Jump to content
Top Horse Analytics

Top Horse Analytics: 07/01/2022 Picks and Results - MTH


Recommended Posts

TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.22.05.24b)

Track: MTH
Start Of Statistics - 07/10/2021
Past Number of Races - 569

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
39.96 0.88   8.00   Favorites
34.83 0.87 46.20   Morning Line Favorites
30.91 0.96 39.40   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

07/01/22, MTH, Race 1, 2.00 ET
07/01/22,MTH,1,6F [Dirt] 1:07:02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $71,875 (includes up to $14,375 NJB - New Jersey Bred Enhancement). FOR REGISTERED NEW JERSEY BREDS MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Exaggerateddefence 8/5 Acosta J D Lynch Cathal A. TSFWL 152 34.87 1.11/$1
095.9000 2 Kobe's Rhythm(b+) 12/1 Rendon J McBurney Patrick B. 139 37.41 1.11/$1
090.7812 6 Kaz Sweet Heist 2/1 Lopez P Synnefias Dimitrios K. JEC 57 36.84 1.43/$1
088.4241 3 Young Gun 12/1 Castillo I Frangella. Jr. James A 16 37.50 1.11/$1
087.5628 5 Changing the Karma 10/1 Torres J Simon Linda 18 27.78 1.19/$1
086.6274 4 Forever Chocolate 8/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Huston Rory K. 57 36.84 1.43/$1
086.3267 1 Hello Pop(b+) 7/2 Juarez N Huston Rory K. 18 27.78 1.19/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.56, ROI 0.94/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -4.1000
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Best Speed


07/01/22, MTH, Race 2, 2.28 ET
07/01/22,MTH,2,5F [Dirt] 00:56:01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $57,500. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 117 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Bisset 2/1 Lopez P Pletcher Todd A. J 159 37.11 1.28/$1
099.3893 5 Mirabella 3/1 Rendon J Pletcher Todd A. 159 37.11 1.28/$1
096.5666 4 Fancy Joke 5/1 Torres J Gonzalez Claudio A. 159 37.11 1.28/$1
094.0687 6 Comoda 8/1 Castillo I Ortega Leopoldo M. SFEWLC 159 37.11 1.28/$1
092.6223 7 Whatchamacall 7/2 Marin S Delgado Jose H. 159 37.11 1.28/$1
081.7043 2 Raw Power 5/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Spina Chuck 159 37.11 1.28/$1
080.8015 3 Rapid Miss Tapit 20/1 Panaijo J Mc Allen John P. 159 37.11 1.28/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.56, ROI 0.94/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.6107
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Sex Females


07/01/22, MTH, Race 3, 2.56 ET
07/01/22,MTH,3,5F [Turf] 00:54:03 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $32,000. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since May 1 Allowed 2 lbs. A Race Since April1 Allowed 4 lbs. (Rail at 36 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 8 Worlds On High 7/2 Lopez P O'Connell Kathleen JC 34 64.71 2.66/$1
099.8022 4 Lindros 9/2 Acosta J D Lynch Cathal A. T 34 64.71 2.66/$1
099.2201 1 Chrome Dixie 8/1 Laprida J Castillo Michelle S 34 64.71 2.66/$1
099.0579 6 Baagy 5/1 Wolfsont A Pino Michael V. L 34 64.71 2.66/$1
099.0118 9 Senate Chamber 4/1 Castillo I Hollendorfer Jerry E 46 47.83 1.97/$1
098.9687 7 Seaver 4/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Hills Timothy A. FW 46 47.83 1.97/$1
098.3313 3 On Our Way Boyz 20/1 Torres J Kirby Timothy 46 47.83 1.97/$1
098.2103 10 Uncle Roamie 8/1 Hernandez A Smith Lawrence M. 34 64.71 2.66/$1
098.0950 2 Immortalization 3/1 Diaz. Jr. H R Hemingway Michelle 34 64.71 2.66/$1
097.5976 5 Mischief Mogul 6/1 Batista J A Gutterson Katlynn 46 47.83 1.97/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 29.41, ROI 1.22/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.1978
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Distance Sprint  -with-
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Not Less Than Today


07/01/22, MTH, Race 4, 3.24 ET
07/01/22,MTH,4,1M 70Y [Dirt] 1:38:04 CLAIMING. Purse $32,000. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS OR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since May 1 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $30,000, For Each $2,500 To$25,000 1 lb. (Races Where Entered For $22,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Catch the Smoke(b+) 6/1 Rodriguez A A Gonzalez Claudio A. S 186 36.56 1.20/$1
099.3214 4 Willy Mc(b+) 4/1 Batista J A Camejo Jose M. T 141 23.40 1.14/$1
099.0195 2 Garoppolo 3/1 Lopez P Breen Kelly J. JC 186 36.56 1.20/$1
098.8692 7 Rhumjar 5/2 Bravo J Hills Timothy A. E 104 39.42 1.42/$1
098.2842 1 Harpoon Harry 3/1 Camacho S Bennett Gerald S. FW 141 23.40 1.14/$1
096.0973 5 Origo 10/1 Castillo I McCarthy Brenda L 104 39.42 1.42/$1
094.3637 6 Sunsanddrinkinhand(b+) 8/1 Jimenez A Breen Kelly J. 57 36.84 1.43/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.56, ROI 0.94/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.6786
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Not Less Than Today


