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Top Horse Analytics: 04/21/2022 Picks and Results - AQU


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.11.30a)

Track: AQU
Start Of Statistics - 02/21/2021
Past Number of Races - 741

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
36.55 0.86   9.20   Favorites
34.09 0.86 17.00   Morning Line Favorites
31.11 0.96 42.80   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

04/21/22, AQU, Race 1, 1.20 ET
04/21/22,AQU,1,1 1/8M [Dirt] 1:47:00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $80,000. (UP TO $13,920 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred)(If a Race Fills With Only Three Year Olds Or Only Older Horses, Weight Shall Be 122 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 American Law 8/5 Carmouche K Gargan Danny JTSFEL 560 33.93 1.07/$1
097.6401 6 Complete Agenda 2/1 Ortiz J L Pletcher Todd A. 413 35.11 1.11/$1
094.7595 4 Predicted 5/2 Castellano J Dutrow Anthony W. 560 33.93 1.07/$1
091.5980 5 Nobodyridesforfree(b-) 12/1 Davis D Englehart Chris J. C 413 35.11 1.11/$1
087.5958 1 Zuzudini 6/1 Gomez J A Barker Edward R. W 413 35.11 1.11/$1
086.4278 3 Cheeky Tico 20/1 Samuel J L Noda Orlando 413 35.11 1.11/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.33, ROI 1.07/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.3599
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] *Not Actual Post 1
*Scratches may change this condition

04/21/22, AQU, Race 2, 1.52 ET
04/21/22,AQU,2,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $55,000. (UP TO $9,570 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or StarterAllowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Amore Fire 6/1 Gomez J A Lucas Bonnie TW 413 35.11 1.11/$1
094.3546 6 Lanfrankophile 3/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Lynch Natalia SEC 413 35.11 1.11/$1
094.0871 5 Rooski 5/2 Ortiz J L Englehart Jeremiah C. JF 384 35.16 1.11/$1
093.7134 2 Closing Deals 5/1 Franco M Rodriguez Rudy R. 384 35.16 1.11/$1
092.9367 4 Tweaqued 2/1 McCarthy T Ribaudo Robert L 384 35.16 1.11/$1
090.6188 3 Classic Vinman 10/1 Mena R E Schosberg Richard E. 384 35.16 1.11/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.33, ROI 1.07/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -5.6454
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Not Equal To Today


04/21/22, AQU, Race 3, 2.22 ET
04/21/22,AQU,3,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 CLAIMING. Purse $35,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since October 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $12,500 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $10,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 O Shea Can U See 5/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Laxmeter Daniel T 560 33.93 1.07/$1
099.4995 9 Frosted Indian 3/1 Silvera R Ness Jamie J 560 33.93 1.07/$1
099.3034 3 Runabout 9/2 Davis D Englehart Jeffrey S. F 413 35.11 1.11/$1
098.7998 5 Matty's Express(b+) 7/2 McCarthy T Walder Peter R. SEL 413 35.11 1.11/$1
097.8317 2 Flowers for Lisa 6/1 Gomez J A Englehart Jeffrey S. W 413 35.11 1.11/$1
096.4546 6 Parade Field 5/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Lynch Natalia 560 33.93 1.07/$1
095.2266 1 Healy's Hope 30/1 Harkie H K Sciacca Gary C 413 35.11 1.11/$1
095.0827 7 Nutzforboltz 15/1 Samuel J L Noda Orlando 560 33.93 1.07/$1
093.3243 8 Blood Moon 20/1 Davis J A Barrera. III Oscar S. 413 35.11 1.11/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.33, ROI 1.07/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.5005
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] *Not Actual Post 1
*Scratches may change this condition

04/21/22, AQU, Race 4, 2.54 ET
04/21/22,AQU,4,6F [Turf] 1:07:02 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $74,000. OUTER TURF FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $45,000. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Claiming Or Starter Since October 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $45,000 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs). (Rail at 24 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Saint Selby 3/1 Carmouche K Atras Rob JTFEL 72 31.94 1.56/$1
099.9135 3 Panster 5/2 Castellano J Clement Christophe C 91 31.87 1.45/$1
099.5884 4 Valmont 3/1 McCarthy T Handal Raymond S 91 31.87 1.45/$1
098.8245 10 Bustin Shout 4/1 Ortiz J L Levine Bruce N. 75 34.67 1.66/$1
098.7881 5 Bronx Bomber 5/2 Gomez J A Rice Linda 72 31.94 1.56/$1
098.5819 8 New York's Finest 8/1 Gomez J A Walder Peter R. 96 31.25 1.41/$1
098.1196 9 Swashbuckle 6/1 Cancel E Clement Christophe 75 34.67 1.66/$1
097.5222 7 More Graytful 8/5 Vargas. Jr. J A Giangiulio Michelle 75 34.67 1.66/$1
097.4370 1 Mission Wrapitup 30/1 Mena R E Jones Eduardo E. W 72 31.94 1.56/$1
097.1384 2 Gandy Dancing 20/1 Rider TBA Pregman. Jr. John S. 72 31.94 1.56/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 19.05, ROI 0.55/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0865
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Last Race Distance Is Not Less Than Today


