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Top Horse Analytics: 04/10/2022 Picks and Results - AQU


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.11.30a)

Track: AQU
Start Of Statistics - 02/21/2021
Past Number of Races - 738

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
39.15 0.92   9.20   Favorites
35.74 0.89 17.00   Morning Line Favorites
31.65 0.96 42.80   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

04/10/22, AQU, Race 1, 1.20 ET
04/10/22,AQU,1,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 CLAIMING. Purse $44,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Since October 1 Allowed 2 lbs. A Race Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $16,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Jokemeister 7/2 McCarthy T Catalano. Jr. Michael FL 413 35.11 1.11/$1
096.3195 5 Winter Son 9/5 Houghton T D Chapman James K. S 413 35.11 1.11/$1
096.0175 1 Father Walsh 2/1 Castellano J Ness Jamie T 413 35.11 1.11/$1
095.6323 4 Vibe Setter 8/1 Davis D Baker Charlton 413 35.11 1.11/$1
095.4977 2 Catch the Smoke 3/1 Gomez J A Lucas Bonnie WC 413 35.11 1.11/$1
094.5713 1A Bustin Pietre 2/1 Carmouche K Levine Bruce N. JE 413 35.11 1.11/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.33, ROI 1.07/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -3.6805
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Not Equal To Today


04/10/22, AQU, Race 2, 1.52 ET
04/10/22,AQU,2,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $35,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If a Race Fills With Only Three Year Olds Or Only Older Horses, Weight Shall Be 122 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 My First Love 2/1 Pennington F Servis J. Tyler SWL 413 35.11 1.11/$1
099.3572 8 Ice Kreem Sundae 5/2 Gomez J A Rodriguez Rudy R. 413 35.11 1.11/$1
096.4700 2 Credit Suspended(b+) 6/1 Davis D Englehart Jeffrey S. JT 413 35.11 1.11/$1
095.7178 1 Phenomenal Woman 6/1 Wolfsont A DiPrima Gregory FE 413 35.11 1.11/$1
093.1111 7 Elegant Laoban 6/1 Cardenas L O'Brien Keith C 560 33.93 1.07/$1
089.4889 5 Emerald Banker 12/1 Mena R E Jerkens Steven T. 413 35.11 1.11/$1
088.8480 6 Flight Forward 20/1 Hernandez B Lugovich Richard J. 413 35.11 1.11/$1
088.6844 3 Keen Dancer 8/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Persaud Randi 413 35.11 1.11/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.33, ROI 1.07/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.6428
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Not Equal To Today


04/10/22, AQU, Race 3, 2.23 ET
04/10/22,AQU,3,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 CLAIMING. Purse $36,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 127 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since October 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Acceptable Risk 3/5 Carmouche K Pletcher Todd A. JTSFEL 413 35.11 1.11/$1
095.3837 4 El Mayor 7/2 Davis D Toscano. Jr. John T. 413 35.11 1.11/$1
094.4319 1 Exalted Charm 9/2 Gomez J A Breen Kelly J. 413 35.11 1.11/$1
093.8688 2 Breaking Stones(b-) 10/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Barrera. III Oscar S. W 413 35.11 1.11/$1
093.5997 5 Dontbelate 8/1 Hernandez B Donk David G. C 560 33.93 1.07/$1
092.6723 3 Prince of Joy 20/1 Davis J A Legall Ricardo E. 413 35.11 1.11/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.33, ROI 1.07/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -4.6163
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Not Equal To Today


04/10/22, AQU, Race 4, 2.52 ET
04/10/22,AQU,4,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $55,000. (UP TO $9,570 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since October 1 Allowed 2 lbs. (If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Midaswellrun 6/1 Franco M Rodriguez Rudy R. FL 413 35.11 1.11/$1
098.9400 4 Perceived 2/1 Gomez J A Rodriguez Rudy R. C 413 35.11 1.11/$1
097.8267 6 Group Hug 3/1 Castellano J Maker Michael J. 560 33.93 1.07/$1
097.0052 1 Full Moon Fever 9/2 Davis D Hennig Mark A. JEW 282 42.20 1.13/$1
096.9505 5 Purple Hearted 3/1 Cancel E Englehart Chris J. 413 35.11 1.11/$1
096.0462 3 Uno 8/1 Cardenas L DeLauro Edward J. 413 35.11 1.11/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.33, ROI 1.07/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.0600
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Not Equal To Today


