Jump to content
Top Horse Analytics

Top Horse Analytics: 06/11/2022 Picks and Results - MTH


Recommended Posts

TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.22.05.24b)

Track: MTH
Start Of Statistics - 06/19/2021
Past Number of Races - 563

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
38.53 0.85   9.20   Favorites
35.99 0.91 46.20   Morning Line Favorites
33.39 0.98 31.00   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

06/11/22, MTH, Race 1, 12.15 ET
06/11/22,MTH,1,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:39:01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $68,750 (includes up to $13,750 NJB - New Jersey Bred Enhancement). FOR REGISTERED NEW JERSEY BREDS MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. (Rail at 12 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Calypso Band(b+) 4/1 Lopez P Nunn Douglas JSL 103 39.81 1.23/$1
098.4324 6 Surfing 5/2 Rodriguez A A Gonzalez Claudio A. T 103 39.81 1.23/$1
097.9716 4 Postino's Prophecy 6/1 Rendon J Einhorn Kim W 103 39.81 1.23/$1
097.9426 8 Kaz Sweet Heist 3/1 Marin S Synnefias Dimitrios K. FEC 103 39.81 1.23/$1
097.3975 5 Forever Chocolate 5/1 Juarez N Huston Rory K. 103 39.81 1.23/$1
096.9962 2 Steel Pier 12/1 Panaijo J Marquez Cesareo 103 39.81 1.23/$1
096.1677 3 Her Name Is Lola 5/1 Gonzalez J L Sweezey J. Kent 103 39.81 1.23/$1
094.4419 1 Hot Little Number 20/1 Uske S Marquez Cesareo 103 39.81 1.23/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 28.81, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.5676
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Race Sex Not Females


06/11/22, MTH, Race 2, 12.44 ET
06/11/22,MTH,2,6F [Dirt] 1:07:02 ALLOWANCE. Purse $60,000. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Weight, 120 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since May 11 Allowed 2 lbs. A Race Since April 11Allowed 4 lbs. (Races Where Entered For $18,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Last Romance 5/2 Lopez P Lynch Cathal A. JTC 166 37.35 1.17/$1
099.1930 3 Dot's Dollar 6/5 Castillo I Morley Thomas F 60 33.33 1.23/$1
098.5142 5 Grooms All Bizness 9/2 Rendon J Duarte. Jr. Jorge SEL 100 38.00 1.19/$1
097.0287 6 Rhumjar 6/1 Camacho S Hills Timothy A. 60 33.33 1.23/$1
094.8974 2 Gooch Go Bragh 8/1 Rodriguez A A Gargan Danny W 60 33.33 1.23/$1
094.7198 1 Ginnsu Warrior 10/1 Juarez N Morley Thomas 60 33.33 1.23/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.49, ROI 0.90/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.8070
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Best Trainer


06/11/22, MTH, Race 3, 1.13 ET
06/11/22,MTH,3,6F [Dirt] 1:07:02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $19,000. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Claiming Price $12,500, For Each $1,000 To $10,500 1 lb.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Let Freedom Spring 9/2 Kay W R Pringle Edmund FEW 47 48.94 1.29/$1
098.0071 3 Mister J T 3/1 Diaz. Jr. H R O'Connell Kathleen L 47 48.94 1.29/$1
096.0450 1 Sir Cupid 5/2 Lopez P Pletcher Todd A. J 38 50.00 1.38/$1
095.0303 6 Picarde 10/1 Gonzalez J L Foglia Anthony T 166 37.35 1.17/$1
094.0012 4 Marsico 7/2 Panaijo J Delgado Jose H. 47 48.94 1.29/$1
090.1592 5 Pellegrini 5/1 Batista J A Mc Allen John P. S 47 48.94 1.29/$1
089.5821 2 Dadashev 8/1 Mitchell R Hogan Jr. William J 47 48.94 1.29/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.49, ROI 0.90/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.9929
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f


06/11/22, MTH, Race 4, 1.42 ET
06/11/22,MTH,4,6F [Dirt] 1:07:02 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $27,000. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $25,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since May 11 Allowed 2lbs. ; A Race Since April 11 Allowed 4 lbs. (Races Where Entered For $20,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Li'l Miss Camille(b+) 3/1 Lopez P Bennett Gerald S. WL 157 36.94 1.15/$1
099.6589 2 Tindari 6/1 Rojas C E Avila Juan Carlos JC 157 36.94 1.15/$1
098.4246 6 Happy Ride 5/2 Batista J A McCarthy Brenda SFE 157 36.94 1.15/$1
098.3964 4 Makin It Look Easy 6/1 Diaz. Jr. H R O'Connell Kathleen T 166 37.35 1.17/$1
095.8915 3 Mercury Head(b-) 5/1 Castillo I Schultz Lindsay 157 36.94 1.15/$1
095.5756 7 Twisted Deeds 10/1 Ferrer J C Huston Rory K. 157 36.94 1.15/$1
095.4101 5 Unified Ride 6/1 Rendon J Dini Michael 157 36.94 1.15/$1
093.2106 8 April Antics 8/1 Parish R Simmonds Michael A. 157 36.94 1.15/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.49, ROI 0.90/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.3411
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Sex Females


