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Top Horse Analytics: 12/31/2021 Picks and Results - AQU


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.11.30a)

Track: AQU
Start Of Statistics - 12/19/2020
Past Number of Races - 730

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
37.66 0.90   9.20   Favorites
34.72 0.88 17.00   Morning Line Favorites
31.03 1.01 42.80   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

12/31/21, AQU, Race 1, 12.50 ET
12/31/21,AQU,1,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $80,000. (UP TO $13,920 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Castle Chaos 1/1 Carmouche K Falcone. Jr. Robert N. JTE 55 45.45 1.49/$1
099.0930 1 Comedic Timing(b+) 9/2 McCarthy T Sacco Gregory D. FC 212 23.58 1.11/$1
096.2352 2 Everesting 10/1 Samuel J L Dharamjit Darmindra L 40 25.00 1.52/$1
095.2331 5 Mandatory 8/5 Davis D Kimmel John C. SW 40 25.00 1.52/$1
094.8221 3 Exalted Charm 8/1 Gomez J A Breen Kelly J. 137 33.58 1.11/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.19, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.9070
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Less Than Today


12/31/21, AQU, Race 2, 1.19 ET
12/31/21,AQU,2,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 CLAIMING. Purse $28,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $14,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time OfClaim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Magnetique 6/5 Carmouche K Nevin Michelle JTFEL 59 38.98 1.26/$1
098.1053 1 Addilyn 2/1 Worrie A S Englehart Jeffrey S. S 59 38.98 1.26/$1
096.3392 2 Awesomenewyear 10/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Richards Marvin C 59 38.98 1.26/$1
096.1154 3 Mia Bea Star 3/1 Hernandez Moreno O Noda Orlando W 37 43.24 1.44/$1
095.5244 4 Calibogue Sound 12/1 Gomez J A Rodriguez Rudy R. 37 43.24 1.44/$1
093.8769 6 Super Twenty Seven 15/1 Samuel J L Noda Orlando 59 38.98 1.26/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.19, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.8947
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Was Sprint With Route Today


12/31/21, AQU, Race 3, 1.44 ET
12/31/21,AQU,3,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $43,000. (UP TO $7,482 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Runninsonofagun 9/5 Davis D Morey William E. JTEC 120 35.00 1.18/$1
099.5796 6 Good Skate 3/1 McCarthy T Rodriguez Rudy R. SF 120 35.00 1.18/$1
095.2924 7 Johnselectricride 5/1 Franco M Rodriguez Rudy R. 120 35.00 1.18/$1
094.8461 5 Gun Maestro 4/1 Cancel E Jerkens James A. 120 35.00 1.18/$1
093.1805 8 Actualize 20/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Chapman James K. 120 35.00 1.18/$1
092.1968 2 Clash A. J. 12/1 Ramos C Jones Eduardo E. W 120 35.00 1.18/$1
091.7291 9 Chief Engineer 30/1 Mena R E Cash Russell J. 120 35.00 1.18/$1
091.4831 1 U Kant Whip It 8/1 Lezcano J Breen Kelly J. L 212 23.58 1.11/$1
090.8222 4 Exceptional 30/1 Harkie H K Dharamjit Darmindra 120 35.00 1.18/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.19, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.4204
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Type Maiden Claiming


12/31/21, AQU, Race 4, 2.11 ET
12/31/21,AQU,4,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:14:02 CLAIMING. Purse $36,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 9 Violentiam 6/1 Davis J A Grusmark Karl M. F 111 34.23 1.12/$1
098.8055 6 Mazal Eighteen 3/1 Davis D Lee Joseph R. J 415 29.64 0.87/$1
098.6158 5 Hey It's Tati 5/1 Morrison A Gargan Danny T 111 34.23 1.12/$1
096.9378 1 R Working Girl 6/1 Harkie H K Kantarmaci Mertkan EL 82 37.80 1.14/$1
096.7840 7 Infringement 5/2 Lezcano J Hennig Mark A. 206 36.41 1.07/$1
095.9107 2 Empires First Lady 8/1 Franco M Cash Russell J. SC 49 48.98 1.37/$1
093.3720 8 Lot of Honey 20/1 Ramos C Ferraro James W. 82 37.80 1.14/$1
093.1131 4 Handle the Truth 15/1 Hernandez Moreno O Metivier Richard W 111 34.23 1.12/$1
092.0645 3 Ghostghostghost 12/1 McCarthy T Schettino Domenick L. 206 36.41 1.07/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.19, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.1945
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Greater Than Today


12/31/21, AQU, Race 5, 2.38 ET
12/31/21,AQU,5,1 1/8M [Dirt] 1:47:00 CLAIMING. Purse $50,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $20,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Runningforhome 8/1 Carmouche K Servis J. Tyler JFL 46 39.13 1.15/$1
097.0479 5 Vettori Kin (BRZ) 6/1 Davis D Atras Rob 42 28.57 1.17/$1
097.0284 3 Blewitt 8/5 Franco M Atras Rob E 415 29.64 0.87/$1
096.4203 4 Dark Storm 3/1 Cancel E Weaver George 206 36.41 1.07/$1
095.7398 2 Direct Order 6/1 McCarthy T Barker Edward R. C 415 29.64 0.87/$1
095.1155 8 Regal Quality 10/1 Mena R E Rodriguez Rudy R. 415 29.64 0.87/$1
093.0569 1 Heavy Roller 20/1 Davis J A Jones Eduardo E. 59 38.98 1.26/$1
092.7925 7 Microscope 8/1 Hernandez B Sciacca Gary W 206 36.41 1.07/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.19, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.9521
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *2nd Horse 97 Rating And Top Horse 100 Rating
*Scratches may change this condition

