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Top Horse Analytics: 05/08/2022 Picks and Results - MTH


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.22.04.15a)

Track: MTH
Start Of Statistics - 05/28/2021
Past Number of Races - 555

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
41.08 0.91   9.20   Favorites
37.16 0.90 13.80   Morning Line Favorites
37.12 0.94 19.00   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

05/08/22, MTH, Race 1, 12.15 ET
05/08/22,MTH,1,6F [Dirt] 1:07:02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $25,000. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000, For Each $2,500 To $20,000 1 lb.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Mr. Extension 6/5 Lopez P Avila Juan Carlos TFL 110 32.73 0.69/$1
096.9151 6 Rhumjar 9/2 Camacho S Hills Timothy A. JEW 74 52.70 1.15/$1
095.1023 5 Reckless Place(b-) 6/1 Hernandez C J McGregor Robert S 110 32.73 0.69/$1
094.3770 8 Ready to Fly(b-) 6/1 Rendon J McGregor Robert C 4 50.00 1.08/$1
094.2675 7 Let Freedom Spring(b-) 4/1 Juarez N Sacco Gregory D. 110 32.73 0.69/$1
090.9445 3 Dear Faith 10/1 Diaz. Jr. H R Sacco Gregory D. 110 32.73 0.69/$1
090.3934 1 Laredo 12/1 Torres J Einhorn Kim 10 50.00 1.25/$1
089.5359 2 He'sarearviewtown 30/1 Uske S Simon Linda 110 32.73 0.69/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 41.67, ROI 0.98/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -3.0849
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


05/08/22, MTH, Race 2, 12.44 ET
05/08/22,MTH,2,6F [Dirt] 1:07:02 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $27,000. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $25,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Weight, 119 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since April 8 Allowed 2 lbs. A Race Since March 8 Allowed 4 lbs. (Races Where Entered For $20,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Baagy 5/2 Wolfsont A Pino Michael V. TFL 98 46.94 1.13/$1
098.6441 2 Jolly Heretic 4/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Lynch Natalia W 74 52.70 1.15/$1
098.3445 3 Its Over 9/2 Rodriguez A A Cruz Jesus S 98 46.94 1.13/$1
097.5417 7 Sunsanddrinkinhand 9/5 Lopez P Breen Kelly J. 197 40.61 1.04/$1
097.0891 4 Shanghai Warrior 5/1 De La Cruz F Dini Michael JE 197 40.61 1.04/$1
095.2779 1 Garitoff 12/1 Gonzalez J L Salazar Marco P. 24 62.50 1.75/$1
094.3302 6 Kingdom Queen 15/1 Batista J A Mc Allen John P. C 24 62.50 1.75/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 41.67, ROI 0.98/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.3559
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Same Jockey


05/08/22, MTH, Race 3, 1.13 ET
05/08/22,MTH,3,6F [Dirt] 1:07:02 ALLOWANCE. Purse $60,000. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Weight, 120 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since April 8 Allowed 2 lbs. A Race Since March 8Allowed 4 lbs. (Races Where Entered For $18,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Never Early 5/2 Worrie A S Englehart Jeffrey S. TSFEL 35 68.57 1.50/$1
098.5537 3 Little Vic 7/5 Lopez P Avila Juan Carlos 24 62.50 1.75/$1
098.0166 1 Penetrator 4/1 Hernandez C J Hollendorfer Jerry 197 40.61 1.04/$1
096.9136 7 Tops the Chart 5/1 Juarez N Duarte. Jr. Jorge 98 46.94 1.13/$1
096.4908 5 Catch the Smoke 10/1 Camacho S Lucas Bonnie W 74 52.70 1.15/$1
096.0426 4 Forty Stripes 8/1 Torres J Hollendorfer Jerry 197 40.61 1.04/$1
095.0650 2 Chiquito Baby 30/1 Olivero C Avila Juan Carlos JC 98 46.94 1.13/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 41.67, ROI 0.98/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.4463
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] *Last Race Was OddsOn Favorite(not ent) With Less Than 10 Horses
*Scratches may change this condition

