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Top Horse Analytics: 12/31/2021 Picks and Results - GP


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.11.30a)

Track: GP
Start Of Statistics - 12/26/2020
Past Number of Races - 888

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
35.81 0.84   9.20   Favorites
32.13 0.79 13.80   Morning Line Favorites
32.55 1.09 65.60   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

12/31/21, GP, Race 1, 12.30 ET
12/31/21,GP,1,5F [Turf] 00:53:03 STAKES. Janus Stakes. Purse $100,000. THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Free nomination by Sunday, December 19. $1,000 to enter. $100,000 Guaranteed. A supplemental nomination fee of $100 may be made prior to closing time of entries. After payment of 1% to all owners of horses finishing sixth through last, 62% of the remaining purse shall be paid to the owner of the winner, 20% to second, 10% to third, 5% to fourth, and 3% to fifth. Weight: Three Year Olds: 123 lbs. Older: 125 lbs. Non-winners of a non-restricted stake in 2021 allowed 2 lbs.; three races other than maiden, claiming, starter or State-Bred allowance, 4 lbs. Starters to be named by usual time of closing. All fees shall be paid prior to the start of the race. Preference will be given to stakes winners in 2021, non-restricted stakes placed in 2020-21, then by highest earnings in 2021. Trophy to the winning owner. (If deemed inadvisable to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the Tapeta Course at Five Furlongs) (Rail at 30 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 8 Carotari 7/5 Saez L Lynch Brian A. SFL 358 30.45 1.32/$1
096.3776 4 Breakthrough 20/1 Beato I Avila Juan Carlos 358 30.45 1.32/$1
095.9413 2 Xy Speed 7/2 Lopez P Bennett Gerald S. J 358 30.45 1.32/$1
094.6289 7 Yes I Am Free 10/1 Reyes L Cazares Laura 358 30.45 1.32/$1
094.3800 1 Smokin' Jay 8/1 Gonzalez E Danner Kelsey 358 30.45 1.32/$1
093.2671 6 Extravagant Kid 3/1 Gaffalione T Walsh Brendan P. EWC 358 30.45 1.32/$1
091.3758 3 Omaha City 20/1 Jaramillo E Jehaludi Mohamed 358 30.45 1.32/$1
088.2401 5 Romario 12/1 Vasquez M A Passley Mark T 358 30.45 1.32/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 26.09, ROI 0.70/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -3.6224
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Does Not Carry High Weight


12/31/21, GP, Race 2, 12.58 ET
12/31/21,GP,2,1M [Dirt] 1:33:01 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $24,000 (includes up to $4,000 FHBPA-FOA - FHBPA Florida Owners Awards). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS SINCE DECEMBER 31, 2019 OR CLAIMING PRICE $16,000. Three Year Olds, 121 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since September 30 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000 (Races Where Entered For $12,500 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Trappezoid 7/5 Sutherland C Delgado Jorge F 219 39.27 1.07/$1
097.2440 4 Brasstown 7/2 Saez L Sano Antonio JL 47 40.43 1.57/$1
097.0615 2 Chucky 12/1 Hernandez R M Delgado Jorge SE 47 40.43 1.57/$1
096.2922 1 Hero Tiger 4/1 Reyes L Avila Juan Carlos 70 31.43 1.18/$1
094.9726 6 Blessed Journey 9/2 Meneses M Perez Carlos Luis C 70 31.43 1.18/$1
094.6621 5 One Eyed Jack 6/1 Vasquez M A Amado Enrique W 47 40.43 1.57/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 43.75, ROI 1.28/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.7560
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Not Less Than Today


12/31/21, GP, Race 3, 1.30 ET
12/31/21,GP,3,1 1/16M [Dirt About] 00:00:00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $23,000 (includes up to $3,000 FHBPA-FOA - FHBPA Florida Owners Awards). FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 120 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Laniakea Storm 8/5 Saez L D'Angelo Jose Francisc E 358 30.45 1.32/$1
098.1473 5 Amazin Queen 8/1 Reyes L Pita Daniel SF 358 30.45 1.32/$1
098.0554 4 Paintbrush 9/2 Lopez P Dibona Bobby S. JT 358 30.45 1.32/$1
097.8491 8 Cagua 5/1 Gaffalione T Sano Antonio W 358 30.45 1.32/$1
096.3696 1 Blame the Vets 3/1 Coa K J Proctor Thomas F. L 358 30.45 1.32/$1
096.3613 3 Livinherbestlife 12/1 Alvarado J Davis Christopher 358 30.45 1.32/$1
094.8747 2 She Is Royalty 20/1 Reyes L R Gonzalez Javier E. C 358 30.45 1.32/$1
092.9565 6 Enough Rain 30/1 Boraco D Duco Luis 358 30.45 1.32/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 26.09, ROI 0.70/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.8527
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Does Not Carry High Weight


