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Top Horse Analytics: 07/02/2022 Picks and Results - BEL


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.22.05.24b)

Track: BEL
Start Of Statistics - 06/24/2021
Past Number of Races - 753

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
35.72 0.83 10.40   Favorites
33.61 0.86 16.00   Morning Line Favorites
31.87 0.95 41.20   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

07/02/22, BEL, Race 1, 1.00 ET
07/02/22,BEL,1,5 1/2F [Dirt] 1:02:01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $90,000. (UP TO $15,660 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Ransom Style 9/5 Prat F Pletcher Todd A. J 131 45.04 1.25/$1
098.8916 7 Tribal Queen 4/1 Castellano J Dutrow Anthony W. W 131 45.04 1.25/$1
098.6865 5 Fly High 5/2 Ortiz J L Pletcher Todd A. 131 45.04 1.25/$1
096.5639 1A Maria From Miami 3/1 Gomez J A Rodriguez Rudy R. 131 45.04 1.25/$1
096.2711 1 Apple Picker 3/1 Velazquez J R Rodriguez Rudy R. 131 45.04 1.25/$1
093.6461 4 Graceful 12/1 Franco M Friedman Mitchell E. 131 45.04 1.25/$1
093.2843 3 Mysterious Stare 15/1 Carmouche K Albertrani Thomas 131 45.04 1.25/$1
090.6768 2 Extessa 20/1 Richards G Chichakly Amira 131 45.04 1.25/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.72, ROI 0.90/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.1084
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Does Not Carry High Weight


07/02/22, BEL, Race 2, 1.32 ET
07/02/22,BEL,2,1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1:38:04 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $60,000. INNER TURF (UP TO $10,440 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since January 1 Allowed 2 lbs. (If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs). (Rail at 27 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Twirling Patti 9/5 Ortiz J L Drury. Jr. Thomas L 156 28.85 1.16/$1
099.7593 3 Chaysenbryn 5/2 Rider TBA Kantarmaci Mertkan TF 156 28.85 1.16/$1
099.3379 7 Lady of Thoroton 10/1 Prat F Englehart Chris J. JC 156 28.85 1.16/$1
099.1806 8 Miss Delicious 6/1 Velazquez J R Klesaris Steve SW 137 28.47 1.20/$1
098.7032 1 More Mango 20/1 Richards G Ferraro James W. 38 39.47 1.71/$1
098.5142 9 Maybe Later 4/1 Lezcano J Rice Linda 97 28.87 1.25/$1
098.4590 6 Basilia 5/2 Castellano J Maker Michael J. 97 28.87 1.25/$1
097.8717 4 Voice of Spring 12/1 Franco M Nevin Michelle E 156 28.85 1.16/$1
096.9210 5 Linny Kate 12/1 Carmouche K Noda Orlando 97 28.87 1.25/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 25.81, ROI 0.68/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.2407
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Race Sex Females


07/02/22, BEL, Race 3, 2.03 ET
07/02/22,BEL,3,1M [Dirt] 1:32:01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $37,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Lucky Brody 3/5 Franco M Noda Orlando SFE 78 52.56 1.44/$1
099.4961 2 Tuesday's Child 4/1 Gomez J A Sciacca Gary 45 55.56 1.81/$1
099.3415 3 Lucky Mucho Man 5/1 Lezcano J Ryerson James T. WC 77 51.95 1.45/$1
099.3320 5 El Veinticuatro 8/1 Prat F Rodriguez Rudy R. JT 45 55.56 1.81/$1
096.6408 1 Book of Delancey 15/1 Luzzi M J Hillegass Alexandra L 45 55.56 1.81/$1
095.6283 6 Datesfreedom 15/1 Cardenas L DeLauro Edward J. 45 55.56 1.81/$1
095.5771 4 Disengage 20/1 Hernandez Moreno O Parker Joseph G. 45 55.56 1.81/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.72, ROI 0.90/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.5039
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Not Greater Than Today


