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Top Horse Analytics: 07/04/2022 Picks and Results - BEL


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.22.05.24b)

Track: BEL
Start Of Statistics - 06/24/2021
Past Number of Races - 753

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
35.72 0.83 10.40   Favorites
33.61 0.86 16.00   Morning Line Favorites
31.87 0.95 41.20   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

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The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

07/04/22, BEL, Race 1, 1.00 ET
07/04/22,BEL,1,5F [Turf] 00:55:04 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $75,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Weight, 119 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at Five Furlongs on the Main Track.).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Snowy Evening 2/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Pletcher Todd A. J 156 28.85 1.16/$1
099.9959 2 Ranting 7/5 Rosario J Clement Christophe TEW 156 28.85 1.16/$1
098.2219 6 Benevolently 8/1 Saez L Hennig Mark A. 156 28.85 1.16/$1
098.1226 1 Dream On Cara 6/1 Davis D Friedman Mitchell E. 156 28.85 1.16/$1
098.1032 4 Kingsley Creek 4/1 Ortiz J L Kimmel John C. 156 28.85 1.16/$1
096.7471 3 Our Rosie Diamonds 15/1 Cancel E Chichakly Amira 156 28.85 1.16/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 25.81, ROI 0.68/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0041
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Race Sex Females


07/04/22, BEL, Race 2, 1.32 ET
07/04/22,BEL,2,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:14:02 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $85,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $45,000.Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Claiming Or Starter Since January 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $45,000 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Foolish Ghost 4/1 Davis D Handal Raymond JTFEL 285 30.18 0.86/$1
098.7993 1 Prince of Pharoahs 5/2 Carmouche K Rice Linda 87 37.93 1.02/$1
098.4386 4 Masked Marauder 3/1 Saez L Rodriguez Rudy R. C 285 30.18 0.86/$1
097.8487 3 Bronx Bomber 3/1 Cancel E Rice Linda W 285 30.18 0.86/$1
097.5619 5 Big Engine 9/2 Gomez J A Rodriguez Rudy R. S 9 44.44 1.12/$1
096.9644 6 Tapizearance 8/1 Lezcano J Rodriguez Gustavo 285 30.18 0.86/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.72, ROI 0.90/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.2007
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


07/04/22, BEL, Race 3, 2.03 ET
07/04/22,BEL,3,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $45,000. (UP TO $7,830 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Suppressor 1/1 Franco M Atras Rob TSL 45 55.56 1.81/$1
098.6261 2 Inspiration Point 2/1 Cancel E Englehart Chris J. W 78 52.56 1.44/$1
098.0535 5 Empire Ridge 9/2 Saez L Maker Michael J. FE 45 55.56 1.81/$1
096.9526 4 Sharpoon 12/1 Davis D Fisher Linda JC 45 55.56 1.81/$1
096.3767 6 Fazaro 6/1 Gomez J A Williams Andrew O. 45 55.56 1.81/$1
092.3799 1 Irie Spice 30/1 Cayo D J Persaud Randi 45 55.56 1.81/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.72, ROI 0.90/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.3739
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Was Not Favorite(not entry)  -with-
[Dirt MdnMClm] Race Sex Not Females


07/04/22, BEL, Race 4, 2.34 ET
07/04/22,BEL,4,1M [Dirt] 1:32:01 CLAIMING. Purse $45,000. (UP TO $7,830 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since January 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $35,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Cousteau 7/5 Carmouche K Atras Rob TL 74 40.54 1.15/$1
097.9952 4 O'Trouble 8/5 Gomez J A Breen Kelly J. SFE 9 44.44 1.12/$1
096.8644 5 Majestic Tiger(b+) 9/2 Ortiz J L Rodriguez Gustavo C 285 30.18 0.86/$1
096.1522 1 Great Workout 6/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Rice Linda J 87 37.93 1.02/$1
095.0840 2 Spectatorless 10/1 Castillo A Pringle Edmund 285 30.18 0.86/$1
093.9382 6 Forever Wicked 15/1 Cancel E Persaud Randi W 285 30.18 0.86/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.72, ROI 0.90/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.0048
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Second Race After 45 Days Off


