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Top Horse Analytics: 04/15/2022 Picks and Results - AQU


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.11.30a)

Track: AQU
Start Of Statistics - 02/21/2021
Past Number of Races - 740

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
38.10 0.89   9.20   Favorites
35.41 0.89 17.00   Morning Line Favorites
31.84 0.97 42.80   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

04/15/22, AQU, Race 1, 1.20 ET
04/15/22,AQU,1,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $80,000. (UP TO $13,920 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred)(If a Race Fills With Only Three Year OldsOr Only Older Horses, Weight Shall Be 122 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Lakota Spirit 6/5 Franco M Brown Chad C. TSFLC 413 35.11 1.11/$1
093.6140 5 First to Act(b+) 5/2 Castellano J McGaughey III Claude R 413 35.11 1.11/$1
092.9722 4 Aunt Naughty(b+) 7/2 Lezcano J McGaughey III Claude R E 413 35.11 1.11/$1
092.5611 1A Memento Mi 12/1 Silvera R Vazquez Juan C. J 413 35.11 1.11/$1
092.3089 3 Culdee 5/1 Davis D Clement Christophe 413 35.11 1.11/$1
091.7195 1 St Maarten Girl 12/1 Gomez J A Vazquez Juan C. 413 35.11 1.11/$1
087.7000 6 Jabberwock 12/1 McCarthy T Abreu Jorge R. W 413 35.11 1.11/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.33, ROI 1.07/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -6.3860
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Not Equal To Today


04/15/22, AQU, Race 2, 1.52 ET
04/15/22,AQU,2,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:40:01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $43,000. (UP TO $7,482 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If a Race Fills With Only Three Year Olds Or Only Older Horses, Weight Shall Be 122 lbs). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at One Mile on the Main Track.).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Bail Out 2/1 Franco M Englehart Jeffrey S. SF 75 34.67 1.66/$1
096.0901 8 Bold Victory 8/5 Lezcano J Rice Linda C 75 34.67 1.66/$1
092.8764 2 Good Tip 15/1 Gomez J A Rodriguez Rudy R. 96 31.25 1.41/$1
092.6048 6 King of Sting 5/1 Davis D Sharp Joe JL 91 31.87 1.45/$1
091.2048 9 American Day 15/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Mc Allen John P. 75 34.67 1.66/$1
091.2048 7 Nothingtoseehere 6/1 Lezcano J Mott William I. 75 34.67 1.66/$1
091.2048 1 Strike Price 8/1 Cancel E Weaver George 96 31.25 1.41/$1
090.4682 3 Left On Boylston 8/1 McCarthy T Nevin Michelle 96 31.25 1.41/$1
089.7310 5 Al's Prince 5/2 Castellano J Pletcher Todd A. TEW 75 34.67 1.66/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 19.05, ROI 0.55/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -3.9099
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Last Race Purse Not Lower Than Today


04/15/22, AQU, Race 3, 2.23 ET
04/15/22,AQU,3,6F [Turf] 1:07:02 ALLOWANCE. Purse $82,000. OUTER TURF (UP TO $14,268 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter Allowed 2 lbs. (If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs). (Rail at 12 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Guardian Moon 8/5 Franco M Abreu Jorge R. 75 34.67 1.66/$1
099.6104 1 Wow 10/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Hennig Mark A. S 91 31.87 1.45/$1
099.5900 2 Secret Love 9/2 McCarthy T Kimmel John C. E 72 31.94 1.56/$1
099.5855 3 Stony Point 2/1 Davis D McGaughey III Claude R FWLC 91 31.87 1.45/$1
099.4962 5 (F)Shouldavbeenmore (FR) 4/1 Castellano J Pletcher Todd A. T 72 31.94 1.56/$1
099.3831 4 Tasweya 12/1 Silvera R Pino Michael V. J 72 31.94 1.56/$1
097.4293 7 Map of America 3/1 Hernandez A Moore Michael M. 72 31.94 1.56/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 19.05, ROI 0.55/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.3896
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Last Race Purse Not Lower Than Today


