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Top Horse Analytics: 12/30/2021 Picks and Results - AQU


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.11.30a)

Track: AQU
Start Of Statistics - 12/19/2020
Past Number of Races - 730

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
37.66 0.90   9.20   Favorites
34.72 0.88 17.00   Morning Line Favorites
31.03 1.01 42.80   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

12/30/21, AQU, Race 1, 12.50 ET
12/30/21,AQU,1,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $43,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Damilano 2/1 McCarthy T Bond H. James TF 120 35.00 1.18/$1
099.5768 1 Boom Boom Kaboom 4/1 Cancel E Weaver George JC 212 23.58 1.11/$1
098.4842 4 Brew Pub(b-) 8/5 Mena R E Arenas Marcelo SE 120 35.00 1.18/$1
096.4149 6 D'vinicris 9/2 Vargas. Jr. J A Donk David G. 120 35.00 1.18/$1
093.9788 5 Sir William 15/1 Ramos C Ferraro James W. 120 35.00 1.18/$1
090.1546 2 Big Little Risk 8/1 Harkie H K Simmonds Michael A. WL 120 35.00 1.18/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.19, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.4232
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Type Maiden Claiming


12/30/21, AQU, Race 2, 1.19 ET
12/30/21,AQU,2,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $80,000. (UP TO $13,920 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Diamond Collector 4/5 Cancel E Martin Carlos F. SFEC 55 45.45 1.49/$1
097.1914 2 Rosebug 5/2 Ortiz J L Mott William I. JW 40 25.00 1.52/$1
096.0253 1 Exxaltress 7/2 Davis D Brown Chad C. T 212 23.58 1.11/$1
094.3398 6 Rough Tough Love 8/1 Carmouche K Atras Rob L 55 45.45 1.49/$1
094.2942 4 Geometrique 15/1 McCarthy T Ribaudo Robert 137 33.58 1.11/$1
092.4054 3 Martini's Amica 20/1 Lezcano J Vazquez Juan C. 55 45.45 1.49/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.19, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.8086
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Less Than Today


12/30/21, AQU, Race 3, 1.44 ET
12/30/21,AQU,3,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 ALLOWANCE. Purse $72,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 2 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Top of the Mint 7/2 Lezcano J Hennig Mark A. F 59 38.98 1.26/$1
099.5638 3 Quickflash 3/1 McCarthy T Dutrow Anthony W. TEWL 59 38.98 1.26/$1
099.2773 5 Emperor's Cause 9/5 Davis D Williams Matthew J. 82 37.80 1.14/$1
098.1476 2 Run for Boston 4/1 Carmouche K Ryerson James T. J 415 29.64 0.87/$1
096.7718 1 Anything Pazible 8/1 Davis J A Jones Eduardo E. SC 33 39.39 1.47/$1
096.2543 6 Kodiak Brown 6/1 Cancel E Englehart Chris J. 111 34.23 1.12/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.19, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.4362
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Was Sprint With Route Today


12/30/21, AQU, Race 4, 2.11 ET
12/30/21,AQU,4,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 CLAIMING. Purse $37,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 3 Alfie Solomons 2/1 Ortiz J L Ward Wesley A. JTSE 40 22.50 1.46/$1
097.2590 1 Dee Bo 4/1 Davis D Englehart Jeffrey S. FW 82 37.80 1.14/$1
096.5145 6 Conformist 8/1 Cancel E Englehart Chris J. 82 37.80 1.14/$1
096.3059 2 Hoopla 3/1 Ramos C Falcone. Jr. Robert N. L 206 36.41 1.07/$1
095.3482 5 Demo Doctor 7/2 McCarthy T Klesaris Robert P. 206 36.41 1.07/$1
095.0409 7 What's My Category 10/1 Carmouche K Grusmark Karl M. 206 36.41 1.07/$1
091.6457 4 Obsessed 15/1 Camacho. Jr. S DeLauro Edward J. C 111 34.23 1.12/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.19, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.7410
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Earnings Turf Prev_Curr*0.0 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

12/30/21, AQU, Race 5, 2.38 ET
12/30/21,AQU,5,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $80,000. (UP TO $13,920 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Urban Forest 5/2 Ortiz J L Mott William I. JSFC 40 25.00 1.52/$1
097.4969 2 Inevtabl Conection 3/1 Carmouche K Klesaris Steve EL 40 25.00 1.52/$1
095.9491 1 Kobe's Legacy 8/1 Cancel E Englehart Chris J. T 212 23.58 1.11/$1
095.6607 3 Our Shot 9/2 Davis D Terranova II John P. 137 33.58 1.11/$1
095.5511 5 Check That Chip 6/1 Lezcano J Rodriguez Gustavo 137 33.58 1.11/$1
095.5147 7 Cathedral Beach 5/1 Franco M Weaver George 137 33.58 1.11/$1
095.4467 6 Rhumjar 6/1 McCarthy T Hills Timothy A. W 40 25.00 1.52/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.19, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.5031
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Finish Turf Last 1 (M)


