFELC 181 40.33 1.27/$1
099.8805 5 Curly Larry and Mo 10/1 Carmouche K Caramori Caio W 181 40.33 1.27/$1
099.1188 3 Barry the Builder 8/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Rodriguez Rudy R. J 181 40.33 1.27/$1
098.9155 9 Pete N Billy 10/1 Saez L Mott William I. 181 40.33 1.27/$1
098.5340 4 Light Man 8/1 Ortiz J L Levine Bruce N. 181 40.33 1.27/$1
097.3471 7 Conman 3/1 Gaffalione T Casse Mark E. 181 40.33 1.27/$1
096.1613 2 Burn Jakey Burn 10/1 McCarthy T Albertrani Thomas 181 40.33 1.27/$1
094.1025 1 Sorpreso 20/1 Santana. Jr. R Vazquez Juan C. 181 40.33 1.27/$1
092.9078 6 N Y Riesling 30/1 Davis J A Dixon Linda K. 181 40.33 1.27/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.50, ROI 1.49/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.1195
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Purse Not Greater Than $100K


07/17/22, SAR, Race 2, 1.39 ET
07/17/22,SAR,2,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 CLAIMING. Purse $60,000. FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races In 2022 Allowed 2 lbs. A Race In 2022 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $20,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment DueAt Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Leviosa 5/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Gargan Danny JTSF 181 40.33 1.27/$1
098.9667 6 Mommasgottarun 8/5 Gaffalione T Amoss Thomas M. WL 181 40.33 1.27/$1
097.4037 2 Trinity Titoli 4/1 Franco M Noda Orlando 181 40.33 1.27/$1
097.2515 1 Gris Tormenta 12/1 Davis D Clarke Dylan C 181 40.33 1.27/$1
097.1567 5 Waters of Merom 2/1 Lezcano J Rice Linda E 181 40.33 1.27/$1
096.6578 4 Amore Fire 8/1 Ortiz J L Lucas Bonnie 181 40.33 1.27/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.50, ROI 1.49/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.0333
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Purse Not Greater Than $100K


07/17/22, SAR, Race 3, 2.15 ET
07/17/22,SAR,3,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $42,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 10 Crosstalk(b+) 7/2 Ortiz J L Duggan David P. TSL 181 40.33 1.27/$1
097.7739 8 Shane's Risk 9/2 Franco M Atras Rob 181 40.33 1.27/$1
094.5827 2 Halofied 10/1 Carmouche K Atras Rob W 181 40.33 1.27/$1
093.6362 4 Roz 6/1 Davis D Miceli Michael 181 40.33 1.27/$1
093.2083 6 My Daddy's Trainer 20/1 Cancel E Zito Nicholas P. 181 40.33 1.27/$1
093.2074 3 Big Bean Christine 5/1 Saez L Grossman Bruce R. F 181 40.33 1.27/$1
091.3778 7 Escapewithfriends 8/1 Cardenas L Dini Michael C 181 40.33 1.27/$1
090.8424 1 Carlann 8/1 Gaffalione T O'Connor Matthew Brice J 181 40.33 1.27/$1
089.7985 5 Secret Hideout(b+) 15/1 Davis J A Davis Edmund D. 181 40.33 1.27/$1
088.9506 9 To the Tune(b-) 6/1 Gomez J A Margotta. Jr. Anthony E 181 40.33 1.27/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.50, ROI 1.49/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.2261
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Purse Not Greater Than $100K


07/17/22, SAR, Race 4, 2.49 ET
07/17/22,SAR,4,1 1/8M [Dirt] 1:46:03 CLAIMING. Purse $80,000. (UP TO $13,920 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over In 2022 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $40,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Indimaaj 8/1 Ortiz J L Diodoro Robertino TL 181 40.33 1.27/$1
099.7138 4 Truculent 6/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Maker Michael J. JW 181 40.33 1.27/$1
099.7051 5 Zoomer 3/1 Prat F Rice Linda FC 181 40.33 1.27/$1
099.1161 7 Crafty Daddy(b+) 4/1 Gaffalione T Barkley Jason S 181 40.33 1.27/$1
099.0907 1 War Stopper 4/1 Santana. Jr. R Falcone. Jr. Robert N. 181 40.33 1.27/$1
098.2202 6 Two Thirty Five 5/2 Rosario J Kantarmaci Mertkan 181 40.33 1.27/$1
097.5624 2 Locally Owned 10/1 Davis D Morley Thomas E 181 40.33 1.27/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.50, ROI 1.49/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.2862
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Purse Not Greater Than $100K


