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Top Horse Analytics: 04/07/2022 Picks and Results - AQU


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.11.30a)

Track: AQU
Start Of Statistics - 02/21/2021
Past Number of Races - 738

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
39.15 0.92   9.20   Favorites
35.74 0.89 17.00   Morning Line Favorites
31.65 0.96 42.80   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

04/07/22, AQU, Race 1, 1.20 ET
04/07/22,AQU,1,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:40:00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $70,000. OUTER TURF FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred)(If a Race Fills With Only Three Year Olds Or Only Older Horses, Weight Shall Be 122 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 10 Uncle Water Flow(b+) 10/1 Hernandez Moreno O Persaud Eddie F 96 31.25 1.41/$1
096.5612 2 Sir William 4/1 Mena R E Ferraro James W. 96 31.25 1.41/$1
096.0440 7 Salute to America 10/1 Castellano J Morley Thomas 75 34.67 1.66/$1
094.1794 6 Barrel of Quests 15/1 Cardenas L Donk David G. W 75 34.67 1.66/$1
093.5083 5 Curlin's Wisdom 7/2 Cancel E Mott William I. SL 75 34.67 1.66/$1
090.7496 8 Joint Resolution 4/1 McCarthy T Clement Christophe 96 31.25 1.41/$1
090.7496 4 Constitutional Bid 5/1 Carmouche K Demasi Kathleen A. JT 96 31.25 1.41/$1
086.7961 1 Excursionniste 3/1 Davis D Hennig Mark A. EC 75 34.67 1.66/$1
083.9998 9 Moped Dennis 4/1 Rider TBA Englehart Jeremiah C. 75 34.67 1.66/$1
080.5454 3 Sensibleconclusion(b-) 6/1 Gomez J A Barker Edward R. 75 34.67 1.66/$1
078.9374 11 Royal Time 20/1 Laprida J Ferraro James W. 75 34.67 1.66/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 19.05, ROI 0.55/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -3.4388
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Does Not Carry High Weight


04/07/22, AQU, Race 2, 1.52 ET
04/07/22,AQU,2,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $82,000. (UP TO $14,268 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $80,000. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A RaceOther Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 2 lbs. A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter At Any Distance Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $80,000 (Allowance Horses Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Tap the Faith 7/5 McCarthy T Clement Christophe SEC 413 35.11 1.11/$1
098.6331 1 Diamond Collector(b+) 3/1 Castellano J Martin Carlos F. FW 413 35.11 1.11/$1
098.4761 2 Waters of Merom 3/1 Davis D Rice Linda JL 413 35.11 1.11/$1
096.8710 4 Early Glow 5/2 Lezcano J Mott William I. T 413 35.11 1.11/$1
093.4678 3 London Gold 15/1 Gomez J A Persaud Randi 413 35.11 1.11/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.33, ROI 1.07/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.3669
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Not Equal To Today


04/07/22, AQU, Race 3, 2.21 ET
04/07/22,AQU,3,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 CLAIMING. Purse $45,000. (UP TO $7,830 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since October 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $35,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Road to Success 7/2 Carmouche K Arriaga Antonio JF 413 35.11 1.11/$1
099.8203 3 No Burn 8/5 Davis D Atras Rob TEL 560 33.93 1.07/$1
098.3838 1 Charger 4/1 Gomez J A Morley Thomas S 413 35.11 1.11/$1
098.2701 4 Dangerous Edge 6/1 Cancel E Sciacca Gary C 560 33.93 1.07/$1
097.1619 5 Air Show 3/1 McCarthy T Noda Orlando W 560 33.93 1.07/$1
095.6519 2 Forever Wicked 15/1 Harkie H K Persaud Randi 413 35.11 1.11/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.33, ROI 1.07/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.1797
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Not Equal To Today


04/07/22, AQU, Race 4, 2.52 ET
04/07/22,AQU,4,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:40:01 ALLOWANCE. Purse $72,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 127 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 2 lbs. (If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, this race will berun at One Mile on the Main Track.).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 10 Mr. Kringle 9/2 McCarthy T Terranova II John P. S 91 31.87 1.45/$1
099.5452 2 Jade's Dream 12/1 Carmouche K Martin Carlos F. JL 75 34.67 1.66/$1
099.1664 3 Uncle Curly 5/1 Gomez J A Walder Peter R. 91 31.87 1.45/$1
099.1352 11 Sonic Speed 10/1 Davis D Kimmel John C. 91 31.87 1.45/$1
098.9847 8 Umbria 4/1 Cancel E Rice Linda FE 75 34.67 1.66/$1
098.8346 6 Breadman 7/2 Lezcano J Terranova II John P. 75 34.67 1.66/$1
098.6497 12 Run for Boston 5/1 Davis D Ryerson James T. C 75 34.67 1.66/$1
098.5671 1 Bureaucrat 10/1 Castellano J Morley Thomas 75 34.67 1.66/$1
098.0221 9 Sandro the Great 15/1 Mena R E Quick Patrick J. 72 31.94 1.56/$1
097.9796 7 Barleewon 20/1 Cardenas L O'Brien Keith 91 31.87 1.45/$1
097.1449 4 Sundaeswithsandy 8/1 Franco M Rodriguez Rudy R. T 75 34.67 1.66/$1
095.7709 5 Jumpster 9/2 Harkie H K Sciacca Gary W 96 31.25 1.41/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 19.05, ROI 0.55/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.4548
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Last Race Was Not Dirt With Turf Today


