Jump to content
Top Horse Analytics

Top Horse Analytics: 05/12/2022 Picks and Results - BEL


Recommended Posts

TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.22.04.15a)

Track: BEL
Start Of Statistics - 05/06/2021
Past Number of Races - 753

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
34.93 0.81 10.40   Favorites
34.25 0.91 14.60   Morning Line Favorites
32.01 1.04 63.50   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

05/12/22, BEL, Race 1, 3.05 ET
05/12/22,BEL,1,5F [Dirt] 00:55:04 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $90,000. (UP TO $15,660 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Kerry 8/5 Rosario J Clement Christophe 66 57.58 1.80/$1
099.7383 2 Ever a Rebel 1/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Ward Wesley A. JT 66 57.58 1.80/$1
097.8632 4 Valenzan Day 4/1 Saez L Rodriguez Rudy R. 66 57.58 1.80/$1
097.6518 1 Magic Beauty 12/1 Gomez J A Chapman James K. W 66 57.58 1.80/$1
097.4826 5 I Like Boston 8/1 Castellano J Rodriguez Rudy R. 66 57.58 1.80/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 46.62, ROI 1.26/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.2617
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Race Sex Not Females  -with-
[Dirt MdnMClm] Does Not Carry High Weight


05/12/22, BEL, Race 2, 3.38 ET
05/12/22,BEL,2,1M [Dirt] 1:32:01 CLAIMING. Purse $42,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since November 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $12,500 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Winning Drive 7/2 Carmouche K Atras Rob JTSF 138 40.58 1.03/$1
097.4250 2 I Love Jaxson 4/1 Davis D Englehart Jeffrey S. EW 125 41.60 1.23/$1
096.5761 1 Direct Order 5/2 Franco M Nevin Michelle C 49 40.82 1.35/$1
095.9556 4 Joycee Haz Pizzaz 8/1 Silvera R Chatterpaul Naipaul L 53 45.28 1.07/$1
095.5765 6 Croatian 8/5 Gomez J A Dutrow Anthony W. 283 32.86 0.88/$1
093.2508 3 Blood Moon 15/1 Hernandez Moreno O Barrera. III Oscar S. 283 32.86 0.88/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 46.62, ROI 1.26/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.5750
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Best Jockey


05/12/22, BEL, Race 3, 4.09 ET
05/12/22,BEL,3,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $60,000. (UP TO $10,440 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since November 1 Allowed 2 lbs. (If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Brilliant Brooks 1/1 Franco M De Paz Horacio JTFEC 125 41.60 1.23/$1
097.3391 5 Jake Rocks 5/2 Lezcano J Rodriguez Gustavo 283 32.86 0.88/$1
096.6235 6 Magnificent Chrome 9/2 Hernandez Moreno O Persaud Randi 125 41.60 1.23/$1
096.1993 4 Winter Son(b-) 15/1 Fuentes E Arenas Marcelo 125 41.60 1.23/$1
096.1228 2 Manolito 4/1 Gomez J A Klesaris Robert P. 125 41.60 1.23/$1
092.8599 1 Karen's Cove 20/1 Luzzi M J Goberdhan Chandradat WL 49 40.82 1.35/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 46.62, ROI 1.26/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.6609
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] 5f Workout Since Last Race


05/12/22, BEL, Race 4, 4.40 ET
05/12/22,BEL,4,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $37,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Merger of Equals 1/1 Franco M Brown Chad C. TW 123 46.34 1.37/$1
097.7859 1 Mrs Bell 6/1 Cardenas L Lucas Bonnie SFEL 64 57.81 1.80/$1
097.6721 2 Exact Change 7/2 Carmouche K Martin Carlos F. J 64 57.81 1.80/$1
096.5487 4 Lindsay's Laugh 5/1 Gomez J A Rodriguez Rudy R. 123 46.34 1.37/$1
095.7825 6 Mill Stone Creek 6/1 Castellano J Davis Edmund D. 64 57.81 1.80/$1
094.4521 7 Phenomenal Woman 12/1 Silvera R DiPrima Gregory C 123 46.34 1.37/$1
092.6305 5 Giant Bottle 30/1 Carrasquillo H Persaud Randi 64 57.81 1.80/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 46.62, ROI 1.26/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.2141
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Does Not Carry High Weight


05/12/22, BEL, Race 5, 5.13 ET
05/12/22,BEL,5,6F [Turf] 1:05:03 CLAIMING. Purse $55,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since November 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $20,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at Six Furlongs on the Main Track.) (Rail at 27 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Shasta Star 5/1 Castellano J Klesaris Robert P. F 159 19.50 1.27/$1
099.3653 2 Grudge 9/2 Carmouche K Atras Rob EL 86 27.91 1.59/$1
097.4908 9 Bustin Bay 5/2 McCarthy T Lucas Bonnie C 159 19.50 1.27/$1
097.4129 3 Violent Point 8/1 Gomez J A Barrera. III Oscar S. W 159 19.50 1.27/$1
097.0086 4 Weekend Fun 3/1 Saez L Begg James Bentley T 180 26.11 1.31/$1
096.9191 1 Anonymously 5/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Maker Michael J. JS 180 26.11 1.31/$1
093.9486 11 Sweet Mission 10/1 McCarthy T De Paz Horacio 159 19.50 1.27/$1
093.9141 5 Tiz Her Way 30/1 Cancel E Quiles John N. 159 19.50 1.27/$1
093.0172 6 Red Pepper Grill 8/1 Gomez J A Rodriguez Rudy R. 83 28.92 1.58/$1
092.9154 8 Jen's Battle(b-) 20/1 Davis D Barrera. III Oscar S. 159 19.50 1.27/$1
091.3545 10 Jasminesque 8/1 Rosario J Sciacca Gary 180 26.11 1.31/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 29.51, ROI 1.00/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.6347
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry)


