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Top Horse Analytics: 05/05/2022 Picks and Results - BEL


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.22.04.15a)

Track: BEL
Start Of Statistics - 04/29/2021
Past Number of Races - 753

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
34.93 0.82 10.40   Favorites
34.20 0.92 21.80   Morning Line Favorites
32.01 1.07 63.50   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

05/05/22, BEL, Race 1, 1.00 ET
05/05/22,BEL,1,1M [Dirt] 1:32:01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $37,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Nova Loves a Fight 8/5 Samuel J L Noda Orlando FWL 368 37.23 1.11/$1
097.4138 7 Disengage 10/1 Davis D Noda Orlando JSE 368 37.23 1.11/$1
096.4246 6 Tuesday's Child 5/2 Harkie H K Sciacca Gary 368 37.23 1.11/$1
095.9195 2 Alite 5/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Pringle Edmund 368 37.23 1.11/$1
095.8635 5 Platinum Road(b+) 8/1 Luzzi M J Levine Bruce N. C 368 37.23 1.11/$1
095.8392 4 Marshal Dillon 6/1 Cardenas L Donk David G. 368 37.23 1.11/$1
093.7847 3 Mad Doctor 10/1 Hernandez Moreno O Lugovich Richard J. 368 37.23 1.11/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.27, ROI 1.35/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.5862
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Does Not Carry High Weight


05/05/22, BEL, Race 2, 1.33 ET
05/05/22,BEL,2,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 CLAIMING. Purse $45,000. (UP TO $7,830 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since November 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Storm Shooter 3/1 Franco M Atras Rob TL 368 37.23 1.11/$1
099.9665 4 Daufuskie Island(b+) 4/1 McCarthy T Breen Kelly J. E 368 37.23 1.11/$1
099.6333 6 Life Changer 9/5 Gomez J A Terranova II John P. 368 37.23 1.11/$1
099.4387 5 Top of the Mint 6/1 Carmouche K Hennig Mark A. JFC 368 37.23 1.11/$1
097.6856 2 Forty Comets 3/1 Lezcano J Ryerson James T. S 368 37.23 1.11/$1
097.2528 3 Centavo 12/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Chatterpaul Naipaul W 368 37.23 1.11/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.27, ROI 1.35/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0335
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Does Not Carry High Weight


05/05/22, BEL, Race 3, 2.04 ET
05/05/22,BEL,3,1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1:38:04 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $96,000. INNER TURF (UP TO $16,704 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 THREE TIMES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $80,000. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Since November 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $80,000 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs). (Rail at 35 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Zoomer 1/1 Davis D Rice Linda SW 157 31.21 1.31/$1
099.8134 6 Sifting Sands (GB) 5/2 Franco M Brown Chad C. 184 26.63 1.31/$1
099.3790 5 Pioneer Spirit 3/1 Rider TBA Kantarmaci Mertkan 157 31.21 1.31/$1
099.0879 1 Forty Under 7/2 Davis D Maker Michael J. 184 26.63 1.31/$1
099.0288 4 Safe Conduct 8/1 Lezcano J Serpe Philip M. EL 73 31.51 1.82/$1
098.6999 7 Kinenos 4/1 Castellano J Cox Brad H. 184 26.63 1.31/$1
097.6565 8 Devamani (FR) 8/5 McCarthy T Brown Chad C. C 184 26.63 1.31/$1
092.9579 3 It's a Gamble 12/1 Gomez J A Breen Kelly J. 184 26.63 1.31/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 26.98, ROI 0.91/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.1866
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Not 3YO In 3UP Race