07/17/22, SAR, Race 5, 3.21 ET
07/17/22,SAR,5,5 1/2F [Turf] 1:00:01 ALLOWANCE. Purse $95,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter Allowed 2 lbs. (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at Five and One Half Furlongs on the Main Track). (Rail at 12 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Sheriff Bianco 3/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Rice Linda 87 28.74 1.47/$1
099.8322 5 Yarrow 5/2 Rosario J Clement Christophe E 87 28.74 1.47/$1
099.6788 8 Neuro 6/1 Castellano J Ribaudo Robert S 87 28.74 1.47/$1
099.4487 10 Athenry 4/1 Franco M Nevin Michelle 87 28.74 1.47/$1
099.2306 2 Veterans Beach 6/1 Saez L Dini Michael 87 28.74 1.47/$1
099.1294 1A Storm Shooter 1/1 Rider TBA Rice Linda 87 28.74 1.47/$1
098.8540 6 Two Down 10/1 Cancel E Englehart Jeffrey S. TFC 87 28.74 1.47/$1
098.1065 9 Saratoga Promise 20/1 Worrie A S Barrow Paul W. 87 28.74 1.47/$1
097.9666 3 Be the Boss 20/1 McCarthy T Trombetta Michael J. WL 87 28.74 1.47/$1
094.4792 4 Disco Deano 15/1 Navarro K Ferraro M. Anthony 87 28.74 1.47/$1
092.2599 1 Great Workout Even Ortiz. Jr. I Rice Linda 87 28.74 1.47/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 30.30, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.1678
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Trainer Dirt YTD_Curr*3.0 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

07/17/22, SAR, Race 6, 3.55 ET
07/17/22,SAR,6,7F [Dirt] 1:20:02 CLAIMING. Purse $32,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2022 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $14,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Road to Success 3/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Englehart Jeffrey S. JTL 181 40.33 1.27/$1
098.8798 9 Victory Built 8/1 Gomez J A Rodriguez Rudy R. F 181 40.33 1.27/$1
098.6949 6 O'Trouble 2/1 Rosario J Breen Kelly J. SE 181 40.33 1.27/$1
097.4666 10 Brunate 9/2 Davis D Bond H. James 181 40.33 1.27/$1
097.0607 3 Majestic Tiger(b-) 6/1 Ortiz J L Rodriguez Gustavo 181 40.33 1.27/$1
096.4699 2 Forestwood Lane 12/1 McCarthy T Englehart Chris J. C 181 40.33 1.27/$1
096.2124 1 Truebelieve 30/1 Castillo A Barrera. III Oscar S. 181 40.33 1.27/$1
095.7116 11 Revenio 20/1 Gaffalione T Zito Nicholas P. W 181 40.33 1.27/$1
095.5555 5 Scorpion Dynasty 30/1 Cancel E Clarke Dylan 181 40.33 1.27/$1
095.4494 7 Quintarelli 50/1 Davis J A Henry Neville 181 40.33 1.27/$1
094.9890 8 Jumpster 20/1 Harkie H K Sciacca Gary 181 40.33 1.27/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.50, ROI 1.49/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.1202
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Purse Not Greater Than $100K


07/17/22, SAR, Race 7, 4.29 ET
07/17/22,SAR,7,1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1:39:00 ALLOWANCE. Purse $95,000. INNER TURF FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 2 lbs. (Rail at 9 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 New Ginya 5/2 Davis D Clement Christophe 87 28.74 1.47/$1
099.8642 9 Russiarussiarussia 7/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Brown Chad C. JTFEC 87 28.74 1.47/$1
099.2940 12 Caragate 2/1 Castellano J Friedman Mitchell E. 87 28.74 1.47/$1
099.1400 11 Classic Lynne 6/1 Gaffalione T Sharp Joe SL 87 28.74 1.47/$1
098.0269 1 I'm Fine 8/1 Saez L Sharp Joe 87 28.74 1.47/$1
097.6161 4 Lady Thornhill 12/1 Ortiz J L Donk David G. 87 28.74 1.47/$1
097.3654 10 Masterof the Tunes 10/1 Velazquez J R Lee Joseph R. 87 28.74 1.47/$1
097.2291 2 Just Ok Is Not Ok 6/1 Santana. Jr. R De Paz Horacio 87 28.74 1.47/$1
096.8676 3 Bella Principessa 10/1 Rosario J Klesaris Robert P. 87 28.74 1.47/$1
096.5660 6 Fist Full of Dice 15/1 Castellano J Combs Bentley 87 28.74 1.47/$1
096.0706 13 Gallina 9/2 McCarthy T Bond H. James 87 28.74 1.47/$1
095.9974 8 Starship Belmont 30/1 Navarro K Ferraro M. Anthony 87 28.74 1.47/$1
088.9761 7 Vallelujah 50/1 Davis J A Davis Robbie G. W 87 28.74 1.47/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 30.30, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.1358
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Trainer Dirt YTD_Curr*3.0 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

