Jump to content
Top Horse Analytics

Top Horse Analytics: 05/07/2022 Picks and Results - MTH


Recommended Posts

TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.22.04.15a)

Track: MTH
Start Of Statistics - 05/28/2021
Past Number of Races - 555

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
41.08 0.91   9.20   Favorites
37.16 0.90 13.80   Morning Line Favorites
37.12 0.94 19.00   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

05/07/22, MTH, Race 1, 2.00 ET
05/07/22,MTH,1,6F [Dirt] 1:07:02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $57,500. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Practical Paulie 9/2 Worrie A S Englehart Jeffrey S. TC 60 45.00 1.07/$1
099.5354 5 World Traveler 3/2 Lopez P Sacco Gregory D. E 110 32.73 0.69/$1
098.7542 6 My Maggie Moo 5/1 Rendon J McGregor Robert SF 4 50.00 1.08/$1
097.4447 3 Always Aware 5/1 Juarez N Duarte. Jr. Jorge 110 32.73 0.69/$1
097.2614 2 Cupids Girl 7/2 Camacho S Ryerson James T. JW 74 52.70 1.15/$1
096.9662 4 Office Etiquette(b-) 6/1 Batista J A Stephens John D. L 110 32.73 0.69/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 41.67, ROI 0.98/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.4646
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] 5f Workout Since Last Race


05/07/22, MTH, Race 2, 2.32 ET
05/07/22,MTH,2,6F [Dirt] 1:07:02 CLAIMING. Purse $26,000. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 7. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $8,000, For Each $500 To $7,000 1 lb. (Races Where Entered For $5,000 Or Less Not Considered In Eligibility).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Summer Bourbon 5/2 Vargas. Jr. J A Miceli Michael TFEL 108 42.59 1.12/$1
099.9701 1 The Great Dansky 8/5 Lopez P De Paz Horacio 24 62.50 1.75/$1
098.2141 5 Binkster 9/2 Camacho S Lucas Bonnie J 190 40.53 1.05/$1
097.8518 4 Speeding Kid 7/2 Batista J A Arriaga Antonio WC 74 52.70 1.15/$1
096.2195 3 Cliffy 6/1 Panaijo J Mc Allen John P. S 24 62.50 1.75/$1
095.4401 6 Relishment 20/1 Gonzalez J L Hogan Jr. William J 24 62.50 1.75/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 41.67, ROI 0.98/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0299
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Best Trainer


05/07/22, MTH, Race 3, 3.03 ET
05/07/22,MTH,3,6F [Dirt] 1:07:02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $18,000. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Claiming Price $10,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Whata Guy 5/2 Lopez P Breen Kelly J. W 74 52.70 1.15/$1
099.7923 3 Not a Postino 3/1 Ferrer J C Plaza Alberto SE 60 45.00 1.07/$1
099.6975 4 Risk Vs Reward(b-) 5/1 De La Cruz F Delgado Jose H. L 110 32.73 0.69/$1
098.6720 1 R Boy Cheekum 8/1 Torres J Thompson Marcus George F 110 32.73 0.69/$1
098.6257 7 Marsico 6/1 Rodriguez A A Delgado Jose H. 110 32.73 0.69/$1
098.2928 8 El Mic Tiesun 8/1 Camacho S Lucas Bonnie JC 110 32.73 0.69/$1
095.4464 10 Bell Boy 10/1 Rendon J Reynolds Patrick L. 3 33.33 1.40/$1
093.6085 6 Dadashev 12/1 Gonzalez J L Hogan Jr. William J 110 32.73 0.69/$1
092.4236 9 Creative Magic 20/1 Hernandez C J Lucas Bonnie 17 47.06 1.04/$1
092.2131 5 Don Ciccio 15/1 Trejos J Arosemena Martin 60 45.00 1.07/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 41.67, ROI 0.98/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.2077
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Best Workouts


05/07/22, MTH, Race 4, 3.35 ET
05/07/22,MTH,4,1M 70Y [Dirt] 1:38:04 CLAIMING. Purse $20,000. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS OR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since March 7 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $7,500, For Each $500 To $6,500 1 lb.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Gus K 9/5 De La Cruz F Rodriguez Angel M. C 45 51.11 1.18/$1
099.9235 6 Tempestuous 2/1 Camacho S Rodriguez Angel M. JSFEWL 98 46.94 1.13/$1
097.6929 5 El Fantasma 5/2 Gonzalez J L Gomez Pompeyo 24 62.50 1.75/$1
096.5131 1 Give It a Go 6/1 Batista J A Carvajal. Jr. Luis 33 45.45 1.18/$1
096.4208 4 Freeze Turkey 8/1 Torres J D'Amodio Charley 190 40.53 1.05/$1
094.2452 2 Pricing Exercise 20/1 Panaijo J Mc Allen John P. 24 62.50 1.75/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 41.67, ROI 0.98/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0765
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Best Closer