12/31/21, AQU, Race 6, 3.08 ET
12/31/21,AQU,6,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $84,000. (UP TO $14,616 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $62,500. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race In 2021 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $62,500 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim OtherwiseClaim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Untreated 9/5 Ortiz J L Pletcher Todd A. J 111 41.44 1.19/$1
099.1257 4 Buy Land and See(b+) 8/1 Carmouche K Dutrow Anthony W. SWC 45 48.89 1.49/$1
098.9495 1 Mexican Wonder Boy 6/1 Lezcano J Rice Linda F 111 41.44 1.19/$1
097.9773 10 Croatian 6/1 McCarthy T Dutrow Anthony W. 111 41.44 1.19/$1
097.6557 2 Boldish 10/1 Cancel E Rice Linda 111 41.44 1.19/$1
097.3702 5 Prioritize 5/1 Davis D Bond H. James E 111 41.44 1.19/$1
096.0632 7 Two Thirty Five 10/1 Franco M Englehart Jeffrey S. 111 41.44 1.19/$1
094.8896 8 Parsimony 10/1 Morrison A Gargan Danny T 111 41.44 1.19/$1
093.9979 3 Lost in Rome 30/1 Fragoso P Parker Joseph G. 111 41.44 1.19/$1
092.5992 9 Pioneer Spirit 20/1 Harkie H K Kantarmaci Mertkan L 111 41.44 1.19/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.19, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.8743
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Purse Greater Than $75K


12/31/21, AQU, Race 7, 3.36 ET
12/31/21,AQU,7,1 1/8M [Dirt] 1:47:00 STAKES. Alex M. Robb Stakes. Purse $100,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Non-Lasix Race pursuant to 4043.2 (7)(e)(5) Lasix not permitted within 48 hours of post time. By subscription of $100 each which should accompany the nomination; $500 to pass the entry box and an additional $500 to start. For horses not originally nominated, a supplemental nomination payment of $1,000 (along with the entry and starting fees) may be made at any time prior to the closing of entries. The purse to be divided 55% to the owner of the winner, 20% to second, 12% to third, 6% to fourth, 4% to fifth and 3% divided equally amongst the remaining finishers. Three year olds 123 lbs., Older 126 lbs. Non-winners of a Sweepstake at a mile or over since June 1, 2021 allowed 3 lbs.; of a Sweepstake in 2021 or two races at a mile or over other than maiden, claiming, starter or state-bred allowance since June 1, 2021 allowed 5 lbs. A trophy will be presented to the winning owner. Closed Saturday, December 18, 2021 with 13 Nominations.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Sea Foam 5/2 Carmouche K Giangiulio Michelle TL 111 41.44 1.19/$1
096.6543 9 Tiergan 9/2 Mena R E Rodriguez Rudy R. F 111 41.44 1.19/$1
096.2615 5 Our Last Buck 6/1 Franco M Nevin Michelle 111 41.44 1.19/$1
095.6843 2 Danny California 4/1 Ortiz J L Rodriguez Rudy R. J 111 41.44 1.19/$1
095.2662 6 Wild Banker 12/1 Davis D Summers Chad C 111 41.44 1.19/$1
095.0369 8 Captain Bombastic 8/1 Lezcano J Asmussen Steven M. W 111 41.44 1.19/$1
094.1434 3 Brooklyn Strong 6/1 Adorno A Velazquez Daniel E 111 41.44 1.19/$1
093.8768 1 Kaz's Beach 20/1 McCarthy T Synnefias Dimitrios K. 111 41.44 1.19/$1
093.7993 7 Chowda 10/1 Cancel E Sciacca Gary 111 41.44 1.19/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.19, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -3.3457
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Purse Greater Than $75K


12/31/21, AQU, Race 8, 4.04 ET
12/31/21,AQU,8,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $70,000. FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Weight, 119 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 10 Curlin's Wisdom 5/2 Ortiz J L Mott William I. JTSL 75 42.67 1.34/$1
099.1302 7 Juggler 8/1 Lezcano J Vazquez Juan C. F 55 45.45 1.49/$1
098.7738 4 Excursionniste 3/1 Davis D Hennig Mark A. E 75 42.67 1.34/$1
097.2813 8 Bointheback 12/1 Franco M DiPrima Gregory 55 45.45 1.49/$1
096.5281 6 Bossmakinbossmoves 4/1 McCarthy T Schosberg Richard E. C 55 45.45 1.49/$1
096.4256 5 Salute to America 10/1 Carmouche K Morley Thomas 55 45.45 1.49/$1
094.6591 1 Regal Empire 15/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Thompson Marcus George 75 42.67 1.34/$1
094.5211 3 Salty Heir(b+) 10/1 Cancel E Sciacca Gary 55 45.45 1.49/$1
093.8464 2 Asap Restoration(b+) 12/1 Davis J A Toscano. Jr. John T. 55 45.45 1.49/$1
087.9659 9 Uncle Water Flow 30/1 Hernandez Moreno O Persaud Eddie W 75 42.67 1.34/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.19, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.8698
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Race Distance Route


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