07/02/22, BEL, Race 4, 2.34 ET
07/02/22,BEL,4,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 STAKES. John A. Nerud Stakes. Grade 2. Purse $250,000. FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Non-Lasix Race pursuant to 4043.2 (7)(e)(5) Lasix not permitted within 48 hours of post time. By subscription of $250 each which should accompany the nomination; $1,250 to pass the entry box and an additional $1,250 to start. A supplemental nomination fee of $1,250 (in addition to the entry and starting fees) may be made at any time prior to the closing of entries. The purse to be divided 55% to the owner of the winner, 20% to second, 12% to third, 6% to fourth, 4% to fifth and 3% divided equally amongst the remaining finishers. Weights, 124 lbs. Non-winners of a Grade One in 2021-22 allowed 2 lbs.; of a Grade Two in 2021-22 allowed 4 lbs.; of a Grade Three in 2021-22 allowed 6 lbs. A trophy will be presented to the winning owner. Closed Saturday, June 18, 2022 with 15 Nominations.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Life Is Good 1/2 Prat F Pletcher Todd A. JTSFEL 105 45.71 1.16/$1
097.7356 5 Speaker's Corner 6/5 Ortiz J L Mott William I. WC 105 45.71 1.16/$1
095.8963 3 Harvard 20/1 Carmouche K Brisset Rodolphe 105 45.71 1.16/$1
094.6655 2 Repo Rocks 12/1 Castellano J DiPrima Gregory 105 45.71 1.16/$1
094.0641 4 War Tocsin 30/1 Haddock D St. Lewis Uriah 105 45.71 1.16/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.72, ROI 0.90/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.2644
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] No Lasix Today


07/02/22, BEL, Race 5, 3.03 ET
07/02/22,BEL,5,1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1:38:04 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $90,000. INNER TURF (UP TO $15,660 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred). (Rail at 27 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Running Bee(b+) 10/1 Franco M Brown Chad C. FEC 90 32.22 1.12/$1
098.6970 1 Making It 9/5 Velazquez J R Weaver George S 97 28.87 1.25/$1
097.8660 8 Emboite (IRE)(b+) 9/2 Carmouche K Maker Michael J. 211 27.01 1.08/$1
097.5923 6 Sosua Summer 4/1 Lezcano J Mott William I. L 90 32.22 1.12/$1
096.9833 4 Internal Capital 5/2 Prat F Brown Chad C. J 137 24.82 1.10/$1
096.2169 2 Breakwater 4/1 Castellano J McGaughey III Claude R W 137 27.01 1.16/$1
095.9714 5 Capensis 3/1 Ortiz J L Pletcher Todd A. 137 24.82 1.10/$1
093.4838 3 Calloway Peak 15/1 Gomez J A Martin Carlos F. 97 28.87 1.25/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 25.81, ROI 0.68/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.3030
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf MdnMClm] Lasix Today


07/02/22, BEL, Race 6, 3.34 ET
07/02/22,BEL,6,1 1/16M [Dirt] 1:39:01 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $60,000. (UP TO $10,440 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile OrOver Since January 1 Allowed 2 lbs. (If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Endowed 9/5 Prat F Clement Christophe JEW 74 40.54 1.15/$1
099.2097 1 Bold Victory 5/2 Carmouche K Rice Linda FC 285 30.18 0.86/$1
098.9727 5 Dangerous Edge 9/2 Franco M Atras Rob T 285 30.18 0.86/$1
098.4439 6 Air Show 7/2 Castellano J Rodriguez Rudy R. S 285 30.18 0.86/$1
098.3158 3 Blake B. 6/1 Lezcano J Romero Jesus L 285 30.18 0.86/$1
097.6243 4 Writeitontheice 12/1 Gomez J A Rodriguez Rudy R. 9 44.44 1.12/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.72, ROI 0.90/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.7903
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Second Race After 45 Days Off


