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Top Horse Analytics: 07/10/2022 Picks and Results - MTH


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.22.05.24b)

Track: MTH
Start Of Statistics - 07/10/2021
Past Number of Races - 569

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
39.96 0.88   8.00   Favorites
34.83 0.87 46.20   Morning Line Favorites
30.91 0.96 39.40   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

07/10/22, MTH, Race 1, 12.15 ET
07/10/22,MTH,1,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:39:01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $68,750 (includes up to $13,750 NJB - New Jersey Bred Enhancement). FOR REGISTERED NEW JERSEY BREDS MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. (Rail at 12 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Irish Boolum 5/2 Suarez A Lynch Cathal A. JT 39 48.72 1.18/$1
099.8874 2 Cassation 3/2 Torres J Owens. Jr Eddie SF 9 66.67 1.44/$1
097.0691 7 Hello Pop 7/2 Juarez N Huston Rory K. EWL 77 38.96 1.49/$1
096.8190 6 Forever Chocolate 6/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Huston Rory K. 13 53.85 1.23/$1
096.6690 5 Changing the Karma 8/1 Gonzalez J L Simon Linda C 77 38.96 1.49/$1
095.0688 3 Winsor Manor 30/1 Jimenez A Leeson John D. 114 34.21 1.19/$1
093.9690 4 Steel Pier 10/1 Laprida J Marquez Cesareo 114 34.21 1.19/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 29.41, ROI 1.22/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.1126
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Last Race Was Favorite(not entry)


07/10/22, MTH, Race 2, 12.45 ET
07/10/22,MTH,2,6F [Dirt] 1:07:02 CLAIMING. Purse $26,000. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD OR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since May 10 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000, For Each $1,000 To $14,000 1 lb. (Races Where Entered For $12,500 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Mountain Lilly 3/2 Lopez P Mosco Robert JSFC 159 37.11 1.28/$1
098.7415 2 Ballet School 7/2 Rendon J O'Connor. II Robert R. T 159 37.11 1.28/$1
096.8712 6 Asyena 2/1 Gonzalez J L Spina Chuck 81 44.44 1.59/$1
095.7841 3 Unified Ride 6/1 Rodriguez A A Dini Michael 81 44.44 1.59/$1
095.4989 5 La Luisa 8/1 Cardenas L Wilson Faith WL 81 44.44 1.59/$1
095.4300 1 Sassy Like Julia 8/1 Torres J Russo Victor E 81 44.44 1.59/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.56, ROI 0.94/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.2585
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Sex Females


07/10/22, MTH, Race 3, 1.15 ET
07/10/22,MTH,3,5 1/2F [Dirt] 1:02:00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $25,000. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000, For Each $2,500 To $20,000 1 lb.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Just Add Moonlight 2/1 Ferrer J C Demasi Kathleen A. TSE 159 37.11 1.28/$1
095.5885 2 Be Like Beth 9/5 Lopez P Breen Kelly J. J 159 37.11 1.28/$1
090.2832 6 Wicked Saucy 9/2 Torres J Carvajal. Jr. Luis W 159 37.11 1.28/$1
087.3950 5 Sedona Rocks 6/1 Cardenas L Harris Holly L. C 159 37.11 1.28/$1
085.2673 1 Only Girl 6/1 Mitchell R Hogan Jr. William J L 159 37.11 1.28/$1
080.5159 4 Never Walk Alone 5/1 Mezzatesta A Mazza Joseph W. F 159 37.11 1.28/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.56, ROI 0.94/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -4.4115
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Sex Females


