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Top Horse Analytics: 05/01/2022 Picks and Results - BEL


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.11.30a)

Track: BEL
Start Of Statistics - 04/22/2021
Past Number of Races - 751

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
35.95 0.83 10.40   Favorites
35.02 0.94 21.80   Morning Line Favorites
32.89 1.10 63.50   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

05/01/22, BEL, Race 1, 1.00 ET
05/01/22,BEL,1,1 1/16M [Dirt] 1:39:01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $75,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Ria's Angel 4/1 McCarthy T De Paz Horacio S 156 44.87 1.38/$1
099.9468 2 Colloquy 6/5 Davis D Clement Christophe EC 156 44.87 1.38/$1
097.9130 5 Front Porch 6/1 Gomez J A Weaver George TW 227 36.56 1.25/$1
097.6802 1 Curlin's Wisdom 3/1 Lezcano J Rice Linda FL 227 36.56 1.25/$1
095.8962 6 Kong Loves a Fight 10/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Noda Orlando J 227 36.56 1.25/$1
095.4447 4 Rush to Honor 6/1 Cancel E Englehart Chris J. 156 44.87 1.38/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 45.38, ROI 1.37/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0532
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Was Same Jockey


05/01/22, BEL, Race 2, 1.36 ET
05/01/22,BEL,2,1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1:38:04 ALLOWANCE. Purse $80,000. INNER TURF FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 2 lbs. (If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs). (Rail at 27 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Uncle Curly 3/1 Gomez J A Walder Peter R. SF 183 27.87 1.34/$1
098.7923 5 Practice Squad 8/1 Carmouche K Sharp Joe C 183 27.87 1.34/$1
098.0340 3 Mr. Kringle 3/1 McCarthy T Terranova II John P. 183 27.87 1.34/$1
096.6063 4 Bar Fourteen 9/2 Rosario J Sciacca Gary JL 310 28.71 1.18/$1
095.5957 6 Sundaeswithsandy 8/1 Franco M Rodriguez Rudy R. TEW 310 28.71 1.18/$1
095.5943 2 Breadman 5/2 Lezcano J Terranova II John P. 310 28.71 1.18/$1
093.8095 1 Barleewon(b-) 10/1 Cancel E O'Brien Keith 183 27.87 1.34/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 28.57, ROI 1.00/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.2077
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Not Dirt With Turf Today


05/01/22, BEL, Race 3, 2.11 ET
05/01/22,BEL,3,1 1/16M [Dirt] 1:39:01 CLAIMING. Purse $28,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since November 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Tough Tickets 7/5 Gomez J A Pletcher Todd A. SFL 248 37.50 1.20/$1
097.0035 3 Noble Journey 5/2 McCarthy T Jerkens James A. W 156 44.87 1.38/$1
095.0276 5 Red Revolution 6/1 Carmouche K Falcone. Jr. Robert N. J 126 41.27 1.40/$1
094.6011 6 Actuary (GB)(b+) 6/1 Cancel E Miceli Michael T 248 37.50 1.20/$1
094.2442 4 Mr. Fidget(b+) 6/1 Davis D Levine Bruce N. C 156 44.87 1.38/$1
093.3684 7 Dontbelate 8/1 Cardenas L Donk David G. E 153 49.67 1.35/$1
090.1082 2 Fotis 30/1 Fuentes E Jones Eduardo E. 156 44.87 1.38/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 45.38, ROI 1.37/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.9965
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Not Less Than Today


05/01/22, BEL, Race 4, 2.41 ET
05/01/22,BEL,4,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:38:03 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $90,000. (UP TO $15,660 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at One Mile and One Sixteenth on the Main Track.) (Rail at 9 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Mozay 5/2 Ortiz J L Mott William I. SFC 310 28.71 1.18/$1
097.6615 8 Sahlabiya 2/1 Prat F Brown Chad C. J 310 28.71 1.18/$1
097.3649 2 Contemporary Art 3/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Brown Chad C. 310 28.71 1.18/$1
094.4521 9 Miss Bonnie T 8/1 Cardenas L Donk David G. L 310 28.71 1.18/$1
093.7541 6 School of Thought 15/1 Gomez J A Lucas Bonnie W 310 28.71 1.18/$1
093.6570 1 Oh Mrs. Maisel 15/1 Carmouche K De Paz Horacio 310 28.71 1.18/$1
093.6051 10 Canisy 10/1 Castellano J Clement Christophe 310 28.71 1.18/$1
092.6149 7 Queen Quist 15/1 Franco M Nevin Michelle 310 28.71 1.18/$1
091.7517 4 Rhombique 30/1 Samuel J L Ribaudo Robert E 310 28.71 1.18/$1
090.4089 3 Siempre Elegante(b+) 20/1 Cancel E Kimmel John C. 310 28.71 1.18/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 28.57, ROI 1.00/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.3385
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Not Second Start