07/04/22, BEL, Race 5, 3.03 ET
07/04/22,BEL,5,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 CLAIMING. Purse $28,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since January 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Trinity Titoli 1/1 Franco M Rodriguez Rudy R. TFEL 25 28.00 1.42/$1
097.4235 7 Love That Face 5/1 Davis D Miceli Michael JS 25 28.00 1.42/$1
096.5910 1 Simple Sugar 9/2 McCarthy T Chapman James K. 25 28.00 1.42/$1
093.6963 2 Game Theory 6/1 Harkie H K Jones Eduardo E. W 25 28.00 1.42/$1
093.6677 4 Handle the Truth 12/1 Cardenas L Metivier Richard 25 28.00 1.42/$1
093.2559 6 Gagliano 6/1 Gomez J A Barrera. III Oscar S. 25 28.00 1.42/$1
092.6026 3 Keen Dancer 15/1 Castillo A Persaud Randi C 25 28.00 1.42/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.72, ROI 0.90/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.5765
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 7f Or 7 1/2f


07/04/22, BEL, Race 6, 3.34 ET
07/04/22,BEL,6,6F [Turf] 1:05:03 ALLOWANCE. Purse $92,000. (UP TO $16,008 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter Allowed 2 lbs. (If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at Six Furlongs on the Main Track.).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Ranger Fox(b+) 2/1 Rosario J Terranova. II John P. SL 58 25.86 1.97/$1
099.5555 6 Atras 8/1 Franco M Cox Brad H. TFEWC 58 25.86 1.97/$1
099.2265 7 Bustin Shout 3/1 Ortiz J L Levine Bruce N. 58 25.86 1.97/$1
099.1066 1 Alado 5/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Joseph. Jr. Saffie A. J 74 12.16 1.64/$1
098.9867 5 Ring of Fire 4/1 Saez L Rodriguez Rudy R. 58 25.86 1.97/$1
098.4007 4 Subsidize 7/2 Prat F Maker Michael J. 58 25.86 1.97/$1
096.2153 2 Gandy Dancing 8/1 Hernandez Moreno O Pregman. Jr. John S. 58 25.86 1.97/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 25.81, ROI 0.68/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.4445
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f
*Scratches may change this condition

07/04/22, BEL, Race 7, 4.06 ET
07/04/22,BEL,7,6F [Inner Turf] 1:06:04 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $94,000. INNER TURF (UP TO $16,356 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $62,500. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Claiming Or Starter Since January 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $62,500 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs). (Rail at 27 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Artemus Citylimits 8/5 Saez L Maker Michael J. F 58 25.86 1.97/$1
099.8994 9 Casanova Kitten 8/1 Ortiz J L Joseph. Jr. Saffie A. T 58 25.86 1.97/$1
099.2175 4 Fauci(b+) 5/1 Prat F Antonacci Philip EW 58 25.86 1.97/$1
099.1359 6 Maxwell Esquire 5/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Rice Linda JC 58 25.86 1.97/$1
099.0692 7 Battle Station 10/1 Carmouche K Velazquez Daniel 58 25.86 1.97/$1
099.0448 8 Tiger Blood 8/1 Velazquez J R Klesaris Steve S 58 25.86 1.97/$1
098.5492 1 Comedy Town 20/1 McCarthy T Trombetta Michael J. 74 12.16 1.64/$1
098.5008 2 Ballydooley (GB) 12/1 Rosario J Nevin Michelle L 58 25.86 1.97/$1
098.3537 5 Alcools 7/2 Prat F Rice Linda 58 25.86 1.97/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 25.81, ROI 0.68/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.1006
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f
*Scratches may change this condition

07/04/22, BEL, Race 8, 4.40 ET
07/04/22,BEL,8,1M [Dirt] 1:32:01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $90,000. (UP TO $15,660 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Demandsrespect 7/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Brown Chad C. JTW 86 45.35 1.41/$1
098.5744 5 Precursory(b+) 2/1 Rosario J Mott William I. FE 69 46.38 1.51/$1
097.4544 4 Hop Picker 7/2 Ortiz J L McGaughey III Claude R C 84 45.24 1.40/$1
096.4739 6 Quotabelle 9/2 Saez L Pletcher Todd A. L 86 45.35 1.41/$1
095.5063 3 Don't Overlook Me 3/1 Prat F Pletcher Todd A. 86 45.35 1.41/$1
093.8556 2 Dolce Sera 15/1 Cancel E DeLauro Edward J. S 69 46.38 1.51/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.72, ROI 0.90/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.4256
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Was Not Favorite(not entry)