04/15/22, AQU, Race 4, 2.52 ET
04/15/22,AQU,4,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 CLAIMING. Purse $44,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since October 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $16,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Barista Vixen 6/5 Lezcano J Rice Linda FC 413 35.11 1.11/$1
098.9225 5 Shasta Star 3/1 Castellano J Ferraro James W. S 413 35.11 1.11/$1
098.8227 3 Baba 3/1 McCarthy T Clarke Dylan WL 384 35.16 1.11/$1
098.7759 1A Greatest Love 6/5 Cancel E Rice Linda E 413 35.11 1.11/$1
097.1327 4 Wait a Minute 10/1 Davis D Englehart Jeffrey S. JT 413 35.11 1.11/$1
096.3326 6 Violent Point 6/1 Gomez J A Barrera. III Oscar S. 413 35.11 1.11/$1
096.2672 2 Cover Photo 12/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Persaud Randi 413 35.11 1.11/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.33, ROI 1.07/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.0775
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Not Equal To Today


04/15/22, AQU, Race 5, 3.23 ET
04/15/22,AQU,5,1M [Turf] 1:33:03 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $80,000. (UP TO $13,920 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred)(If a Race Fills With Only Three Year OldsOr Only Older Horses, Weight Shall Be 122 lbs). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at One Mile on the Main Track.).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Naked On the Beach 6/1 Davis D Maker Michael J. JFE 96 31.25 1.41/$1
095.0879 8 Expand the Map (IRE) 1/1 Franco M Brown Chad C. C 75 34.67 1.66/$1
095.0879 4 Star of India 5/1 Cancel E Brown Chad C. W 72 31.94 1.56/$1
089.0615 2 Regina 7/2 Lezcano J Rice Linda 72 31.94 1.56/$1
088.2803 7 Libretto (IRE) 6/1 McCarthy T Abreu Jorge R. 96 31.25 1.41/$1
087.4991 5 Charley Rude 6/1 Lezcano J Clement Christophe 72 31.94 1.56/$1
087.0527 3 Pruning 8/1 Castellano J McGaughey III Claude R SL 75 34.67 1.66/$1
082.0308 6 Ironic Lady 30/1 Cardenas L O'Brien Keith 75 34.67 1.66/$1
079.6872 9 Flaca 20/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Atras Rob 75 34.67 1.66/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 19.05, ROI 0.55/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -4.9121
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Does Not Carry High Weight


04/15/22, AQU, Race 6, 3.54 ET
04/15/22,AQU,6,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:14:02 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $55,000. (UP TO $9,570 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since October1 Allowed 2 lbs. (If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Extreme 9/5 Franco M Handal Raymond FWL 413 35.11 1.11/$1
099.1969 7 Jake Rocks(b+) 7/2 Castellano J Rodriguez Gustavo JS 384 35.16 1.11/$1
098.9253 5 Mr. Buckley 8/1 Samuel J L Handal Raymond E 413 35.11 1.11/$1
097.5548 6 Magnificent Chrome 10/1 Hernandez Moreno O Persaud Randi 413 35.11 1.11/$1
096.4580 1 Colormepazzi 6/1 Cancel E Englehart Chris J. C 384 35.16 1.11/$1
096.1637 3 Bezos 3/1 Lezcano J Rice Linda 413 35.11 1.11/$1
095.7163 4 Cajun Commander 8/1 Gomez J A Barrera. III Oscar S. 413 35.11 1.11/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.33, ROI 1.07/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.8031
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Not Equal To Today


04/15/22, AQU, Race 7, 4.27 ET
04/15/22,AQU,7,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 ALLOWANCE. Purse $72,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 127 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 2 lbs. (If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2B Kid d'Oro 1/1 Silvera R Ness Jamie C 413 35.11 1.11/$1
098.9701 5 Agility 7/2 Davis D Abreu Jorge R. SFEL 413 35.11 1.11/$1
098.1663 4 Ava K's Boy(b+) 10/1 Lezcano J Martin Carlos F. 413 35.11 1.11/$1
096.7293 6 Quickflash 6/1 Gomez J A Atras Rob 413 35.11 1.11/$1
096.2347 3 Straight Skinny 6/1 McCarthy T Morley Thomas 241 35.27 1.12/$1
095.1329 1A Son of an Ex 9/2 Harkie H K Persaud Randi 413 35.11 1.11/$1
093.9593 2 Exit Right 1/1 Silvera R Ness Jamie W 413 35.11 1.11/$1
093.8146 1 Forever Wicked 9/2 Cancel E Persaud Randi 413 35.11 1.11/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.33, ROI 1.07/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.0299
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Not Equal To Today


