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Top Horse Analytics: 07/03/2022 Picks and Results - BEL


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.22.05.24b)

Track: BEL
Start Of Statistics - 06/24/2021
Past Number of Races - 753

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
35.72 0.83 10.40   Favorites
33.61 0.86 16.00   Morning Line Favorites
31.87 0.95 41.20   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

07/03/22, BEL, Race 1, 1.00 ET
07/03/22,BEL,1,5 1/2F [Dirt] 1:02:01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $90,000. (UP TO $15,660 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Certified Loverboy 9/5 Davis D Handal Raymond T 77 51.95 1.45/$1
099.3082 2 Lost Ark 7/5 Prat F Pletcher Todd A. J 77 51.95 1.45/$1
099.1445 5 Aaron 6/1 Saez L Pletcher Todd A. 77 51.95 1.45/$1
098.9439 3 Perform 4/1 Carmouche K McGaughey III Claude R W 77 51.95 1.45/$1
094.0823 6 Star Attitude 12/1 Castellano J Martin Carlos F. 77 51.95 1.45/$1
092.8704 4 Strong Finish 12/1 Gomez J A Rodriguez Rudy R. 77 51.95 1.45/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.72, ROI 0.90/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.6918
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Race Sex Not Females


07/03/22, BEL, Race 2, 1.32 ET
07/03/22,BEL,2,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:38:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $45,000. (UP TO $7,830 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at One Mile and One Sixteenth on the Main Track.).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Quaria Thunder 7/5 Castellano J Maker Michael J. FL 38 39.47 1.71/$1
099.0261 1 Requestforproposal 3/1 Prat F Duggan David P. JT 120 15.00 1.24/$1
098.4619 6 Miscreant 6/1 Gomez J A Ryerson James T. EC 97 28.87 1.25/$1
097.3966 2 Regina 7/2 Lezcano J Rice Linda W 97 28.87 1.25/$1
096.3674 4 Exotic Cat 12/1 Saez L Pregman. Jr. John S. S 97 28.87 1.25/$1
094.6999 3 Belleshazza 12/1 Rosario J Sciacca Gary 156 28.85 1.16/$1
093.9045 5 Green Screen Queen 10/1 Carmouche K Atras Rob 97 28.87 1.25/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 25.81, ROI 0.68/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.9739
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Third Race After 45 Days Off


07/03/22, BEL, Race 3, 2.03 ET
07/03/22,BEL,3,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 CLAIMING. Purse $55,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since January 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $20,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Girl of Tosconova 8/5 Rosario J Baker Charlton JTFEC 87 37.93 1.02/$1
098.6505 2 Cadeau de Paix 7/5 Franco M Reynolds Patrick L. W 74 40.54 1.15/$1
098.5626 1 Grudge 5/2 Gomez J A Jones Eduardo E. L 74 40.54 1.15/$1
097.5576 1A She's a Black Belt 5/2 Gomez J A Jones Eduardo E. S 9 44.44 1.12/$1
097.0084 4 Miss Peppina 12/1 Cancel E Cruz Lenin 285 30.18 0.86/$1
096.4457 5 Violent Point 8/1 Hernandez Moreno O Barrera. III Oscar S. 9 44.44 1.12/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.72, ROI 0.90/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.3495
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Greater Than Today


07/03/22, BEL, Race 4, 2.32 ET
07/03/22,BEL,4,6F [Inner Turf] 1:06:04 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $90,000. INNER TURF (UP TO $15,660 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred). (Rail at 27 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Java Buzz 3/1 Prat F Rice Linda JEC 58 25.86 1.97/$1
099.5808 7 Almanzo(b-) 7/2 Rosario J Ward Wesley A. F 58 25.86 1.97/$1
097.6128 4 Cynwyd 5/2 Velazquez J R Ward Wesley A. 58 25.86 1.97/$1
094.8276 6 Legends Can't Die 4/1 Saez L Weaver George W 58 25.86 1.97/$1
094.7395 5 Town Branch 8/1 Ortiz J L Mott William I. L 58 25.86 1.97/$1
094.6378 1 Broken Spur 6/1 Lezcano J Mott William I. 211 27.01 1.08/$1
094.6192 2 Blame B B 15/1 Carmouche K Aguirre. Jr. Anthony 58 25.86 1.97/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 25.81, ROI 0.68/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.4192
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f
*Scratches may change this condition

07/03/22, BEL, Race 5, 3.03 ET
07/03/22,BEL,5,1M [Turf] 1:31:01 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $96,000. (UP TO $16,704 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 THREE TIMES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $80,000. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Since January 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $80,000 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time OfClaim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at One Mile on the Main Track.).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Winfromwithin 10/1 Batista J A Delgado Jorge SF 137 28.47 1.20/$1
099.7099 8 Ocala Dream 3/1 Castellano J Morley Thomas EC 137 27.01 1.16/$1
098.9075 1 Floriform 5/2 Rosario J Mott William I. 38 39.47 1.71/$1
098.6649 6 Hombre 5/1 Saez L DeVaux Cherie 38 39.47 1.71/$1
098.5526 4 Emaraaty (GB) 5/1 Ortiz J L Brown Chad C. 97 28.87 1.25/$1
098.3401 3 Forty Under 6/1 Prat F Maker Michael J. JL 127 27.56 1.17/$1
098.0086 5 It's a Gamble 15/1 Gomez J A Breen Kelly J. 83 26.51 1.20/$1
097.5521 2 Sifting Sands (GB) 8/1 Franco M Brown Chad C. W 127 27.56 1.17/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 25.81, ROI 0.68/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.2901
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Speed Dirt Last 4 (M)