04/21/22, AQU, Race 5, 3.28 ET
04/21/22,AQU,5,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:14:02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $35,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If a Race Fills With Only Three Year Olds Or Only Older Horses, Weight Shall Be 122 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Sweet Sugar Baby 4/1 Davis D Englehart Jeffrey S. E 384 35.16 1.11/$1
099.0786 4 Live in Five 9/2 Gomez J A Baker Charlton TWL 413 35.11 1.11/$1
096.7795 7 Reeley Psyched 5/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Brown Bruce R. FC 384 35.16 1.11/$1
095.4349 3 Tonight We Love 7/2 Carmouche K Martin Carlos F. JS 413 35.11 1.11/$1
093.2863 2 Eudaimonia 10/1 McCarthy T Schosberg Richard E. 413 35.11 1.11/$1
092.1646 6 Tasty Wave 12/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Levine Bruce N. 384 35.16 1.11/$1
091.2141 8 Roz 9/2 Cancel E Nevin Michelle 413 35.11 1.11/$1
086.7639 10 Keen Dancer 20/1 Cardenas L Persaud Randi 413 35.11 1.11/$1
085.5831 1 Gracie O'Malley 15/1 Samuel J L Hennig Mark A. 384 35.16 1.11/$1
085.2602 9 Mrs. Banks(b+) 20/1 Davis J A Ferraro James W. 413 35.11 1.11/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.33, ROI 1.07/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.9214
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Distance Sprint


04/21/22, AQU, Race 6, 4.04 ET
04/21/22,AQU,6,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 CLAIMING. Purse $60,000. (UP TO $10,440 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since October 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $32,000 Or Less Not ConsideredIn Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Hammerin Aamer 4/1 Davis D Reynolds Patrick L. FC 413 35.11 1.11/$1
098.8462 1 Thundershook 5/1 Silvera R Ness Jamie 413 35.11 1.11/$1
098.6840 4 Warrior in Chief 7/2 Carmouche K Morley Thomas JS 413 35.11 1.11/$1
098.3408 1A Mojovation 5/1 Silvera R Ness Jamie E 413 35.11 1.11/$1
098.0577 5 Pioneer Spirit(b-) 3/1 Franco M Rodriguez Rudy R. L 560 33.93 1.07/$1
097.8247 8 Someday Jones 9/2 Vargas. Jr. J A Vazquez Juan C. 413 35.11 1.11/$1
097.5593 3 Mexican Wonder Boy 8/1 McCarthy T Englehart Jeremiah C. 413 35.11 1.11/$1
096.3458 7 American Rule 8/1 Ortiz J L Noda Orlando 560 33.93 1.07/$1
093.6405 6 Striking Speed 30/1 Cardenas L Jones Eduardo E. W 560 33.93 1.07/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.33, ROI 1.07/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.1538
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Not Equal To Today


04/21/22, AQU, Race 7, 4.38 ET
04/21/22,AQU,7,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $88,000. (UP TO $15,312 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 THREE TIMES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $80,000. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Claiming Or Starter Since October 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $80,000 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Cost Basis(b+) 9/5 Franco M Brown Chad C. TFWL 413 35.11 1.11/$1
098.6851 1 Mr Phil 4/1 Carmouche K Atras Rob JS 413 35.11 1.11/$1
097.8640 2 Jaxon Traveler 2/1 Lezcano J Asmussen Steven M. E 413 35.11 1.11/$1
097.7217 6 Big Engine 7/2 McCarthy T Rodriguez Rudy R. C 413 35.11 1.11/$1
096.8081 5 Our Last Buck 8/1 Gomez J A Nevin Michelle 413 35.11 1.11/$1
095.3848 4 Sagamore Mischief 20/1 Davis D Hills Timothy A. 384 35.16 1.11/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.33, ROI 1.07/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.3149
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Not Equal To Today


04/21/22, AQU, Race 8, 5.12 ET
04/21/22,AQU,8,6F [Turf] 1:07:02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $43,000. OUTER TURF (UP TO $7,482 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If a Race Fills With Only Three Year Olds Or Only Older Horses, Weight Shall Be 122 lbs). (Rail at 24 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Necromancer 6/1 Carmouche K Levine Bruce N. JF 72 31.94 1.56/$1
094.1568 1A Empire Ridge 5/2 Davis D Rice Linda SEL 72 31.94 1.56/$1
094.0089 10 Fazaro 15/1 Cardenas L Williams Andrew O. 72 31.94 1.56/$1
089.2467 5 Beckenbauer(b+) 30/1 Richards G Forde Jason 72 31.94 1.56/$1
088.7560 6 Mr. J. McKay 9/2 McCarthy T Morley Thomas 75 34.67 1.66/$1
087.9854 13 Kid Cash 2/1 Gomez J A Rodriguez Rudy R. 75 34.67 1.66/$1
087.5413 7 Pipito 8/1 Gomez J A Kantarmaci Mertkan 72 31.94 1.56/$1
087.0096 11 R Boy Cheekum 50/1 Davis J A Thompson Marcus George C 75 34.67 1.66/$1
085.6287 12 Sean the Hammer 4/1 Rider TBA Rodriguez Rudy R. 75 34.67 1.66/$1
085.0337 1 Kentucky Knight 5/2 Rodriguez Castro L A Chichakly Amira 72 31.94 1.56/$1
084.6600 8 Everesting 5/1 Harkie H K Johnson Cleveland W 75 34.67 1.66/$1
084.3450 4 Ninth of April 20/1 Davis J A Mc Allen John P. 75 34.67 1.66/$1
082.0879 9 Immortalization(b+) 6/1 Franco M Hemingway Michelle 75 34.67 1.66/$1
080.3961 3 Kobe's Legacy 8/1 Lezcano J Englehart Chris J. 75 34.67 1.66/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 19.05, ROI 0.55/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -5.8432
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Last Race Distance Is Not Less Than Today


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