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Top Horse Analytics

Top Horse Analytics: 05/06/2022 Picks and Results - OP


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.22.04.15a)

Track: OP
Start Of Statistics - 01/07/2022
Past Number of Races - 483

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
37.47 0.90 10.20   Favorites
30.11 0.76 12.20   Morning Line Favorites
29.40 0.89 39.80   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

05/06/22, OP, Race 1, 12.15 CT
05/06/22,OP,1,6F [Dirt] 1:07:04 CLAIMING. Purse $38,000. FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD OR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Three Year Olds, 121 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since March 6, 2022 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Airborne Gal 5/2 Arrieta F Hartman Chris A. JTE 184 17.39 1.72/$1
095.4034 4 Aidanike 3/1 Castillo I Asmussen Steven M. SF 184 17.39 1.72/$1
093.8565 1 Into Classic 8/1 Canchari A L Amescua Rene 184 17.39 1.72/$1
091.2055 2 Athenas Song 5/1 Garcia M Villafranco Federico 184 17.39 1.72/$1
090.9792 5 Chasing Shadows 9/2 Hiraldo J Villafranco Federico 184 17.39 1.72/$1
088.3703 7 Emerald Princess 3/1 Gonzalez E Robertson McLean L 184 17.39 1.72/$1
086.5721 6 Starrgarita 15/1 Quinonez L S Prather. Jr. John Henr WC 184 17.39 1.72/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.36, ROI 1.42/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -4.5966
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f


05/06/22, OP, Race 2, 12.45 CT
05/06/22,OP,2,6F [Dirt] 1:07:04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $34,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 121 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Claiming Price $30,000, if for $25,000, allowed 3 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Justin Speight 8/1 Jordan K R Cangemi Daniel R. JS 65 43.08 1.06/$1
099.5609 1 Lookinforexcitemen 5/1 Bailey C Brennan Terry J. 268 34.33 1.06/$1
099.4682 6 Take No Prisoners(b+) 7/2 Franco G Diodoro Robertino TF 10 50.00 1.52/$1
098.5859 8 Reserve 9/2 Canchari A L Moquett Ron 268 34.33 1.06/$1
098.1140 7 Stainless Steel 3/1 Castillo I Asmussen Steven M. L 268 34.33 1.06/$1
098.0114 2 Wesleyan 12/1 Garcia M Martin Timothy E. 268 34.33 1.06/$1
097.9527 4 Project Thunder 9/2 Gonzalez E Mason Ingrid WC 66 37.88 1.25/$1
095.5038 3 Joe Bill 6/1 Esquivel E Smith Kenny P. E 268 34.33 1.06/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.36, ROI 1.42/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.4391
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Not 3YO In 3UP Race


05/06/22, OP, Race 3, 1.16 CT
05/06/22,OP,3,6F [Dirt] 1:07:04 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $52,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 121 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since March 8, 2022 Allowed 3 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Windcracker 7/2 Arrieta F Compton Greg JT 184 17.39 1.72/$1
094.7237 6 Rare Stripe 3/1 Garcia M Villafranco Federico SF 184 17.39 1.72/$1
089.2629 3 Swift Tap 7/2 Canchari A L Moquett Ron 184 17.39 1.72/$1
086.6800 7 Coach Happy 8/1 Harr K Dixon Tim EL 184 17.39 1.72/$1
086.3809 4 Miniconjou 5/2 Gonzalez E Von Hemel Kelly R. 184 17.39 1.72/$1
084.7178 1 Ridgepointe 8/1 Quinonez L S Von Hemel Donnie K. W 184 17.39 1.72/$1
083.9022 2 Megatap 10/1 Jordan K R Loy F. Dewaine C 184 17.39 1.72/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.36, ROI 1.42/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -5.2763
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f


