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Top Horse Analytics: 12/30/2021 Picks and Results - LRL


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TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v12.21.11.30a)

Track: LRL
Start Of Statistics - 10/22/2020
Past Number of Races - 1177

WinPC   $1ROI   HiPayoff   Bet Types
37.55 0.87   9.60   Favorites
34.71 0.89 19.00   Morning Line Favorites
34.07 0.89 14.40   Top Horse (with profitable conditions)

Complete Statistics Provided at THA Weekly Statistics

Contact us at Facebook for help or to report issues: Top Horse Analytics

The Win% and ROI columns below are the win percents and return on investments that the top horse
has performed in the past year for associated compound conditions in a race. The expectation is
that these conditions will perform as well in the future.

An ROI less than 1.01 indicates that no profitable conditions exist for this entry when it's the top rated
horse. Also, be aware that abnormally high payoffs may inflate the ROI so look for a high Win% and Occurs to go
with that high ROI as your selection.

These stats are only good for the top rated horse whether it's the original (100.0000) or the top horse
resulting from scratches. Every horse in a race may have Occurs, Win%, and ROI stats in case it becomes the
top rated horse.


horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

12/30/21, LRL, Race 1, 12.25 ET
12/30/21,LRL,1,1M [Dirt] 1:34:00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $21,000. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. Three Year Olds, 124 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Claiming Price $10,000, if for $8,000, allowed 4 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 8 How Lucky 5/2 Carrasco V R DePaz Horacio SW 9 88.89 2.54/$1
098.7960 5 Diadora 10/1 Toledo J Nuesch Patrick F. JT 115 40.87 1.06/$1
097.3549 2 Home by Seven 7/2 Acosta J D Deiter Kelly Lynn FEL 115 40.87 1.06/$1
096.1294 4 Icy Harbor 9/2 Rosales V Houghton Dove P. 185 42.70 1.07/$1
096.0001 12 Union Betty 10/1 Butterfly B L Dove. Jr. Kevin 115 40.87 1.06/$1
095.0374 10 Likehail 12/1 Alvelo J C Shuman Mark 34 47.06 1.27/$1
094.6449 13 Saint Rita 15/1 Araujo D Smith Hamilton A. 115 40.87 1.06/$1
093.4514 6 Got a Good Reason 15/1 Corujo L McMullen Marilyn G. 34 47.06 1.27/$1
093.3022 1 Amaretto Sour 15/1 Carrasco C Maldonado Jonathan 64 37.50 1.01/$1
091.1137 7 Celestial Diva 20/1 Rosado J Garibay. Sr. Andres 64 37.50 1.01/$1
090.8459 3 Ohh Beehave 20/1 Batista L A Shanley Mark A. 64 37.50 1.01/$1
090.2791 11 Willow's Charm 30/1 Gomez K Mancilla Carlos A. 115 40.87 1.06/$1
087.4323 9 Monkey On My Back 50/1 Swan K Swan Kirsten 34 47.06 1.27/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 38.20, ROI 0.94/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.2040
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] 5f Workout Since Last Race  -with-
[Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Equal To Today


12/30/21, LRL, Race 2, 12.54 ET
12/30/21,LRL,2,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 CLAIMING. Purse $23,000. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR FILLIES THREE YEAR OLDS CLAIMING. Three Year Olds, 124 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000, if for $14,000, allowed 2 lbs. WINNERS OF THREEOR MORE RACES AN ADDITIONAL 3LBS.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 8 Sick Pack Sara 2/1 Enriquez Jr. M Salzman. Jr. John E. T 27 18.52 1.70/$1
098.8848 7 Little Ms Scarlet 7/2 Gomez K Gonzalez Claudio A. 27 18.52 1.70/$1
098.3907 3 Wrapper Rule 4/1 Karamanos H Allen. III A. Ferris 27 18.52 1.70/$1
097.7245 1 Live Aid 6/1 Toledo J Kirby John T. L 796 34.30 0.87/$1
097.4796 4 Miner's Gem 8/1 Cruz A McMahon Hugh I. SW 27 18.52 1.70/$1
096.6775 5 Torch Carrier 8/1 Ruiz J Frock Charles L. JFEC 27 18.52 1.70/$1
095.6352 6 Laughin' Place 12/1 Sanchez M J Shuman Mark 27 18.52 1.70/$1
094.2424 2 Always Something 15/1 Marquez C Testerman Valora A. 27 18.52 1.70/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 38.20, ROI 0.94/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.1152
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f
*Scratches may change this condition