12/31/21, GP, Race 4, 1.58 ET
12/31/21,GP,4,1 3/16M [Dirt About] 00:00:00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $60,000 (includes up to $7,000 FHBPA-FOA - FHBPA Florida Owners Awards). For Maidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old and Upward Three Year Olds, 121 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs.(Preference To Horses That Have Not Started For Less Than $30,000 In Their Last 3 Starts).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Except Temptation 8/1 Lopez P Albertrani Thomas JS 358 30.45 1.32/$1
099.9042 7 Red Light Racer 3/1 Gaffalione T Joseph. Jr. Saffie A. TC 358 30.45 1.32/$1
099.6146 1 Scarabea 4/1 Leparoux J R Sisterson Jack FL 358 30.45 1.32/$1
099.1920 2 Cielo d'Oro 7/2 Alvarado J Day Phillips Catherine E 358 30.45 1.32/$1
097.6012 5 Sitting Pretty 9/2 Castellano J Clement Christophe W 358 30.45 1.32/$1
095.5798 3 Viva La Red 5/1 Maragh R R Biancone Patrick L. 358 30.45 1.32/$1
095.3443 4 Zuri 8/1 Saez L Harty Eoin G. 358 30.45 1.32/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 26.09, ROI 0.70/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0958
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Does Not Carry High Weight


12/31/21, GP, Race 5, 2.28 ET
12/31/21,GP,5,1 3/8M [Turf] 2:10:04 STAKES. Via Borghese Stakes. Purse $100,000. FILLIES AND MARES, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Free nomination by Sunday, December 19. $1,000 to enter.$100,000 Guaranteed. A supplemental nomination fee of $100 may be made prior to closing time of entries. After payment of 1% to all owners of horses finishing sixth through last, 62% of the remaining purse shall be paid to the owner of the winner, 20% to second, 10% to third, 5% to fourth and 3% to fifth. Weight: Three Year Olds: 122 lbs. Older: 125 lbs. Non-winners of a graded stakes race over a mile on turf since June 1 allowed 2 lbs.; a stakes race over a mile in 2021 or three races other than maiden, claiming, starter or State-Bred allowance, 4 lbs. Starters to be named by usual time of closing. All fees shall be paid prior to the start of the race.Preference will be given to graded stakes winners in 2020-21, graded stakes placed in 2020-21, non-restricted stakes winners in 2020-21 then by highest earnings in 2020-21. Trophy to the Winning Owner. (If deemed inadvisable to run this race over the turff course, it will be run on the Tapeta Course at One Mile and One Half Miles) (Rail at 30 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Candy Flower 5/2 Jaramillo E Maker Michael J. SL 358 30.45 1.32/$1
095.9706 10 Always Shopping(b-) 9/2 Gaffalione T Pletcher Todd A. TW 358 30.45 1.32/$1
093.1227 4 Sorrel (IRE) 5/1 Lopez P Clement Christophe J 358 30.45 1.32/$1
091.4681 1 Sweet Serenade 8/1 Wilson E Attfield Roger L. FC 358 30.45 1.32/$1
091.2399 3 Beautiful Lover 7/2 Saez L Clement Christophe E 358 30.45 1.32/$1
089.2762 8 Key Biscayne 20/1 Sutherland C Alvarado Juan 358 30.45 1.32/$1
087.1151 7 Harajuku (IRE) 10/1 Alvarado J Motion H. Graham 358 30.45 1.32/$1
086.2079 9 Kelsey's Cross 20/1 Maragh R R Biancone Patrick L. 358 30.45 1.32/$1
084.9878 6 Onyx 30/1 Hernandez R M Alvarado Juan 358 30.45 1.32/$1
084.7140 5 Hungry Kitten 10/1 Castellano J McGaughey III Claude R 358 30.45 1.32/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 26.09, ROI 0.70/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -4.0294
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Does Not Carry High Weight


