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Top Horse Analytics: 04/14/2022 Picks and Results - AQU


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.11.30a)

Track: AQU
Start Of Statistics - 02/21/2021
Past Number of Races - 740

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
38.10 0.89   9.20   Favorites
35.41 0.89 17.00   Morning Line Favorites
31.84 0.97 42.80   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

04/14/22, AQU, Race 1, 1.20 ET
04/14/22,AQU,1,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $80,000. (UP TO $13,920 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred)(If a Race Fills With Only Three Year OldsOr Only Older Horses, Weight Shall Be 122 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Spiked 9/5 Gomez J A Terranova II John P. SFEC 413 35.11 1.11/$1
098.0439 1A No One's Laughing 4/5 Ortiz J L Brown Chad C. J 384 35.16 1.11/$1
096.1399 1 Speaks for Itself 4/5 Franco M Brown Chad C. W 384 35.16 1.11/$1
093.7692 5 Hoodooland 7/2 Davis D McGaughey III Claude R 384 35.16 1.11/$1
088.9832 4 World Traveler 8/1 Lezcano J Sacco Gregory D. 384 35.16 1.11/$1
083.8145 2 Madame Rose 50/1 Cardenas L Jones Eduardo E. L 384 35.16 1.11/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.33, ROI 1.07/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.9561
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Not Equal To Today


04/14/22, AQU, Race 2, 1.52 ET
04/14/22,AQU,2,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 CLAIMING. Purse $28,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since October 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $14,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Wild Union 5/2 McCarthy T Summers Chad FC 560 33.93 1.07/$1
098.0964 3 Liveyourbeastlife 6/5 Cancel E Rice Linda SE 413 35.11 1.11/$1
097.7404 4 Mucho Sunshine 9/2 Gomez J A Shivmangal Lolita JT 413 35.11 1.11/$1
096.1674 1 Quintarelli 20/1 Juarez N Henry Neville 413 35.11 1.11/$1
095.9233 6 Scotty 5/1 Davis J A DiPrima Gregory 560 33.93 1.07/$1
095.5721 2 Mister Winston 6/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Arriaga Antonio WL 413 35.11 1.11/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.33, ROI 1.07/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.9036
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] *Not Actual Post 1
*Scratches may change this condition

04/14/22, AQU, Race 3, 2.24 ET
04/14/22,AQU,3,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $55,000. (UP TO $9,570 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Never Early 1/1 Davis D Englehart Jeffrey S. JSL 413 35.11 1.11/$1
098.7171 4 Jolly Heretic 10/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Lynch Natalia TFEW 384 35.16 1.11/$1
095.4460 1 Bossmakinbossmoves 3/1 McCarthy T Schosberg Richard E. 384 35.16 1.11/$1
094.9490 3 Heads Or Tails 6/1 Gomez J A Klesaris Robert P. 413 35.11 1.11/$1
094.7727 5 Silipo 7/2 Cancel E Rice Linda 413 35.11 1.11/$1
093.7517 2 Amedeus Music 15/1 Lezcano J Ryerson James T. 413 35.11 1.11/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.33, ROI 1.07/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.2829
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Not Equal To Today


04/14/22, AQU, Race 4, 2.54 ET
04/14/22,AQU,4,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:40:01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $43,000. (UP TO $7,482 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If a Race Fills With Only Three Year Olds Or Only Older Horses, Weight Shall Be 122 lbs). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at One Mile on the Main Track.).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Openthegate 6/1 Castellano J Walder Peter R. F 91 31.87 1.45/$1
087.6226 8 Investment Income 1/2 Franco M Brown Chad C. TSEL 75 34.67 1.66/$1
086.4196 5 Belleshazza 8/1 Davis D Sciacca Gary J 75 34.67 1.66/$1
085.9790 7 Anchor Lady(b+) 50/1 Davis J A Henry Neville 96 31.25 1.41/$1
085.5846 1A Love Unlimited(b-) 30/1 Gomez J A Barrera. III Oscar S. 96 31.25 1.41/$1
085.5118 1 Lordhearmyprayer 30/1 Hernandez Moreno O Barrera. III Oscar S. C 96 31.25 1.41/$1
084.6420 2 Masabeeh 5/1 Lezcano J Rice Linda 75 34.67 1.66/$1
083.6945 3 Candlestick Maker 12/1 McCarthy T Levine Bruce N. 96 31.25 1.41/$1
080.9539 4 Synonymous 15/1 Silvera R Pregman. Jr. John S. W 96 31.25 1.41/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 19.05, ROI 0.55/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -12.3774
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Last Race Was Not Dirt With Turf Today