07/10/22, MTH, Race 4, 1.45 ET
07/10/22,MTH,4,6F [Dirt] 1:07:02 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $62,500. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $25,000. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since June 10 Allowed 2 lbs. A Race Since May 10 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (Races Where Entered For $22,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Stratofortress 7/5 Lopez P Hollendorfer Jerry JTF 186 36.56 1.20/$1
099.2779 4 R Rajun Bull 5/1 Gonzalez S Demasi Kathleen A. W 104 39.42 1.42/$1
098.7474 6 Our Man Luke 6/1 Laprida J Carvajal. Jr. Luis S 57 36.84 1.43/$1
097.9244 5 Feast 7/2 Ferrer J C Delgado Jose H. L 186 36.56 1.20/$1
097.8391 1 Powerfully Built 10/1 Rodriguez A A Huston Rory K. E 186 36.56 1.20/$1
097.1939 2 Brewmeister 5/2 Camacho S Lewis Lisa L. C 104 39.42 1.42/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.56, ROI 0.94/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.7221
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Not Less Than Today


07/10/22, MTH, Race 5, 2.15 ET
07/10/22,MTH,5,5 1/2F [Turf] 1:01:01 CLAIMING. Purse $27,500. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Since May 10 Allowed 2 lbs. A Race Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $12,500, For Each $1,000 To $10,500 1 lb. (Races Where Entered For $10,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). (Rail at 12 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Trilogy 9/2 Hernandez A Abrams Ronald B. S 34 64.71 2.66/$1
097.8302 2 Baby Boomer 6/1 Camacho S Bennett Gerald S. W 34 64.71 2.66/$1
096.8126 3 Mission Wrapitup 7/2 Diaz. Jr. H R Jones Eduardo E. 46 47.83 1.97/$1
096.3152 9 Gran Malbec 6/1 Rodriguez A A Navarro Marcial J 34 64.71 2.66/$1
096.2702 6 Cactus Jack 8/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Russo Frank T 34 64.71 2.66/$1
095.8022 10 R Boy Bode 10/1 Juarez N Thompson Marcus George 34 64.71 2.66/$1
095.7434 4 Minnesota Lucky 3/1 Gonzalez J L Nunn Douglas FL 34 64.71 2.66/$1
095.6245 7 Luckytobeinamerica 15/1 Jimenez A Borges Israel 46 47.83 1.97/$1
095.2420 5 Youshouldbesolucky 12/1 Ferrer J C Iordan Leo 34 64.71 2.66/$1
095.0220 8 Diesel 12/1 Rivera L D Bedard Alan EC 34 64.71 2.66/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 29.41, ROI 1.22/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.1698
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Distance Sprint  -with-
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Not Less Than Today


07/10/22, MTH, Race 6, 2.45 ET
07/10/22,MTH,6,1 1/16M [Dirt] 1:40:01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $57,500. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Commandperformance 1/1 Lopez P Pletcher Todd A. JEC 112 30.36 0.84/$1
095.9241 6 Strasbourg(b+) 5/1 Juarez N Delgado Jorge TW 22 45.45 1.15/$1
095.7186 2 Loose Goose 8/1 Jimenez A Pletcher Todd A. L 139 37.41 1.11/$1
090.9586 1 Carvellian Quest 3/2 Ferrer J C Trombetta Michael J. SF 152 34.87 1.11/$1
085.7248 3 Captain Quick 10/1 Marin S Milne Joan 57 36.84 1.43/$1
085.5172 5 Bring It Home 20/1 Rendon J Milne Joan 39 30.77 1.07/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.56, ROI 0.94/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -4.0759
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


