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Top Horse Analytics: 01/08/2022 Picks and Results - AQU


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.11.30a)

Track: AQU
Start Of Statistics - 01/02/2021
Past Number of Races - 727

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
37.93 0.90   9.20   Favorites
34.67 0.87 17.00   Morning Line Favorites
34.76 1.02 42.80   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

01/08/22, AQU, Race 1, 12.20 ET
01/08/22,AQU,1,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $43,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Weight, 120 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Lady of Thoroton 2/1 Davis D Falcone. Jr. Robert N. TF 211 25.12 1.16/$1
099.5541 8 Banksamillion 9/2 Carmouche K Englehart Jeremiah C. SE 211 25.12 1.16/$1
096.9420 3 Frosty Invasion(b+) 3/1 McCarthy T Schettino Domenick L. 211 25.12 1.16/$1
096.8643 6 Beautiful Banks 5/1 Hernandez Moreno O Donk David G. 211 25.12 1.16/$1
096.6560 4 Roz 8/1 Cancel E Nevin Michelle 211 25.12 1.16/$1
095.5415 7 Write the Check 12/1 Silvera R Brown Bruce R. JW 211 25.12 1.16/$1
091.2315 5 False Hope 10/1 Ramos C Schettino Domenick L. L 211 25.12 1.16/$1
090.0090 1 Cara's Daydreamer(b-) 15/1 Harkie H K Friedman Mitchell E. 327 37.00 1.06/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 32.31, ROI 0.85/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.4459
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Finish Dirt Last 7 (M)


01/08/22, AQU, Race 2, 12.50 ET
01/08/22,AQU,2,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 ALLOWANCE. Purse $82,000. (UP TO $14,268 NYSBFOA) FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter Allowed 3 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Ryan's Cat 2/1 Castellano J Rodriguez Gustavo S 275 37.45 1.06/$1
099.1180 1 Sibelius 7/2 Mena R E O'Dwyer Jeremiah L 110 41.82 1.09/$1
098.7215 4 Flatter Me Please 6/1 Silvera R Davidovich Jamen JTW 275 37.45 1.06/$1
098.3770 2 Chowda 5/2 Cancel E Sciacca Gary 159 41.51 1.08/$1
097.4566 7 Twelth Man(b+) 8/1 McCarthy T Nevin Michelle FC 110 41.82 1.09/$1
096.7655 3 Carrothers 6/1 Ortiz J L Mott William I. 275 37.45 1.06/$1
095.3310 6 Hold the Salsa 20/1 Hernandez B Lugovich Richard J. E 159 41.51 1.08/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 32.31, ROI 0.85/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.8820
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Was Different Jockey With A Worse Win Percent


01/08/22, AQU, Race 3, 1.20 ET
01/08/22,AQU,3,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $35,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Weight, 122 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Inouaintalkintome 3/1 Morrison A Falcone. Jr. Robert N. 73 46.58 1.43/$1
099.1493 5 Love's Misery 8/1 Carmouche K Atras Rob 211 25.12 1.16/$1
097.9272 10 New York Banker 8/1 Davis D Miceli Michael 211 18.48 1.23/$1
097.8397 9 Escapology 8/1 Hernandez B Bond H. James S 211 18.48 1.23/$1
096.1402 8 Bonana Fanna Foe 10/1 Cancel E Englehart Chris J. 211 25.12 1.16/$1
096.0125 1A Live in Five(b-) 3/1 Ramos C Falcone. Jr. Robert N. EW 211 25.12 1.16/$1
095.0159 7 New York Supreme 9/2 McCarthy T Rodriguez Rudy R. 211 25.12 1.16/$1
094.1092 2 Fortune's Sister 12/1 Castellano J Levine Bruce N. C 211 25.12 1.16/$1
094.1004 11 Torren's Tale 12/1 Gomez O Barrow Paul W. 211 18.48 1.23/$1
093.1855 3 War in Paradise 6/1 Ortiz J L Abreu Jorge R. J 211 25.12 1.16/$1
091.3894 6 Mondeuse 15/1 Worrie A S Englehart Jeffrey S. FL 211 25.12 1.16/$1
090.7701 4 Spun for Lu Lu 15/1 Lezcano J Kimmel John C. 211 25.12 1.16/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 32.31, ROI 0.85/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.8507
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Purse Same As Today  -with-
[Dirt MdnMClm] Blinkers No Change


