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Top Horse Analytics: 12/31/2021 Picks and Results - SA


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.11.30a)

Track: SA
Start Of Statistics - 12/31/2020
Past Number of Races - 851

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
39.13 0.89   8.80   Favorites
37.83 0.92 17.00   Morning Line Favorites
33.96 1.07 61.80   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

12/31/21, SA, Race 1, 12.30 PT
12/31/21,SA,1,7F [Dirt] 1:19:04 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $67,000 (plus up to $20,100 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Distractedprincess 2/1 Velazquez J R Baffert Bob JT 379 36.41 1.11/$1
096.1425 6 What a Feeling 4/1 Cedillo A Wong Jonathan WL 241 42.32 1.25/$1
093.7353 7 Angel of Freedom 5/2 Gonzalez R Shirreffs John A. FEC 241 42.32 1.25/$1
091.7664 2 Ever Smart 7/2 Pyfer J Drysdale Neil D. 206 27.67 1.24/$1
091.5459 4 Map to My Heart 5/1 Van Dyke D Koriner Brian J. S 241 42.32 1.25/$1
090.9324 5 Wiki Wahine 15/1 Ellingwood E A Headley Karen 206 27.67 1.24/$1
088.8674 1 Life in Paradise(b-) 30/1 Baze T Polanco Marcelo 206 27.67 1.24/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.37, ROI 2.07/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -3.8575
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Does Not Carry High Weight


12/31/21, SA, Race 2, 1.00 PT
12/31/21,SA,2,1M [Dirt] 1:33:02 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $40,000 (plus up to $4,800 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR TWO YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS OR CLAIMING PRICE $50,000. Weight, 122 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000 Horses That Have Won Two (2) Or More Races Must Carry An Additional Two (2) LBS (All Horses Are Equal And WillGet A Draw).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 King Apollo 2/1 Rispoli U Mulhall Kristin J 86 44.19 1.51/$1
099.6549 3 Fowler Blue 5/2 Maldonado E A Mendez Luis SF 206 27.67 1.24/$1
098.3304 6 Bright Leaf 5/2 Ellingwood E A Sadler John W. T 241 42.32 1.25/$1
097.8493 1 Arrabiata 4/1 Gutierrez M O'Neill Doug F. E 241 42.32 1.25/$1
097.5418 4 Town Boy 6/1 Cedillo A Eurton Peter L 206 27.67 1.24/$1
093.3112 5 Socal Red 20/1 Curatolo R Knapp Steve WC 206 27.67 1.24/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.37, ROI 2.07/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.3451
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race (Sprint Or Route) Not Same As Today


12/31/21, SA, Race 3, 1.30 PT
12/31/21,SA,3,6F [Dirt] 1:07:00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $67,000. FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Feeling Grazeful 2/1 Prat F Spawr William JFEL 241 42.32 1.25/$1
095.2637 1 Smitten by Kitten 5/1 Cedillo A Glatt Mark SC 241 42.32 1.25/$1
094.7097 4 Belleo's Music 8/1 Frey K Kruljac J. Eric W 206 27.67 1.24/$1
094.1628 2 Self Isolation 5/2 Gutierrez M O'Neill Doug F. 241 42.32 1.25/$1
093.0397 5 Annietown 8/1 Herrera D A Glatt Mark 241 42.32 1.25/$1
090.9901 3 All Dialed In 7/2 Baze T McCarthy Sean 241 42.32 1.25/$1
090.1644 7 Cayton Kid 12/1 Smith M E Cassidy James M. 241 42.32 1.25/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.37, ROI 2.07/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -4.7363
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] 5f Workout Since Last Race


12/31/21, SA, Race 4, 2.00 PT
12/31/21,SA,4,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:13:01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $67,000 (plus up to $20,100 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 122 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 McLaren Vale 8/5 Velazquez J R Baffert Bob TW 379 36.41 1.11/$1
098.1766 5 Top Secret 5/2 Hernandez J J Mandella Richard E. J 206 27.67 1.24/$1
095.8051 3 B Dawk 3/1 Rispoli U O'Neill Doug F. FEC 241 42.32 1.25/$1
093.9394 1 Godsend 5/2 Smith M E O'Neill Doug F. SL 241 42.32 1.25/$1
092.7265 6 Balladeer 12/1 Herrera D A Baltas Richard 206 27.67 1.24/$1
090.9810 4 Pec Tacular 6/1 Baze T Hess. Jr. Robert B. 241 42.32 1.25/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.37, ROI 2.07/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.8234
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Does Not Carry High Weight


12/31/21, SA, Race 5, 2.30 PT
12/31/21,SA,5,7F [Dirt] 1:19:04 CLAIMING. Purse $43,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since October 31 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $32,000, For Each $2,000 To $28,000 2 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 California Street 6/5 Rispoli U Yakteen Tim JFE 89 50.56 1.68/$1
098.7050 2 Italiano 9/5 Cedillo A Trujillo Victor M. 89 50.56 1.68/$1
098.5120 5 Zimba Warrior 7/2 Rojas Fernandez E K Dollase Craig T 206 27.67 1.24/$1
095.9705 3 Invictatatus 12/1 Herrera D A Pineda Milton G. L 206 27.67 1.24/$1
093.4562 1 Heartfullofstars 5/1 Baze T Alvarez Edwin G. WC 89 50.56 1.68/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.37, ROI 2.07/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.2950
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] 5f Workout Since Last Race  -with-
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Sprint With Sprint Today