07/17/22, SAR, Race 8, 5.05 ET
07/17/22,SAR,8,5 1/2F [Turf] 1:00:01 STAKES. Quick Call S. Presented by the Thoroughbred Retirement Foundation. Grade 3. Purse $175,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 8 Big Invasion 6/5 Rosario J Clement Christophe C 87 28.74 1.47/$1
099.9736 4 Nobals 9/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Rivelli Larry JS 87 28.74 1.47/$1
099.8099 9 Senbei 1/1 Franco M Clement Christophe FE 87 28.74 1.47/$1
098.6109 2 Surprise Boss 10/1 Carmouche K Vazquez Juan C. 87 28.74 1.47/$1
098.4274 6 One Timer 6/1 Castellano J Rivelli Larry W 87 28.74 1.47/$1
098.1525 1 Sky and Sand 12/1 Gaffalione T Asmussen Steven M. 87 28.74 1.47/$1
097.5769 10 Hagler 10/1 Rider TBA Rodriguez Rudy R. 87 28.74 1.47/$1
097.3573 3 Run Curtis Run 12/1 Santana. Jr. R Maker Michael J. 87 28.74 1.47/$1
096.0672 5 Dance Code 30/1 Adorno A Vazquez Juan C. 87 28.74 1.47/$1
092.1499 7 Asymmetric (IRE)(b-) 7/2 Spencer J P Ward Wesley A. T 87 28.74 1.47/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 30.30, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0264
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Trainer Dirt YTD_Curr*3.0 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

07/17/22, SAR, Race 9, 5.39 ET
07/17/22,SAR,9,7F [Dirt] 1:20:02 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $125,000. (UP TO $21,750 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 THREE TIMES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $80,000. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Claiming Or Starter In 2022 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race In 2022 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $80,000 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Sound Money 8/5 Ortiz. Jr. I Brown Chad C. JTSFL 225 38.22 1.21/$1
098.2633 1 Supremacy 5/1 Santana. Jr. R Cox Brad H. C 225 38.22 1.21/$1
097.8534 7 Gun It 6/1 Gaffalione T Asmussen Steven M. 225 38.22 1.21/$1
097.7606 3 American Power 12/1 Carmouche K Atras Rob 225 38.22 1.21/$1
097.6531 5 Fortin Hill 3/1 Ortiz J L Mott William I. 225 38.22 1.21/$1
097.3634 2 Night Time 6/1 Rosario J Romans Dale L. E 225 38.22 1.21/$1
097.2335 6 Three Two Zone 8/1 Davis D Handal Raymond W 225 38.22 1.21/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.50, ROI 1.49/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.7367
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Age Not 3


07/17/22, SAR, Race 10, 6.13 ET
07/17/22,SAR,10,1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1:39:00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $50,000. INNER TURF FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void). (Rail at 9 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Our Jessica 5/2 Ortiz J L Donk David G. FE 52 38.46 1.11/$1
099.2979 12 Tapple Cider 9/2 Davis D Tagg Barclay W 71 30.99 1.08/$1
098.3317 7 Oak Loves a Fight(b-) 8/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Noda Orlando J 66 33.33 1.51/$1
098.0626 13 I'll Go All In 15/1 Adorno A Vazquez Juan C. S 66 33.33 1.51/$1
097.8232 16 Frosty Invasion 5/1 McCarthy T Schettino Domenick L. 24 50.00 1.55/$1
097.8058 4 Inkblot 10/1 McCarthy T Quick Patrick J. 66 33.33 1.51/$1
096.7683 1 Jannie Mae 20/1 Carmouche K Nevin Michelle 3 33.33 2.13/$1
096.3136 14 Quiet Type 12/1 Saez L Brown Bruce R. 71 30.99 1.08/$1
096.2174 6 Kay Tee Gal 50/1 Davis J A Henry Neville L 3 33.33 2.13/$1
096.0922 11 Mucho Mama Mia 12/1 Bridgmohan S Englehart Jeremiah C. 66 33.33 1.51/$1
095.8869 2 Dats a Superstar 15/1 Cancel E Morley Thomas 3 33.33 2.13/$1
093.2886 9 Dance for Bourbon 20/1 Cardenas L Ryerson James T. 66 33.33 1.51/$1
092.9701 10 Skyward Princess 3/1 Franco M Brown Chad C. T 3 33.33 2.13/$1
091.0470 3 Miss Malala 50/1 Samuel J L Ferraro James W. 66 33.33 1.51/$1
090.9730 8 Lola Lola 10/1 Lezcano J Miceli Michael 7 57.14 1.19/$1
089.4599 15 Dulce Gigante 8/1 Cancel E Levine Bruce N. C 3 33.33 2.13/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 30.30, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.7021
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Best Finish


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