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Top Horse Analytics: 04/16/2022 Picks and Results - SA


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.11.30a)

Track: SA
Start Of Statistics - 04/18/2021
Past Number of Races - 853

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
41.85 0.94   8.80   Favorites
37.22 0.85 12.80   Morning Line Favorites
34.23 1.01 28.40   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

04/16/22, SA, Race 1, 1.00 PT
04/16/22,SA,1,1 1/8M [Turf] 1:44:00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $67,000. FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In Their Last Start Preferred). (Rail at 10 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Just About Enough 5/2 Frey K Glatt Mark S 190 31.58 1.13/$1
099.1659 4 Dark Marcus(b-) 4/1 Vazquez R A Koriner Brian J. FC 190 31.58 1.13/$1
098.3479 2 Fore Flag 4/1 Herrera D A McCarthy Michael W. E 190 31.58 1.13/$1
098.2947 1 Mogollon Rim 6/1 Baze T Yakteen Tim WL 190 31.58 1.13/$1
097.8362 6 Blue Star 6/1 Hernandez J J O'Neill Doug F. J 190 31.58 1.13/$1
096.2216 5 Cool Acclaim 3/1 Gonzalez R D'Amato Philip T 190 31.58 1.13/$1
093.8820 7 Attenzione 12/1 Van Dyke D Kruljac J. Eric 190 31.58 1.13/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 37.50, ROI 1.08/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.8341
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Last Race Distance Is Less Than Today


04/16/22, SA, Race 2, 1.30 PT
04/16/22,SA,2,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:13:01 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $69,000 (plus up to $20,700 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $50,000. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000 (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $25,000 Or Less In Their Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Elector 8/5 Gonzalez R Sadler John W. SF 195 39.49 1.17/$1
099.5962 2 McLaren Vale 9/5 Hernandez J J McCarthy Sean JEWL 145 46.21 1.37/$1
098.8426 3 Brutto 3/1 Smith M E McCarthy Sean 248 39.52 1.20/$1
095.8127 6 Rifey 8/1 Baze T Stute Gary C 195 39.49 1.17/$1
094.1928 5 Zimba Warrior(b+) 12/1 Curatolo R Hess. Jr. Robert B. 248 39.52 1.20/$1
090.4003 4 Rookie Mistake 8/1 Herrera D A Glatt Mark 125 46.40 1.23/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 50.00, ROI 1.56/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.4038
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Was Same Jockey


04/16/22, SA, Race 3, 2.04 PT
04/16/22,SA,3,1M [Turf] 1:31:03 CLAIMING. Purse $31,000. FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD OR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000. (Rail at 10 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Song of Fire 3/1 Payeras E Morfin Sergio L 113 38.05 1.16/$1
098.6183 7 Starship Sky 6/1 Curatolo R Hess. Jr. Robert B. FC 125 31.20 1.04/$1
098.5520 5 St Helena(b+) 4/1 Frey K Wallace. II Jerry SW 28 39.29 2.04/$1
098.4700 6 Wild Arch 20/1 Van Dyke D Saavedra Anthony K. 113 38.05 1.16/$1
097.7100 2 Lookin So Lucky 5/2 Baze T Barba Alexis 113 38.05 1.16/$1
097.4695 4 Here Comes Ralphie 5/1 Ramirez R Stute Gary JE 113 38.05 1.16/$1
097.1929 3 A Thousand Dreams 4/1 Cedillo A Cerin Vladimir T 28 39.29 2.04/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 37.50, ROI 1.08/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.3817
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Not Second Race After 45 Days Off


04/16/22, SA, Race 4, 2.36 PT
04/16/22,SA,4,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:13:01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $42,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Claiming Price $62,500, For Each $6,250 To $50,000 1 lb.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Vetoed 4/1 Hernandez J J McCarthy Sean JTFC 61 49.18 1.89/$1
099.6736 4 Houndstooth 9/5 Cedillo A Mandella Richard E. SWL 61 49.18 1.89/$1
097.6991 1 Maxim Moment 3/1 Van Dyke D D'Amato Philip 85 42.35 1.63/$1
096.4945 6 Happy Runner 5/2 Vazquez R A McCarthy Michael W. 61 49.18 1.89/$1
093.6197 2 Belmont Bill 10/1 Frey K Hofmans David E. E 85 42.35 1.63/$1
092.9184 3 Tahoe Secrets 8/1 Herrera D A Yakteen Tim 87 41.38 1.55/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 50.00, ROI 1.56/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.3264
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Not Less Than Today  -with-
[Dirt MdnMClm] Blinkers No Change