04/10/22, AQU, Race 5, 3.23 ET
04/10/22,AQU,5,6F [Turf] 1:07:02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $82,000. OUTER TURF (UP TO $13,920 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred)(If a Race Fills With Only Three Year Olds Or Only Older Horses, Weight Shall Be 122 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Run Smitty Run 5/1 Gomez J A Barker Edward R. FE 91 31.87 1.45/$1
096.5704 2 Evan Harlan 4/5 Franco M Motion H. Graham SL 75 34.67 1.66/$1
091.4435 6 Starrystarryknight 4/1 McCarthy T Kimmel John C. JW 91 31.87 1.45/$1
087.2499 1 Islandman 15/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Williams Andrew O. 72 31.94 1.56/$1
085.7852 7 Missouri 20/1 Cardenas L Romero Jesus 96 31.25 1.41/$1
083.6914 8 R Boy Cheekum 50/1 Juarez N Thompson Marcus George 72 31.94 1.56/$1
083.5421 3 Ninth of April 15/1 Davis J A Mc Allen John P. 91 31.87 1.45/$1
079.6222 4 Heat's On Zap(b+) 5/1 Cancel E Weaver George TC 91 31.87 1.45/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 19.05, ROI 0.55/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -3.4296
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Last Race Was Not Dirt With Turf Today


04/10/22, AQU, Race 6, 3.54 ET
04/10/22,AQU,6,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:14:02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $43,000. (UP TO $7,482 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If a Race Fills With Only Three Year Olds Or Only Older Horses, Weight Shall Be 122 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Inspiration Point 3/1 Davis D Maker Michael J. SFE 413 35.11 1.11/$1
099.3653 6 Wegottaguy 5/1 Carmouche K Pletcher Todd A. JT 384 35.16 1.11/$1
097.6979 5 Lord Licorice 5/1 Gomez J A Rodriguez Rudy R. C 413 35.11 1.11/$1
096.0120 1 Baltasar 7/2 Franco M Atras Rob 413 35.11 1.11/$1
095.7675 9 Hit by a Wave 10/1 Lezcano J Rodriguez Rudy R. 384 35.16 1.11/$1
095.2371 7 Dot's Dollar 8/1 Castellano J Morley Thomas 413 35.11 1.11/$1
092.3849 8 Smart Joker 12/1 McCarthy T Kimmel John C. 384 35.16 1.11/$1
092.3760 4 Rhumjar 6/1 Cancel E Hills Timothy A. WL 413 35.11 1.11/$1
089.3270 2 Vinny Two Cents 20/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Barrera. III Oscar S. 384 35.16 1.11/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.33, ROI 1.07/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.6347
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Not Equal To Today


04/10/22, AQU, Race 7, 4.27 ET
04/10/22,AQU,7,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:40:00 ALLOWANCE. Purse $72,000. OUTER TURF FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds,120 lbs.; Older, 127 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 2 lbs. (If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Sweet Franny Lu 5/2 Davis D Morley Thomas 75 34.67 1.66/$1
099.4531 2 Home for Christmas 2/1 Franco M Clement Christophe SL 75 34.67 1.66/$1
099.3815 5 Pop the Bubbly 7/2 Carmouche K Nevin Michelle JF 75 34.67 1.66/$1
097.1404 1 Reigning Chick 5/1 Castellano J Noda Orlando C 75 34.67 1.66/$1
096.6074 3 Jen's Battle(b-) 20/1 Gomez J A Barrera. III Oscar S. W 75 34.67 1.66/$1
096.3652 6 Infringement 20/1 Cardenas L Persaud Randi 96 31.25 1.41/$1
096.0091 7 Waterville 9/2 McCarthy T Clement Christophe E 75 34.67 1.66/$1
093.9033 8 That Is Key 4/1 Rider TBA Englehart Jeffrey S. T 96 31.25 1.41/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 19.05, ROI 0.55/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.5469
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Last Race Purse Not Lower Than Today


