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Top Horse Analytics

Top Horse Analytics: 04/10/2022 Picks and Results - LRL


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.11.30a)

Track: LRL
Start Of Statistics - 12/27/2020
Past Number of Races - 1188

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
37.54 0.88   9.00   Favorites
34.30 0.86 13.60   Morning Line Favorites
33.50 0.90 20.60   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

04/10/22, LRL, Race 1, 12.40 ET
04/10/22,LRL,1,1M [Dirt] 1:34:00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $23,100. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. Weight, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $10,000, if for $8,000, allowed 4 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Party Monster(b+) 3/1 Aviles Y Feliciano. Jr. Benjami FEC 11 63.64 1.77/$1
099.9388 4 Alittlesliceof Pie 5/2 Acosta J D Cash Norman L. JS 84 41.67 1.07/$1
099.6324 3 Miss Seductive 9/2 Barbosa J Magee Kieron TW 78 33.33 1.09/$1
098.8437 5 Feel the Glory 3/1 Karamanos H Graham Robin L. L 78 33.33 1.09/$1
096.7405 1 Barb the Boss(b+) 5/1 Humphrey W Frock Charles A. 6 83.33 2.60/$1
095.5824 6 Charlys Wild Angel(b+) 15/1 Whitacre G Cooper Steve B. 78 33.33 1.09/$1
095.0527 7 Instparty 20/1 Marquez C Allen. III A. Ferris 78 33.33 1.09/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.54, ROI 0.95/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0612
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry)  -with-
[Dirt MdnMClm] Best Closer


04/10/22, LRL, Race 2, 1.15 ET
04/10/22,LRL,2,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:15:00 CLAIMING. Purse $18,700. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 10 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. Three Year Olds, 116 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since February 10 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $5,000 (Races Where Entered For $4,000 Or Less Not Considered In Eligibility).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Had the Notion 5/2 Barbosa J Capuano Dale C 90 32.22 1.35/$1
099.5478 2 Princess Adira 3/1 Ruiz J Lynch Cathal A. FE 90 32.22 1.35/$1
099.4606 6 Nationalist 4/1 Almodovar G Pickett Crystal G. L 90 32.22 1.35/$1
098.8759 1 Grace Isabella 3/1 Karamanos H Graham Robin L. W 822 29.81 0.83/$1
098.3990 4 Win Then Grin 15/1 Crispin A Maldonado Joel JT 90 32.22 1.35/$1
098.0945 5 Ravenel 9/2 Acosta J D Harting Chris R. 90 32.22 1.35/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.54, ROI 0.95/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.4522
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f
*Scratches may change this condition

04/10/22, LRL, Race 3, 1.53 ET
04/10/22,LRL,3,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $42,900. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. Three Year Olds, 116 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000, if for $32,000, allowed 4 lbs. MD-Bred and/or MD-Sired horses may waive claiming price in this race.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Vodkatini 8/5 Toledo J Stidham Michael JSFEC 90 32.22 1.35/$1
099.3261 1 Three Shamrocks 5/2 Gomez K Russell Brittany T. T 78 33.33 1.09/$1
098.4473 7 Torre Branca 4/1 Cruz A Smith Hamilton A. W 90 32.22 1.35/$1
097.6851 6 Utterly Courageous 6/1 Acosta J D Hall Aimee D. L 90 32.22 1.35/$1
097.2580 4 Great Baroness 15/1 Flores. Jr L Cuprill Maria L. 90 32.22 1.35/$1
096.7528 5 Mi Yayis 10/1 Corujo L Rodriguez Jose S. 90 32.22 1.35/$1
096.7169 2 Pray for the U S A 12/1 Aviles Y Frock Charles A. 90 32.22 1.35/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.54, ROI 0.95/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.6739
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f
*Scratches may change this condition

04/10/22, LRL, Race 4, 2.27 ET
04/10/22,LRL,4,5 1/2F [Dirt] 1:02:01 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $52,800. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING, STARTER, MD SIRED RACES OR MD BRED RACES OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $62,500. Weight, 124 lbs. Non-winnersOf A Race Since February 10 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $62,500 (Races Where Entered For $25,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Bandits Warrior 3/1 Perez X Robb John J. JSL 211 17.06 1.20/$1
098.5549 5 Noble Bid 9/5 Karamanos H Dilodovico Damon R. FEW 211 17.06 1.20/$1
096.5238 4 Fuhgeddaboudit 6/1 Marquez C Robb John J. 211 17.06 1.20/$1
096.3776 6 Moody Woman 2/1 Ruiz J McMullen Marilyn G. C 211 17.06 1.20/$1
095.3923 2 Sweet Gracie 10/1 Barbosa J Allen. III A. Ferris 211 17.06 1.20/$1
095.1493 1 Mo Fire 15/1 Whitacre G Serey. Jr. Mario 211 17.06 1.20/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.54, ROI 0.95/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.4451
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 5f Or 5 1/2f