12/31/21, SA, Race 6, 3.00 PT
12/31/21,SA,6,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:13:01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $67,000 (plus up to $20,100 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 122 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Got Thunder 6/5 Prat F Sadler John W. JSFEL 241 42.32 1.25/$1
096.9409 1 Wharton 3/1 Velazquez J R Baffert Bob 206 27.67 1.24/$1
094.3995 5 Armagnac 5/2 Smith M E Baffert Bob W 206 27.67 1.24/$1
092.1307 4 Blue Dog 20/1 Espinoza V Headley Karen 241 42.32 1.25/$1
091.4004 3 Don't Swear Dave 10/1 Gutierrez M O'Neill Doug F. C 241 42.32 1.25/$1
090.6061 2 Mo Them Down 5/1 Van Dyke D D'Amato Philip 241 42.32 1.25/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.37, ROI 2.07/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -3.0591
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] 5f Workout Since Last Race


12/31/21, SA, Race 7, 3.30 PT
12/31/21,SA,7,1M [Dirt] 1:33:02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $67,000 (plus up to $20,100 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 122 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Flying Drummer 8/5 Velazquez J R Baffert Bob JTFE 241 42.32 1.25/$1
095.5910 4 Trebbiano 4/1 Cedillo A Mulhall Kristin L 206 27.67 1.24/$1
095.4958 5 Moment of Peace 5/2 Bravo J Sadler John W. S 241 42.32 1.25/$1
094.1879 2 South Street 6/1 Desormeaux K J Shirreffs John A. C 241 42.32 1.25/$1
093.3025 1 Noble Union 4/1 Gonzalez R Shirreffs John A. 241 42.32 1.25/$1
092.7265 3 Cover Me Up 12/1 Herrera D A Baltas Richard W 241 42.32 1.25/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.37, ROI 2.07/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -4.4090
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] 5f Workout Since Last Race


12/31/21, SA, Race 8, 4.00 PT
12/31/21,SA,8,6F [Dirt] 1:07:00 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $72,000 (plus up to $21,600 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $80,000. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races OtherThan Maiden, Claiming Or Starter Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $80,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Canadian Pride 5/2 Prat F Eurton Peter J 89 50.56 1.68/$1
098.9528 5 Took Charge 2/1 Velazquez J R Baltas Richard L 89 50.56 1.68/$1
098.7046 6 Arham 5/2 Hernandez J J Cerin Vladimir TFC 206 27.67 1.24/$1
096.5125 1 Strongconstitution 5/1 Rispoli U O'Neill Doug F. SW 206 27.67 1.24/$1
095.7714 3 Loud Mouth 6/1 Cedillo A Knapp Steve 89 50.56 1.68/$1
094.3731 2 Ground Attack 10/1 Ellingwood E A Headley Karen E 89 50.56 1.68/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.37, ROI 2.07/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.0472
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] 5f Workout Since Last Race  -with-
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Sprint With Sprint Today


12/31/21, SA, Race 9, 4.30 PT
12/31/21,SA,9,6F [Dirt] 1:07:00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $24,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Careless Kitten(b-) 7/2 Desormeaux K J Brinkerhoff Val SF 241 42.32 1.25/$1
099.9959 1 Settecento 4/1 Cedillo A Sise. Jr. Clifford W. T 206 27.67 1.24/$1
098.4192 9 Quantum Quest 12/1 Frey K Oviedo Philip A. J 241 42.32 1.25/$1
096.5758 7 Irresistibly Sexy(b-) 8/1 Maldonado E A Kruljac Ian C 206 27.67 1.24/$1
096.2828 3 Dutch Bus 6/1 Herrera D A Heap Blake R. 206 27.67 1.24/$1
094.8833 12 The Boss Harty 10/1 Bravo J Harty Eoin G. L 241 42.32 1.25/$1
093.9647 10 No Malice 12/1 Alsagoor A Treece Charles S. 206 27.67 1.24/$1
093.6496 13 Circle Back 12/1 Gonzalez R Hess. Jr. Robert B. 241 42.32 1.25/$1
093.3474 2 Verragio 8/1 Baze T McCarthy Sean 206 27.67 1.24/$1
091.9382 4 Heredia Boxer 5/1 Barnett W A Heredia Oscar EW 206 27.67 1.24/$1
091.5149 5 Drew Big 20/1 Ellingwood E A Yakteen Tim 241 42.32 1.25/$1
000.0000 8 Humboldt 1/5 No Rider Yet 206 27.67 1.24/$1
000.0000 11 Whacko Kid 1/5 No Rider Yet 241 42.32 1.25/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.37, ROI 2.07/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0041
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] 5f Workout Since Last Race


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