05/06/22, OP, Race 4, 1.48 CT
05/06/22,OP,4,1 1/16M [Dirt] 1:40:01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $30,000. FOR ARKANSAS BRED (WHICH QUALIFY UNDER RULES GOVERNING ARKANSAS-BREDS) MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 121 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Fibrillator 3/1 Canchari A L Cangemi Daniel R. C 65 43.08 1.06/$1
099.7001 10 Tallandlong 9/2 Gonzalez E Barkley Jason FEL 65 43.08 1.06/$1
098.9594 7 Sweetness To 2/1 Borel C H Westermann Ronald L. TW 66 37.88 1.25/$1
098.6000 9 Jeri Dawn(b-) 6/1 Esquivel E Ashauer Norman S 65 43.08 1.06/$1
097.8907 3 Twentytwentyredo(b+) 8/1 Arrieta F Creighton Brett 268 34.33 1.06/$1
097.2450 6 Miss Dutton 12/1 Harr K Cline Robert N. 51 35.29 1.01/$1
096.4538 1 Milu Rocket 20/1 Torres H Espinoza Edgar 157 29.30 0.93/$1
096.2130 4 Alleluia Angel 12/1 Jordan K R Gonzalez Jaime N. J 268 34.33 1.06/$1
095.3824 8 Spot's Maine Girl 30/1 Hiraldo J Fires William H. 65 43.08 1.06/$1
089.7717 5 Kenkead 15/1 Bailey C Moquett Ron 65 43.08 1.06/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.36, ROI 1.42/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.2999
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Not 3YO In 3UP Race


05/06/22, OP, Race 5, 2.26 CT
05/06/22,OP,5,6F [Dirt] 1:07:04 CLAIMING. Purse $29,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 121 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since March 6, 2022 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $12,500.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 8 Itsy Bitsy Betty 5/2 Canchari A L Amescua Rene TE 184 17.39 1.72/$1
098.0250 1 Dream Town 20/1 Arrieta F Rangel Raul J 184 17.39 1.72/$1
096.1319 9 Rattrapante 3/1 Bailey C Hollendorfer Jerry SW 184 17.39 1.72/$1
095.0862 2 Guest in My Heart 12/1 Esquivel E Garcia Genaro 184 17.39 1.72/$1
091.9910 5 Olivian 8/1 Franco G Cline Robert N. L 184 17.39 1.72/$1
091.3139 7 Life of Saturdays 9/2 Jordan K R Hawley Wesley E. 184 17.39 1.72/$1
091.1108 4 Briar Thicket 10/1 Harr K Cline Robert N. FC 184 17.39 1.72/$1
090.0510 10 Flirtatious Smile 6/1 Gonzalez E Martin Timothy E. 157 22.93 1.13/$1
089.1122 6 Milliganmikeandme 30/1 Wales T Riecken Bruce L. 184 17.39 1.72/$1
087.4499 3 Very Spicy 12/1 Quinonez L S Fires William H. 184 17.39 1.72/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.36, ROI 1.42/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.9750
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f


05/06/22, OP, Race 6, 3.11 CT
05/06/22,OP,6,1 1/16M [Dirt] 1:40:01 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $60,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS IN 2021 - 2022. Weight, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since January 8, 2022 Allowed 4 lbs. A Race Since November 8, 2021 Allowed 8 lbs. (Horses which have never won a race at a mile or over allowed 3 lbs.).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 W W Fitzy 3/1 Castillo I Diodoro Robertino 44 34.09 1.41/$1
099.2751 5 A Real Jewel 10/1 Jordan K R Compton Greg TW 66 37.88 1.25/$1
098.4927 2 Misty Veil 2/1 Arrieta F Amoss Thomas M. JEL 268 34.33 1.06/$1
094.4144 7 Miss Imperial 7/2 Franco G Hollendorfer Jerry 268 34.33 1.06/$1
091.2523 3 Pretti Xtreme 8/1 Canchari A L Garcia Genaro 204 29.90 1.04/$1
089.0557 6 Bobbin Tail 8/1 Esquivel E Smith Kenny P. 268 34.33 1.06/$1
087.5944 4 Bow Bow Girl 5/1 Hiraldo J Richard Chris SFC 268 34.33 1.06/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.36, ROI 1.42/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.7249
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Actual Post 1
*Scratches may change this condition