07/02/22, BEL, Race 7, 4.05 ET
07/02/22,BEL,7,7F [Turf] 1:19:01 ALLOWANCE. Purse $80,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.;Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter Allowed 2 lbs. (If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race willberun at Seven Furlongs on the Main Track.).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Autumn Glory 2/1 Franco M Clement Christophe FEC 156 28.85 1.16/$1
098.5986 2 She's a Mia 3/1 Prat F Clement Christophe J 156 28.85 1.16/$1
098.0383 8 Makin My Move 5/2 Ortiz J L Kimmel John C. WL 156 28.85 1.16/$1
097.7955 1 Happy Hill Lil 8/1 Velazquez J R Sciacca Gary S 137 28.47 1.20/$1
097.6458 9 Dufresne 8/1 Lezcano J Trombetta Michael J. 38 39.47 1.71/$1
097.5325 4 Kiss Me Smile 15/1 Gomez J A Serpe Philip M. 38 39.47 1.71/$1
097.0263 7 Love's Misery 12/1 Carmouche K Atras Rob T 97 28.87 1.25/$1
096.4702 6 Scott Alaia 5/2 Gomez J A Nevin Michelle 38 39.47 1.71/$1
095.8061 5 Big Al's Gal 20/1 Hernandez Moreno O DiPrima Gregory 97 28.87 1.25/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 25.81, ROI 0.68/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.4014
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Race Sex Females


07/02/22, BEL, Race 8, 4.38 ET
07/02/22,BEL,8,1M [Dirt] 1:32:01 STAKES. Dwyer Stakes. Grade 3. Purse $250,000. FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS. Non-Lasix Race pursuant to 4043.2 (7)(e)(5) Lasix not permitted within 48 hours of post time. By subscription of $250 each which should accompany the nomination; $1,250 to pass the entry box and an additional $1,250 to start. For horses not originally nominated, a supplemental payment of $1,250 (along with the entry and starting fees) may be made at any time prior to the closing of entries. The purse to be divided 55% to the owner of the winner, 20% to second, 12% to third, 6% to fourth, 4% to fifth and 3% divided equally amongst the remaining finishers. Weight 124 lbs. Non-winners of a Graded Sweepstake at a mile or over allowed 2 lbs.; of a Sweepstake allowed 4 lbs.; of two races other than maiden, claiming, starter or state-bredallowance in 2022 allowed 6 lbs. A trophy will be presented to the winning owner. Closed Saturday, June 18, 2022 with 24 Nominations.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Nabokov 2/1 Prat F Brown Chad C. JFL 105 45.71 1.16/$1
097.7716 1 Charge It 4/5 Velazquez J R Pletcher Todd A. E 105 45.71 1.16/$1
097.2404 3 Fluid Situation 5/1 Castellano J Terranova. II John P. S 105 45.71 1.16/$1
095.9389 5 Runninsonofagun 8/1 Carmouche K Toscano. Jr. John T. W 105 45.71 1.16/$1
095.5700 2 No Sabe Nada 20/1 Alvarado. Jr. R Peck D. Scott TC 105 45.71 1.16/$1
093.9185 4 Unbridled Bomber 15/1 Ortiz J L Ryerson James T. 105 45.71 1.16/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.72, ROI 0.90/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.2284
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] No Lasix Today