12/30/21, AQU, Race 6, 3.08 ET
12/30/21,AQU,6,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 CLAIMING. Purse $36,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 El Mayor 3/1 Ortiz J L DePaz Horacio JS 33 39.39 1.47/$1
099.0834 7 Corkman 7/2 Lezcano J Rice Linda 206 36.41 1.07/$1
098.2222 2 Noble Journey(b+) 5/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Jerkens James A. FE 206 36.41 1.07/$1
098.1083 1 Make It in Ny 9/2 Franco M Schosberg Richard E. C 59 38.98 1.26/$1
096.9477 5 Rocco Strong(b-) 9/2 Davis D Martin Carlos F. 59 38.98 1.26/$1
095.7842 3 Air Show 6/1 McCarthy T Morley Thomas TL 37 43.24 1.44/$1
095.0991 8 Straight Skinny 15/1 Camacho. Jr. S Chichakly Amira W 59 38.98 1.26/$1
094.8923 4 Coach Bahe 15/1 Harkie H K Barrera. III Oscar S. 59 38.98 1.26/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.19, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.9166
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Greater Than Today  -with-
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Best Speed


12/30/21, AQU, Race 7, 3.36 ET
12/30/21,AQU,7,1 1/8M [Dirt] 1:47:00 STAKES. Bay Ridge Stakes. Purse $100,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE BRED REGISTRY. Non-Lasix Race pursuant to 4043.2 (7)(e)(5) Lasix not permitted within 48 hours of post time. By subscription of $100 each which should accompany the nomination; $500 to pass the entry box and an additional $500 to start. For horses not originally nominated, a supplemental payment of $1,000 (along with the entry and starting fees) may be made at any time prior to the closing of entries. The purse to be divided 55% to the owner of the winner, 20% to second, 12% to third, 6% to fourth, 4% to fifth and 3% divided equally amongst the remaining finishers. Three Year Olds, 123 lbs.; Older 126 lbs. Non-winners of a Sweepstake at a mile or over since June 1, 2021 allowed 3 lbs.; of a Sweepstake in 2021 or two races at a mile or over other than maiden, claiming, starter or state-bred allowance since June 1, 2021 allowed 5 lbs. A presentation will be made to the winning owner. Closed Saturday, December 18, 2021 with 10 Nominations.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Ice Princess 8/5 Lezcano J Gargan Danny T 111 41.44 1.19/$1
099.3569 2 Maiden Beauty 2/1 Carmouche K Falcone. Jr. Robert N. WL 111 41.44 1.19/$1
099.1938 3 Sharp Starr 9/5 Ortiz J L DePaz Horacio JS 45 48.89 1.49/$1
097.8394 4 Amity Island 15/1 Franco M DePaz Horacio FC 111 41.44 1.19/$1
097.0106 1 Byhubbyhellomoney 6/1 Cancel E Dunham Bob G. E 111 41.44 1.19/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.19, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.6431
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Purse Greater Than $75K


12/30/21, AQU, Race 8, 4.04 ET
12/30/21,AQU,8,1M [Dirt] 1:32:02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $32,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 121 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 My Boy Colton 7/2 McCarthy T Jerkens James A. FE 23 60.87 2.40/$1
097.2344 9 Total Effort(b+) 3/5 Franco M Pletcher Todd A. JTC 23 60.87 2.40/$1
097.1779 6 Raising Sand 8/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Martin Carlos F. 23 60.87 2.40/$1
095.7320 3 Esor 8/1 Cancel E Vazquez Juan C. WL 41 48.78 1.76/$1
094.6853 2 Alite 12/1 Gomez J A Pringle Edmund S 23 60.87 2.40/$1
092.6882 1 Deputies Edge(b+) 50/1 Harkie H K DiPrima Gregory 41 48.78 1.76/$1
091.8474 5 Ocean Deep 15/1 Mena R E Pregman. Jr. John S. 23 60.87 2.40/$1
091.3391 8 Prince of Joy 50/1 Hernandez B Legall Ricardo E. 41 48.78 1.76/$1
091.1026 7 Napoleon Complex 30/1 Hernandez Moreno O Metivier Richard 23 60.87 2.40/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.19, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.7656
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Less Than Today  -with-
[Dirt MdnMClm] Race Purse Not Greater Than $50K


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