04/15/22, AQU, Race 8, 5.01 ET
04/15/22,AQU,8,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:40:01 ALLOWANCE. Purse $82,000. (UP TO $14,268 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 2 lbs. (If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at One Mile on the MainTrack.).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Microphone (IRE) 7/5 Franco M Brown Chad C. FEL 91 31.87 1.45/$1
099.9067 2 Conquer the World 5/1 Lezcano J Pletcher Todd A. S 72 31.94 1.56/$1
099.4012 8 Ghost Giant 6/1 McCarthy T Atras Rob 91 31.87 1.45/$1
099.2806 1 Lonesome Fugitive (IRE) 7/2 Davis D Brown Chad C. 72 31.94 1.56/$1
098.9867 5 (F)Easter (FR) 4/1 Castellano J Motion H. Graham 91 31.87 1.45/$1
098.2018 4 Olympic Romp 15/1 Silvera R Ness Jamie JWC 96 31.25 1.41/$1
098.0178 6 So High (GB) 15/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Chatterpaul Naipaul 75 34.67 1.66/$1
096.5340 3 Good Culture 2/1 Lezcano J Rodriguez Gustavo 96 31.25 1.41/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 19.05, ROI 0.55/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0933
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Last Race Was Not Dirt With Turf Today


04/15/22, AQU, Race 9, 5.32 ET
04/15/22,AQU,9,6F [Turf] 1:07:02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $43,000. OUTER TURF (UP TO $7,482 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If a Race Fills With Only Three Year Olds Or Only Older Horses, Weight Shall Be 122 lbs). (Rail at 12 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Cadencia 8/5 Castellano J Pletcher Todd A. TFC 72 31.94 1.56/$1
096.3481 14 Saratoga Commando 5/2 Franco M Rodriguez Rudy R. S 75 34.67 1.66/$1
094.4744 10 Thisladyis the Law 6/1 Lezcano J Rice Linda 75 34.67 1.66/$1
092.4695 2 Solid Tune 8/1 Cancel E Levine Bruce N. EL 75 34.67 1.66/$1
089.9436 13 Dusted 15/1 Castellano J Levine Bruce N. 75 34.67 1.66/$1
087.3823 16 Heels Together(b-) 2/1 Rider TBA Clement Christophe 75 34.67 1.66/$1
087.3297 9 Gailhorsewind 5/1 Gomez J A Trites A. Lands 75 34.67 1.66/$1
084.9624 3 Mispelled Mooon 8/1 Davis D Handal Raymond JW 91 31.87 1.45/$1
084.9624 12 In Sandals 30/1 Cardenas L Noda Orlando 72 31.94 1.56/$1
084.9624 11 Miscreant 20/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Ryerson James T. 96 31.25 1.41/$1
084.9624 1 Don't Be Cheeky 30/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Barrow Paul W. 75 34.67 1.66/$1
082.4718 15 Fleur Elyse 6/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Hennig Mark A. 75 34.67 1.66/$1
082.1129 5 Thismightbetheone 8/1 McCarthy T Abreu Jorge R. 75 34.67 1.66/$1
081.5891 4 Roma Carpe 50/1 Harkie H K Johnson Cleveland 72 31.94 1.56/$1
079.2696 7 Adaydreambeliever 15/1 Franco M Englehart Jeremiah C. 75 34.67 1.66/$1
078.3208 8 Twenty Two Elle 20/1 Samuel J L Handal Raymond 75 34.67 1.66/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 19.05, ROI 0.55/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -3.6519
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Last Race Distance Is Not Less Than Today


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