05/08/22, MTH, Race 4, 1.42 ET
05/08/22,MTH,4,5 1/2F [Dirt] 1:02:00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $71,875 (includes up to $14,375 NJB - New Jersey Bred Enhancement). FOR REGISTERED NEW JERSEY BREDS MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 One Time Willard 5/2 Lopez P Stephens John D. WL 74 52.70 1.15/$1
098.6400 7 Kaz Sweet Heist 3/1 Hernandez J A Synnefias Dimitrios K. JFC 60 45.00 1.07/$1
096.1655 10 Irish Boolum 6/1 Ruiz J Lynch Cathal A. T 1 100.00 4.20/$1
093.5693 5 Bustin Loose 6/1 Ferrer J C Spina Chuck 110 32.73 0.69/$1
093.4929 9 Pogi 7/2 Torres J Einhorn Kim SE 4 50.00 1.08/$1
092.8158 4 Calypso Band 12/1 De La Cruz F Nunn Douglas 110 32.73 0.69/$1
092.1757 8 Jersey Perfection 15/1 Camacho S Nunn Douglas 110 32.73 0.69/$1
091.4534 1 Forever Chocolate(b+) 15/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Huston Rory K. 60 45.00 1.07/$1
090.8017 2 Cash Kid 15/1 Juarez N Sacco Gregory D. 110 32.73 0.69/$1
088.8962 3 Changing the Karma 20/1 Uske S Simon Linda 110 32.73 0.69/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 41.67, ROI 0.98/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.3600
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Best Workouts


05/08/22, MTH, Race 5, 2.11 ET
05/08/22,MTH,5,6F [Dirt] 1:07:02 CLAIMING. Purse $22,000. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 8 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $5,000 (Races Where Entered For $4,000 Or Less Not Considered InEligibility).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Sunshine Charlie 5/2 Lopez P Dini Michael J 190 40.53 1.05/$1
099.2331 8 Fleet Warrior 4/1 Worrie A S Englehart Jeffrey S. TEW 108 42.59 1.12/$1
099.1174 6 Youshouldbesolucky 7/2 Rodriguez A A Delgado Jose H. F 80 51.25 1.15/$1
099.1172 1 Uncle Ned 3/1 Ferrer J C Delgado Jose H. 24 62.50 1.75/$1
096.7116 2 Six Cider 10/1 Hernandez A Farro Patricia SC 190 40.53 1.05/$1
096.1314 4 Jaime Jamel 12/1 Panaijo J Cruz Jaime 190 40.53 1.05/$1
095.7182 7 Hushion 8/1 Hernandez Moreno O Brown Bruce R. L 190 40.53 1.05/$1
094.0756 5 Exxtop 20/1 Torres J Thompson Marcus George 190 40.53 1.05/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 41.67, ROI 0.98/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.7669
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Horse Not Age 3


05/08/22, MTH, Race 6, 2.40 ET
05/08/22,MTH,6,6F [Dirt] 1:07:02 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $65,000. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $30,000. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since April 8 Allowed 2 lbs. A Race Since March 8 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $30,000 (Races Where Entered For $22,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Growl Tiger 5/2 Diaz. Jr. H R Delacour Arnaud TSL 98 46.94 1.13/$1
098.8820 7 Scocciatore 7/2 Worrie A S Englehart Jeffrey S. W 80 51.25 1.15/$1
098.1820 1 Straight Shot 7/2 Batista J A Delgado Jorge C 80 51.25 1.15/$1
097.5727 3 He's in Charge 3/1 Alvarado J Breen Kelly J. 80 51.25 1.15/$1
096.4118 6 Stratofortress 4/1 Lopez P Hollendorfer Jerry JFE 80 51.25 1.15/$1
094.9809 5 Meru 6/1 Rendon J Duarte. Jr. Jorge 80 51.25 1.15/$1
094.1956 2 Singlino 30/1 Green A Worsley John E. 190 40.53 1.05/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 41.67, ROI 0.98/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.1180
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Same Jockey


05/08/22, MTH, Race 7, 3.09 ET
05/08/22,MTH,7,6F [Dirt] 1:07:02 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $60,000. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $16,000. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since April 8 Allowed 2 lbs. A Race Since March 8 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000 (Maiden Claiming or Races Where Entered for $14,000 or Less Not Considered in Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Love in the Air 9/5 Lopez P Servis John C. FC 98 46.94 1.13/$1
099.0255 6 Escape Fund 9/2 Cruz A Gorham Michael E. S 80 51.25 1.15/$1
098.5759 3 Firenze Freedom 3/1 Alvarado J Breen Kelly J. 24 62.50 1.75/$1
097.3540 8 My Beautiful Belle 5/1 Torres J Spina Chuck W 98 46.94 1.13/$1
096.8988 7 Happy Ride 6/1 De La Cruz F McCarthy Brenda J 221 41.18 1.03/$1
096.4808 1 Patty Cakes 6/1 Rendon J McGregor Robert EL 80 51.25 1.15/$1
096.3595 2 Shecanflatoutplay 15/1 Batista J A Cruz Jesus T 108 42.59 1.12/$1
094.7370 5 Beatubyachubinose 20/1 Gonzalez J L Nunn Douglas 24 62.50 1.75/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 41.67, ROI 0.98/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.9745
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Same Jockey