01/08/22, AQU, Race 4, 1.48 ET
01/08/22,AQU,4,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 ALLOWANCE. Purse $82,000. (UP TO $14,268 NYSBFOA) FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter Allowed 3 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 American Monarch 3/1 Ortiz J L Mott William I. SF 110 41.82 1.09/$1
098.3018 5 Malibu Star 4/1 Silvera R Breen Kelly J. JWL 275 37.45 1.06/$1
097.9507 7 Sound Money 9/2 Carmouche K Brown Chad C. T 110 41.82 1.09/$1
097.6331 8 Risk Profile 9/2 Lezcano J Rice Linda 110 41.82 1.09/$1
096.6593 3 Market Alert 8/1 McCarthy T Ryerson James T. E 159 41.51 1.08/$1
096.0991 4 Fitzpatrick 12/1 Navarro K Hennig Mark A. C 275 37.45 1.06/$1
095.1526 2 Send the Word 20/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Miceli Michael 110 41.82 1.09/$1
094.5264 6 Starting Over 7/2 Davis D Falcone. Jr. Robert N. 40 22.50 1.46/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 32.31, ROI 0.85/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.6982
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Purse Greater Than $75K


01/08/22, AQU, Race 5, 2.18 ET
01/08/22,AQU,5,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 CLAIMING. Purse $28,000. FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since July 1 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $14,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 12 Striking Speed 7/2 Carmouche K Atras Rob TS 120 35.00 1.03/$1
099.0654 8 Profusion 2/1 Cancel E Rice Linda F 275 37.45 1.06/$1
097.4579 5 Lokoya Road 5/1 McCarthy T Lynch Natalia C 275 37.45 1.06/$1
097.0976 7 Mr. Briggs 8/1 Lezcano J Kantarmaci Mertkan E 275 37.45 1.06/$1
095.0521 10 Macho Boy 20/1 Luzzi M J Chichakly Amira WL 275 37.45 1.06/$1
094.9997 6 Scotty 10/1 Davis J A Jones Eduardo E. 192 34.90 1.02/$1
094.9194 4 Obsessed 15/1 Mena R E DeLauro Edward J. 275 37.45 1.06/$1
094.1247 1A Confectioner(b-) 30/1 Navarro K Mc Allen John P. 275 37.45 1.06/$1
093.7937 3 Forever Wicked 20/1 Harkie H K Dharamjit Darmindra 120 35.00 1.03/$1
093.7347 9 Respect for All 30/1 Fret S Simmonds Michael A. J 275 37.45 1.06/$1
093.6620 1 Speechin N Teachin(b-) 30/1 Ramos C Mc Allen John P. 275 37.45 1.06/$1
093.3650 11 Kid Chocolate 20/1 Hernandez Moreno O Sciacca Gary 15 46.67 1.28/$1
093.1748 2 Jacoba 15/1 Baez J Ficarella Brooke 275 37.45 1.06/$1
091.9740 13 A Colt Named Susie(b-) 30/1 Worrie A S D'Alessandro Ralph 275 37.45 1.06/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 32.31, ROI 0.85/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.9346
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Greater Than Today


01/08/22, AQU, Race 6, 2.48 ET
01/08/22,AQU,6,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $55,000. (UP TO $9,570 NYSBFOA) FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since July 1 Allowed 3 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Trash Talker 4/1 Carmouche K Atras Rob 275 37.45 1.06/$1
099.0432 4 Extreme 8/1 Davis D Handal Raymond FEL 275 37.45 1.06/$1
098.4189 9 Colormepazzi 6/1 Cancel E Englehart Chris J. S 159 41.51 1.08/$1
098.1359 8 American Gentleman 5/1 Castellano J Rodriguez Gustavo 192 34.90 1.02/$1
097.8883 5 Jake Rocks 9/2 Vargas. Jr. J A Donk David G. 275 37.45 1.06/$1
097.4148 2 Charlie Five O 10/1 McCarthy T Atras Rob 275 37.45 1.06/$1
095.9059 7 One Whirlwind Ride 20/1 Fret S Simmonds Michael A. J 275 37.45 1.06/$1
095.0834 3 King James 7/2 Ortiz J L Jerkens James A. W 84 44.05 1.05/$1
093.1234 6 Subsidize 8/1 Lezcano J Maker Michael J. C 275 37.45 1.06/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 32.31, ROI 0.85/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.9568
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Was Different Jockey With A Worse Win Percent