04/10/22, AQU, Race 8, 5.01 ET
04/10/22,AQU,8,1 1/8M [Dirt] 1:47:00 STAKES. Top Flight Invitational Stakes. Purse $100,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Non-Lasix Race pursuant to 4043.2 (7)(e)(5) Lasix not permitted within 48 hours of post time. By invitation only with no subscription fees. The purse to be divided 55% to the owner of the winner, 20% to second, 12% to third, 6% to fourth, 4% to fifth and 3% divided equally amongst the remaining finishers. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners of a Graded Sweepstake at a mile or over since September 1, 2021 allowed 3 lbs.; of a Graded Sweepstake at a mile or over in2021 or a Sweepstake at a mile or over other than State-Bred since November 1, 2021 allowed 5 lbs. A trophy will be presented to the winning owner.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Maiden Beauty 3/1 Carmouche K Falcone. Jr. Robert N. JSE 413 35.11 1.11/$1
099.7512 6 Ice Princess 4/1 Davis D Gargan Danny T 413 35.11 1.11/$1
099.4607 4 Into Vanishing 3/1 Cancel E Thomas Jonathan L 560 33.93 1.07/$1
099.4330 3 Frost Point 9/2 Franco M Mott William I. FC 413 35.11 1.11/$1
099.0292 5 Battle Bling 5/2 McCarthy T Atras Rob W 413 35.11 1.11/$1
097.2340 1 Exotic West 8/1 Castellano J Sciacca Gary 413 35.11 1.11/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.33, ROI 1.07/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.2488
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Not Equal To Today


04/10/22, AQU, Race 9, 5.32 ET
04/10/22,AQU,9,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:40:01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $70,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred)(If a Race Fills With Only Three Year Olds Or Only Older Horses, Weight Shall Be 122 lbs). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will be run at One Mile on the Main Track.) (Rail at 18 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Whatlovelookslike 5/2 Carmouche K Pletcher Todd A. JFC 75 34.67 1.66/$1
099.3482 9 Our Jessica(b+) 8/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Donk David G. 75 34.67 1.66/$1
095.1526 14 Duckphat 5/1 Gomez J A Ferraro James W. E 75 34.67 1.66/$1
091.0945 7 Cape Cod Causeway 8/1 Cancel E Hennig Mark A. 75 34.67 1.66/$1
090.4217 12 War in Paradise 30/1 Laprida J Ferraro James W. 96 31.25 1.41/$1
089.0346 13 Vivazano(b+) 8/1 Gomez J A Dunham Bob G. 75 34.67 1.66/$1
085.3789 5 Arisaema(b+) 10/1 Davis D Abreu Jorge R. 75 34.67 1.66/$1
085.2946 3 Saluki 20/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Schettino Domenick L. 75 34.67 1.66/$1
085.1648 15 Frosty Invasion 12/1 Rider TBA Schettino Domenick L. 75 34.67 1.66/$1
085.0625 4 Can't Fool Me 20/1 Castellano J De Paz Horacio 75 34.67 1.66/$1
084.6376 2 Menily 15/1 Samuel J L Handal Raymond L 75 34.67 1.66/$1
084.6376 10 Kannon Fire 12/1 Lezcano J Rice Linda 96 31.25 1.41/$1
082.7842 6 Limani 4/1 Franco M Brown Chad C. TW 96 31.25 1.41/$1
080.1895 11 I'll Go All In 6/1 McCarthy T Vazquez Juan C. S 75 34.67 1.66/$1
079.4481 8 Linarite 12/1 Cardenas L Donk David G. 75 34.67 1.66/$1
078.8921 1A Lady Yellen 5/2 Cancel E Rice Linda 75 34.67 1.66/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 19.05, ROI 0.55/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.6518
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Last Race Purse Not Lower Than Today


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