05/08/22, MTH, Race 8, 3.40 ET
05/08/22,MTH,8,6F [Dirt] 1:07:02 ALLOWANCE. Purse $75,000 (includes up to $15,000 NJB - New Jersey Bred Enhancement). FOR REGISTERED NEW JERSEY BREDS THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since April 8 Allowed 2 lbs. A Race Since March 8 Allowed 4 lbs. (Races Where Entered For $10,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Last Romance 3/1 Ruiz J Lynch Cathal A. TC 24 62.50 1.75/$1
098.5843 5 There Are No Words 4/1 Juarez N Spina Chuck W 24 62.50 1.75/$1
098.1070 8 On the Come Up 9/2 Lopez P Farro Patricia JEL 35 68.57 1.50/$1
097.5020 4 Lemon Creek Louie 6/1 Batista J A Nunn Douglas 80 51.25 1.15/$1
096.6466 3 Jesters Honor 6/1 Ferrer J C Dini Michael 190 40.53 1.05/$1
095.9914 6 Country Miles 8/1 Adorno A Huston Rory K. 190 40.53 1.05/$1
095.7991 7 Hit Me I'm Lucky 8/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Huston Rory K. 190 40.53 1.05/$1
094.1038 11 Pal 12/1 Sosa L Frangella. Jr. James A F 24 62.50 1.75/$1
093.5877 10 Magical Jaime 15/1 Rendon J McGregor Robert S 190 40.53 1.05/$1
092.5741 9 Gone Astray Kiss 30/1 Panaijo J Foglia Anthony 190 40.53 1.05/$1
092.5607 2 Johnny Oil 30/1 Torres J Martin Ramon F. 98 46.94 1.13/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 41.67, ROI 0.98/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.4157
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race (Sprint Or Route) Not Same As Today


05/08/22, MTH, Race 9, 4.09 ET
05/08/22,MTH,9,1M 70Y [Dirt] 1:38:04 STAKES. Serena's Song Stakes. Purse $100,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. By subscription of $100 each, which should accompany the nomination, $500 to pass the entry box and $1,000 to start. The owner of the winner to receive $60,000, $20,000 to second, $10,000 to third, $5,000 to fourth, $3,000 to fifth and $2,000 to sixth through last. Three-Year-Olds: 121 lbs.; Older: 124 lbs. Non-winners of a sweepstakes in 2022 allowed 2 lbs.; $60,000 once since February 1, 2022, 4 lbs.; $40,000 once in 2022, 6 lbs. (Maiden, Claiming and State Bred Allowance races not considered). The winning horse to receive free entry and start fees to the July 23 Molly Pitcher Stakes. The winning owner to receive a trophy. Closed Friday, April 22, 2022 with 18 nominations. $2,000 supplemental nominations, which included all fees, were made at time of entry, May 5, 2022.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Cafe Society 3/1 Alvarado J McGaughey III Claude R 190 40.53 1.05/$1
098.5246 2 Moraz 4/1 Juarez N Hollendorfer Jerry 190 40.53 1.05/$1
098.0078 7 Leader of the Band 6/1 Pennington F Servis John C. FC 35 68.57 1.50/$1
097.8146 6 Miss Leslie 6/1 Cruz A Gonzalez Claudio A. 98 46.94 1.13/$1
097.6359 4 Wholebodemeister 9/2 Lopez P Hemingway Michelle E 24 62.50 1.75/$1
097.1245 9 Moma Tiger 8/1 Hernandez J A Stites Flint W. JS 98 46.94 1.13/$1
095.2729 8 Flight to Shanghai 8/1 Rendon J Cibelli Jane L 190 40.53 1.05/$1
094.3797 10 Misty Taste 15/1 Torres J Gonzalez Claudio A. 80 51.25 1.15/$1
094.3319 5 Oliviaofthedesert 10/1 Marin S McPeek Kenneth G. 190 40.53 1.05/$1
093.1884 1 Stand for the Flag 15/1 Camacho S McGaughey J. Reeve 190 40.53 1.05/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 41.67, ROI 0.98/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.4754
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Horse Not Age 3


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