05/06/22, OP, Race 7, 3.43 CT
05/06/22,OP,7,5 1/2F [Dirt] 1:02:01 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $107,000. FOR ARKANSAS BRED (WHICH QUALIFY UNDER RULES GOVERNING ARKANSAS-BREDS) FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR CLAIMING PRICE $25,000. Three Year Olds, 121 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since February 6, 2022 Allowed 2 lbs. A Race Since December 6, 2021 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (Allowance Condition Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Dolly Dimple 12/1 Esquivel E Ortiz John Alexander T 234 28.21 1.03/$1
099.7305 9 Dutch Treat 10/1 Castillo I Diodoro Robertino 159 28.30 1.01/$1
094.3563 3 Spurwink Lane 15/1 Garcia M Villafranco Federico 136 28.68 1.01/$1
093.0650 13 Racy Jaycee 8/1 Esquivel E Garcia Genaro 21 33.33 1.46/$1
093.0427 10 Mocha Kiss 4/1 Bailey C Stuart Shea SW 39 41.03 1.59/$1
092.7935 11 Choctaw Charlie 12/1 Franco G Chleborad Lynn F 21 33.33 1.46/$1
091.3366 8 Sulwe 5/1 Canchari A L Moquett Ron EC 39 41.03 1.59/$1
091.3253 4 Truly a Rocket 6/1 Hiraldo J Witt. II Ernie 136 28.68 1.01/$1
091.1054 1 Hamazing Lace 8/1 Harr K Cates Al 44 34.09 1.41/$1
090.6675 12 Tapit Right 15/1 Arrieta F Deville Carl J. J 39 41.03 1.59/$1
089.5423 2 Big On Broadway(b-) 20/1 Jordan K R Martin Timothy E. 12 25.00 1.23/$1
089.1400 6 Derby Day Lassie 3/1 Quinonez L S Milligan Allen 268 34.33 1.06/$1
085.0492 5 Heated Argument 10/1 Gonzalez E Gonzalez Jaime N. L 39 41.03 1.59/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.36, ROI 1.42/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.2695
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Best Trainer


05/06/22, OP, Race 8, 4.15 CT
05/06/22,OP,8,1M [Dirt] 1:34:02 STAKES. Natural State Breeders' Stakes. Purse $150,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD, WHICH WERE BRED IN ARKANSAS AND QUALIFY UNDER THE RULES GOVERNING SAME. By subscription of $300 each, which shall have been paid to A.T.B.H.A. on or before December 31 of their yearling year. $1,000 toenter and $1,000 to start. $150,000 guaranteed (of which A.T.B.H.A. would furnish $75,000) to be divided 60% to the Owner of the winner, 20% to second, 10% to third, 5% to fourth, 3% to fifth and 2% to be divided equally among all other starters. Weight: Three Year Olds 118 lbs.; Older 124 lbs. Non-winners of $40,000 in 2022 allowed 3 lbs.; $30,000 in 2022 allowed 6 lbs.; $15,000 in 2021 or 2022 allowed 9 lbs. Starters to be named through the entry box by the usual time of closing. The Owner of thewinner to receive a trophy. There is no split provision. If the number entering exceeds the starting gate capacity, the number to start will be determined under Rule 2258 of the Arkansas State Racing Commission's Rules of Racing, by the Stewards and byhorses that have accumuled the highest earnings. No Owner can start more than one horse to the exclusion of a single entry. Supplementary nominations may be made by the closing time of entries at a fee of $2,500.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 The Mary Rose 2/1 Esquivel E Ortiz John Alexander T 4 75.00 6.10/$1
098.4072 5 Summer Shoes 5/1 Bailey C Swearingen Thomas H. E 27 33.33 1.56/$1
093.2872 11 My Dams Atitude 10/1 Castillo I Westermann Ronald L. S 27 33.33 1.56/$1
092.8777 6 Connie K 5/1 Franco G Morse Randy L. L 27 33.33 1.56/$1
092.1493 9 Unbridled Twister 12/1 Garcia M Cates Al 34 32.35 1.18/$1
090.6278 10 Kaboom Baby 12/1 Quinonez L S Witt. II Ernie C 21 33.33 1.46/$1
089.6287 7 Punchy Girl 8/1 Gonzalez E Barkley Jason FW 39 41.03 1.59/$1
088.5590 4 Too Pretty 9/2 Arrieta F Peitz Daniel C. J 34 32.35 1.18/$1
087.4813 3 Chai Tea 30/1 Jordan K R Martin Timothy E. 27 33.33 1.56/$1
087.1925 8 Hot Springs Bling 12/1 Harr K Donaldson Jerry 34 32.35 1.18/$1
083.8867 2 Flatoutandfoxy 20/1 Hiraldo J Martin William N. 27 33.33 1.56/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.36, ROI 1.42/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.5928
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
*Scratches may change this condition

