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Top Horse Analytics: 01/02/2022 Picks and Results - AQU


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.11.30a)

Track: AQU
Start Of Statistics - 12/19/2020
Past Number of Races - 730

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
37.66 0.90   9.20   Favorites
34.72 0.88 17.00   Morning Line Favorites
31.03 1.01 42.80   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

01/02/22, AQU, Race 1, 12.20 ET
01/02/22,AQU,1,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $80,000. (UP TO $13,920 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Weight, 122 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Precipitate 1/2 Cancel E Brown Chad C. SF 75 42.67 1.34/$1
097.8569 3 Default Protection 5/2 Ortiz J L Brown Chad C. JC 55 45.45 1.49/$1
096.8561 2 Flower Moon 9/2 Lezcano J Rice Linda EL 55 45.45 1.49/$1
095.6066 5 School of Thought 15/1 McCarthy T Potts Wayne 75 42.67 1.34/$1
091.8587 1 Intense Honor 12/1 Davis D DePaz Horacio W 55 45.45 1.49/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.19, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.1431
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Race Distance Route


01/02/22, AQU, Race 2, 12.50 ET
01/02/22,AQU,2,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 CLAIMING. Purse $36,000. FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since July 1 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Halpert 4/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Giangiulio Michelle TW 206 36.41 1.07/$1
098.4998 7 Forest Spirit 5/2 Ortiz J L Potts Wayne J 37 43.24 1.44/$1
097.1465 4 Brunate 6/1 Hernandez B Bond H. James FC 111 34.23 1.12/$1
096.7951 1 Masked Marauder 7/2 McCarthy T Potts Wayne S 146 36.99 1.08/$1
096.3759 2 Mo Mischief 5/1 Davis D Miceli Michael E 415 29.64 0.87/$1
095.7248 6 Run Casper Run 6/1 Cancel E Englehart Chris J. 415 29.64 0.87/$1
094.4085 5 Hangar One 8/1 Davis J A Ficarella Brooke L 415 29.64 0.87/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.19, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.5002
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Purse Higher Than Today


01/02/22, AQU, Race 3, 1.20 ET
01/02/22,AQU,3,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $70,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Weight, 122 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Phenomenal Woman 2/1 Silvera R Vazquez Juan C. JT 55 45.45 1.49/$1
099.4588 5 Juliana's Rose 3/1 Lezcano J Hennig Mark A. EC 55 45.45 1.49/$1
099.4574 6 Frosted Bourbon 9/2 Franco M Hennig Mark A. SF 55 45.45 1.49/$1
096.7784 1 Talenti 4/1 Hernandez B Bond H. James W 212 23.58 1.11/$1
095.7133 3 Madame Rose 12/1 Mena R E Jones Eduardo E. L 55 45.45 1.49/$1
095.2129 2 Vivazano 5/1 Cancel E Dunham Bob G. 137 33.58 1.11/$1
094.7784 1A Gallina 4/1 McCarthy T Bond H. James 137 33.58 1.11/$1
093.3663 7 Saluki 15/1 Ramos C Schettino Domenick L. 40 25.00 1.52/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.19, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.5412
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Less Than Today


01/02/22, AQU, Race 4, 1.48 ET
01/02/22,AQU,4,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 CLAIMING. Purse $39,000. FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since July 1 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $12,500 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At TimeOf Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Runningforhome 4/1 Carmouche K Servis J. Tyler SFL 146 36.99 1.08/$1
098.3188 2 Fast Break 2/1 Ortiz J L Noda Orlando JE 37 43.24 1.44/$1
096.1740 3 Magnetron 6/1 McCarthy T Potts Wayne 111 34.23 1.12/$1
095.8872 7 Crypto Cash 5/2 Cancel E Rice Linda TW 37 43.24 1.44/$1
095.2577 5 Kumar 7/2 Lezcano J Rodriguez Gustavo 415 29.64 0.87/$1
093.1510 6 O Shea Can U See 15/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Laxmeter Daniel C 111 34.23 1.12/$1
089.9928 4 American Lincoln 30/1 Camacho. Jr. S Romero Jesus 111 34.23 1.12/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.19, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.6812
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Best Speed


01/02/22, AQU, Race 5, 2.18 ET
01/02/22,AQU,5,1 1/8M [Dirt] 1:47:00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $80,000. (UP TO $13,920 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. Weight, 120 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Long Term 5/2 Ortiz J L Pletcher Todd A. E 55 45.45 1.49/$1
099.3011 8 Perfect Flight 3/1 Lezcano J Asmussen Steven M. FWL 75 42.67 1.34/$1
098.2762 5 Curteis 30/1 Silvera R Dunham Bernard G. JT 55 45.45 1.49/$1
098.1778 6 Rookieoftheyear 10/1 McCarthy T Motion H. Graham S 75 42.67 1.34/$1
097.5368 1 Constitutionlawyer 3/1 Davis D Handal Raymond C 75 42.67 1.34/$1
096.2308 3 Pathological 6/1 Carmouche K Gargan Danny 55 45.45 1.49/$1
095.0402 7 Order of Magnitude 5/1 Cancel E Brown Chad C. 55 45.45 1.49/$1
091.7978 2 Union Lights 20/1 Franco M Nevin Michelle 55 45.45 1.49/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.19, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.6989
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Less Than Today