05/07/22, MTH, Race 5, 4.06 ET
05/07/22,MTH,5,5 1/2F [Dirt] 1:02:00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $71,875 (includes up to $14,375 NJB - New Jersey Bred Enhancement). FOR REGISTERED NEW JERSEY BREDS MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Big Lee's Legacy 5/2 Lopez P Frangella. Jr. James A JFE 4 50.00 1.08/$1
096.8910 1 Random Luck 3/1 Gonzalez J L Marquez Cesareo 110 32.73 0.69/$1
096.3339 3 She Loves Gold 6/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Huston Rory K. SL 110 32.73 0.69/$1
094.0986 8 Postino's Prophecy 5/1 Hernandez C J Einhorn Kim 10 50.00 1.25/$1
093.9153 7 Epic Queen 6/1 Rendon J McGregor Robert 110 32.73 0.69/$1
093.8895 4 Bikini Baby 9/2 Juarez N Owens. Jr Eddie WC 74 52.70 1.15/$1
093.3174 5 Lassie's Notion 10/1 Torres J Martin Ramon F. 110 32.73 0.69/$1
092.9217 6 Caliente Rum 15/1 Batista J A Hogan Jr. William J 110 32.73 0.69/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 41.67, ROI 0.98/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -3.1090
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Less Than Today


05/07/22, MTH, Race 6, 4.38 ET
05/07/22,MTH,6,1M 70Y [Dirt] 1:38:04 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $29,000. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $6,250 OR LESS IN 2021 - 2022 OR CLAIMING PRICE $12,500. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since March 7 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race Since February 7 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $12,500.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Stay Home 5/2 Lopez P Delgado Jose H. C 24 62.50 1.75/$1
099.4144 3 Runabout 3/1 Worrie A S Englehart Jeffrey S. TFE 35 68.57 1.50/$1
099.2846 7 Friendly Fella 3/1 Cruz A Gonzalez Claudio A. W 74 52.70 1.15/$1
096.3343 2 Jupi's Lightning 4/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Ramirez Silvino 24 62.50 1.75/$1
095.8511 4 In Equality 12/1 Camacho S Abrams Ronald B. J 190 40.53 1.05/$1
095.6330 6 Pointer 10/1 Gonzalez J L Gomez Pompeyo L 190 40.53 1.05/$1
094.8702 1 Ingreido 15/1 Trejos J Arosemena Martin 190 40.53 1.05/$1
094.4761 8 Dohko 15/1 Batista J A Hogan Jr. William J S 190 40.53 1.05/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 41.67, ROI 0.98/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.5856
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race (Sprint Or Route) Not Same As Today


05/07/22, MTH, Race 7, 5.10 ET
05/07/22,MTH,7,6F [Dirt] 1:07:02 ALLOWANCE. Purse $75,000 (includes up to $15,000 NJB - New Jersey Bred Enhancement). FOR REGISTERED NEW JERSEY BREDS FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since April 7 Allowed 2 lbs. A Race Since March 7 Allowed 4 lbs. (Races Where Entered For $10,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Pomtini 3/1 Juarez N Huston Rory K. E 98 46.94 1.13/$1
099.3346 8 I Can Run 4/1 Cruz A Gonzalez Claudio A. T 24 62.50 1.75/$1
098.8577 3 Wicked Jane 7/2 Lopez P Sacco Gregory D. SF 190 40.53 1.05/$1
098.5228 2 Mia's Crusade 4/1 Torres J Spina Chuck W 98 46.94 1.13/$1
097.0780 9 Takeittocomittee 5/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Huston Rory K. L 190 40.53 1.05/$1
096.3720 5 Your Pal 6/1 Camacho S Morris Neil R. J 190 40.53 1.05/$1
094.8472 7 Rachel Caroline 15/1 Sosa L Frangella. Jr. James A 24 62.50 1.75/$1
094.5565 1 No Sympathy 30/1 Burke J King Clarence B. 98 46.94 1.13/$1
094.4090 6 Ashley's Hope 12/1 Hernandez C J McGregor Robert C 24 62.50 1.75/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 41.67, ROI 0.98/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.6654
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Same Jockey


05/07/22, MTH, Race 8, 5.42 ET
05/07/22,MTH,8,1M 70Y [Dirt] 1:38:04 STAKES. Long Branch Stakes. Purse $100,000. FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS. By subscription of $100 each, which should accompany the nomination, $500 to pass the entry box and $1,000 to start. The winning owner to receive $60,000, $20,000 to second, $10,000 to third, $5,000 to fourth, $3,000 to fifth and $2,000 to sixth through last. Weight: 121 lbs. Non-winners of a sweepstakes in 2022 allowed 2 lbs.; $50,000 in 2022, 4 lbs.; $35,000 once in 2022, 6 lbs. (Maiden, Claiming and State Bred Allowances Races not considered). The owner of the winning horse willreceive free entry and start fees to the July 23, TVG.com Haskell Stakes. The owner of the winner to receive a trophy. Closed Friday, April 22, 2022 with 18 nominations. A $2,000 supplemental nomination, which included all fees, was made at time of entry, Tuesday, May 3, 2022.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Dean's List 2/1 Lopez P Pletcher Todd A. T 24 62.50 1.75/$1
098.7840 4 Fluid Situation 7/2 Camacho S Terranova II John P. JL 24 62.50 1.75/$1
098.0628 3 Dash Attack 3/1 Marin S McPeek Kenneth G. E 25 44.00 1.26/$1
097.4081 8 Glider 4/1 Ferrer J C Casse Mark E. 197 40.61 1.04/$1
097.2172 5 Benevengo 8/1 Rodriguez A A Cruz Jesus SFC 24 62.50 1.75/$1
096.1267 2 Twisted Ride 20/1 Worrie A S Demasi Kathleen A. W 35 68.57 1.50/$1
095.8797 7 Buff Hello 20/1 Cruz A Gonzalez Claudio A. 24 62.50 1.75/$1
095.4095 6 Smarten Up 8/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Velazquez Alfredo 197 40.61 1.04/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 41.67, ROI 0.98/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.2160
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race (Sprint Or Route) Not Same As Today


Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...