05/06/22, OP, Race 9, 5.01 CT
05/06/22,OP,9,1M [Dirt] 1:34:02 ALLOWANCE. Purse $108,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Three Year Olds, 121 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since February 6, 2022 Allowed 3 lbs. (Horses that have never won a race at a mile or over allowed 3 lbs.).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Caerus 3/1 Esquivel E Wilson Melton F 34 32.35 1.18/$1
098.5162 5 Kingmeister 7/2 Castillo I Asmussen Steven M. W 66 37.88 1.25/$1
097.5190 4 Lightning Struck 8/1 Quinonez L S Asmussen Steven M. 27 33.33 1.56/$1
094.9538 9 Calibrate 5/1 Arrieta F Rosin Coty W. J 34 32.35 1.18/$1
094.6848 1 What a Country 10/1 Hiraldo J Sharp Joe T 4 75.00 6.10/$1
094.5670 7 Great Faces 15/1 Garcia M Villafranco Federico 34 32.35 1.18/$1
091.2450 8 Super Constitution 8/1 Canchari A L Robertson McLean L 268 34.33 1.06/$1
090.4726 6 League of Legends 8/1 Franco G Fires William H. SE 27 33.33 1.56/$1
087.4596 3 Notary 7/2 Gonzalez E Mason Ingrid C 34 32.35 1.18/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.36, ROI 1.42/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.4838
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance is 1m


05/06/22, OP, Race 10, 5.33 CT
05/06/22,OP,10,6F [Dirt] 1:07:04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $40,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 121 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Claiming Price $35,000, if for $30,000, allowed 3 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Bad Outlook 12/1 Esquivel E Smith Kenny P. FC 65 43.08 1.06/$1
099.2980 8 Outlaw Queen 8/1 Bailey C Hartman Chris A. L 157 29.30 0.93/$1
098.8939 11 Rio Lady 5/1 Franco G DiVito James P. 51 35.29 1.01/$1
098.8745 4 Late Nite Music 7/2 Castillo I Asmussen Steven M. 157 19.11 1.03/$1
098.8127 7 Burrow Down 4/1 Arrieta F Hartman Chris A. 3 100.00 1.90/$1
097.9890 2 Wild Irish 10/1 Jordan K R Martin William N. J 98 30.61 1.07/$1
097.0428 3 Royal Bonus 12/1 Garcia M Witt. II Ernie 268 34.33 1.06/$1
096.9811 9 Middie(b-) 6/1 Hiraldo J Robertson McLean S 268 34.33 1.06/$1
096.6947 10 Farasino 8/1 Quinonez L S Witt. II Ernie 65 43.08 1.06/$1
094.1007 5 Que Pasa Mufasa(b+) 8/1 Canchari A L Robertson McLean 10 50.00 1.52/$1
088.2900 1 Chaos Magic 20/1 Harr K Dixon Tim W 66 37.88 1.25/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.36, ROI 1.42/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.7020
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Not 3YO In 3UP Race


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