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Top Horse Analytics: 07/10/2022 Picks and Results - BEL


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.22.05.24b)

Track: BEL
Start Of Statistics - 06/24/2021
Past Number of Races - 753

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
35.72 0.83 10.40   Favorites
33.61 0.86 16.00   Morning Line Favorites
31.87 0.95 41.20   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

07/10/22, BEL, Race 1, 12.30 ET
07/10/22,BEL,1,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $35,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Lady Yellen 1/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Rice Linda JTSL 69 46.38 1.51/$1
097.6404 6 Ms No Vax 5/1 Gomez J A Reynolds Patrick L. 69 46.38 1.51/$1
095.8181 1 Madame Rose 3/1 Castillo A Jones Eduardo E. FE 69 46.38 1.51/$1
094.6603 2 Kitty Tin Tin 15/1 Samuel J L Trites A. Lands W 86 45.35 1.41/$1
094.4624 7 Kay Tee Gal 8/1 Harkie H K Henry Neville 86 45.35 1.41/$1
093.2449 4 Lordhearmyprayer 8/1 Hernandez Moreno O Barrera. III Oscar S. C 86 45.35 1.41/$1
091.5238 3 Emerald Banker 12/1 Richards G Jerkens Steven T. 86 45.35 1.41/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.72, ROI 0.90/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.3596
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Was Not Favorite(not entry)  -with-
[Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race (Sprint Or Route) Same As Today


07/10/22, BEL, Race 2, 1.04 ET
07/10/22,BEL,2,7F [Turf] 1:19:01 CLAIMING. Purse $60,000. (UP TO $10,440 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since January 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $32,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $25,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at Seven Furlongs on the Main Track.) (Rail at 27 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Not Phar Now 5/2 Franco M Weaver George SFEL 137 28.47 1.20/$1
098.7414 2 Reux (GB) 7/2 Rosario J Clement Christophe JT 127 27.56 1.17/$1
098.4388 7 Duress 9/5 Saez L Albertrani Thomas C 38 39.47 1.71/$1
097.9164 4 Casalsa 20/1 Cancel E Jerkens Steven T. W 97 28.87 1.25/$1
097.2588 6 The Last Zip(b-) 4/1 McCarthy T Sharp Joe 205 25.85 1.08/$1
097.1458 5 Troubling Moon 8/1 Davis D Englehart Chris J. 127 27.56 1.17/$1
096.2372 3 American Lincoln 15/1 Lezcano J Romero Jesus 83 26.51 1.20/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 25.81, ROI 0.68/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.2586
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Speed Dirt Last 4 (M)


07/10/22, BEL, Race 3, 1.36 ET
07/10/22,BEL,3,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $37,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Patrick the Great 5/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Abreu Jorge R. JW 45 55.56 1.81/$1
099.3789 8 Eminency 2/1 Saez L Rodriguez Rudy R. SFEL 45 55.56 1.81/$1
098.5366 6 Devil Or Angel 4/1 Ortiz J L Donk David G. C 78 52.56 1.44/$1
097.4788 2 Barone Marchis 6/1 Franco M Noda Orlando 78 52.56 1.44/$1
096.9416 3 Crawford County 10/1 Gomez J A Rodriguez Rudy R. 45 55.56 1.81/$1
094.0573 7 Fair to Middlin 12/1 Davis D Miceli Michael 45 55.56 1.81/$1
093.6431 5 Denis 30/1 Castillo A Jones Eduardo E. 45 55.56 1.81/$1
093.3938 4 Uncle Water Flow 12/1 Castellano J Persaud Eddie 45 55.56 1.81/$1
091.4784 9 Gentle Jack Frost 30/1 Harkie H K Persaud Randi 77 51.95 1.45/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.72, ROI 0.90/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.6211
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Was Not Favorite(not entry)  -with-
[Dirt MdnMClm] Race Sex Not Females