01/02/22, AQU, Race 6, 2.48 ET
01/02/22,AQU,6,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 CLAIMING. Purse $50,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since July 1 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $20,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Bustin Bay 3/1 Lezcano J Falcone. Jr. Robert N. FEC 40 22.50 1.46/$1
098.1980 5 Violent Point 5/1 Carmouche K Rice Linda 111 34.23 1.12/$1
098.1499 1 Fair Regis 7/2 McCarthy T Englehart Jeffrey S. 37 43.24 1.44/$1
098.1410 3 Quality Stones 4/1 Davis D Potts Wayne L 415 29.64 0.87/$1
095.6485 8 Ok Honey 10/1 Franco M Barrera. III Oscar S. SW 49 48.98 1.37/$1
095.2580 4 Diva Banker 8/1 Cancel E Handal Raymond 111 34.23 1.12/$1
095.2186 7 Allure Fortune 6/1 Ortiz J L Englehart Jeremiah C. J 111 34.23 1.12/$1
094.3671 2 My Girl Annie 10/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Barrow Paul W. T 206 36.41 1.07/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.19, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.8020
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Earnings Turf Prev_Curr*0.0 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

01/02/22, AQU, Race 7, 3.20 ET
01/02/22,AQU,7,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 CLAIMING. Purse $28,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since July 1 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Captivating Cara 3/1 Davis D Friedman Mitchell E. FW 206 36.41 1.07/$1
097.2041 6 Big Tony's Girl 8/1 Lezcano J Ryerson James T. C 415 29.64 0.87/$1
096.9813 9 Appreciate 8/1 Worrie A S Toscano. Jr. John T. JS 49 48.98 1.37/$1
096.4790 1 Tangoberg 4/1 Cancel E Englehart Chris J. TEL 415 29.64 0.87/$1
095.1896 3 Pazzion 15/1 Navarro K D'Alessandro Ralph 111 34.23 1.12/$1
094.6698 2 Charlotte Webley 8/1 Fret S Simmonds Michael A. 415 29.64 0.87/$1
094.2563 10 Queentigua 5/1 Gomez J A Pringle Edmund 23 43.48 1.79/$1
092.7050 7 Betty's Smile 10/1 Davis J A Grusmark Karl M. 111 34.23 1.12/$1
092.6815 5 Mission Trail 8/1 Harkie H K Mc Allen John P. 415 29.64 0.87/$1
089.9036 8 Tootsie's Song(b-) 15/1 Hernandez Moreno O Chatterpaul Naipaul 69 31.88 1.10/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.19, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.7959
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Purse Higher Than Today


01/02/22, AQU, Race 8, 3.50 ET
01/02/22,AQU,8,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 STAKES. La Verdad Stakes. Purse $100,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE BRED REGISTRY. Non-Lasix Race pursuant to 4043.2 (7)(e)(5) Lasix not permitted within 48 hours of post time. By subscription of $100 each which should accompany the nominations; $500 to pass the entry box and an additional $500 to start. For horses not originally nominated, a supplemental nomination payment of $1,000 (along with the entry and starting fees) may be made at any time prior to the closing of entries. The purse to be divided 55% to the owner of the winner, 20% to second, 12% to third, 6% to fourth, 4% to fifth and 3% divided equally amongst the remaining finishers. Weight, 124 lbs. Non-winners of a Sweepstake since June 1, 2021 allowed 2 lbs.; of a Sweepstake in 2021 allowed 4 lbs.; of two races other than maiden, claiming, starter or State-Bred allowance since June 1, 2021 allowed 6 lbs. A trophy will be presented to the winning owner. Closed Saturday, December 18, 2021 with 13 Nominations.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Bank Sting 3/5 Davis D Terranova II John P. FEL 111 41.44 1.19/$1
098.3705 1 Eloquent Speaker 4/1 Cancel E Lynch Natalia 111 41.44 1.19/$1
098.0697 5 Letmetakethiscall 3/1 Silvera R Ferraro James W. J 111 41.44 1.19/$1
097.5863 3 Courageous Girl 8/1 Franco M DePaz Horacio TWC 111 41.44 1.19/$1
096.5231 2 Awillaway(b-) 10/1 Worrie A S Friedman Mitchell E. S 45 48.89 1.49/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.19, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.6295
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Purse Greater Than $75K


01/02/22, AQU, Race 9, 4.20 ET
01/02/22,AQU,9,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $35,000. FOR MAIDENS, FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Weight, 122 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Forty Two Ace 5/2 Franco M Nevin Michelle TSEL 41 48.78 1.76/$1
098.8953 3 Bohemian Ruby 7/2 Carmouche K Rodriguez Gustavo F 41 48.78 1.76/$1
097.2128 1A Shinjuku 2/1 McCarthy T DePaz Horacio 23 60.87 2.40/$1
096.4712 8 Forestwood Lane 8/1 Cancel E Englehart Chris J. C 23 60.87 2.40/$1
095.1970 1 V Pattern(b+) 2/1 Ortiz J L DePaz Horacio J 23 60.87 2.40/$1
093.5730 5 Arrowheart 8/1 Davis D Kimmel John C. 41 48.78 1.76/$1
092.5193 7 Crock of Gold 20/1 Davis J A Sciacca Gary 23 60.87 2.40/$1
091.8128 2 Unlikely 30/1 Mena R E Pregman. Jr. John S. 23 60.87 2.40/$1
091.3895 9 Tuesday's Child 30/1 Worrie A S Sciacca Gary 41 48.78 1.76/$1
091.3135 6 Artie's Lit 30/1 Hernandez B Baker Charlton W 41 48.78 1.76/$1
090.1251 10 Bell Boy 15/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Reynolds Patrick L. 23 60.87 2.40/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.19, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.1047
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Race Distance Route  -with-
[Dirt MdnMClm] Race Purse Not Greater Than $50K


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