06/11/22, MTH, Race 5, 2.11 ET
06/11/22,MTH,5,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:39:01 ALLOWANCE. Purse $57,500. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of ARace At A Mile Or Over Since May 11 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race Since April 11 Allowed 4 lbs. (Races Where Entered For $30,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). (Rail at 12 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Shad Nation 5/2 Lopez P Clement Christophe EC 55 20.00 1.73/$1
099.7841 4 Midnight Diva 6/1 Marin S Orseno Joseph F. SL 55 20.00 1.73/$1
099.4934 5 Aziza 6/1 Diaz. Jr. H R Hemingway Michelle 63 38.10 1.37/$1
098.5701 1 Champagne Horizon 4/1 Rodriguez A A Hollendorfer Jerry F 55 20.00 1.73/$1
098.1803 3 Take to the Skies 10/1 Chaves E Schistl Rafael W 55 20.00 1.73/$1
098.1119 8 Dream of Change (IRE) 6/1 Camacho S Brown Chad C. T 55 20.00 1.73/$1
097.9003 9 Feets of Feather 8/1 Juarez N O'Connell Kathleen 55 20.00 1.73/$1
097.5947 6 Jean V's Legacy 10/1 Centeno D Dini Michael J 55 20.00 1.73/$1
096.8046 2 She Fled the Scene 6/1 Moreno A O'Connell Kathleen 55 20.00 1.73/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 28.81, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.2159
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Workouts Turf Last 2 (M)


06/11/22, MTH, Race 6, 2.40 ET
06/11/22,MTH,6,5 1/2F [Dirt] 1:02:00 CLAIMING. Purse $22,000. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 11 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $5,000 (Races Where Entered For $4,000 Or Less Not Considered In Eligibility).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Youshouldbesolucky 4/1 Batista J A Englehart Jeffrey S. TC 166 37.35 1.17/$1
099.9848 4 Summer Bourbon 7/5 Lopez P Lucas Bonnie J 171 35.67 1.07/$1
098.5483 1 Johnny Obvious 6/1 Dominguez C G Delgado Jose H. L 171 35.67 1.07/$1
097.4501 5 Awesummer 7/2 Juarez N Juarez Calixto SE 100 38.00 1.19/$1
095.6749 6 Sunshine Charlie 9/2 Rodriguez A A Dini Michael W 171 35.67 1.07/$1
092.4850 3 Running Violence 10/1 Panaijo J Mc Allen John P. 171 35.67 1.07/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.49, ROI 0.90/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0152
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Best Trainer


06/11/22, MTH, Race 7, 3.10 ET
06/11/22,MTH,7,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:39:01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $19,000. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000, For Each $1,000 To $14,000 1 lb. (Rail at 12 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Analyzeyourvision 5/1 Diaz. Jr. H R O'Connell Kathleen L 103 39.81 1.23/$1
097.7338 4 Shimmering Light(b-) 9/2 Castillo I Sanchez Jose Lozano 103 39.81 1.23/$1
097.4624 8 Bramble Beach 8/1 Rodriguez A A Dini Michael 103 39.81 1.23/$1
097.4185 5 Bayou Shack 20/1 Gonzalez J L Foglia Anthony T 103 39.81 1.23/$1
097.3272 6 Warn 2/1 Lopez P Breen Kelly J. SEC 103 39.81 1.23/$1
097.2955 10 Dubrovnik 8/1 Camacho S Avila Juan Carlos 103 39.81 1.23/$1
096.9882 11 Classy Union 5/1 Torres J Gonzalez Claudio A. W 103 39.81 1.23/$1
096.1365 9 Mister Fernando 6/1 Chaves E Schistl Rafael F 103 39.81 1.23/$1
095.5377 1 Wizard Serrat 10/1 Rojas C E Avila Juan Carlos J 103 39.81 1.23/$1
094.8214 2 Exclusive Order 15/1 Jimenez A Mc Allen John P. 103 39.81 1.23/$1
094.7126 7 Turnpike Mike 12/1 Wales G Dini Michael 103 39.81 1.23/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 28.81, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.2662
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Race Sex Not Females