05/05/22, BEL, Race 4, 2.33 ET
05/05/22,BEL,4,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 CLAIMING. Purse $28,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since November 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $14,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Truebelieve 3/1 Gomez J A Arriaga Antonio SFW 368 37.23 1.11/$1
098.5032 3 Brunate 7/2 Davis D Bond H. James JL 368 37.23 1.11/$1
097.9591 6 Tale of Mineshaft 2/1 Lezcano J Rice Linda E 368 37.23 1.11/$1
097.4898 4 Scorpion Dynasty 6/1 McCarthy T Clarke Dylan 368 37.23 1.11/$1
096.8511 2 Doublepour 9/2 Franco M Englehart Jeffrey S. T 368 37.23 1.11/$1
095.4582 7 Quintarelli 15/1 Fuentes E Henry Neville 368 37.23 1.11/$1
094.1787 5 Irish Giant 10/1 Harkie H K Rice Linda C 368 37.23 1.11/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.27, ROI 1.35/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.4968
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Does Not Carry High Weight


05/05/22, BEL, Race 5, 3.04 ET
05/05/22,BEL,5,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:38:03 CLAIMING. Purse $45,000. (UP TO $7,830 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since November 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $35,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at One Mile and One Sixteenthon the Main Track.) (Rail at 18 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 El Mayor 12/1 Davis D Toscano. Jr. John T. JF 157 31.21 1.31/$1
096.6209 7 Justintimeforwine(b-) 8/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Reynolds Patrick L. SWL 73 31.51 1.82/$1
096.3695 6 Be Here(b+) 3/1 Franco M Thomas Jonathan 184 26.63 1.31/$1
094.9199 9 Great Workout 4/1 Castellano J Rodriguez Rudy R. TC 184 26.63 1.31/$1
094.8600 1 Landbiscuit 2/1 Lezcano J Mott William I. 184 26.63 1.31/$1
094.4399 3 Purple Hearted 5/2 Cancel E Englehart Chris J. E 157 31.21 1.31/$1
094.1504 8 Front Man 5/1 McCarthy T Kantarmaci Mertkan 184 26.63 1.31/$1
093.9154 4 Loaded Joe 15/1 Gomez J A DiPrima Gregory 184 26.63 1.31/$1
092.6966 5 Spectatorless 12/1 Cardenas L Pringle Edmund 184 26.63 1.31/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 26.98, ROI 0.91/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -3.3791
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Not 3YO In 3UP Race


05/05/22, BEL, Race 6, 3.37 ET
05/05/22,BEL,6,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $90,000. (UP TO $15,660 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Breakwater 2/1 Castellano J McGaughey III Claude R WL 368 37.23 1.11/$1
097.7984 2 Sukoon 3/1 Carmouche K Pletcher Todd A. TFEC 368 37.23 1.11/$1
096.1948 5 Shreveport 5/2 Lezcano J Mott William I. 368 37.23 1.11/$1
095.9252 6 Mugged 8/1 McCarthy T Jerkens James A. 368 37.23 1.11/$1
094.9761 7 Baltasar 6/1 Franco M De Paz Horacio S 368 37.23 1.11/$1
091.4944 3 Capone 8/1 Davis D Jerkens James A. J 368 37.23 1.11/$1
090.9623 1 Sharpoon 30/1 Luzzi M J Fisher Linda 368 37.23 1.11/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.27, ROI 1.35/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.2016
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Does Not Carry High Weight


05/05/22, BEL, Race 7, 4.14 ET
05/05/22,BEL,7,6F [Inner Turf] 1:06:04 ALLOWANCE. Purse $92,000. INNER TURF (UP TO $16,008 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter Allowed 2 lbs. (If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs). (Rail at 35 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Never Early 3/1 Rider TBA Englehart Jeffrey S. TSL 90 27.78 1.55/$1
098.8455 10 High Front 2/1 Franco M Thomas Jonathan F 184 26.63 1.31/$1
095.8528 8 Yes and Yes 8/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Donk David G. 184 26.63 1.31/$1
095.7977 9 Power Agenda 6/1 Carmouche K Pletcher Todd A. E 136 26.47 1.35/$1
094.6136 7 Kawhi Me a River 5/2 Gomez J A Terranova II John P. C 184 26.63 1.31/$1
094.0500 5 Dancing Buck 4/1 McCarthy T Nevin Michelle 157 31.21 1.31/$1
093.7005 3 Juulstone 12/1 Davis D Maker Michael J. JW 157 31.21 1.31/$1
092.3606 11 Twelth Man 7/2 Rider TBA Nevin Michelle 157 31.21 1.31/$1
091.4382 1 R Boy Bode 30/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Thompson Marcus George 184 26.63 1.31/$1
091.0275 6 Supply and Demand 10/1 Castellano J Dutrow Anthony W. 157 31.21 1.31/$1
090.5390 4 Gandy Dancing 15/1 Hernandez Moreno O Pregman. Jr. John S. 157 31.21 1.31/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 26.98, ROI 0.91/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.1545
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Best LeadPack