07/10/22, BEL, Race 4, 2.07 ET
07/10/22,BEL,4,1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1:38:04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $45,000. INNER TURF (UP TO $7,830 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Media Sensation 3/1 Franco M Morley Thomas S 211 27.01 1.08/$1
098.9372 3 Left On Boylston 9/2 Carmouche K Nevin Michelle FEC 211 27.01 1.08/$1
098.6424 1 Smart Joker 12/1 Ortiz J L Kimmel John C. WL 97 28.87 1.25/$1
095.9092 8 Islandman 20/1 Gomez J A Williams Andrew O. 97 28.87 1.25/$1
095.8824 7 Lefty's War 8/1 Davis D Lee Joseph R. 97 28.87 1.25/$1
095.4331 4 Splendid Summer 9/2 Prat F Pletcher Todd A. JT 211 27.01 1.08/$1
095.2259 5 Theregoesmymiracle 15/1 Samuel J L Seyler Douglas J. 97 28.87 1.25/$1
094.7793 10 Myplayalinda 8/1 Lezcano J Levine Bruce N. 137 24.82 1.10/$1
094.3022 9 Mr Nobility 7/2 McCarthy T Clement Christophe 137 24.82 1.10/$1
091.9108 6 Question My Sanity 30/1 Hernandez Moreno O Romero Jesus 97 28.87 1.25/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 25.81, ROI 0.68/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.0628
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Not First Race After 45 Days Off


07/10/22, BEL, Race 5, 2.40 ET
07/10/22,BEL,5,1 1/16M [Dirt] 1:39:01 ALLOWANCE. Purse $92,000. (UP TO $16,008 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 2 lbs. (If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 First to Act 5/2 Ortiz. Jr. I McGaughey III Claude R JFEC 74 40.54 1.15/$1
099.4970 4 Wasp 7/2 Prat F Pletcher Todd A. T 74 40.54 1.15/$1
098.9567 7 Baby Man 4/1 Gomez J A Rodriguez Rudy R. L 9 44.44 1.12/$1
098.0989 2 Mashnee Girl 3/1 Saez L Hennig Mark A. S 31 51.61 1.44/$1
096.9543 5 Sweet Surprise 12/1 Davis D Hills Timothy A. W 285 30.18 0.86/$1
096.6031 1 Frost Me 9/2 Cancel E Kimmel John C. 285 30.18 0.86/$1
096.1690 6 Vienna Code 15/1 Castellano J Williams Andrew O. 285 30.18 0.86/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.72, ROI 0.90/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.5030
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Second Race After 45 Days Off


07/10/22, BEL, Race 6, 3.13 ET
07/10/22,BEL,6,1M [Turf] 1:31:01 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $94,000. (UP TO $16,356 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $62,500. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Since January 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $62,500 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at One Mile on the Main Track.) (Rail at 27 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Zainalarab 5/2 Franco M Brown Chad C. S 137 28.47 1.20/$1
099.7834 2 Nevisian Sunrise 3/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Brown Chad C. JE 156 28.85 1.16/$1
099.5989 5 Miss Dracarys 5/1 Davis D Drysdale Neil D. 38 39.47 1.71/$1
099.5522 3 Evvie Jets 10/1 Cancel E Kantarmaci Mertkan F 38 39.47 1.71/$1
099.3635 8 Poca Mucha 10/1 Prat F Mott William I. C 156 28.85 1.16/$1
098.8230 4 Adelaide Miss 15/1 McCarthy T Russell Brittany T. WL 38 39.47 1.71/$1
098.7945 1 Princess Fawzia 10/1 Carmouche K Atras Rob 156 28.85 1.16/$1
098.1696 6 King's Harlequin (IRE) 9/2 Rosario J Clement Christophe 156 28.85 1.16/$1
097.1186 9 Lashara (GB) 15/1 Ortiz J L Maker Michael J. 97 28.87 1.25/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 25.81, ROI 0.68/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.2166
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Speed Dirt Last 4 (M)