07/01/22, MTH, Race 5, 3.52 ET
07/01/22,MTH,5,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:39:01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $25,000. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Claiming Price $30,000, For Each $2,500 To $25,000 1 lb. (Rail at 36 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 War in Paradise 5/1 Rodriguez A A Gonzalez Claudio A. TW 77 38.96 1.49/$1
099.7538 4 Hard Rock Warrior 6/1 Ferrer J C Trombetta Michael J. 5 40.00 1.10/$1
099.4010 5 Princess Lean 3/1 Camacho S Avila Juan Carlos C 39 48.72 1.18/$1
099.2664 9 Luna's Treasure 15/1 Diaz. Jr. H R O'Connell Kathleen 57 28.07 0.82/$1
098.7087 2 Cocoa Icing 5/2 Bravo J Orseno Joseph F. S 114 34.21 1.19/$1
098.3210 8 Office Etiquette 8/1 Batista J A Stephens John D. E 39 48.72 1.18/$1
096.7540 1 Kazachan 9/2 Castillo I Carrasco. Jr. Victor J 57 28.07 0.82/$1
096.2992 7 Fancy Like 20/1 Marin S Stephens John D. 57 28.07 0.82/$1
093.2759 6 Wi Fi 10/1 Jimenez A Sweezey J. Kent L 57 28.07 0.82/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 29.41, ROI 1.22/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.2462
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Last Race Weight Is Greater Than Today


07/01/22, MTH, Race 6, 4.20 ET
07/01/22,MTH,6,6F [Dirt] 1:07:02 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $65,000. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $50,000. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since June 1 Allowed 2 lbs. A Race Since May 1 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000 (Races Where Entered For $30,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Quick Tempo 5/2 Lopez P David Carlos A. JSL 152 34.87 1.11/$1
099.5241 2 Bank On Shea 3/1 Adorno A Servis J. Tyler E 186 36.56 1.20/$1
099.4184 3 Sagamore Mischief 8/1 Rendon J Hills Timothy A. 104 39.42 1.42/$1
098.7740 5 Legal Deal 7/2 Camacho S David Carlos A. 104 39.42 1.42/$1
098.5156 4 Doc Amster 5/1 Juarez N Delgado Jorge T 141 23.40 1.14/$1
098.4971 6 Press My Bets 4/1 Rivera E Lake Scott A. FW 104 39.42 1.42/$1
097.7694 1 Rithm Box 30/1 Gonzalez J L Lisowski Katie C 104 39.42 1.42/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.56, ROI 0.94/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.4759
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Best Speed


07/01/22, MTH, Race 7, 4.48 ET
07/01/22,MTH,7,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:39:01 ALLOWANCE. Purse $57,500. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of ARace At A Mile Or Over On The Turf Since June 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race Since May 1 Allowed 4 lbs. (Races Where Entered For $30,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). (Rail at 36 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Midnight Diva 2/1 Lopez P Orseno Joseph F. S 97 39.18 1.40/$1
099.1842 11 Coconut Beach 15/1 Castillo I Servis John C. C 97 39.18 1.40/$1
098.4562 8 My Maggie Moo 15/1 Rendon J McBurney Patrick B. 97 39.18 1.40/$1
098.3169 10 Firenze Freedom 4/1 Lopez P Breen Kelly J. 97 39.18 1.40/$1
098.1823 7 Champagne Horizon 4/1 Rodriguez A A Hollendorfer Jerry 97 39.18 1.40/$1
098.0635 5 La Costa 15/1 Juarez N Russo Frank EL 97 39.18 1.40/$1
097.1860 6 Dream of Change (IRE) 3/1 Camacho S Brown Chad C. TW 97 39.18 1.40/$1
096.7333 9 Jean V's Legacy 6/1 Bravo J Dini Michael 97 39.18 1.40/$1
096.4313 1 Fed Policy 15/1 Milan G Arce Josue 97 39.18 1.40/$1
096.4005 4 She Fled the Scene 6/1 Moreno A O'Connell Kathleen 97 39.18 1.40/$1
096.2725 13 No Valla 10/1 Jimenez A Sweezey J. Kent 57 17.54 1.65/$1
096.2331 3 Take to the Skies 10/1 Chaves E Schistl Rafael 97 39.18 1.40/$1
095.1956 12 Empires First Lady 20/1 Panaijo J Cash Russell J. 97 39.18 1.40/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 29.41, ROI 1.22/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.8158
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Not Less Than Today


07/01/22, MTH, Race 8, 5.16 ET
07/01/22,MTH,8,5 1/2F [Dirt] 1:02:00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $18,000. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Claiming Price $10,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Palace Intrigue 4/1 Acosta J D Lynch Cathal A. 57 36.84 1.43/$1
099.9070 8 Pop Pop Susi 5/2 Hernandez A Gonzalez Claudio A. SFL 152 34.87 1.11/$1
099.2447 4 Marsico(b+) 8/1 Mezzatesta A Sacco Gregory D. 36 36.11 1.08/$1
099.0327 2 Tap Em 5/1 Rojas C E Camejo Jose M. T 16 37.50 1.11/$1
098.2430 5 Robbedinthebahamas 3/1 Castillo I Zerpa Gilberto J 112 30.36 0.84/$1
095.0088 6 Not a Postino 5/1 Ferrer J C Plaza Alberto EWC 22 45.45 1.15/$1
088.1879 1 Alignment 20/1 Rodriguez A A Farro Patricia 36 36.11 1.08/$1
084.3006 7 Pellegrini 10/1 Batista J A Mc Allen John P. 36 36.11 1.08/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.56, ROI 0.94/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0930
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race (Sprint Or Route) Not Same As Today


Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...