12/31/21, GP, Race 6, 2.58 ET
12/31/21,GP,6,5 1/2F [Dirt About] 00:00:00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $23,000 (includes up to $3,000 FHBPA-FOA - FHBPA Florida Owners Awards). FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 121 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Awesome Family 8/5 Gaffalione T Nicks Ralph E. JSFE 358 30.45 1.32/$1
096.7183 6 Admiral Truffles 6/1 Berrios H I Mongeon Kathy P. 358 30.45 1.32/$1
096.6349 2 G C Cam 9/2 Saez L Sano Antonio WC 358 30.45 1.32/$1
096.4825 3 Joyful Surprise 5/1 Martinez G A Negrete Javier 358 30.45 1.32/$1
096.4824 5 Mindship Q 8/1 Alvarado J Amaya Gustavo 358 30.45 1.32/$1
096.4309 9 Master Q 10/1 Reyes L Cioffi Antonio 358 30.45 1.32/$1
096.1799 4 D Black Mamba 20/1 Vasquez M A Tharrenos William 358 30.45 1.32/$1
096.0305 8 Can't Be Broken 12/1 Reyes L R Catanese. III Joseph C 358 30.45 1.32/$1
094.9692 1 High Press 12/1 Panici L Catanese Ralph J. T 358 30.45 1.32/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 26.09, ROI 0.70/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -3.2817
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Does Not Carry High Weight


12/31/21, GP, Race 7, 3.29 ET
12/31/21,GP,7,7F [Dirt] 1:20:01 ALLOWANCE. Purse $54,000. FOR STATE BRED TWO YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Allowed 2 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 So Determined 7/5 Saez L Pletcher Todd A. FEC 53 47.17 1.18/$1
097.1661 2 Cyberviking 9/2 Sutherland C Delgado Jorge TS 70 31.43 1.18/$1
096.8637 1 Biz Biz Buzz 3/1 Castellano J Trombetta Michael J. W 47 40.43 1.57/$1
095.6434 3 Clapton 4/1 Jaramillo E Alvarado Juan 47 40.43 1.57/$1
094.3703 5 The Green Crusader 10/1 Lopez P Shaw John E. J 47 40.43 1.57/$1
093.6171 6 One More Score 10/1 Gaffalione T Abreu Fernando L 70 31.43 1.18/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 43.75, ROI 1.28/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.8339
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] No Lasix Today


12/31/21, GP, Race 8, 4.07 ET
12/31/21,GP,8,5F [Turf] 00:53:03 STAKES. Abundantia Stakes. Purse $100,000. FILLIES AND MARES, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Free nomination by Sunday, December 19. $1,000 to enter.$100,000 Guaranteed. A supplemental nomination fee of $100 may be made prior to closing time of entries. After payment of 1% to all owners of horses finishing sixth through last, 62% of the remaining purse shall be paid to the owner of the winner, 20% to second, 10% to third, 5% to fourth, and 3% to fifth. Weight: Three Year Olds: 123 lbs. Older: 125 lbs. Non-winners of a non-restricted stake in 2021 allowed 2 lbs.; three races other than maiden, claiming, starter or State-Bred allowance, 4 lbs. Starters to be named by usual time of closing. All fees shall be paid prior to the start of the race. Preference will be given to stakes winners in 2021, non-restricted stakes placed in 2020-21, then by highest earnings in 2021. Trophy to the winning owner. (If deemed inadvisable to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the Tapeta Course at Five Furlongs) (Rail at 30 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Miss Auramet 2/1 Saez L Plesa. Jr. Edward S 358 30.45 1.32/$1
099.9296 10 Palomita 15/1 Jaramillo E Fawkes David 358 30.45 1.32/$1
098.4449 3 Cat's Astray 20/1 Sutherland C Arias Juan D. WL 358 30.45 1.32/$1
096.8389 2 Introduced 9/2 Leparoux J R Duarte. Jr. Jorge E 358 30.45 1.32/$1
096.6597 7 Miss J McKay 7/2 Gaffalione T Clement Christophe T 358 30.45 1.32/$1
095.2744 6 Drapes 12/1 Gonzalez E Proctor Thomas F. 358 30.45 1.32/$1
094.5986 8 Ambassador Luna 15/1 Lanerie C J Colebrook Ben 358 30.45 1.32/$1
094.2897 9 Morning Molly 20/1 Coa K J Proctor Thomas F. 358 30.45 1.32/$1
092.4153 4 Strong Odor 8/1 Castellano J Maker Michael J. 358 30.45 1.32/$1
092.1045 11 Beautiful Grace 10/1 Lopez P Bennett Gerald S. J 358 30.45 1.32/$1
089.6002 1 Dana's Beauty 20/1 Vasquez M A Russell Randall R. C 358 30.45 1.32/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 26.09, ROI 0.70/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0704
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Does Not Carry High Weight


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