07/10/22, BEL, Race 7, 3.47 ET
07/10/22,BEL,7,1 3/8M [Inner Turf] 2:10:01 ALLOWANCE. Purse $92,000. INNER TURF (UP TO $16,008 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 2 lbs. (If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Rheaume 6/1 McCarthy T Dickinson Michael W. SFEC 137 28.47 1.20/$1
099.0602 5 Queen Bourbon 4/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Wilkes Ian R. JWL 97 28.87 1.25/$1
098.5863 8 Classic Colors 3/1 Ortiz J L Clement Christophe 156 28.85 1.16/$1
098.4014 2 Eylara (IRE) 7/2 Prat F Clement Christophe 97 28.87 1.25/$1
098.0676 3 Ballymore Star (IRE) 15/1 Carmouche K Sweezey J. Kent 156 28.85 1.16/$1
097.7689 1 Hail To(b+) 8/1 Davis D Albertrani Thomas 156 28.85 1.16/$1
097.5333 4 Stepper 4/1 Saez L Drury. Jr. Thomas 156 28.85 1.16/$1
096.0986 7 Met in Miami 10/1 Rosario J Motion H. Graham 97 28.87 1.25/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 25.81, ROI 0.68/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.9398
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Speed Dirt Last 4 (M)


07/10/22, BEL, Race 8, 4.19 ET
07/10/22,BEL,8,1 1/16M [Dirt] 1:39:01 STAKES. Saginaw Stakes. Purse $100,000. FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Non-Lasix Race pursuant to 4043.2 (7)(e)(5) Lasix not permitted within 48 hours of post time. By subscription of $100 each which should accompany thenomination; $500 to pass the entry box and an additional $500 to start. For horses not originally nominated, a supplemental payment of $500 (along with the entry and starting fees) may be made at any time prior to the closing of entries. The purse to bedivided 55% to the owner of the winner, 20% to second, 12% to third, 6% to fourth, 4% to fifth and 3% divided equally amongst the remaining finishers. Weight 124 lbs. Non-winners of a Sweepstake in 2022 allowed 2 lbs.; of a Sweepstake since August 1, 20221or two races other than maiden, claiming, starter or state bred allowance in 2022 allowed 4 lbs.; of a race in 2022 other than maiden, claiming starter or state bred allowance allowed 6 lbs. A presentation will be made to the winning owner. Closed Saturday, June 25, 2022 with 15 Original Nominations and 1 Supplement.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Listentoyourheart 5/2 Rosario J Clement Christophe SFE 105 45.71 1.16/$1
099.2461 6 Therisastormbrewin 7/2 Saez L Rodriguez Rudy R. L 105 45.71 1.16/$1
098.6002 2 Daddy Knows 4/1 Worrie A S Englehart Jeffrey S. T 105 45.71 1.16/$1
097.4355 5 Market Alert 9/5 Ortiz J L Ryerson James T. W 105 45.71 1.16/$1
097.3326 1 Brooklyn Strong 6/1 Prat F Barboza. Jr. Victor JC 105 45.71 1.16/$1
095.0476 3 Jemography 15/1 Cancel E DeLauro Edward J. 105 45.71 1.16/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.72, ROI 0.90/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.7539
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] No Lasix Today


07/10/22, BEL, Race 9, 4.51 ET
07/10/22,BEL,9,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:38:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $45,000. (UP TO $7,830 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at One Mile and One Sixteenth on the Main Track.) (Rail at 27 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 North Carolina 5/1 Lezcano J Rice Linda SFEL 38 39.47 1.71/$1
098.9886 1 Wick Loves a Fight 8/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Noda Orlando J 211 27.01 1.08/$1
098.2888 7 Greg's Honor 8/1 Velazquez J R Hennig Mark A. 97 28.87 1.25/$1
098.1834 8 Dream of a Day 6/1 Davis D Tagg Barclay 205 25.85 1.08/$1
097.4802 6 The Iceman Commeth 10/1 Castellano J Morley Thomas C 211 27.01 1.08/$1
096.1385 11 Imola 5/1 Saez L Pletcher Todd A. T 137 24.82 1.10/$1
095.5424 9 Calloway Peak(b-) 4/1 Cancel E Martin Carlos F. 211 27.01 1.08/$1
095.2535 4 Everesting 15/1 Harkie H K Johnson Cleveland W 97 28.87 1.25/$1
094.7951 5 Longest Day 6/1 McCarthy T Clement Christophe 137 24.82 1.10/$1
094.6590 10 Union of Thoughts 20/1 Carmouche K Antonucci Jena M. 97 28.87 1.25/$1
094.3747 3 Bali Riddim(b+) 30/1 Castillo A Pringle Edmund 97 28.87 1.25/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 25.81, ROI 0.68/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.0114
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Third Race After 45 Days Off


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