04/14/22, AQU, Race 5, 3.28 ET
04/14/22,AQU,5,6F [Turf] 1:07:02 ALLOWANCE. Purse $72,000. OUTER TURF FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds,120 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter Allowed 2 lbs. (If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs). (Rail at 12 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Flip My Id 10/1 Franco M Maker Michael J. S 75 34.67 1.66/$1
099.5352 8 Sassy Melissa 4/1 Ortiz J L Englehart Jeremiah C. J 96 31.25 1.41/$1
098.7757 13 Rigby 8/1 Castellano J Maker Michael J. 96 31.25 1.41/$1
098.6870 9 Uncle's Gem 6/1 Lezcano J Rice Linda 75 34.67 1.66/$1
098.1974 6 Masterof the Tunes 10/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Lee Joseph R. T 75 34.67 1.66/$1
097.9652 14 Captivating Cara 5/1 Rider TBA Friedman Mitchell E. W 75 34.67 1.66/$1
097.8382 1 Proper Grammar 50/1 Silvera R Pregman. Jr. John S. 75 34.67 1.66/$1
097.8271 5 Fontanafredda 6/1 McCarthy T Bond H. James FEC 72 31.94 1.56/$1
097.6409 10 Palace Gossip 7/2 Cancel E Dutrow Anthony W. L 91 31.87 1.45/$1
097.6172 4 No Payne 20/1 Samuel J L Handal Raymond 75 34.67 1.66/$1
097.5419 7 Big Time Lady 20/1 Castellano J Englehart Chris J. 75 34.67 1.66/$1
097.2766 2 Ready A. P. 5/1 Davis D Clement Christophe 75 34.67 1.66/$1
096.0826 12 Frosted Bourbon 30/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Hennig Mark A. 75 34.67 1.66/$1
094.6834 11 Ofalltheginjoints 12/1 Gomez J A Weaver George 72 31.94 1.56/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 19.05, ROI 0.55/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.4648
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Last Race Purse Not Lower Than Today


04/14/22, AQU, Race 6, 4.02 ET
04/14/22,AQU,6,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $32,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If a Race Fills With Only Three Year Olds Or Only Older Horses, Weight Shall Be 122 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Nicholas James 5/2 Gomez J A Reynolds Patrick L. JT 560 33.93 1.07/$1
098.7111 5 Bird Ruler(b-) 2/1 Cancel E Levine Bruce N. FW 413 35.11 1.11/$1
098.0731 1 Nature Boy 8/1 McCarthy T Noda Orlando 413 35.11 1.11/$1
095.3202 4 Alite 4/1 Harkie H K Pringle Edmund C 413 35.11 1.11/$1
092.1591 3 My Boy Colton 7/2 Wolfsont A DiPrima Gregory SEL 560 33.93 1.07/$1
087.0362 6 Irie Spice 15/1 Hernandez Moreno O Persaud Randi 413 35.11 1.11/$1
085.3228 2 Question My Sanity 20/1 Cardenas L Romero Jesus 413 35.11 1.11/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.33, ROI 1.07/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.2889
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] *Not Actual Post 1
*Scratches may change this condition

04/14/22, AQU, Race 7, 4.38 ET
04/14/22,AQU,7,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $88,000. (UP TO $15,312 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $62,500. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Since October 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $62,500 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Default Protection 5/2 Cancel E Brown Chad C. TSFE 89 47.19 1.46/$1
096.9735 2 Make Mischief 9/5 Davis D Casse Mark E. W 413 35.11 1.11/$1
096.8230 6 Cafe Society 2/1 Ortiz J L McGaughey III Claude R JC 413 35.11 1.11/$1
095.5295 3 Hybrid Eclipse 9/2 Lezcano J Rice Linda 413 35.11 1.11/$1
095.4641 5 Flashndynamite 8/1 Hernandez A Moore Michael M. L 413 35.11 1.11/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.33, ROI 1.07/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -3.0265
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Sex Females  -with-
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Best Finish