05/01/22, BEL, Race 5, 3.14 ET
05/01/22,BEL,5,1 1/4M [Inner Turf] 1:57:04 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $94,000. INNER TURF (UP TO $16,356 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $62,500. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Since November 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $62,500 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs). (Rail at 27 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 8 Tide of the Sea 20/1 Carmouche K Maker Michael J. S 183 27.87 1.34/$1
099.6754 1 Will E Sutton 6/1 Franco M Thomas Jonathan W 310 28.71 1.18/$1
099.5366 7 Tango Tango Tango 8/1 Prat F Sisterson Jack JF 183 27.87 1.34/$1
098.1580 4 Megayacht 10/1 Rosario J Clement Christophe 310 28.71 1.18/$1
097.6457 9 Slicked Back 6/1 Franco M Cox Brad H. TL 70 34.29 1.92/$1
097.5897 1A Box N Score 6/1 Ortiz J L Thomas Jonathan 183 27.87 1.34/$1
097.4817 6 Malthael 12/1 Castellano J Maker Michael J. 310 28.71 1.18/$1
096.9962 2 Soldier Rising (GB) 7/5 Ortiz. Jr. I Clement Christophe EC 183 27.87 1.34/$1
096.3468 5 Hombre 12/1 Davis D Tagg Barclay 183 27.87 1.34/$1
094.9937 3 Sanctuary City 5/1 Silvera R Ferraro James W. 183 27.87 1.34/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 28.57, ROI 1.00/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.3246
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Not Dirt With Turf Today


05/01/22, BEL, Race 6, 3.47 ET
05/01/22,BEL,6,1M [Dirt] 1:32:01 CLAIMING. Purse $39,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since November 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 How Lucky 7/2 Gomez J A De Paz Horacio TF 156 44.87 1.38/$1
099.8404 6 Scott Alaia 5/2 Carmouche K Nevin Michelle E 227 36.56 1.25/$1
098.0174 4 Kerik 5/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Noda Orlando J 227 36.56 1.25/$1
097.2100 1 Carly Hustle 10/1 Castellano J Brown Bruce R. S 227 36.56 1.25/$1
095.9816 7 Alpine Queen 9/2 Vargas. Jr. J A Giangiulio Michelle W 227 36.56 1.25/$1
094.5299 2 Amity Island(b-) 3/1 Lezcano J Rice Linda C 227 36.56 1.25/$1
094.4770 5 Matoula 12/1 Davis D Kantarmaci Mertkan L 156 44.87 1.38/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 45.38, ROI 1.37/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.1596
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Was Same Jockey


05/01/22, BEL, Race 7, 4.22 ET
05/01/22,BEL,7,1 1/16M [Dirt] 1:39:01 ALLOWANCE. Purse $80,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 2 lbs. (If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Best Idea 3/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Pletcher Todd A. TSEW 153 49.67 1.35/$1
097.2250 3 Anejo 5/2 Prat F Sisterson Jack J 227 36.56 1.25/$1
095.5969 7 Pineapple Man 7/2 Davis D Maker Michael J. L 156 44.87 1.38/$1
094.7879 6 Convertible Freeze 12/1 Franco M Ryerson James T. FC 156 44.87 1.38/$1
094.5365 4 Emperor's Cause 12/1 McCarthy T Englehart Chris J. 227 36.56 1.25/$1
091.9390 5 Pier Forty 6/1 Ortiz J L Vazquez Juan C. 227 36.56 1.25/$1
089.7207 1A Forever Wicked 9/2 Cancel E Persaud Randi 156 44.87 1.38/$1
089.3232 1 Son of an Ex 9/2 Harkie H K Persaud Randi 367 37.60 1.13/$1
088.0658 8 Grabbing the Money 20/1 Gomez J A Brown Glenroy 227 36.56 1.25/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 45.38, ROI 1.37/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.7750
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Best Earnings