07/10/22, MTH, Race 7, 3.15 ET
07/10/22,MTH,7,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:39:01 STARTER HANDICAP. Purse $50,000. FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $16,000 OR LESS IN 2021-2022. To remain eligible for trainer awards totaling $25,000, a horse must start in three of the four events. Closed Friday, July 1, 2022 with 47 nominations. (Rail at 12 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 8 Dazzling Truths 7/2 Hernandez A Rodriguez Darien S 97 39.18 1.40/$1
099.8546 10 Road to Meath 6/1 Lopez P Abrams Jack J 97 39.18 1.40/$1
099.5736 7 Lavery 9/2 Centeno D Preciado Guadalupe TE 57 17.54 1.65/$1
098.9660 3 Dream Liner (BRZ) 5/1 Rendon J Wilson Tony 97 39.18 1.40/$1
098.8235 11 J P Hellish 10/1 Rojas C E Russo Frank 97 39.18 1.40/$1
097.8228 2 Hard Knocking 15/1 Diaz. Jr. H R Wilson Tony FL 97 39.18 1.40/$1
097.7720 1 El Pillo 8/1 Rodriguez A A Carvajal. Jr. Luis 97 39.18 1.40/$1
097.5525 5 Shendam (FR) 8/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Voss Elizabeth C 97 39.18 1.40/$1
097.3305 6 Pirate Parade 15/1 Torres J Pimental John I. 97 39.18 1.40/$1
096.9445 9 Call Bros 15/1 Batista J A Carvajal. Jr. Luis 97 39.18 1.40/$1
096.9301 4 Small Hope 6/1 Camacho S Sweezey J. Kent W 97 39.18 1.40/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 29.41, ROI 1.22/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.1454
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Not Less Than Today


07/10/22, MTH, Race 8, 3.45 ET
07/10/22,MTH,8,6F [Dirt] 1:07:02 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $78,125 (includes up to $15,625 NJB - New Jersey Bred Enhancement). FOR REGISTERED NEW JERSEY BREDS THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $30,000. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since June 10 Allowed 2 lbs. A Race Since May 10 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $30,000 (Races Where Entered For $18,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Speaking 2/1 Jimenez A Owens. Jr Eddie SEW 104 39.42 1.42/$1
099.6041 2 Brother Chub 5/2 Lopez P Moore Michael M. J 186 36.56 1.20/$1
098.1678 1 Last Romance 5/2 Suarez A Lynch Cathal A. TFC 34 26.47 1.71/$1
096.2203 3 Hit Me I'm Lucky 6/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Huston Rory K. 57 36.84 1.43/$1
096.2145 7 Lemon Creek Louie 6/1 Rodriguez A A Nunn Douglas 34 26.47 1.71/$1
095.8424 4 D' tiger Lily 20/1 Santos A Wilson Tony L 104 39.42 1.42/$1
095.6462 5 Dr. Doyle 10/1 Moya R F Margotta. Jr. Anthony 186 36.56 1.20/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.56, ROI 0.94/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.3959
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Greater Than Today


07/10/22, MTH, Race 9, 4.15 ET
07/10/22,MTH,9,1M [Turf] 1:32:04 HANDICAP. Irish War Cry Handicap. Purse $85,000. FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UPWARD REGISTERED NEW JERSEY BREDS. No fee to nominate, $250 to pass the entry box and an additional $500 to start. The owner of the winner to receive $51,000, $17,000 to second, $8,500 to third, $4,250 to fourth, $2,550 to fifth and $1,700 to sixth through last. The winning owner to receive a trophy. Closed Friday, June 24, 2022 with 22 nominations. (Rail at 12 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Golden Brown 2/1 Rendon J McBurney Patrick B. S 76 40.79 1.44/$1
099.3818 9 He'spuregold 8/5 Lopez P Breen Kelly J. JTEW 57 17.54 1.65/$1
098.2845 2 Leo Monte 6/1 Rodriguez A A Huston Rory K. F 97 39.18 1.40/$1
098.1007 10 Prendimi 5/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Carvajal. Jr. Luis 97 39.18 1.40/$1
098.0166 3 There Are No Words 5/1 Jimenez A Spina Chuck L 97 39.18 1.40/$1
097.8591 4 Optic Way 10/1 Camacho S Ryan Derek S. 57 17.54 1.65/$1
097.7652 5 Stefano 20/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Huston Rory K. 97 39.18 1.40/$1
097.2696 7 Quiberon Bay 12/1 Ferrer J C Milne Joan 97 39.18 1.40/$1
097.2400 1 Passport 15/1 Laprida J Marquez Cesareo C 97 39.18 1.40/$1
095.8400 8 Ohana Empire 20/1 Gonzalez J L Pimental John I. 97 39.18 1.40/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 29.41, ROI 1.22/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.6182
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Sex Not Females


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