01/08/22, AQU, Race 7, 3.20 ET
01/08/22,AQU,7,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $74,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $45,000. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Claiming Or Starter Since July 1 Allowed 3 lbs. Such A Race Since Then Allowed 5 lbs. Claiming Price $45,000 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of ClaimOtherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Esotica 6/1 Castellano J Brown Chad C. TS 275 37.45 1.06/$1
099.4476 1 Honey Money 9/2 McCarthy T Potts Wayne F 120 35.00 1.03/$1
099.4472 12 Impazible Donna 4/1 Ortiz J L Levine Bruce N. J 275 37.45 1.06/$1
098.7031 2 My Roxy Girl 5/1 Mena R E Ramirez Silvino 275 37.45 1.06/$1
098.6623 6 Ruvies in Time 6/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Rodriguez Rudy R. 275 37.45 1.06/$1
098.4218 3 Chasing Cara 12/1 Davis D Friedman Mitchell E. W 84 44.05 1.05/$1
097.6611 5 Irish Constitution 12/1 Lezcano J Handal Raymond E 275 37.45 1.06/$1
096.1475 9 Prairie Fire 12/1 Cancel E Rice Linda C 120 35.00 1.03/$1
095.8648 4 Rossa Veloce 20/1 Morrison A Handal Raymond 40 22.50 1.46/$1
095.0941 10 Grudge 8/1 Carmouche K Atras Rob L 275 37.45 1.06/$1
094.8967 11 Steal My Heart 30/1 Alpander T B Lynch Natalia 120 35.00 1.03/$1
093.9623 8 Wailin Josie 30/1 Hernandez Moreno O Jerkens Steven T. 275 37.45 1.06/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 32.31, ROI 0.85/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.5524
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Was Different Jockey With A Worse Win Percent


01/08/22, AQU, Race 8, 3.50 ET
01/08/22,AQU,8,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 STAKES. Say Florida Sandy Stakes. Purse $100,000. FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Non-Lasix Race pursuant to 4043.2 (7)(e)(5) Lasix not permitted within 48 hours of post time. By subscription of $100 each which should accompany the nominations; $500 to pass the entry box and an additional $500 to start. For horses not originally nominated, a supplemental nomination payment of $1,000 (along with the entry and starting fees) may be made at any time prior to the closing of entries. The purse to be divided 55% to the owner of the winner, 20% to second, 12% to third, 6% to fourth, 4% to fifth and 3% divided equally amongst the remaining finishers. Weight, 124 lbs. Non-winners of a Sweepstake since June 1, 2021 allowed 2 lbs.; of a Sweepstake in 2021 allowed 4 lbs.; of two races other than maiden, claiming, starter or State-Bred Allowance since June 1, 2021 allowed 6 lbs. A trophy will be presented to the winning owner. Closed Tuesday, December 28, 2021 with 16 Nominations.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 My Boy Tate 6/5 Cancel E Nevin Michelle TF 275 37.45 1.06/$1
099.8929 1 Alpha Chi Rho 6/1 Ortiz J L Sanchez-Salomon Rodolf JSL 275 37.45 1.06/$1
099.3586 4 Lobsta 8/5 Castellano J Sciacca Gary EW 159 41.51 1.08/$1
098.3297 2 Chestertown 8/1 Lezcano J Asmussen Steven M. 110 41.82 1.09/$1
098.0938 3 Battle Station 8/1 Carmouche K Velazquez Daniel 275 37.45 1.06/$1
096.7653 6 Saratoga Pal 12/1 McCarthy T Englehart Chris J. C 275 37.45 1.06/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 32.31, ROI 0.85/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.1071
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Was Different Jockey With A Worse Win Percent


01/08/22, AQU, Race 9, 4.20 ET
01/08/22,AQU,9,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $70,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Weight, 120 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Royal Currency 9/2 Lezcano J Baker Charlton TFE 211 25.12 1.16/$1
099.0721 5 True Empress 7/2 Cancel E Weaver George W 211 25.12 1.16/$1
098.9513 13 Twist Just Right(b+) 4/1 Ortiz J L Abreu Jorge R. L 211 18.48 1.23/$1
098.7295 10 Ribot's Valentine 6/1 Davis D Handal Raymond 211 18.48 1.23/$1
097.0719 6 Easy Play 12/1 Mena R E Noda Orlando C 211 25.12 1.16/$1
096.3556 12 Cindy's Choice 12/1 Castellano J Levine Bruce N. 211 18.48 1.23/$1
095.8537 8 Darn That Song 20/1 Silvera R Brown Bruce R. JS 211 25.12 1.16/$1
094.8526 2 Celine the Queen 8/1 Carmouche K DePaz Horacio 211 25.12 1.16/$1
094.3455 4 Belarus 12/1 Vargas. Jr. J A DePaz Horacio 211 25.12 1.16/$1
093.5999 9 Playmaggieforme 30/1 Ramos C Albertrani Thomas 211 25.12 1.16/$1
093.5275 1 Chiara 20/1 McCarthy T Bond H. James 159 40.25 1.13/$1
093.2182 7 Georgie's Ladies 30/1 Hernandez B Barker Edward R. 211 25.12 1.16/$1
089.3546 11 Mrs. Banks 30/1 Luzzi M J Ferraro James W. 211 18.48 1.23/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 32.31, ROI 0.85/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.9279
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Finish Dirt Last 7 (M)


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