12/30/21, LRL, Race 3, 1.22 ET
12/30/21,LRL,3,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $46,000. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 122 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 6 Whizwit 5/2 Toledo J Perkins. Jr. Benjamin E 34 47.06 1.27/$1
098.9313 9 Codigo 4/1 Rodriguez J Lynch Cathal A. JT 237 31.65 0.83/$1
097.0382 8 Good Tip 9/2 Carrasco V R Rodriguez Rudy R. 237 31.65 0.83/$1
096.2696 5 Uncaptured Spirit 5/1 Cedeno C Shuman Mark 185 42.70 1.07/$1
095.8016 2 Sagrada Ray 6/1 Araujo D Capuano Gary 237 31.65 0.83/$1
094.2926 7 Mocephus 8/1 Sanchez M J Trombetta Michael J. 237 31.65 0.83/$1
092.9016 1 Sunday Mischief 20/1 Enriquez Jr. M Salzman. Sr. John E. W 185 42.70 1.07/$1
092.5939 3 Divining Dancer 20/1 Rios-Conde A Covello Andrea A. 237 31.65 0.83/$1
092.1438 4 Call Me a Dreamer 20/1 Corujo L Vick Timothy M. 237 31.65 0.83/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 38.20, ROI 0.94/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.0687
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] First Race After 45 Days Off


12/30/21, LRL, Race 4, 1.50 ET
12/30/21,LRL,4,7F [Dirt] 1:21:00 CLAIMING. Purse $25,000. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 124 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000, if for $12,500, allowed 4 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 5 Deshackled 5/2 Marquez C Gonzalez Claudio A. S 796 34.30 0.87/$1
098.5740 6 Crownedcountcristo 3/1 Trejos J Bennett Dale EC 167 43.71 1.11/$1
098.5339 2 Sheriff Chip 4/1 Ruiz J Capuano Dale JTF 185 42.70 1.07/$1
096.8168 7 Speightster Red 6/1 Lyapustina T Gaudet Lacey W 167 43.71 1.11/$1
096.2211 4 Ice Rain 5/1 Cruz A Milosevic Milan 796 34.30 0.87/$1
095.6559 9 Disputed Notion 12/1 Butterfly B L Tapscott Carlyne 98 42.86 1.06/$1
095.3594 8 Francis X. 15/1 Araujo D Barr Donald H. 167 43.71 1.11/$1
094.7045 3 Don't Dare Me 15/1 Mendoza J Ramirez Saul L 167 43.71 1.11/$1
092.9978 1 Maximo Strong 50/1 Acosta J D Kutt Donna M. 278 39.57 1.05/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 38.20, ROI 0.94/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.4260
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats


12/30/21, LRL, Race 5, 2.20 ET
12/30/21,LRL,5,1M [Dirt] 1:34:00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $31,500. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. Three Year Olds, 124 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000, if for $20,000, allowed 4 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 11 Bakeneko 2/1 Marquez C Gonzalez Claudio A. T 115 40.87 1.06/$1
097.3532 9 Some Mo 9/2 Sanchez M J Motion H. Graham 185 42.70 1.07/$1
096.3995 10 The Big Mozz 7/2 Monterrey R Trujillo Elvis E 185 42.70 1.07/$1
096.2548 5 Toss a Coin(b+) 6/1 Boyce F Keefe Timothy L. SFC 185 42.70 1.07/$1
095.8149 6 Image Maker 12/1 Toledo J Sillaman Richard P. J 115 40.87 1.06/$1
093.7939 1 Super Scooby(b+) 15/1 Lopez C E Howard David C. 34 47.06 1.27/$1
093.4189 7 Spritzer 10/1 Butterfly B L Kee Willie J. L 115 40.87 1.06/$1
093.1604 8 Uncommon Valor 15/1 Alvelo J C Corrales Jose W 115 40.87 1.06/$1
091.1362 4 Carson and I 30/1 Enriquez Jr. M Armstrong Horace W. 237 31.65 0.83/$1
091.0416 3 Don Ciccio 30/1 Acosta J D Kutt Donna M. 237 31.65 0.83/$1
090.9436 12 Trigz Too 20/1 Rosado J Aguirre. Jr. Anthony 115 40.87 1.06/$1
089.1244 2 Its Mr Poppi to U 50/1 Batista L A Calhoun Amanda 237 31.65 0.83/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 38.20, ROI 0.94/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.6468
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Purse Higher Than Today


12/30/21, LRL, Race 6, 2.49 ET
12/30/21,LRL,6,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 CLAIMING. Purse $17,000. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JUNE 30 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. Three Year Olds, 124 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since October 30 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $5,000 (Races Where Entered For $4,000 Or Less Not Considered In Eligibility).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 4 Petion Lass 5/1 Boyce F Geralis Emanuel J. EC 27 18.52 1.70/$1
099.1849 1 Family Fortune 6/1 Lopez C E Serey. Jr. Mario 27 18.52 1.70/$1
099.1783 5 Sarah's Treasure 9/2 Lyapustina T Graham Robin L. 27 18.52 1.70/$1
098.6015 3 Eloquent Lady 6/1 Karamanos H Pradenas Sergio H. 27 18.52 1.70/$1
098.2538 10 Courageous Grace 6/1 Acosta J D Ramirez Saul 27 18.52 1.70/$1
098.1837 1A Congress Hall 6/1 Whitacre G Serey. Jr. Mario W 27 18.52 1.70/$1
095.9799 7 Caterina One 12/1 Enriquez Jr. M Salzman. Jr. John E. T 27 18.52 1.70/$1
095.9730 8 Mortal Storm 8/1 Cruz A Capuano Gary 27 18.52 1.70/$1
095.5535 11 R True Sensation 12/1 Batista L A Downs. Jr. Leonard J. L 27 18.52 1.70/$1
095.2459 13 Sheriff's Kid 12/1 Crispin A Frock Charles A. F 27 18.52 1.70/$1
093.0136 6 Cougar Vision 15/1 Trejos J Bennett Dale 27 18.52 1.70/$1
092.7901 9 Princess Killmain 20/1 Toledo J McMahon W. Thomas J 27 18.52 1.70/$1
091.2000 2 Nymue's Treasure 30/1 Alvelo J C Aguirre. Jr. Anthony 278 39.57 1.05/$1
090.5759 12 Enduros Tigress 50/1 Rosales V Shanley Mark A. 27 18.52 1.70/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 38.20, ROI 0.94/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.8151
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f
*Scratches may change this condition

12/30/21, LRL, Race 7, 3.19 ET
12/30/21,LRL,7,5 1/2F [Dirt] 1:02:01 ALLOWANCE. Purse $48,000. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING, STARTER OR MD SIRED OR MD BRED RACES OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 124 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Since October 30 Allowed 3 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 2 Montauk Daddy 9/2 Boyce F Klesaris Robert P. W 182 15.38 1.30/$1
099.6400 5 Pederson's Courage 6/1 Gomez K Russell Brittany T. T 182 15.38 1.30/$1
099.2302 13 Going to the Lead 6/1 Karamanos H Dilodovico Damon R. E 16 18.75 1.97/$1
099.2161 3 A Penn Legacy 6/1 Rodriguez J Gorham Michael E. 182 15.38 1.30/$1
098.8994 7 Abuelo Paps 6/1 Cruz A Salazar Marco P. 182 15.38 1.30/$1
096.9309 4 Seven On the Rocks 8/1 Perez X Campbell William A. C 182 15.38 1.30/$1
096.2809 9 John the Bear 10/1 Toledo J Gonzalez Claudio A. J 182 15.38 1.30/$1
095.7776 11 Charm City Band 12/1 Ortiz Y O Pickett Crystal G. S 16 18.75 1.97/$1
095.2996 1 All Threes 12/1 Araujo D Smith Hamilton A. 182 15.38 1.30/$1
094.3606 10 Shackle Cat 15/1 Acosta J D Pecoraro Anthony L 167 43.71 1.11/$1
094.0036 12 Big Tall Dawg 15/1 Marquez C Testerman Valora A. F 16 18.75 1.97/$1
092.0094 8 Rad Paisley 20/1 Monterrey R Bailes W. Robert 182 15.38 1.30/$1
090.9186 6 Uncle Roamie 30/1 Hindt K Smith Lawrence M. 182 15.38 1.30/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 38.20, ROI 0.94/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.3600
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 5f Or 5 1/2f