04/16/22, SA, Race 5, 3.09 PT
04/16/22,SA,5,1M [Turf] 1:31:03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $69,000 (plus up to $20,700 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $100,000. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming, Or Starter Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $100,000. (Rail at 10 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 8 War At Sea 6/1 Smith M E Ellis Ronald W. TFE 113 38.05 1.16/$1
097.9305 2 Shut Up Michael (IRE) 4/1 Van Dyke D D'Amato Philip S 28 39.29 2.04/$1
097.0620 3 Barsabas 5/2 Baze T Hanson Ryan L 72 33.33 1.18/$1
096.2618 4 Baladi(b+) 5/1 Hernandez J J McCarthy Michael W. JW 28 39.29 2.04/$1
096.1984 1 Doitforandrew (GB) 7/2 Vazquez R A D'Amato Philip 28 39.29 2.04/$1
095.6776 5 Echosmith (IRE) 15/1 Herrera D A Wong Jonathan 28 39.29 2.04/$1
094.5272 6 Arrabiata 8/1 Gutierrez M O'Neill Doug F. 28 39.29 2.04/$1
093.4095 7 St Anthony 8/1 Curatolo R Drysdale Neil D. C 113 38.05 1.16/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 37.50, ROI 1.08/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.0695
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Not Second Race After 45 Days Off


04/16/22, SA, Race 6, 3.40 PT
04/16/22,SA,6,5 1/2F [Dirt] 1:01:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $39,000. FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Warren's Queen Bee 5/2 Hernandez J J Lewis Craig Anthony JSFEC 61 49.18 1.89/$1
097.7436 1 Tequila Tigre 6/1 Bravo J Koriner Brian J. 81 27.16 1.50/$1
097.3049 3 Sweet California(b+) 7/2 Vazquez R A Callaghan Simon 71 46.48 1.72/$1
096.4202 6 Paleo's Princess 6/1 Cedillo A Alvarado Ruben D. 81 27.16 1.50/$1
095.3575 5 Good Boo Joo 8/1 Gonzalez R Papaprodromou George 81 27.16 1.50/$1
094.1524 10 Alex's Girl 6/1 Herrera D A Hofmans David E. 81 27.16 1.50/$1
093.7395 9 Sheila's Charlie 50/1 Rojas Fernandez E K Bernard Lisa 61 49.18 1.89/$1
092.8451 8 Dreamer Girl 8/1 Baze T Palma Hector O. L 85 42.35 1.63/$1
092.5289 11 Lyinatthebar 15/1 Frey K Solis Walther W 145 46.21 1.37/$1
091.9168 7 Steel Nerves 15/1 Ellingwood E A McCarthy Sean T 81 27.16 1.50/$1
087.4209 2 Bossy Pegasus 50/1 Pyfer J Bernard Lisa 61 49.18 1.89/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 50.00, ROI 1.56/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.2564
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Not Less Than Today  -with-
[Dirt MdnMClm] Blinkers No Change


04/16/22, SA, Race 7, 4.11 PT
04/16/22,SA,7,1 1/8M [Turf] 1:44:00 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $40,000 (plus up to $4,800 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $25,000 OR LESS IN 2020 - 2022. Weight, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since January 16 Allowed 2 lbs. (Horses With Points Are Preferred). (Rail at 10 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Fly the Sky 4/1 Hernandez J J Knapp Steve R. JSEW 190 31.58 1.13/$1
099.3359 5 Big Buzz 8/1 Pyfer J Kitchingman Adam TFL 187 29.95 1.05/$1
098.3006 4 Niles Channel 4/1 Ellingwood E A Barocio Librado 190 31.58 1.13/$1
097.8874 6 Liberal (IRE) 7/2 Gonzalez R Mulhall Kristin 190 31.58 1.13/$1
097.6040 3 Dubby Dubbie 6/1 Smith M E Hess. Jr. Robert B. 190 31.58 1.13/$1
096.9006 2 Irish Heatwave 3/1 Gutierrez M Puype Mike 190 31.58 1.13/$1
095.5411 7 Hoop Dream 20/1 Maldonado E A Bernstein David 190 31.58 1.13/$1
095.5265 8 Frontier Market 8/1 Frey K Sadler John W. C 190 31.58 1.13/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 37.50, ROI 1.08/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.6641
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Last Race Distance Is Less Than Today