06/11/22, MTH, Race 8, 3.39 ET
06/11/22,MTH,8,1 1/16M [Dirt] 1:40:01 STAKES. Lady's Secret Stakes. Purse $100,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. By subscription of $100 each, which should accompany the nomination, $500 to pass the entry box and $1,000 to start. The owner of the winner to receive $60,000, $20,000 to second, $10,000 to third, $5,000 to fourth, $3,000 to fifth and $2,000 to sixth through last. Three-Year-Olds: 121 lbs.; Older: 124 lbs. Non-winners of a sweepstakes in 2022 allowed 2 lbs.; $60,000 once since March 1, 2022, 4 lbs.; $40,000 once in 2022, 6 lbs. (Maiden, Claiming andState Bred Allowance races not considered). The winning horse to receive free entry and start fees to the July 23 Molly Pitcher Stakes. The winning owner to receive a trophy. Closed Friday, May 27, 2022 with 15 nominations. $2,000 supplemental nominatioons, which included all fees, were made at time of entry, Wednesday, June 8, 2022.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Boston Post Road 3/1 Camacho S Brown Chad C. TEL 166 37.35 1.17/$1
099.7510 6 Beth's Dream 5/2 Lopez P Barboza. Jr. Victor JW 157 36.94 1.15/$1
098.6952 7 Leader of the Band 9/2 Castillo I Servis John C. SFC 157 36.94 1.15/$1
097.3871 4 Wholebodemeister 6/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Hemingway Michelle 157 36.94 1.15/$1
097.2553 2 Tap Dance Fever 15/1 Centeno D Bennett Gerald S. 157 36.94 1.15/$1
096.5124 3 Moraz 4/1 Juarez N Hollendorfer Jerry 157 36.94 1.15/$1
096.1512 5 Join the Dots 5/1 Ferrer J C McGaughey III Claude R 157 36.94 1.15/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.49, ROI 0.90/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.2490
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Best Trainer


06/11/22, MTH, Race 9, 4.07 ET
06/11/22,MTH,9,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:39:01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $55,000. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. (Rail at 12 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Prima Ballerina 6/1 Castillo I Stidham Michael W 133 30.83 1.02/$1
099.2739 3 Hard Rock Warrior 12/1 Ferrer J C Trombetta Michael J. L 55 23.64 1.27/$1
098.8812 2 Gold Watch 8/1 Torres J Einhorn Kim 55 23.64 1.27/$1
097.8293 6 My Maggie Moo 20/1 Rendon J McBurney Patrick B. 55 23.64 1.27/$1
097.3834 8 Etheric 9/2 Centeno D Dickinson Michael W. JSFEC 42 40.48 1.14/$1
096.9812 13 Luna Clock(b+) 8/1 Juarez N Hemingway Michelle 55 27.27 0.97/$1
096.9812 12 Pond Walker (GB) 4/1 Diaz. Jr. H R Brown Chad C. 55 27.27 0.97/$1
096.9812 11 Faith in Humanity (FR) 4/1 Camacho S Brown Chad C. 55 27.27 0.97/$1
096.9812 1 Curlin's Coleen 6/1 Jimenez A Pletcher Todd A. 27 37.04 1.22/$1
096.7285 9 Old School (GB) 7/2 Lopez P Pletcher Todd A. 55 27.27 0.97/$1
096.1059 4 Sonoma County(b+) 12/1 Marin S Servis John C. 55 23.64 1.27/$1
095.6927 10 Miss Montrose(b+) 30/1 Gonzalez J L Lisowski Katie 55 23.64 1.27/$1
093.1813 5 Lazara 8/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Sweezey J. Kent 55 23.64 1.27/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 28.81, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.7261
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Last Race Distance Is Not Less Than Today


06/11/22, MTH, Race 10, 4.36 ET
06/11/22,MTH,10,5 1/2F [Dirt] 1:02:00 CLAIMING. Purse $22,000. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since April 11 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $7,500, For Each $500 To $6,500 1 lb. (Races Where Entered For $6,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Just Smok'n 8/1 Jimenez A Abrams Ronald B. JSFL 157 36.94 1.15/$1
097.8544 5 Akemi 6/5 Marin S Orseno Joseph F. E 157 36.94 1.15/$1
096.0399 4 Dazzling Speed 6/1 Kay W R King Clarence B. 157 36.94 1.15/$1
095.4405 3 Evil of Course 5/2 Ferrer J C Delgado Jose H. TW 166 37.35 1.17/$1
094.6450 1 Salamina 7/2 Juarez N Juarez Calixto C 157 36.94 1.15/$1
093.9106 6 Crystal Orb 10/1 Parish R Pringle Edmund 157 36.94 1.15/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.49, ROI 0.90/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.1456
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Sex Females


Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...