12/30/21, LRL, Race 8, 3.48 ET
12/30/21,LRL,8,1 1/16M [Dirt About] 1:41:01 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $52,000. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE SIRED OR STATE BRED RACES OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $35,000-$28,000. Three Year Olds, 124 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since October 30 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $35,000, if for $28,000, allowed 4 lbs. (Races Where Entered For $25,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Galerio 8/5 Acosta J D Salzman. Jr. John E. SE 182 40.11 1.05/$1
098.3589 8 He's a Shooter 6/1 Gomez K Gonzalez Claudio A. W 167 43.71 1.11/$1
097.6172 3 Gentleman Joe 8/1 Araujo D Smith Hamilton A. 278 39.57 1.05/$1
097.4244 1 The Poser 8/1 Karamanos H Smith Hamilton A. 278 39.57 1.05/$1
097.0881 6 Treasure Trove 10/1 Toledo J Farrior Anthony JT 182 40.11 1.05/$1
096.3708 9 Tybalt 10/1 Marquez C Gonzalez Claudio A. C 278 39.57 1.05/$1
096.2729 4 Benandjoe 10/1 Cruz A McMahon Hugh I. FL 182 40.11 1.05/$1
095.0895 10 Contraflow 12/1 Lopez C E Magee Kieron 182 40.11 1.05/$1
094.7441 2 Doubleoseven 12/1 Rosado J O'Dwyer Jeremiah 167 43.71 1.11/$1
094.0188 5 Closer Look 12/1 Monterrey R Bailes W. Robert 185 42.70 1.07/$1
092.3648 11 Goodluckchuck 15/1 Monterrey R Bailes W. Robert 182 40.11 1.05/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 38.20, ROI 0.94/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.6411
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Purse Greater Than $50K


12/30/21, LRL, Race 9, 4.18 ET
12/30/21,LRL,9,5 1/2F [Dirt] 1:02:01 CLAIMING. Purse $17,000. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 124 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Claiming Price $5,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Fearless Lassie 5/2 Lopez C E McKenzie Daniel J. FE 182 15.38 1.30/$1
098.5145 2 Flava's Dream(b+) 3/1 Whitacre G Parram Derrick A. C 182 15.38 1.30/$1
098.3057 6 Writtenbythestars 4/1 Corujo L Parram Derrick A. 182 15.38 1.30/$1
097.9737 5 Sense of Music 6/1 Ortiz Y O Pickett Crystal G. SL 182 15.38 1.30/$1
097.3317 1 Sunday Swagger 6/1 Trejos J Contessa Gary C. T 182 15.38 1.30/$1
096.0628 8 Pass It On 8/1 Cruz A Mancilla Carlos A. J 182 15.38 1.30/$1
094.5763 3 Chubby Warrior 20/1 Araujo D Shanley Mark A. 182 15.38 1.30/$1
094.2302 4 Notion Interruptus 15/1 Butterfly B L Mohan David R. 182 15.38 1.30/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 38.20, ROI 0.94/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.4855
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 5f Or 5 1/2f


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