04/07/22, AQU, Race 5, 3.23 ET
04/07/22,AQU,5,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 CLAIMING. Purse $45,000. (UP TO $7,830 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since October 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Rock Sugar 3/1 Lezcano J Morey William E. T 560 33.93 1.07/$1
099.4176 5 Blu Grotto 7/2 McCarthy T Kimmel John C. SFC 413 35.11 1.11/$1
099.0200 2 Cousteau 2/1 Carmouche K Rice Linda JEL 560 33.93 1.07/$1
098.9831 1 Emperor's Cause 3/1 Franco M Atras Rob 241 35.27 1.12/$1
098.3138 8 Remembermom 8/1 Gomez J A Reynolds Patrick L. W 413 35.11 1.11/$1
097.5614 4 My Brother Neil 20/1 Davis D Linder. Jr. Louis C. 413 35.11 1.11/$1
096.2979 7 Prayer Book 30/1 Hernandez B Chichakly Amira 560 33.93 1.07/$1
095.1420 3 Centavo 30/1 Cardenas L Chatterpaul Naipaul 560 33.93 1.07/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.33, ROI 1.07/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.5824
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] *Not Actual Post 1
*Scratches may change this condition

04/07/22, AQU, Race 6, 3.56 ET
04/07/22,AQU,6,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 CLAIMING. Purse $35,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since October 1 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $12,500 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $10,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 8 Addilyn 9/2 Davis D Englehart Jeffrey S. C 413 35.11 1.11/$1
099.2435 2 Big Al's Gal 8/1 Davis J A Arriaga Antonio 413 35.11 1.11/$1
098.9101 5 Guns Blazing 9/2 Gomez J A Klesaris Robert P. W 413 35.11 1.11/$1
097.5555 7 Lady by Choice 6/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Barrera. III Oscar S. S 413 35.11 1.11/$1
097.4242 4 Sirenic 4/1 Cancel E Rice Linda FE 413 35.11 1.11/$1
097.2856 3 Magnetique 7/2 Carmouche K Morey William E. JT 384 35.16 1.11/$1
095.7651 6 Quality Stones 5/1 Cardenas L DeLauro Edward J. L 413 35.11 1.11/$1
095.7243 1 My Girl Lexi 20/1 Hernandez Moreno O Ferraro James W. 413 35.11 1.11/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.33, ROI 1.07/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.7565
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Not Equal To Today


04/07/22, AQU, Race 7, 4.27 ET
04/07/22,AQU,7,6F [Turf] 1:07:02 ALLOWANCE. Purse $82,000. OUTER TURF (UP TO $14,268 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter Allowed 2 lbs. (If There Are No Three Year Olds Entered, Starting Weight Shall Be 123 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Dancing Buck 5/2 Carmouche K Nevin Michelle FE 91 31.87 1.45/$1
099.4794 4 Kawhi Me a River 9/5 Gomez J A Terranova II John P. SC 75 34.67 1.66/$1
098.9969 5 Scocciatore 2/1 Davis D Englehart Jeffrey S. 72 31.94 1.56/$1
098.7451 7 Juulstone 5/1 Davis D Maker Michael J. 72 31.94 1.56/$1
098.2213 9 Trash Talker 5/2 Carmouche K Atras Rob TL 75 34.67 1.66/$1
097.7933 8 Tops the Chart 6/1 Franco M Duarte. Jr. Jorge 91 31.87 1.45/$1
097.5073 3 American Gentleman 5/2 Lezcano J Rodriguez Gustavo 75 34.67 1.66/$1
097.3866 6 Castle Chaos 4/1 McCarthy T Falcone. Jr. Robert N. 75 34.67 1.66/$1
097.1784 2 Rejected Again 6/1 Cancel E Rice Linda 72 31.94 1.56/$1
096.5020 10 Supply and Demand 8/1 Castellano J Dutrow Anthony W. W 75 34.67 1.66/$1
094.4938 11 R Boy Bode(b+) 30/1 Juarez N Thompson Marcus George 72 31.94 1.56/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 19.05, ROI 0.55/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.5206
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Last Race Was Not Dirt With Turf Today


04/07/22, AQU, Race 8, 5.01 ET
04/07/22,AQU,8,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $32,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void)(If a Race Fills With Only Three Year Olds Or Only Older Horses, Weight Shall Be 122 lbs).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Any Minute 8/1 McCarthy T Rodriguez Rudy R. E 413 35.11 1.11/$1
099.4050 6 We Ready 9/2 Cancel E Potts Wayne 413 35.11 1.11/$1
098.9291 10 Lord Gatling 7/2 Davis D Morey William E. W 413 35.11 1.11/$1
097.1358 2 Fazaro 8/1 Davis J A Potts Wayne 384 35.16 1.11/$1
094.3890 7 Hardly Working 12/1 Franco M Rodriguez Rudy R. 413 35.11 1.11/$1
094.0853 1A Nicholas James 3/1 Carmouche K Reynolds Patrick L. J 384 35.16 1.11/$1
092.9860 8 Mister J T 6/1 Cardenas L Donk David G. SF 384 35.16 1.11/$1
091.1828 4 Angeli Blu 6/1 Gomez J A Breen Kelly J. C 413 35.11 1.11/$1
090.5696 1 Motion to Strike 3/1 Castellano J Reynolds Patrick L. L 413 35.11 1.11/$1
086.4397 9 Exceptional 50/1 Harkie H K Johnson Cleveland 413 35.11 1.11/$1
084.5445 3 Irie Spice 30/1 Hernandez B Persaud Randi 384 35.16 1.11/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.33, ROI 1.07/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.5950
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Not Equal To Today


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