05/05/22, BEL, Race 8, 4.49 ET
05/05/22,BEL,8,1 1/16M [Dirt] 1:39:01 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $85,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $45,000. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Since November 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $45,000 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Witch Hunter 5/2 Davis D Baker Charlton JSC 368 37.23 1.11/$1
099.2057 2 Brattle House 7/2 Castellano J Lobo Paulo H. FEL 368 37.23 1.11/$1
097.1137 1 A Bit o'Irish Sass 7/2 McCarthy T Schosberg Richard E. 368 37.23 1.11/$1
094.1832 3 Pay Grade(b-) 4/1 Franco M Clement Christophe 368 37.23 1.11/$1
094.0976 7 Girl of Tosconova 8/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Baker Charlton 368 37.23 1.11/$1
093.8103 5 Ok Honey 9/2 Lezcano J Rodriguez Gustavo 368 37.23 1.11/$1
092.6124 6 Wailin Josie 20/1 Cardenas L Jerkens Steven T. W 368 37.23 1.11/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.27, ROI 1.35/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.7943
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Does Not Carry High Weight


05/05/22, BEL, Race 9, 5.23 ET
05/05/22,BEL,9,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:38:03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $92,000. (UP TO $16,008 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $80,000. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 2 lbs. A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter At Any Distance Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $80,000 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at One Mile and One Sixteenth on the Main Track.) (Rail at 18 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 8 Treasure King 7/2 Castellano J Pletcher Todd A. E 184 26.63 1.31/$1
099.9848 7 Quality G 6/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Pletcher Todd A. L 90 27.78 1.55/$1
099.8514 6 Parquetry 15/1 Davis D Tagg Barclay 184 26.63 1.31/$1
099.5955 10 Mackillop 6/1 Cancel E Brown Chad C. C 184 26.63 1.31/$1
099.5695 13 Cathedral Beach 4/1 Franco M Weaver George 136 26.47 1.35/$1
099.3412 1 Celestial City 10/1 Lezcano J McGaughey III Claude R 184 26.63 1.31/$1
098.9966 4 Heat's On Zap 8/1 Diaz. Jr. H R Weaver George 184 26.63 1.31/$1
098.4383 15 Good Skate 5/1 McCarthy T Rodriguez Rudy R. 136 26.47 1.35/$1
097.7081 2 Bron and Brow 20/1 Gomez J A Casse Mark E. S 136 26.47 1.35/$1
097.1024 3 Napoleonic War 3/1 Franco M Brown Chad C. 184 26.63 1.31/$1
094.5956 5 Ohtwoohthreefive(b+) 10/1 Carmouche K Weaver George 184 26.63 1.31/$1
093.8447 12 Daunt 10/1 McCarthy T Ribaudo Robert 184 26.63 1.31/$1
093.7823 14 One More Score 12/1 Carmouche K Brown Bruce R. 136 26.47 1.35/$1
092.5205 11 Skylander 30/1 Luzzi M J Mott William I. 184 26.63 1.31/$1
091.7064 9 Unbridled Bomber(b-) 10/1 Davis D Ryerson James T. W 136 26.47 1.35/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 26.98, ROI 0.91/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0152
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Not Dirt With Turf Today


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