04/14/22, AQU, Race 8, 5.12 ET
04/14/22,AQU,8,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:40:01 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $84,000. (UP TO $14,616 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $62,500. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Since October 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $62,500 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at One Mile on the Main Track.).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Kuramata (IRE) 8/5 Ortiz J L Brown Chad C. J 91 31.87 1.45/$1
099.6481 11 Ocala Dream 10/1 Castellano J Morley Thomas SC 75 34.67 1.66/$1
099.5390 7 Kygo (GER) 20/1 Davis D Maker Michael J. 75 34.67 1.66/$1
099.2351 2B Flop Shot (IRE) 8/5 Franco M Brown Chad C. 91 31.87 1.45/$1
099.2079 8 Buy Land and See 8/1 Lezcano J Dutrow Anthony W. 96 31.25 1.41/$1
099.1342 1A Hieroglyphics 20/1 Cardenas L Chatterpaul Naipaul 96 31.25 1.41/$1
099.1049 5 (F)Highland Chief (IRE) 9/2 McCarthy T Motion H. Graham 75 34.67 1.66/$1
099.0811 1 So High (GB) 20/1 Silvera R Chatterpaul Naipaul 75 34.67 1.66/$1
099.0388 12 Space Launch 12/1 Cancel E Clement Christophe 91 31.87 1.45/$1
098.9324 13 Southern District 1/1 Franco M Brown Chad C. 96 31.25 1.41/$1
097.9353 3 Soulmate 30/1 Wolfsont A Pregman. Jr. John S. W 75 34.67 1.66/$1
097.5251 10 Worth a Shot 6/1 Vargas. Jr. J A De Paz Horacio FEL 75 34.67 1.66/$1
097.3974 6 Little Menace 12/1 Gomez J A Noda Orlando 96 31.25 1.41/$1
096.8431 4 Famished 30/1 Mena R E Quick Patrick J. 75 34.67 1.66/$1
096.5577 9 Big Agenda 20/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Sharp Joe 91 31.87 1.45/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 19.05, ROI 0.55/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.3519
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Last Race Was Not Dirt With Turf Today


04/14/22, AQU, Race 9, 5.46 ET
04/14/22,AQU,9,6F [Turf] 1:07:02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $70,000. OUTER TURF FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred)(If a Race Fills With Only Three Year Olds Or Only Older Horses, Weight Shall Be 122 lbs). (Rail at 12 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 14 Sinfully Sweet 3/1 McCarthy T Casse Mark E. F 75 34.67 1.66/$1
095.9372 9 Belarus 8/1 Ortiz J L De Paz Horacio JE 75 34.67 1.66/$1
095.7579 7 Vallelujah(b-) 30/1 Davis J A Davis Robbie G. WC 75 34.67 1.66/$1
095.0953 10 Darn That Song 10/1 Silvera R Brown Bruce R. 75 34.67 1.66/$1
094.8410 6 Succulent 20/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Donk David G. 75 34.67 1.66/$1
092.3881 8 Act of Congress 12/1 Castellano J Levine Bruce N. 96 31.25 1.41/$1
092.3881 4 Merger of Equals 5/1 Franco M Brown Chad C. T 96 31.25 1.41/$1
092.3881 3 Royal Dancer 12/1 Gomez J A Nevin Michelle 96 31.25 1.41/$1
092.3881 15 Voleuse 8/1 Cancel E Clement Christophe 96 31.25 1.41/$1
092.3881 13 Cabernet Trail 30/1 Mena R E Davis Edmund D. 96 31.25 1.41/$1
092.3881 12 That's Why I'm Me 30/1 Cardenas L Grossman Bruce R. 96 31.25 1.41/$1
092.3881 1 Smokin' Hot Kitty 7/2 Davis D Clement Christophe 96 31.25 1.41/$1
091.9837 11 Crosstalk 4/1 Lezcano J Ryan Derek S. L 72 31.94 1.56/$1
087.4547 2 Oak Loves a Fight 8/1 McCarthy T Noda Orlando S 75 34.67 1.66/$1
085.3789 5 Valentia Island 8/1 Cancel E Weaver George 75 34.67 1.66/$1
084.9135 16 Cindy's Choice 15/1 Luzzi M J Levine Bruce N. 75 34.67 1.66/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 19.05, ROI 0.55/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -4.0628
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Last Race Purse Not Lower Than Today


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