04/10/22, LRL, Race 5, 2.58 ET
04/10/22,LRL,5,5 1/2F [Dirt] 1:02:01 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $27,500. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS IN 2021 - 2022. Three Year Olds, 116 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since February 10 Allowed 3 lbs. (Races Where Entered For $4,500 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 The Wolfman 8/5 Toledo J Sanchez-Salomon Rodolf JTE 211 17.06 1.20/$1
098.5049 2 Fran's Worrier 9/2 Hernandez A Hawthorne Bobbi Anne SFLC 211 17.06 1.20/$1
097.3377 6 Top Boss 4/1 Butterfly B L Mohan David R. 211 17.06 1.20/$1
096.9551 8 Rock and Fellers (ARG) 9/2 Karamanos H Pradenas Sergio H. 211 17.06 1.20/$1
096.4440 1 Revolutionary Road 6/1 Corujo L Vukelic Robert S. W 211 17.06 1.20/$1
096.1436 4 Victory Given 15/1 Acosta J D Kee Willie J. 211 17.06 1.20/$1
095.9345 3 Degas 12/1 Aviles Y Frock Charles L. 211 17.06 1.20/$1
093.6157 5 Classy Solution 30/1 Flores. Jr L Cuprill Maria L. 211 17.06 1.20/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.54, ROI 0.95/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.4951
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 5f Or 5 1/2f


04/10/22, LRL, Race 6, 3.30 ET
04/10/22,LRL,6,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $50,600. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. Three Year Olds, 116 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Jemison 9/5 Toledo J Russell Brittany T. J 90 32.22 1.35/$1
098.9413 3 Heaven's Got Fire 5/2 Corujo L Rodriguez Jose S. SL 90 32.22 1.35/$1
098.8251 1 Frightland 4/1 Lynch F Russell Brittany T. 78 33.33 1.09/$1
098.5586 4 Mutasallem 9/2 Rivera E Lake Scott A. FEWC 90 32.22 1.35/$1
097.5863 2 Hofburg Palace 10/1 Carrasco V R Trombetta Michael J. 90 32.22 1.35/$1
097.5177 6 Chocolate Shake 10/1 Rosado J Gaudet Lacey 90 32.22 1.35/$1
092.0302 5 Divining Dancer 20/1 Cecil K Covello Andrea A. 90 32.22 1.35/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.54, ROI 0.95/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.0587
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f
*Scratches may change this condition

04/10/22, LRL, Race 7, 4.06 ET
04/10/22,LRL,7,1 1/16M [Dirt About] 1:41:01 ALLOWANCE. Purse $44,000. FOR RESTRICTED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOR MD BRED OR MD SIRED HORSES WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A STATE BRED OR STATE SIRED RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING, OR STARTER AND WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 116 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Maiden, Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 3 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Commanding General 8/5 Barbosa J Magee Kieron FL 822 29.81 0.83/$1
098.7675 5 Royal Number 9/5 Carrasco V R Trombetta Michael J. W 822 29.81 0.83/$1
098.3729 3 Reassured 6/1 Toledo J Russell Brittany T. JTEC 822 29.81 0.83/$1
097.3205 6 Maximus Midani 5/1 Boyce F Perkins. Jr. Benjamin S 822 29.81 0.83/$1
096.8964 1 Stone Courageous 6/1 Araujo D Smith Hamilton A. 822 29.81 0.83/$1
095.7850 4 Uncommon Valor 20/1 Karamanos H Corrales Jose 822 29.81 0.83/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.54, ROI 0.95/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.2325
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


04/10/22, LRL, Race 8, 4.40 ET
04/10/22,LRL,8,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 CLAIMING. Purse $23,100. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 116 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Claiming Price $10,000, if for $8,000, allowed 4 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Moon Biz 3/1 Barbosa J Magee Kieron SFEL 88 37.50 1.13/$1
097.5588 3 Happylife 3/1 Boyce F Klesaris Robert P. T 90 32.22 1.35/$1
097.3606 5 Special Freedom 9/5 Rosado J Mancilla Carlos A. 90 32.22 1.35/$1
097.0493 6 Shiny Penny 9/2 Ho W Pickett Crystal G. 90 32.22 1.35/$1
096.8877 2 Mexicali Rose 6/1 Aviles Y Mancilla Carlos A. W 90 32.22 1.35/$1
094.6253 4 Howsafearemycolors 15/1 Araujo D Walters David JC 90 32.22 1.35/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.54, ROI 0.95/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.4412
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Third Race After 45 Days Off


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