07/04/22, BEL, Race 9, 5.12 ET
07/04/22,BEL,9,1M [Turf] 1:31:01 STAKES. Manila Stakes. Purse $100,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. Non-Lasix Race pursuant to 4043.2 (7)(e)(5) Lasix not permitted within 48 hours of post time. By subscription of $100 each which should accompany the nomination; $500 to pass the entry box and an additional $500 to start. For horses not originally nominated, a supplemental payment of $500 (along with the entry and starting fees) may be made at any time prior to the closing of entries. The purse to be divided 55% to the owner of the winner, 20% to second, 12% to third, 6% to fourth, 4% to fifth and 3% divided equally amongst the remaining finishers. Weight 122 lbs. Non-winners of a Graded Sweepstake allowed 2 lbs.; of a Sweepstake or two races other than maiden, claiming, starter or State-bred allowance allowed 4 lbs. The New York Racing Association reserves the right to transfer this race to the main track. Starters to be named at the closing time of entries. A presentation will be made to the winning owner. Closed Saturday, June 18, 2022 with 27 Nominations. (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at One Mile on the Main Track.).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Annapolis 6/5 Ortiz. Jr. I Pletcher Todd A. JE 28 32.14 1.92/$1
098.7448 5 Boston Tea Party 9/2 Cancel E Dutrow Anthony W. F 28 32.14 1.92/$1
098.6489 3 Ready to Purrform 6/1 Rosario J Cox Brad H. TS 137 28.47 1.20/$1
098.4267 7 Double Clutch 12/1 Franco M Arnold. II George R. C 28 32.14 1.92/$1
097.9046 1 Chanceux 8/1 Prat F Pletcher Todd A. L 28 32.14 1.92/$1
097.4092 6 Smokin' T 6/1 Velazquez J R McGaughey III Claude R W 28 32.14 1.92/$1
096.6609 4 Coinage 8/1 Saez L Casse Mark E. 28 32.14 1.92/$1
096.6555 8 Ohtwoohthreefive 20/1 Carmouche K Weaver George 28 32.14 1.92/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 25.81, ROI 0.68/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.2552
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Race Age 3


07/04/22, BEL, Race 10, 5.44 ET
07/04/22,BEL,10,6F [Inner Turf] 1:06:04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $45,000. INNER TURF FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void). (Rail at 27 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Mo Damorninggrouch(b-) 3/1 Lezcano J Rice Linda FEC 58 25.86 1.97/$1
097.3987 2 Dorothy's the Boss(b+) 4/1 McCarthy T Kimmel John C. W 97 28.87 1.25/$1
096.9575 5 Boss of All 7/2 Rider TBA Schosberg Richard E. 58 25.86 1.97/$1
093.0990 9 Rent Control 10/1 Cancel E Chichakly Amira 58 25.86 1.97/$1
092.8170 3 Hope for the Best 5/2 Davis D Clement Christophe JT 58 25.86 1.97/$1
092.6006 8 Laughter 5/1 Castellano J Lerman Roy S. 58 25.86 1.97/$1
092.4382 6 Unkoalafied 12/1 Carmouche K Nevin Michelle L 58 25.86 1.97/$1
092.1906 1 Altare 12/1 Cardenas L Bond H. James 58 25.86 1.97/$1
091.9748 7 Racing Queen(b+) 20/1 Gomez J A Clarke Dylan 58 25.86 1.97/$1
091.0100 10 Giggling Ghost 12/1 Hernandez Moreno O Quick Patrick J. S 58 25.86 1.97/$1
090.0631 1A Caiarossa 12/1 Harkie H K Bond H. James 58 25.86 1.97/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 25.81, ROI 0.68/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.6013
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f
*Scratches may change this condition

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