04/16/22, SA, Race 8, 4.42 PT
04/16/22,SA,8,5 1/2F [Dirt] 1:01:03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $69,000. FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $20,000. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older,126 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000 (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $16,000 Or Less In Their Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Increase Stakes 4/1 Maldonado E A Freeman Edward R. FEW 145 46.21 1.37/$1
097.4571 5 Li'l Grazen 3/1 Hernandez J J Alvarado Ruben D. J 103 38.83 1.13/$1
095.4897 10 Smoothlikebuttah(b-) 5/1 Cedillo A Knapp Steve R. C 103 38.83 1.13/$1
095.3365 8 Smilin Evie 6/1 Bravo J Baltas Richard 248 39.52 1.20/$1
094.5139 1 It's Simple(b-) 10/1 Gutierrez M O'Neill Doug F. TL 248 39.52 1.20/$1
094.4766 3 Dannybob 5/1 Lopez H R Gonzalez Felix L. 195 39.49 1.17/$1
093.9449 7 Liberalism 10/1 Leahey H Koriner Brian J. S 125 46.40 1.23/$1
092.5551 4 Respectfully(b+) 10/1 Herrera D A Hanson Ryan 40 32.50 1.34/$1
091.0142 6 Righteously 20/1 Frey K Ruiz Lorenzo 154 37.01 1.03/$1
090.9034 9 Keep Your Coil 15/1 Payeras E Pineda Milton G. 103 38.83 1.13/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 50.00, ROI 1.56/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.5429
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Best Workouts


04/16/22, SA, Race 9, 5.13 PT
04/16/22,SA,9,1 1/8M [Turf] 1:44:00 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $72,000 (plus up to $21,600 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $80,000. Weight, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Maiden, Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $80,000. (Rail at 10 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Hong Kong Harry (IRE) 2/1 Vazquez R A D'Amato Philip FELC 89 34.83 1.09/$1
098.5078 3 (F)Cash Equity (FR) 5/2 Hernandez J J D'Amato Philip J 34 35.29 1.20/$1
098.2964 2 (F)Irideo (ARG) 12/1 Smith M E Polanco Marcelo 190 31.58 1.13/$1
097.7227 5 Moody Jim (IRE) 3/1 Baze T Mullins Jeff S 66 42.42 1.15/$1
096.6630 7 Comradery (IRE) 10/1 Frey K Sadler John W. 190 31.58 1.13/$1
096.2325 1 Henley's Joy 8/1 Bravo J Baltas Richard 187 29.95 1.05/$1
095.0453 6 Flashiest(b+) 6/1 Cedillo A Powell Leonard TW 89 34.83 1.09/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 37.50, ROI 1.08/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.4922
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Equal To Today


04/16/22, SA, Race 10, 5.44 PT
04/16/22,SA,10,6F [Dirt] 1:07:00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $67,000 (plus up to $20,100 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In Their Last Start Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 9 Bletchley Park 5/1 Hernandez J J McCarthy Sean JEL 61 49.18 1.89/$1
099.1065 3 Special Ride 3/1 Cedillo A McCarthy Sean SFWC 145 46.21 1.37/$1
098.6927 10 Hero Status 5/2 Smith M E Glatt Mark 70 41.43 1.64/$1
097.3225 2 Troubadour(b+) 6/1 Van Dyke D Mandella Richard E. 57 49.12 1.91/$1
096.9186 8 Famous Star 12/1 Vazquez R A Sadler John W. 61 49.18 1.89/$1
096.7615 4 Tenth Street Don 20/1 Frey K Cerin Vladimir T 61 49.18 1.89/$1
096.5292 11 Breakfast Ride 8/1 Bravo J Sadler John W. 61 49.18 1.89/$1
093.7104 1 The Giants Candy 20/1 Valdivia. Jr. J McAnally Ronald L. 61 49.18 1.89/$1
093.2535 6 Practical Impact 15/1 Gutierrez M Gallagher Patrick 87 41.38 1.55/$1
093.2508 7 Swindler 12/1 Curatolo R Drysdale Neil D. 87 41.38 1.55/$1
091.0843 5 Palagio 15/1 Baze T Shirreffs John A. 87 41.38 1.55/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 50.00, ROI 1.56/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.8935
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Not Less Than Today  -with-
[Dirt MdnMClm] Blinkers No Change


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