05/12/22, BEL, Race 6, 5.43 ET
05/12/22,BEL,6,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $37,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Draw Off 7/2 Franco M Weaver George L 48 64.58 2.30/$1
099.1105 2 Crosstown Girl 3/1 Carmouche K Morey William E. JTEW 123 46.34 1.37/$1
098.3520 5 Eudaimonia 7/2 McCarthy T Schosberg Richard E. SF 64 57.81 1.80/$1
097.4376 4 Eventually 5/2 Davis D Clement Christophe 123 46.34 1.37/$1
094.5408 6 Dulce Gigante 8/1 Cancel E Levine Bruce N. 123 46.34 1.37/$1
094.5006 7 Wabaunsee 8/1 Saez L Englehart Chris J. 48 64.58 2.30/$1
093.9431 3 Dini's Destiny 15/1 Cardenas L Lucas Bonnie C 48 64.58 2.30/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 46.62, ROI 1.26/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.8895
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Is Same Track As Today  -with-
[Dirt MdnMClm] Does Not Carry High Weight


05/12/22, BEL, Race 7, 6.15 ET
05/12/22,BEL,7,6F [Inner Turf] 1:06:04 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $94,000. INNER TURF (UP TO $16,356 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $62,500. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Claiming Or Starter Since November 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $62,500 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs). (Rail at 9 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Artemus Citylimits(b+) 5/2 Davis D Maker Michael J. FL 70 31.43 1.87/$1
097.2572 1 Fauci 3/1 Ortiz J L Antonacci Philip E 180 26.11 1.31/$1
095.8274 3 Nuclear Option 10/1 Silvera R Ness Jamie T 159 19.50 1.27/$1
094.1146 4 Cucina 5/1 Carmouche K Maker Michael J. SW 180 26.11 1.31/$1
093.3399 7 Big Engine(b-) 2/1 Gomez J A Rodriguez Rudy R. 159 19.50 1.27/$1
091.9669 6 Duress 6/1 McCarthy T Albertrani Thomas 180 26.11 1.31/$1
091.5262 5 Maxwell Esquire 2/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Clement Christophe JC 180 26.11 1.31/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 29.51, ROI 1.00/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.7428
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Not Dirt With Turf Today  -with-
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Best LeadPack


05/12/22, BEL, Race 8, 6.45 ET
05/12/22,BEL,8,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 ALLOWANCE. Purse $80,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter Allowed 2 lbs. (If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Key Point 4/5 Franco M Brown Chad C. TSWC 174 43.10 1.14/$1
098.8485 7 Montebello 7/2 Prat F Terranova II John P. J 125 41.60 1.23/$1
098.6007 6 Win for Gold 8/1 Carmouche K Rodriguez Rudy R. FEL 125 41.60 1.23/$1
096.6889 4 Kid d'Oro 5/1 Silvera R Ness Jamie 174 43.10 1.14/$1
094.8244 3 Dr. Blute 12/1 McCarthy T Kimmel John C. 125 41.60 1.23/$1
094.0533 5 Colormepazzi 10/1 Cancel E Englehart Chris J. 174 43.10 1.14/$1
092.8980 1 A Longlongtimeago(b-) 15/1 Rosario J Asmussen Steven M. 125 41.60 1.23/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 46.62, ROI 1.26/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.1515
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Purse Greater Than $75K


05/12/22, BEL, Race 9, 7.15 ET
05/12/22,BEL,9,1M [Turf] 1:31:01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $75,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at One Mile on the Main Track.) (Rail at 27 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 13 Missing Fortune 15/1 Franco M De Paz Horacio FC 97 26.80 1.30/$1
098.2210 4 Royal Dancer 10/1 Carmouche K Nevin Michelle 112 25.89 1.19/$1
098.2121 3 Pave My Way 9/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Noda Orlando L 126 29.37 0.85/$1
097.4976 7 Out of Sight 5/2 Ortiz J L Donk David G. SE 166 28.92 1.26/$1
096.9900 8 Cape Cod Causeway 6/1 McCarthy T Hennig Mark A. 126 29.37 0.85/$1
096.9373 2 Sals Dream Girl 8/1 Saez L Gargan Danny 126 29.37 0.85/$1
095.3082 10 I'll Go All In 15/1 Silvera R Vazquez Juan C. 126 29.37 0.85/$1
094.6368 12 Succulent 10/1 Velazquez J R Donk David G. 39 41.03 1.68/$1
094.6115 9 Duckphat 15/1 Laprida J Ferraro James W. 166 28.92 1.26/$1
094.2493 15 Limani 5/2 Prat F Brown Chad C. JT 126 29.37 0.85/$1
093.1841 14 Frosty Invasion 20/1 Saez L Schettino Domenick L. 22 40.91 1.21/$1
093.0250 6 Busy Morning 8/1 Lezcano J Abreu Jorge R. 7 57.14 1.84/$1
092.3766 1 Unkoalafied 20/1 Gomez J A Nevin Michelle 131 27.48 1.06/$1
090.2063 5 Sweet Maeve 20/1 Cardenas L Johnson Cleveland W 131 25.19 1.11/$1
088.3385 11 Empire Lily 20/1 Davis D Abreu Jorge R. 22 40.91 1.21/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 29.51, ROI 1.00/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.7790
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] *2nd Horse 98 Rating And Top Horse 100 Rating
*Scratches may change this condition

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...