07/02/22, BEL, Race 9, 5.09 ET
07/02/22,BEL,9,6F [Inner Turf] 1:06:04 ALLOWANCE. Purse $92,000. INNER TURF (UP TO $16,008 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter Allowed 2 lbs. (If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs). (Rail at 27 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 She's the One 5/2 Ortiz J L Clement Christophe FEC 58 25.86 1.97/$1
099.9938 6 A Little Faith 10/1 Castellano J Levine Bruce N. 58 25.86 1.97/$1
099.8724 11 Cruz Bay 10/1 Carmouche K Sharp Joe 58 25.86 1.97/$1
099.8092 2 Nota Bene 15/1 Cardenas L Wilkes Ian R. 58 25.86 1.97/$1
099.4651 8 Hot Fudge 5/1 Rider TBA Rice Linda 58 25.86 1.97/$1
099.4033 13 Chasing Cara 3/1 Franco M Friedman Mitchell E. W 58 25.86 1.97/$1
099.3016 1 Shannon 7/2 Prat F Cox Brad H. JT 74 12.16 1.64/$1
099.2464 10 O'Gotten Girl 5/1 Velazquez J R Pletcher Todd A. 58 25.86 1.97/$1
099.2331 3 Anador (FR) 6/1 Franco M Clement Christophe 58 25.86 1.97/$1
098.9853 4 Tuscan Queen 12/1 Luzzi M J Kimmel John C. 58 25.86 1.97/$1
098.9076 14 Monshun 6/1 Rider TBA Handal Raymond 58 25.86 1.97/$1
098.4679 5 Silky Blue 10/1 Gomez J A Duarte. Jr. Jorge 58 25.86 1.97/$1
098.2276 15 Ruvies in Time 4/1 Ortiz J L Rodriguez Rudy R. 58 25.86 1.97/$1
097.8302 9 To a T 8/1 Rider TBA Noda Orlando 58 25.86 1.97/$1
097.5031 16 Awillaway 15/1 Cardenas L Friedman Mitchell E. 58 25.86 1.97/$1
097.1038 12 Mail Order 20/1 Lezcano J Mott William I. L 58 25.86 1.97/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 25.81, ROI 0.68/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0062
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f
*Scratches may change this condition

07/02/22, BEL, Race 10, 5.40 ET
07/02/22,BEL,10,1M [Turf] 1:31:01 ALLOWANCE. Purse $92,000. (UP TO $16,008 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 2 lbs. (If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at One Mile on the MainTrack.).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 15 Efficiency 8/5 Rider TBA Brown Chad C. EW 137 27.01 1.16/$1
099.3334 9 Bay Street Money 5/1 Carmouche K Atras Rob S 137 28.47 1.20/$1
099.3311 7 Devil's Outlaw(b+) 4/1 Franco M Brown Chad C. FC 38 39.47 1.71/$1
098.8267 14 No Burn 7/2 Rider TBA Barrera. III Oscar S. 83 26.51 1.20/$1
098.7043 3 Jerry the Nipper 5/1 Lezcano J Pletcher Todd A. L 97 28.87 1.25/$1
098.6864 6 Celestial City 8/1 Castellano J McGaughey III Claude R 127 27.56 1.17/$1
098.6691 2 Klickitat 12/1 Harkie H K Rice Linda 205 25.85 1.08/$1
098.6549 10 Hidden Enemy (IRE) 10/1 Ortiz J L Asmussen Steven M. 205 25.85 1.08/$1
097.9729 1 Listentoyourheart 8/1 Rider TBA Clement Christophe 205 25.85 1.08/$1
097.8008 12 (F)Poet of Life (IRE) 7/2 Prat F Brown Chad C. J 172 25.58 1.08/$1
097.7750 13 Therisastormbrewin 8/1 Gomez J A Rodriguez Rudy R. 83 26.51 1.20/$1
097.6036 11 Khafre 12/1 Gomez J A Jerkens James A. 97 28.87 1.25/$1
097.0441 8 Thin White Duke 12/1 Velazquez J R Donk David G. 97 28.87 1.25/$1
096.7896 5 Hold the Salsa 30/1 Hernandez Moreno O Lugovich Richard J. 38 39.47 1.71/$1
096.4829 4 Shawdyshawdyshawdy 15/1 Cardenas L Abreu Jorge R. 127 27.56 1.17/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 25.81, ROI 0.68/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.6666
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Speed Dirt Last 6 (M)


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