05/01/22, BEL, Race 8, 4.54 ET
05/01/22,BEL,8,6F [Inner Turf] 1:06:04 STAKES. License Fee Stakes. Purse $100,000. INNER TURF FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Non-Lasix Race pursuant to 4043.2 (7)(e)(5) Lasix not permitted within 48 hours of post time. By subscription of $100 each which should accompany the nomination; $500 to pass the entry box and an additional $500 to start. For horses not originally nominated, a supplemental payment of $500 along with the entry and starting fees may be made at any time prior to the closing of entries. The purse to be divided 55% to the owner of the winner, 20% tosecond, 12% to third, 6% to fourth, 4% to fifth and 3% divided equally amongst the remaining finishers. Weight: 124 lbs. Non-winners of a Graded Sweepstake in 2021-22 allowed 2 lbs.; of a Sweepstake since June 1, 2021 other than state-bred allowed 4 lbs.;of two races other than maiden, claiming, starter or state-bred allowance in 2022 allowed 6 lbs. The New York Racing Association reserves the right to transfer this race to the main track. A presentation will be made to the winning owner. Closed Saturday, April 16, 2022 with 22 Nominations. (Rail at 27 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Igloo 6/1 Franco M Thomas Jonathan TFL 70 34.29 1.92/$1
096.0876 2 Too Sexy 1/1 Rosario J Clement Christophe E 183 27.87 1.34/$1
095.8462 6 Alwayz Late 6/1 Ortiz J L Mott William I. S 183 27.87 1.34/$1
095.5282 3 Miss J McKay 7/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Clement Christophe J 310 28.71 1.18/$1
094.1383 5 Assertive Style 10/1 Castellano J Morley Thomas 183 27.87 1.34/$1
093.4539 7 Miss Majorette 8/1 Davis D Casse Mark E. C 183 27.87 1.34/$1
092.1542 1 Gogo Shoes 15/1 Carmouche K Ryan Derek S. W 183 27.87 1.34/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 28.57, ROI 1.00/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -3.9124
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Not Dirt With Turf Today  -with-
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Best LeadPack


05/01/22, BEL, Race 9, 5.27 ET
05/01/22,BEL,9,7F [Turf] 1:19:01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $90,000. (UP TO $15,660 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this raceon the turf course, this race will be run at Seven Furlongs on the Main Track.) (Rail at 9 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 10 (F)Devil's Outlaw 5/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Brown Chad C. JT 310 28.71 1.18/$1
099.8784 1 Urban Forest 7/2 Ortiz J L Mott William I. W 310 28.71 1.18/$1
098.4687 6 Baltasar 9/2 Franco M De Paz Horacio S 310 28.71 1.18/$1
096.4343 9 Smoke and Heat 5/1 Cancel E Dutrow Anthony W. FEC 312 28.85 1.17/$1
096.1352 1A Town Branch 7/2 Ortiz J L Mott William I. L 310 28.71 1.18/$1
095.7555 2 Street Fight 8/1 Franco M Stephens John D. 310 28.71 1.18/$1
094.9509 11 Stjames 15/1 Davis D Gyarmati Leah 310 28.71 1.18/$1
094.0998 4 Torpedo Run 6/1 Castellano J Kimmel John C. 310 28.71 1.18/$1
092.4996 3 Rugged Union 12/1 Carmouche K Gargan Danny 310 28.71 1.18/$1
092.0922 8 Necco 15/1 Samuel J L Jerkens James A. 310 28.71 1.18/$1
091.6259 12 Acamar 15/1 Lezcano J Ryerson James T. 312 28.85 1.17/$1
090.6937 5 Islandman 30/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Williams Andrew O. 310 28.71 1.18/$1
090.1807 7 Dads Good Runner 20/1 McCarthy T Nevin Michelle 310 28.71 1.18/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 28.57, ROI 1.00/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.1216
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Not Second Start


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