07/03/22, BEL, Race 6, 3.34 ET
07/03/22,BEL,6,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $60,000. (UP TO $10,440 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since January 1 Allowed 2 lbs. (If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Daufuskie Island 5/2 McCarthy T Baker Charlton E 87 37.93 1.02/$1
099.5648 2 Luni Sima 8/5 Saez L Walder Peter R. SW 87 37.93 1.02/$1
098.8880 4 Motion to Strike 4/1 Castellano J Reynolds Patrick L. L 285 30.18 0.86/$1
098.8737 6 Mocephus 7/2 Rosario J Trombetta Michael J. J 285 30.18 0.86/$1
097.3807 3 Moonshiningbright 20/1 Davis D Baker Charlton 74 40.54 1.15/$1
095.8583 1 On the Hill 6/1 Harkie H K Bond H. James FC 285 30.18 0.86/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.72, ROI 0.90/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.4352
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Greater Than Today


07/03/22, BEL, Race 7, 4.08 ET
07/03/22,BEL,7,1 3/8M [Inner Turf] 2:10:01 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $94,000. INNER TURF (UP TO $16,356 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $62,500. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Since January 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $62,500 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs). (Rail at 27 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Higher Truth (IRE) 1/1 Prat F Brown Chad C. JE 156 28.85 1.16/$1
099.5555 7 R Calli Kim 20/1 Lezcano J Walsh Brendan P. F 38 39.47 1.71/$1
099.4994 9 Mia Martina 10/1 Velazquez J R Motion H. Graham SC 137 28.47 1.20/$1
099.2097 1 Flanigan's Cove 8/1 Saez L McGaughey III Claude R 156 28.85 1.16/$1
099.0125 8 Star Seeking (IRE) 6/1 Ortiz J L Pletcher Todd A. L 156 28.85 1.16/$1
098.6018 5 (F)Light Stars (FR) 4/1 Rosario J Clement Christophe 97 28.87 1.25/$1
098.3465 2 Community Adjusted 12/1 McCarthy T Clement Christophe 38 39.47 1.71/$1
096.9101 3 State Crown 20/1 Carmouche K Trombetta Michael J. W 38 39.47 1.71/$1
096.4578 4 Cafe Fleur (FR) 15/1 Franco M Brown Chad C. 97 28.87 1.25/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 25.81, ROI 0.68/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.4445
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Race Sex Females


07/03/22, BEL, Race 8, 4.40 ET
07/03/22,BEL,8,1M [Turf] 1:31:01 STAKES. Perfect Sting Stakes. Purse $100,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Non-Lasix Race pursuant to 4043.2 (7)(e)(5) Lasix not permitted within 48 hours of post time. By subscription of $100 each which should accompany the nomination; $500 to pass the entry box and an additional $500 to start. For horses not originally nominated, a supplemental payment of $500 (along with the entry and starting fees) may be made at any time prior to the closing of entries. The purse to be divided 55% to the owner of the winner, 20% to second, 12% to third, 6% to fourth, 4% to fifth and 3% divided equally amongst the remaining finishers. Weight 124 lbs. Non-winners of two Sweepstakes at a mile or over in 2021-22 allowed 2 lbs.; of such a race in 2021-22 allowed 4 lbs.; of two races other than maiden, claiming, starter or State-bred allowance at a mile or over in 2022 allowed 6 lbs. A presentation will be made to the winning owner. The New York Racing Association reserves the right to transfer this race to the main track. Closed Saturday, June 18, 2022 with 21 Original Nominations and 1 Supplement. (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at One Mile on the Main Track.).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Love And Thunder (IRE) 9/5 Prat F Brown Chad C. JTFWC 97 28.87 1.25/$1
099.4808 6 Messidor (IRE) 9/2 Castellano J Clement Christophe S 137 28.47 1.20/$1
099.2757 4 Cheermeister 8/1 McCarthy T Delacour Arnaud EL 97 28.87 1.25/$1
099.1750 1 Jouster 5/2 Saez L Pletcher Todd A. 97 28.87 1.25/$1
098.8032 3 Flower Point 7/2 Lezcano J McGaughey III Claude R 156 28.85 1.16/$1
098.5825 2 Giggle Factory 8/1 Davis D Albertrani Thomas 97 28.87 1.25/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 25.81, ROI 0.68/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.5192
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Last Race Weight Is Greater Than Today


07/03/22, BEL, Race 9, 5.12 ET
07/03/22,BEL,9,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $75,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Street Tsar 9/2 Prat F Pletcher Todd A. JT 77 51.95 1.45/$1
099.8127 8 Sinful Dancer 3/1 Cancel E Weaver George FEW 45 55.56 1.81/$1
098.2147 3 Refuah 5/1 Saez L Walder Peter R. S 77 51.95 1.45/$1
097.5172 1 Ocean's Reserve 2/1 Castellano J Gyarmati Leah C 45 55.56 1.81/$1
097.2748 7 Beach Boy Al 6/1 Rosario J Weaver George L 45 55.56 1.81/$1
096.0198 5 Full Complement(b+) 10/1 Gomez J A Jerkens James A. 45 55.56 1.81/$1
094.7307 2 Sight Unseen 12/1 Davis D Hennig Mark A. 77 51.95 1.45/$1
094.1412 4 Capleton 30/1 Harkie H K Richards Marvin 77 51.95 1.45/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.72, ROI 0.90/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.1873
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Race Sex Not Females


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